THERE are three games in Ireland to look at on Tuesday – St Patrick’s v Bohemians in the top flight and UCD v Shelbourne and Wexford v Athlone in Division One.
St Pat’s will leapfrog their Dublin rivals with a win and despite Bohs’ excellent win at leaders and champions Dundalk last Friday it’s worth pointing out they haven’t beaten Saints in 14 meetings going way back to October 2010.
A home win pays no more than 8-11 at Betfred and Ladbrokes so both to score might be the better shout. These Dublin derbies can be action-packed and both have netted in six of the last seven meetings – the exception being St Pat’s 1-0 away win in April.
At Richmond Park the last eight meetings going back to 2011 have seen both sides score and St Pat’s have won the last four 3-1, 3-2, 3-2 and 3-1.
Both to score is too big at 5-4 with Coral and I’ve done a 3pts Super Single on that before it drops. Over 2.5 goals is even bigger at 13-10 with Coral and BetVictor and will be snapped up by people who like going with stats.
But even the form backs up these bets with St Pat’s netting five in their last two since losing 2-0 to Dundalk. Bohs of course hit two at Dundalk and have bagged seven in their last three away league games.
UCD’s last five matches have seen both score with four going over 3.5 goals but that sequences ends with their meeting at Shelbourne which they won 2-0. Shels will climb above their hosts with a win but UCD have lost just one of their previous nine.
Since that UCD defeat the Shels have won four out of five with a 5-0 defeat being handed out by Dundalk in the Cup.
It’s second v fourth and UCD look worthy 21-20 favourites until you dig deeper and see they haven’t beaten Shelbourne at home in 20 meetings apart from one penalty shoot-out success. That’s a crazy stat and in fact when these sides meet the home team has won just three times in the last 24.
It’s third v fifth when Wexford tackle Athlone and it’s tough to call. Athlone have won five of the last six meetings but the one they won was the previous clash at home in April.
St Pat’s v Bohemians (7.45pm)
Shelbourne not to lose (7.45pm)
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