Hamburg vs Freiburg


HSV vs Freiburg betting tips

Hamburger surprised everyone with a 2:1 victory away to Mainz last weekend. However, it has to be said that neither of the teams looked very threatening in attack, while the overall impression is that the draw would have been much more fairer result here. Guests took the lead in a bit lucky way in 37th minute thanks to an own goal from Baumgartlinger.

Hosts improved the performance in second half, equalizing fourteen minutes before the final whistle via Malli and just when it looked like the game is heading to a draw, Kacar scored the winning goal in 87th minute of the game. Since then, there was no time for the hosts to react who even got a player excluded two minutes later, so the game headed to a safe ending for visitors. This was their second victory in a row, after nine negative results, as the team seems to have awaken in the best possible time. Three rounds till the end, they are a point above relegating placed sides, so no doubt that the team is fired up to avoid the relegating battle in last rounds with a three pointer here. Offensive midfiedler Ivo Ilicevic (7/0) is doutbful, while the hosts miss central defender Cleber (12/0), defensive midfielder Valon Behrami (22/0), forward Nicolai Muller (27/1) and first choice goalkeeper Jaroslav Drobny (23/0) all being injured.

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Freiburg, on the other side, comes from a surprising defeat, at home against Paderborn 1:2. Everything started bright for the hosts, as they took the lead in 40th minute via Petersen, but the things were different in the second part. Guests surprised them with more offensive approach in repetition, while the goals came in last twenty minutes via Rupp.

Overall impression is that Freiburg was slightly better during the game, but the players of Paderborn were simply much more concrete and always knew what they wanted with the ball to their feet. Anyhow, this is now fourth game without victory for them, as the team seems to be slipping down and down. Their two remaining matches will be at home against Bayern Munich and away to relegating placed Hannover, so no doubt that the team comes as one of the hottest favorites to relegate. Midfielder Oliver Sorg is still doubtful after recovering from injury and will probably be replaced by Vladimir Darida. Striker Nils Petersen (9/7) and forward Mike Frantz (23/4) are both doubtful, while substitute left midfielder Mats Moller Daehli (2/0) remains injured.

Freiburg have failed to win 17 of their last 19 away matches in the Bundesliga.
Freiburg have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 3 matches in the Bundesliga.

Both teamr are missing few important players, but the home side seems to be in much better momentum now. Draw can’t be excluded here, but the players of Hamburger are obviously much closer to get all three points. Odds are more than acceptable for me.

Bet: Hamburger 0 Asian handicap @ 1.63 with Pinnacle

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