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Latest betting tips - page 9

Golf: USPGA Betting Tips – Spanish Bull to Feast on Big Apple

BACK by popular demand for the earlier than usual second major of the season the Slices' absence, due to an infatuation with a girl called Jodie and a man who thinks its acceptable to wear dungarees now the suns out, I bring you my best 4 for the PGA at Bethpage Black.

Lots has been said about this being the toughest major venue outside Augusta for some time and the Par 70, 7,459-yard layout looks the real deal. Four par fours measuring over 500 yards pays homage to the perception, and length and accuracy off the tee must be the key attribute this week.

One thing to remember is, unlike in football, finishing 2nd through to 7th this week will be a good weeks work, given that, I imagine Jürgen klopp would be a mean golf bettor.

Jon Rahm

If we take the top 8 in the betting market nobody appeals more than JON RAHM. There is not much between the top 7/8 in the game and Rahm's price of 20/1 looks formidable. When he wins one of these majors those odds will soon become a thing of the past.

Rahm is ranked 2nd off strokes gained from the tee and has the 12th highest scoring average. These days he has also stopped chucking the toys out of the pram, yes he flag hunts and yes, this creates bogeys, but if he outweighs the bogeys with birdies the Atletico Bilbao superfan could go mighty close this week.

Sergio Garcia

Sticking with the Spanish theme, not many people can boast better course form than Sergio Garcia. Garcia has had finishes of 3rd, 10th and 4th around Bethpage and the bunker basher is firmly on the shortlist this week.

Matt Kuchar

Third up is MATT KUCHAR. Apart from Rickie Fowler surely Kuch is the best player out there not to win a major; top of the PGA money list, in the form of his life, putting like Arnold Palmer, driving like a machine  Kuch is simply relentless this season and a big win is surely round the corner.

Jason Kokrak

Last up is JASON KOKRAK, a man who’s name sounds like a shelving unit to rest your appendage. The cracker is having a whirlwind year, making cuts for fun and posted a nice finish last time at Bethpage. Enormous in stature and enormous off the tee, Kokrak is the final selection.

Due to the Spanish theme this week I will be sat at home listening to Madonna's La Isla Bonita, the memories of this song are somewhat muffled but I can remember the Elvis impersonator in Torremelinos when I was 9 chatting my mum up at the poolside whilst this was playing .

As always search for the best odds/prices. I've split the selections over William Hill and Betfred as this is where I found the most value. I'm sure everyone has there own opinion on this week , so good luck in whatever you choose .

Finally a shout out to TC and DG off the GCC , (that Line of Duty gets in your head).

Have a super week, 3 Slice X

Recommended Bets

  • Jon Rahm 3pts e/w 20/1 (William Hill – 6 places)
  • Matt Kuchar 2.5pts e/w 45/1(Betfred – 7 places)
  • Sergio Garcia 2pts e/w 45/1 (Betfred – 7 places)
  • Jason Kokrak 1.5pts e/w 150/1 (William Hill – 6 places)

If you're a keen golf punter don't forget to have a look at our betting masterclass on how to pick a winner when betting on golf!


This post is originally from: mrfixitstips.co.uk

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Premier League Darts Tips Price And Gurney To Grab Wins In Leeds On Final Round Of Matches

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Dante Stakes Tips Punters Should Look To The Far East With Japan In The Derby Trial

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Sale v Gloucester Rugby Predictions & Betting Odds – 18th May 2019

Premiership Rugby Preview – 4.00 pm kick off

Gloucester can take things easy on the final day of the regular season. This is a great chance for them to actually rest some of their star power. They have already locked down the third-place finish for the season, meaning that they are though to the Premiership semi-finals. They simply wait to see whether it is Exeter or Saracens that they meet there.

Sale v Gloucester odds*

Sale 1/3
Gloucester 12/5
Draw 20/1
* (betting odds taken from William Hill on May 13th, 2019 at 4:04 pm)

Sale v Gloucester Preview

Sales Season has come to a grinding halt. They are starting this final weekend of action six points outside of the top four places. So they are not going to have any shot whatsoever of taking a place in the semi-finals. They did well to hang in there with an outside chance for as long as they did.

The thing about that is that could make this game a bit of a dead rubber in terms of intensity. Sale are the second lowest scorers in the Gallagher Premiership this season but still, bookmakers have them at 10/11 odds for a -7 handicap in this one, which actually makes some sense* (betting odds taken from William Hill on May 13th, 2019 at 4:04 pm).

They are probably going to be taking on an understrength Gloucester side. Sale are W2 D1 L2 in their last five league games, having played out a 20-20 draw against Bristol in their last fixture. If they could have gotten over the line with the win in that one, they would be playing for a top-four place this weekend.

Head to head

Sale collected fantastic 30-15 win at Kingsholm against Gloucester earlier this season. The last time they welcomed the Cherry & Whites to the AJ Bell Stadium was in September 2017 and Sale produced a massive 57-10 victory on that occasion. Overall it leave things with Gloucester at W3 L2 in the last five meetings between the two teams.

Gloucester not to take risks

Gloucester then are heading to the semi-finals. Regardless of what happens, it is third place that they will be finishing it. So there’s no need for them to go risking injury to their key players. They have to be focusing for the game ahead instead of worrying about this meaningless game.

Gloucester area W4 L1 in their last five league games and eased past the relegated Newcastle last time out in the top flight. They did lose their last away game, a bit of a surprise upset in terms of recent form, as they went to Worcester and lost 20-27.

Sale v Gloucester Prediction

Given the situation of the game, this has to be a good chance for Sale to put a good home win on the board to sign off for the season with. Gloucester aren’t going to be anywhere near full strength and therefore the Sale -7 handicap at 10/11 odds is a good fit* (betting odds taken from William Hill on May 13th, 2019 at 4:04 pm)


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Todays Free Betting Tips Leeds V Derby Football Treble And Nap Of The Day From York

Posted: Wednesday, 15th May 2019

A huge day of sport coming up today as a place in the Championship play-off final awaits either Leeds United or Derby County as they prepare to do battle in the second leg of their play-off on Wednesday night.

It is advantage Leeds ahead of the big game at Elland Road as they won the away leg 1-0 on Saturday and they are now odds-on to progress to the final, where Aston Villa will be lying in wait after they defeated West Bromwich Albion on penalties on Tuesday evening.

Leeds will be confident of getting the job done but it is likely to be a spicy affair as there have now been 18 bookings in the three meetings this season, with Leeds winning all three. With that in mind, over 4.5 cards in the match is our best bet for the game, while the 7/2 for a sending off looks good too as tempers could well boil over, particularly after the 'Spygate' affair from earlier in the campaign.

It won't all be about the referee though as we're expecting a few goals and over 3.5 goals looks very big at 2/1.

Wednesday - 7.45pm Odds Bets
Leeds v Derby - BEST BETS    
Over 4.5 cards    Best Bet 5/6
Sending off in the match 7/2
Over 3.5 goals 2/1

Wednesday's Football Treble

We thought Leeds might be losing momentum but they have now won all three of this season's meetings against Derby, who were woeful during the course of Saturday's first leg. Back Marcelo Bielsa's men to get the job done on home soil.

In the Coppa Italia, Atalanta are on a 13-match unbeaten run and the in-form Serie A side can win this Italian trophy for only the second time in their history when they take on Lazio. Meanwhile, in the Netherlands, AZ Alkmaar are odds-on to record a third Eredivisie win on the bounce against Excelsior.

Wednesday Football Treble Odds Bet
Tips: Leeds v Derby - Home Win @ 8 / 11
Excelsior v AZ Alkmaar - Away Win @ 3 / 5
Lazio v Atalanta- AtalantaWin @ 13 / 8
Treble Pays: @ 6 / 1

Live Football On Wednesday 15th May 2019

Nap of the day

A big day of racing at York to enjoy and Yafta is our best bet for the Duke of York Stakes at 3pm. A narrow runner-up in the Abernant last time out, Yafta is sure to improve for that run at Newmarket and last year's Hackwood Stakes winner is expected to be a major player today.

Wednesday - 3.00pm Odds Bets
Duke Of York Stakes    
Yafta to win    Best Bet 9/2

Winning Tips - Five From Five

The best advised winning bets in the last five days on the Betting Directory:

15th May
12th May Doncaster v Charlton Charlton win 'draw no bet' 6/5
12th May Burnley v Arsenal Aubameyang anytime scorer 5/4
12th May Liverpool v Wolves Liverpool win 2-0 6/1
12th May Watford v West Ham West Ham win 'draw no bet' 13/10
14th May Nap Of The Day Kylie Rules - Won 7/2

We've listed the best offers for today's sport below as well as new customer offers from the best bookmakers

DraftKings PGA Championship Picks

Only five weeks after The Masters, we now get The 2019 PGA Championship much earlier than usual, due to the brand new PGA schedule this season. This year, the major will be held at The Black Course (par 70, 7,459 yards) of Bethpage State Park, located in Bethpage, New York. This will be the 5th time this course has hosted a PGA event. In 2012 and 2016, The Northern Trust took place at Bethpage Black and both the 2009 and 2002 U.S. Opens were held at this venue. Patrick Reed won the 2016 Northern Trust and the average winning score of these four events has been 6.5 strokes under par. As you can tell from that number and the length of this par 70, Bethpage Black is a very challenging course.

In his 2002 U.S. Open win at this track, Tiger Woods was the only player in his field to finish under par (-3) and Vegas currently has the cut for this year’s PGA Championship at an O/U score of 145.5, aka, 5.5 strokes over par. As I just stated, this course is on the longer side and I think golfers with added distance off the tee will have an advantage. Especially, when you factor in that this area of New York has seen a ton of rain so far this spring and it has already rained on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday of this week. The weather for the remainder of the week looks promising, with only a slight chance of precipitation Wednesday through Friday, but the bottom line is this already lengthy track is going to be damp. The ball isn’t going to roll and bounce in the fairway like it would on a dry summer day and the farther and more accurately you can hit it off the tee, the better.

Now, that doesn’t mean I would rule out players who can’t bomb it like Dustin Johnson, but if juggling between two golfers, I would probably give the better driver of the golf ball the upper hand. As a par 70, Bethpage Black presents 12 par fours and only two par fives, with five of those par fours landing in between 450-500 yards. Two of the four winners at this course have led their fields in par four scoring and these 12 par fours are the holes we must focus on this week. Not only is your off the tee game important, but as always, so are your approaches.

Reed ranked a respectable T13 in GIR at The 2016 Northern Trust and each of the previous three champs at Bethpage Black were T4 or better in this stat. As for the greens, they are POA annua grass. I won’t be putting a heavy emphasis on SGP, considering putters like Reed and Lucas Glover have won here, but looking POA splits won’t hurt. Finally, I know this may be repetitive, but when we are expecting a tough test of golf like this, particularly in a major setting, I think bogey avoidance and overall pedigree must be prioritized. @Hunta512.

Studs:

Tiger Woods: (11,300)

Many touts in the DFS world try to avoid Tiger no matter the circumstance, but I think that would be a silly mistake this week, even if he is the highest priced player in the field. Yes, he just won The Masters, his first major win in 11 years, but the truth of the matter is Woods has been back to playing at an elite for almost a year now. He has not missed a single cut since last year’s U.S. Open, has seven top tens, and two wins in his last 13 PGA events.

During that span, he obviously has the new green jacket, but Woods also finished T6 at last season’s Open Championship and was the runner up to Brooks Koepka (below) at The 2018 PGA Championship. Overall, he is 16/19 in PGA Championships, with nine top tens and four wins. In his last 24 rounds, he ranks 8th in SGT2G, 16th in SG APP, 1st in GIR, 7th in SG on P4s, and 2nd in SG on P4s that are between 450-500 yards.

His distance hasn’t been great (109th in L24 rounds), but Tiger knows this track extremely well, with that U.S Open win 2002, a T6 in 2009, and a T38 at The 2012 Northern Trust on his resume. He should be in the hunt for another major title come Sunday and I don’t think we should over think this one, and roster Woods this week, regardless of the hefty price.

Brooks Koepka: (10,400)

In my opinion, this is a serious discount for Koepka. Not only did he win last year’s PGA Championship, but as you probably already know, this man lives for the majors. He is 6/6 in PGA championships and 19/21 in majors for his career, with nine top tens, three wins, and an average finish of 17.5 place. He just finished T2 at The Masters and all three of Kopeka’s major wins have come in his last seven major starts. He has only played once since Augusta, but it was just last week at The AT&T Byron Nelson, where he looked to still be in prime form (T4) and it is worth noting that he teed up the week before all three of his major victories.

He didn’t do well here in his lone start, in 2016 (T70), but we all know Koepka will be able to handle Bethpage Black. (5th in DD, 4th in BOB%, and 9th in bogeys avoided in L24 rounds) He is currently tied with his pal Dustin Johnson for the best odds to win this weekend (10/1 via Bovada), but is the 4th highest priced golfer on DraftKings, making Koepka the best value above $10,000.

John Rahm: (9,500)

Rahm has never competed at Bethpage Black, but that won’t stop me from rostering him at this reasonable price tag. He just won The Zurich Classic with Ryan Palmer and posted a pair of top tens before the team event, including a T9 at The Masters. He has made 13 straight cuts and has finished inside the top ten in seven of his last nine. The former Arizona Sun Devil is 8/11 in Majors and posted a T4 at last year’s PGA Championship at Bellerive.

His off the tee game has been excellent (8th in DD and 3rd in SG OTT in L24 rounds) and Rahm has gained 7.7 strokes per start in his last ten tournaments. His price should be over $10,000 in this form and Rahm is a very strong bet for a top ten.

Xander Schauffele: (9,100)

He may not have the major wins like Koepka, yet, but similar to the defending champ, Schauffele always brings his game to the next level for these major events. He also finished T2 at The Masters last month and Schauffele is now 7/8 majors, with a notable three top tens in his last four.

There really isn’t a single flaw in his game right now (25th in SGT2G, 15th in SG APP, 25th in DD, 14th in BOB%, 11 in bogeys avoided, and 7th in bogeys avoided in L36 rounds) and X has only missed one cut in his last 14 starts, including two PGA wins. Even at only 25 years old, Schauffele doesn’t let the moment get to him in these stacked fields and I highly doubt he disappoints this weekend.

Values:

Paul Casey: (8,300)

As it always seems to be the case with major events, Casey is just too cheap at $8,300. His recent log is very hit or miss (T3, MC, 1st, MC, and T4, in that order), but his form is rating out nicely for this course. When we put all of these golfers last 24 rounds side by side, Casey ranks 6th in SGT2G, 18th in SG APP, 9th in SG OTT, 6th in BS, 16th in SG on P4s, and 14th in bogeys avoided.

He gained 11.2 strokes in his T4 at The Wells Fargo two weeks ago and this will be Casey’s third time at Bethpage Black. (MC in 2009 and T31 in 2016) Furthermore, he is eight for his last ten majors, with six top 25s during that run. It’s hard to say how popular he will be after the letdown at Augusta (MC), but either way, Casey is a fine value to utilize in all formats.

Adam Scott: (8,100)

Scott was right there in the mix to win on Sunday at last year’s PGA Championship (T3) and is 14/18 at this major for his career. (five top tens) Plus, he is 3/4 at Bethpage Black, with his only MC being in his first appearance (2002) at the track and a T4 coming in his most recent. (2012)

As for his current form, Scott just finished T18 at The Masters and produced a T12 at The Players in his prior start. For the season, he is 7/9 and has an average finish of 18.3 when he makes the cut. (three top tens) Scott always seems to be in the mix at majors (11 for his last 13) and with over a month to prepare, I think he is primed for a top 25 at this year’s PGA Championship.

Sergio Garcia: (7,900)

Garcia missed the cut at The Masters, but bounced back nicely at The Wells Fargo Championship two weeks ago. (T4) He is now 12 for his last 13 worldwide, but more importantly, Garcia has had great success at Bethpage Black. He is 3/3 at the daunting course, with a T4 at The 2002 U.S. Open, a T10 at The 2009 U.S. Open and T3 at The 2012 Northern Trust.

No other player in this field can say they have three top tens at this venue and in this current form (15th in SGT2G, 2nd in SG APP, 4th in BS, and 8th in bogeys avoided in L24 rounds), I think Garcia is a very tough value to avoid. (40/1 via Bovada, best of all the players under $8,500)

Ian Poulter: (7,600)

As he has been for the last year or so, Poulter is a very safe option this week. He has made 27 of his last 29 cuts and has posted an impressive six top tens in his last eight starts. (T12 at The Masters and T10 at The Heritage in L2) Additionally, he is 2/2 at this track (T18 in 2009 and T36 in 2012) and has made it to the weekend in seven of his last eight major appearances.

Poulter also ranks 9th in BOB% over his last 24 rounds and has gained positive strokes off the tee in six of his last seven starts. I always like to target some savvy veterans at majors and Poulter brings top ten upside this week, at a very reasonable cost.

Ryan Palmer: (7,200)

Palmer is coming off a win at The Zurich Classic with teammate Rahm and has made it to the weekend in his last two normal cut events. He really struggled with his putter in his last finish, at The Byron Nelson (T43), but he was striking the ball extremely well, gaining 6.3 strokes tee to green, 5.6 strokes off the tee and ranking T4 in GIR.

Now, Palmer heads to Bethpage Black, where he has been very solid in two career appearances. (T24 in 2012 and T13 in 2016) He hasn’t played in a PGA Championship in three years, but has a 7/10 record at the tournament and has made seven of his last nine major cuts. With the extra confidence fresh off a win and having previous success at the venue, Palmer is a very sneaky play at only $7,200.

Scrubs:

Jhonattan Vegas: (7,100)

I don’t know if many have noticed, but Vegas has been playing outstanding golf over the last two months. He has made six cuts in a row and has finished no worse than T30 during that streak. In his last start, he generated his third top ten of the year at The Wells Fargo Championship (T8), where he ranked 4th in driving distance and T12 in greens found.

His driver has always been his calling card (18th in DD and 8th in SG OTT this season), but Vegas has vastly improved his ball striking (18th in SGT2G, 7th in GIR and 24th in BS in L24 rounds) and his par four scoring (19th in SG on P4s and 12th in SG on P4s between 450-500 yards in L24 rounds), while also avoiding the big numbers. (16th in bogeys avoided in L24 rounds) He checks all the boxes I am looking for statistically and as an added bonus, Vegas played at Bethpage Black in 2012 and finished T22. I wouldn’t drop down to this range for cash games, but for GPPs, Vegas is one of my favorite sleepers for this major.

Scott Piercy: (6,500)

I do worry about Piercy’s length (102nd in DD in L24 rounds), but his form and Vegas odds to win are hard to overlook at his near minimum salary. Coming off back to back top fives, he has now made 14 of his last 15 cuts, with nine top 30s during this span. If we look at all these players last eight rounds, no player in this entire field has gained more total strokes, hit more greens, avoided less bogeys, and gained more strokes on par fours than Piercy.

He has gained a tremendous 8.6 strokes tee to green over his past two starts and also has a T22 at Bethpage Black under his belt. (in 2016, MC in 2012) All of this has led him to the best odds of all the players under $7,000 on DraftKings this week. (125/1 via Bovada) In fact, Piercy has the same odds to win this weekend as Lucas Glover, who is a former winner at this course (2009), that costs a significant $800 more. His history in majors is definitely worrisome (9/19), but the reward clearly outweighs the risk with Piercy.

Julian Suri: (6,400)

If you don’t know about him, Suri is a 28 year old player, originally from New York, that is currently playing on The European Tour. He suffered an abdominal injury that costed five months of competitive play, but returned this March and hasn’t missed a beat. Suri has teed it up in four Euro events since returning and has finished T20, T4, T2, and T19, with that final finish being at The China Open just two weeks ago. If we include his play from before the injury, Suri has only missed one cut in his last 22 starts across the world.

That run includes a 5/5 record in PGA events, comprising of two impressive major finishes, with a T28 at The 2018 Open Championship and a T19 at last year’s PGA Championship. After that T19 at Bellerive, Suri was the 60th ranked player in the world. He is a raw talent that is going to make some serious noise on The PGA Tour once he becomes a full time player in America and this is a terrific time to attack Suri, with him competing in his home state.

*Please note that some of these rankings are from Fantasynational.com

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This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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Eurovision Song Contest 2019 Predictions & Winner Odds

Who needs a top weekend of sports betting when you have the Eurovision Song Contest, right? Right? Well, the famous singing competition is back for its annual blast and this year’s edition is being hosted in Tel Aviv after Israel topped the charts twelve months ago in Lisbon with the song “Toy” by Netta. That result surprised probably zero people.

This year it is all eyes on the Netherlands who are the 2/1 outright favourites* (betting odds taken from *** on May 15th, 2019 at 2:23 am).

Eurovision Song Contest 2019 Winner Odds*

Netherlands 2/1
Sweden 5/1
Australia 6/1
Russia 9/1
France 9/1
Azerbaijan 12/1
Iceland 14/1
Italy 16/1
Switzerland 22/1
Malta 28/1
Greece 40/1
Cyprus 50/1
Czech Republic 66/1
100/1 bar
* (betting odds taken from *** on May 15th, 2019 at 2:23 am)

The hype is on Holland

It is Dutch representative Duncan Laurence with his song “Arcade” that is all the rage at the moment. There really is no identikit winner of the Eurovision Song Contest, because times change, trends change and it is a competition which clearly tries to reflect what is going on in social culture. If Laurence lands it on the weekend then it will be the fifth Eurovision title for the country. He found his footing performing on the Dutch version of ‘The Voice” reaching the semifinals there in 2014. His song “Arcade” has been a huge hit on Youtube, viewed over 8 million times.

Australia and Sweden put the pressure on

Australia look to have thrown a strong hat into the ring for this edition with Kate Miller-Heidke performing ‘Zero Gravity’ which is a kind of strange operatic dance track. This has got a bit of momentum behind it and this one doesn’t actually feel like it is all about the song. It’s about Miller-Heidke as a performer, and the upbeat track features something like a bit of yodelling in there. Whatever it is, the massive falsetto that she delivers is a key component of the song and really makes it stand out. It’s a bit on the weird side perhaps, but it’s popular and Australia are 6/1 to bring it home.

Sweden are sandwiching the Netherlands and Australia at the head of the Eurovision 2019 betting market. It actually feels to us that it has a stronger chance of going all the way and winning than the outright favourite does. The Netherlands entry is a bit run of the mill about broken hearts, whereas Sweden’s ‘Too Late For Love”, despite starting off in much the same vein as the Netherlands,  goes up through the gears for a fist-pumping crescendo of a catchy tune that no-one is going to forget in a hurry. That could tip it ahead of the Netherlands and if the judges are too weirded-out by the Australian entrant, then Seeden look great value at 5/1 odds* (betting odds taken from *** on May 15th, 2019 at 2:23 am)

Other Contenders

France have a strong contender going in this one as well. It’s about as Eurovision of a song as a song for Eurovision song could get. There’s lots of piano, lots of power and raw emotion going on in there. There is a mix of English in there as well from Bilal Hassani with her song “Roi”, which may go over favourably with the judges.

Russia are at 9/1 odds* (betting odds taken from *** on May 15th, 2019 at 2:23 am), the same as France are and they always seem to have their voting bloc behind them. Let’s not forget that there is politics going on with the votes handed out at Eurovision. What Russia have this year is ‘Scream’ by Sergey Lazarev who was one of the front runners for the 2016 edition.

Many thought that the only reason that Lazarev didn’t win that year, was because of political tensions between Russia and Ukraine that had gone on. Regardless of politics, this year’s entry for Russia doesn’t seem anywhere near as good as his ‘You are the only one’ effort from 2016, which arguably should have won.

Azerbaijan are a rising force in the world of Eurovision and they seem to take it pretty darn seriously. They were the 2011 winners of the competition and are looking to make further inroads into creating history. Sure the song ‘Truth’ is leaning well over into the cheesy side of things, but it’s a pretty catch ditto nonetheless. It’s something pretty accessible.

Home contenders

The UK is being represented by Michael Rice with ‘Bigger Than Us’. Not sure where this is going to go, but a flood of points probably isn’t going to be heading the way of the UK, who automatically get a free pass to the Grand Final as one of the big five nations in the competition. It is just as well because this 150/1 shot probably wouldn’t have made it through a semi-final* (betting odds taken from *** on May 15th, 2019 at 2:23 am).

The same kind of goes for Ireland who go in the second semi-final. Sarah McTernans is up to bat for the Irish with the song “22” and for a country with such a fine tradition and history in the competition, this one falls a long way short. It’s hard to see it reaching the Grand Finals because it is a bit of one-note miss hit.

Best Outsiders

San Marino’s Serhat with his song ‘Say Na Na Na’ can’t help bring a smile to your face. It’s catchy, it has a prerequisite amount of lyrical cheese to it and it’s just a bundle of disco fun really. Serhat himself is like a cross between Pitbull and Right Said Fred and considering that San Marino were huge outside odds (the rank outsiders at one point), but got through the first semi-final, then well, you never know.

Cyprus are our other dark horses. They have Tamta with the song “Replay” going for them, having already come through the semifinals. They are now at 50/1 to take the title* (betting odds taken from *** on May 15th, 2019 at 2:23 am). The artist is a well-known face, at least in Georgia and Greece where she has been a judge on the X Factor in both countries. “Replay” is a full-on party song and that is never a bad thing when the energy is high.

Predictions

Sweden may well have this in the bag. It’s just the perfect blend of a slow starter, winding up into a brilliant finish. For us, it has the edge over the Netherlands and it is a much better price as well to be taking on. At 5/1 odds, it has every chance of getting its hands on the prize* (betting odds taken from *** on May 15th, 2019 at 2:23 am).

Just because of the hype that it has attracted, Australia seems to be the next best option. It’s a totally different beast to that of the Swedish entry and it will remain to be seen whether that is a good thing or a bad thing.

At the end of the day, we don’t see the over-hyped Dutch entry getting the win because it’s a song that has been heard time and time again and doesn’t really build up to anything or go anywhere.


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Rob Eddy’s Racing Tips: Wednesday's 15th May

The meeting at York has caught our tipsyer's eye ahead of Wednesday's action.

Day One of the York Meeting looks like typically competitive fare for the North's premier track and we have selections and analysis from three of the races on the card.

3.00 York

Yafta to Win and Each-way @ 4/1 BET NOW

It looked like a strong renewal of the Group 3 sprint at Newmarket at their Craven Meeting and there's one runner who did particularly well to finish in the first three.

Dreamfield and Sir Thomas Greshham set an unsustainable pace in the sprint race and Yafta was the only runner who managed to finish in the first three that day having raced prominently.

It was Kenstone who managed to get his head down on the line having been completely outpaced in the early part of the race and it shows how fast they've gone that a horse officially rated 104 has managed to get the better of the likes of Brando who had won the last two renewals and has Group 1 form to his name.

Yafta is still entirely unexposed and his Group 3 win towards the end of last season now reads well. He may be able to come on for the run last time out and land what looks a winnable Group 2 at rewards odds of 4/1.

The aforementioned Brando is likely to be the main danger for the selection. He didn't managed to add to his Newmarket success last season but he finished runner-up in two of the big Group 1 sprints and if he can replicate that form, he could be a threat to the selection.

4.05 York

The Night Watch to Win and Each-way @ 6/1 BET NOW

Later on the card, The Night Watch can outrun his odds in a race he could arguably be favourite for. He won his final start as a juvenile, showing a game attitude to win at Wolverhampton and he can be expected to come on for his reappearance when runner-up at Salisbury.

The handicapper has leniently dropped him 1lb for that success and Cieran Fallon, a young apprentice jockey is well worth the 7lb he can claim in the saddle.

The yard are going along nicely, running at a strike-rate exceeding 23% and this three-year-old should go on improving throughout the campaign.

5.05 York

Addis Ababa to Win and Each-way @ 8/1 BET NOW

David O'Meara's team are another outfit in good form in recent weeks and Addis Ababa may be capable of outrunning his odds in the finale.

The son of Declaration Of War has been running well in defeat on all-weather in recent starts and he gives the impression the step up to one mile four furlongs could suit.

A handicap mark of 85 looks within his capabilities and he could be one to follow throughout the rest of the season.

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Mr Fixit’s Top Tips: Leeds set for Villa thriller

SOME decent games on Wednesday with the Italian Cup Final and a full card for the final round of the Dutch top flight.

The play-offs continue with Leeds one up at home to Derby while in Scotland it's Raith v QoS in the first leg of the Championship play-off final.

With Aston Villa awaiting the winners I can't see Leeds blowing it although another tight game is in prospect and kevinmac has posted a preview here.

Raith v Queens should see goals, especially as Stephen Dobbie is fit and firing again. The 43-goal striker rattled in a hat-trick in the 5-0 second-leg semi-final win against Montrose and is 14-5 at Betway to score first.

Rovers' last 10 matches have seen both teams score as have 13 out of 14 so that looks the shout at 8-11 with Marathonbet.

Scott Allot's members bet will be on the Italian showpiece between Lazio and Atalanta. The Final is in Rome but the visitors are the form team and can win but again I like the look of goals and will add a double or treble later.

Sunday's nine Dutch games produced 41 goals and there could be another goalfest so check out the special and Greg may tip these. Ajax are all but champions while Utrecht, Vitesse and Heracles are battling for Europa League play-off spots with all other issues settled.

Well done to all the other winners last night. My Dundee United draw no bet Super Single landed but the both to score double was a loser with Clyde's penalty missing preventing a good chance to cover.

Remember to check welovebetting for their video chat and tips.

Mr Fixit's May Super Singles Total: -9.2pts

Mr Fixit's May Accas Total: -19.3pts


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DraftKings MLB DFS Picks – May 14th

I wasn’t able to get a DraftKings MLB DFS Piece out over the last few days, but I am back today to tackle this 12-game main slate and notch some profits early in the week!

Let’s go!

P – Chris Sale (BOS) – $10,800 vs. COL

Usually I wouldn’t pay up for the most expensive pitcher on a slate when he is pitching at Coors Field. However, Chris Sale has discovered his elite form over his last couple of starts and the strikeouts are coming by the barrel at this point and I’m finding it awfully hard to resist his strikeout upside in this one tonight. Nothing in particular against the Rockies are their strikeout rate against lefties this season is around the middle of the pack, but man it’s hard to look at Sale’s last two starts and fade him on this slate. They haven’t been the best offenses he’s faced, but Sale has pitched 14 innings of one-run ball to go along with a whopping 24 strikeouts over his last two outings in Baltimore and in Chicago against the White Sox. He’s managed three double-digit strikeout games over his last four starts and punched out either in the other. He also hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in a start over his last four. I’m going to pay up and see what the high-strikeout southpaw can do in this one tonight.

P – Luke Weaver (ARI) – $8,800 vs. PIT

Weaver came over to the D-backs in an offseason trade that involved Paul Goldschmidt going the other way, so the pressure to perform was certainly there from the get go for the young right-hander. Weaver has done a nice job to perform under that pressure as he’s pitched to a 2.98 ERA so far while his 2.91 FIP is also quite fond of his work, as is his 3.52 xFIP. Weaver has posted some big strikeout numbers in the minor leagues and he’s delivered on that upside at the big league level this season and in fact for his career to this point as he owns a nice 9.93 K/9 mark on the year and a 9.31 K/9 mark for his career. The home numbers aren’t quite as good as the road ones, which isn’t surprising considering his hitter-friendly home confines of Chase Field in Arizona, but I like that the Pirates rank 25th with a .293 wOBA on the season, so I’ll look for another sturdy effort from the right-hander tonight.

C – Wilson Ramos (NYM) – $3,500 vs. WAS

I paid up for Sale at a sky-high price and Weaver also came in at a hefty rate, so we are certainly going to have to be cost-conscious with our bats and pick some players that carrie value upside at low prices and I will begin that theme here with Ramos as he takes on Nationals right-hander Jeremy Hellickson. Ramos hasn’t gotten off to a great start to his Mets tenure as he is hitting just .235 on the season with one homer and a brutal .586 OPS, but this guy has been one of the top power-hitting backstops in baseball for the better part of the last five season and I certainly believe the bat gets going sooner than later. Further to that point, I like the fact Ramos is coming off a two-hit effort in his most recent outing back on May 10th. It’s his first two-hit game since way back on April 4th and his first hits in three games. Ramos does have a homer against Helleickson across 11 at-bats against the veteran and I’ll look for more of the same in this matchup tonight.

1B – Matt Olson (OAK) – $3,900 vs. SEA

I am running out a pair of stacks in this one, but the A’s is going to be my main stack as it will be a four-man group in Seattle tonight against right-hander Mike Leake. I actually stacked against Leake with the Yankees his last time out, and he shocked me with seven innings of one-run ball and zero walks. The lack of walks isn’t shocking, but the run prevention is as he owns a 4.37 ERA on the season now, but also an ugly 5.35 FIP and 4.68 xFIP while he is allowing a very elevated 2.09 HR/9 on the season. Olson had a late start to his season due to injury but he’s once again swinging a powerful bat with two homers in nine games to go along with a .219 ISO. This guy hit 29 homers last season and posted a big-time .249 ISO and .830 OPS against right-handed pitching while he owns a .200 ISO and .825 OPS against righties in the early going this season. He is 5 for 16 (.312) with a double in his career against Leake, but I’m looking for a long ball tonight from the powerful lefty-swinging first baseman.

2B – Robinson Cano (NYM) – $3,500 vs. WAS

Cano began his Mets tenure this season with an Opening Day home run and hit well for a couple weeks to begin this season, but he’s endured a couple of cold streaks as well so far, including one that ran into the start of May. That said, Cano is swinging the bat well again as he’s gone 7 for 17 (.412) with two doubles, three runs and an RBI over his last four games. There’s no doubt the bat isn’t as powerful as it once was, but he has been fantastic against right-handed pitching this season as he’s hit .310 with a .190 ISO and .855 OPS to go along with a .364 wOBA against righties on the season while all 13 of his extra-base hits (three homers, 10 doubles) have come against righties. Clearly, his issues are against lefties who he’s hit .132 against on the season. Finally, I am loving the fact Cano has excellent numbers against Hellickson in a strong sample size as he’s gone 5 for 17 (.294) with two doubles, two homers and four walks against him. He should hit third against him tonight and I love the value at this price.

3B – Matt Chapman (OAK) – $4,500 vs. SEA

Perhaps my favorite play on this slate, Chapman reverse-splits tendencies and powerful career numbers against Hellickson have me thinking a big game is on tap for the stud third baseman tonight. First, Chapman is having a monster season at the plate after breaking out in 2018 as he’s already homered 10 times while he also owns a massive .273 ISO while his walk rate of 11.7% is not too far under his strikeout rate of 15%. Now, I mentioned the reverse-splits tendencies, but that hasn’t been the case this year as he owns a massive .500 ISO and 1.122 OPS against lefties. However, he also owns a bug .208 ISO and .852 OPS against righties and his .258 ISO and .886 OPS against righties last season were notably above his .163 ISO and .810 OPS against lefties. He’s young, so perhaps his splits will even out, but there’s little doubt this guy crushes right-handed pitching. He’s also 6 for 16 (.375) with three doubles and two homers in his career against Leake, so sign me up all day for this matchup tonight.

SS – Manny Machado (SD) – $3,700 vs. LAD

Rostering anyone against Kershaw at home was blasphemy just a couple short years ago, but injuries and a velocity decline have knocked Kershaw off the perch as baseball’s best pitcher into a tier of a bunch of good ones. His numbers are fine this season, but not nearly vintage Kershaw, either. In his five starts this season since missing time with a dead arm to begin the year, Kershaw has posted a 3.31 ERA, 3.75 FIP and 3.30 xFIP while his 8.54 K/9 is well under his 9.75 mark for his career. He owns a 2.41 ERA, 2.66 FIP and 2.94 xFIP for his career, so we can see he’s not as good as he once was while his home run figure of 1.38 HR./9 is more than double his 0.63 HR/9 career mark. Enter Machado who comes at a very reasonable price. Oh, and he’s also absolutely obliterating left-handed pitching this season to the tune of a .652 ISO and 1.444 OPS on the season with a 266 wRC+ against them. Those are insane numbers as he’s homered five times in just 23 at-bats against a lefty this season. He’s also 1 for 3 with a homer in his career against Kershaw, so let’s look for the lefty-bashing to continue in this one for Machado.

OF – Brandon Nimmo (NYM) – $3,500 vs. WAS

If this was last year the left-handed hitting Nimmo would be a lock to lead off against a right-handed pitcher, but he has taken a step back at the plate from what looked like a breakout 2018 season. Nimmo got on base at a massive .424 clip against right-handers last season while also destroying them for plenty of power to the tune of a .246 ISO and .946 OPS. It’s been a reverse story this season as the OBP against righties has dropped to just .327 and jumped to .419 against lefties for some reason while his .111 ISO and .616 OPS against righties leaves plenty to be desired as well. That said, I’ve done well when rostering Nimmo this season and I think this is a great spot for him to give us more value. I mean, Hellickson is allowing a .368 average and a massive 1.156 OPS to left-handed hitters this season and an even larger 1.387 OPS to left-handed hitters at home. Nimmo hit 17 homers and stolen nine bases last year so I am loving the value upside given Hellickson’s inability to get left-handed hitters out this season.

OF – Khris Davis (OAK) – $4,000 vs. SEA

I will finish this lineup off with a pair of Athletics outfielders to complete our four-man A’s stack. As we know quite well by now, Davis is one of the very best home run-hitting players in this league and he is showing that power again this season with 12 home runs and a .279 ISO on the season. That said, prior to last night’s game in Seattle, Davis hadn’t homered since back on April the 12th when he homered for the third straight game. We know this guy can be streaky and his homers come in bunches, which is why I am thrilled that he clubbed a pair of long balls in last night game while it also happened to be his second consecutive two-hit effort as well. Like Chapman, Davis has been a reverse-splits hitters in the past, but he’s obliterating lefties this season. That said, he owns a powerful .206 ISO against righties and posted a massive .315 ISO against them in 2018. He’s doubled and homered against Leake in his 24 at-bats against him, but the home run upside is huge and the price is more than reasonable against a struggling pitcher who is yielding plenty of home runs this season.

OF – Stephen Piscotty (OAK) – $3,600 vs. SEA

I had some luck with Piscotty last week when I one-offed him and he homered for me, his fifth homer of the season after clubbing 27 home runs last season. Once again it’s very interesting as Piscotty is following the trend set by Chapman and Davis as he owns reverse-splits for his career but has hit lefties far better than righties so far this season. I mean, Piscotty tattooed right-handed pitching for a .232 ISO and .841 OPS last year, numbers notably above his .205 ISO and .776 OPS against lefties. his career numbers trend more towards lefties, but Piscotty still has two homers, three doubles and a triple against right-handed pitching this season and owns quality numbers against Leake. Piscotty has gone 6 for 17 (.353) with a double and a homer in his career against the veteran right-hander. He’s notched at least one hit in nine of his last 10 games, and like his teammates in this stack, Piscotty brings plenty of value to the table in this one tonight.

PLAY THIS LINEUP


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May 14th, 2019 Betting Tips: NBA, NHL, MLB

Posted: May 14, 2019

(Photo credit: Karen Warren/Houston Chronicle)

Tonight begins the conference finals in the NBA. The Golden State Warriors are looking for their third straight NBA championship and their fifth straight appearance in the Finals. That is a crazy resume and this will likely go down as one of the greatest teams of all-time, albeit maddening. They play the Blazers tonight for the right to go to the Finals with the Bucks and Raptors kicking off their series tomorrow.

We also see the Bruins and Hurricanes take their series to Carolina. The Bruins held home ice by winning both of their games at home to take a 2-0 lead in the series. The Hurricanes have been very good all season and I am just not quite convinced that they are going to lay down here. The crowd should be rocking and the home ice advantage is real for this team.

NBA Betting Tips:

Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors: The Warriors are without Kevin Durant for this one and everyone is quick to pick the Blazers to win here. I can understand the reasoning behind that, but I think a lot of that is just Warriors fatigue. When we look at this thing from a logical perspective, the Warriors should be exactly as big of a favorite as they are in this series.

Even without Durant, I’d say they have four of the best six players in this series. Stephen Curry is the best overall and a lot of times in a series you should just pick the team with the best player. That’s the Warriors and I think they win this series easier than most people think, and they start that with a win tonight.

Bet Warriors -7.5

NHL Betting Tips:

Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes: The Hurricanes are yet to lose at home in these playoffs and I don’t think they are going to start here. The Canes goaltending situation has been the issue thus far and they might make a switch tonight. Whoever it is, I think they show up big for the home game and get the Canes back in this series. This team has been too good in these playoffs to go out like this.

Bet Hurricanes -122

MLB Betting Tips:

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds: The Cubs send Kyle Hendricks to the mound who has been their best pitcher in the season. He has a 3.19 ERA/3.06 FIP on the season and faces a Reds offense that has really struggled this season with just a .667 OPS against right handed pitchers. The Cubs offense is dangerous all season with a .807 OPS and I think they are going to hit Tanner Roark hard here today.

Bet Cubs -126

Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins: I don’t really understand this line. The Rays are one of the very best teams in all of baseball while the Marlins are one of the very worst. The Rays send Charlie Morton to the mound who has been great thus far this season. The Marlins offense is weak and shouldn’t hit him very much, as indicated by the 6.5 total on this game. While Caleb Smith has been very good, this is a really tough match-up and I think the Rays can win this one handily.

Bet Rays -131

Worcester v Saracens Rugby Predictions & Betting Odds – 18th May 2019

Premiership Rugby Preview – 4.00 pm kick off

Somewhat surprisingly perhaps, Saracens find themselves in with a chance of finishing top of the table on the final weekend of the regular season. With a loss for league leaders Exeter last time out, Sarries closed the gap to four points. So it’s a slim chance at best, but after winning the European Champions Cup last weekend, they will have the bit between their teeth.

Worcester v Saracens odds*

Saracens 4/7
Worcester 6/4
Draw 18/1
* (betting odds taken from William Hill on May 13th, 2019 at 4:04 pm)

Worcester v Saracens Preview

Worcester are safe from any threat of relegation this season, so they can at least relax for their final game. That will be a big relief for them because if they had had to go into this looking for points, that would have been a terrible position for them. The Warriors don’t have that worry. They took a big 38-10 hit against Northampton in their last Premiership fixture.

But they had won back to back home fixtures in the top flight prior to that. The first one of those was a great 39-17 success over Sale, before a bit of a surprise in taking down top-four side Gloucester. When they played host to Exeter in round fifteen of action this season, they only were edged out by a three-point margin at the end of a wonderful fixture. Worcester are +6 in the handicap line at 10/11 odds for this * (betting odds taken from William Hill on May 13th, 2019 at 4:04 pm)

Head to head

Saracens have won the last three Premiership meetings against Worcester, including their last visit there which was back in 2017. Saracens collected a 25-3 away win on their last trip to Sixways. It’s been just one success that the Warriors have taken against Saracens, but that was at home in early 2017.

Saracens to look ahead?

Saracens have that slim shot at top spot. They would need a win to have any chance of that happening, as well as Exeter losing (with no bonus point). Top spot would be important because it would mean a perspective easier game in the semifinals, as the first place finisher will play fourth. It is tough side Gloucester who will be taking on whoever finishes second in the league, as the Cherry & Whites are locked in there.

Saracens took out Leinster in the European Champions Cup Final last weekend coming from 10-0 down in the match to be crowned champions there. In their last league outing, they had posted a 38-7 success over Exeter, in-game which saw both teams go at each other understrength. Still, now you tally it up and that is a four-match winning streak that Saracens are on in all competitions, scoring over 30 points in three of those games.

So they are really going strong towards the end of the season and as it stands they are the 9/10 favourites to win the Gallagher Premiership outright* (betting odds taken from William Hill on May 13th, 2019 at 4:04 pm). Their last away game in the Premiership saw Saracens bag a 31-14 victory over Wasps, but in their away game prior to that, they did suffer a surprise defeat out at Bristol. Will they rest some star power ahead of the semi-finals, knowing that it’s unlikely that they will pinch top spot?

Worcester v Saracens Prediction

Saracens may well play this smart and rest some key players after their extra workload last weekend. It’s a bit of a stretch seeing them take top spot from Exeter at the end of the day so they may be looking one game ahead. Still, they can land the win and Saracens -6 handicap is at 10/11 odds* (betting odds taken from William Hill on May 13th, 2019 at 4:04 pm)


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Eurovision 2019 Semi-Final 2 Betting Tips, Odds & Predictions

Thursday’s Eurovision semi-final has plenty of the big hitters and favourites with the bookmakers which could prove to be a punters treasure chest.

Only 10 nations can make Saturday evening’s final in Tel Aviv and there is a tonne of betting value to be found in Thursday’s semi-final.

Eurovision 2019 Betting Odds

The Netherlands are leading the way in the betting thanks to their razor sharp, radio-ready entry, Arcade by Duncan Laurence. 

Arcade has been a huge hit with Eurovision fans and had already racked up 7.2 million Youtube views at the time of writing. 

The Dutch have not been successful in Eurovision in recent years with their last victory coming in 1975, but they may have stumbled on the formula for victory this year which is why they are the bookies favourite to win this semi-final with odds of 6/4.

Sweden take Eurovision seriously and appear to have come up with the goods yet again. John Lundvik’s Too Late For Love is a slick pop track that will go down well with Eurovision fans all over the continent. The Swedes are 4/1 best-price to win this semi-final and don’t be surprised if they rock up in the top 10 again on Saturday.

Russia are perpetual lodgers in the top end of the Eurovision betting proceedings and look to have a strong entry yet again. While the song itself is rather bland, it has been going down a treat with the Eurovision faithful and the press polls.

After missing out on the competition back in 2017 and failing to qualify for the final last year in Lisbon, the Russians are banking on Sergey Lazarev can bring home the trophy. Sergey finished third in 2016 and can be backed 17/4 for victory in Thursday's second semi-final.

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Eurovision 2019 Semi-final 2 Betting Tips

Azerbaijan to win semi-final 2 @ 6/1 – BET NOW

After last year’s disappointment in failing to qualify for the final, Azerbaijan are with a track that will go down a storm with Eurovision fans.

Chingiz’s song Truth is a slick pop track that could fit on Capital FM right now and has amassed 2 million Youtube views already at the time of writing.

Azerbaijan have had a weak Eurovision Song Contest record in recent years after six straight top 10 finishes in the countries first six years.

However, Chingiz has been going down a storm this year and topped a press poll ahead of Russia who are ahead of Azerbaijan in the betting.

Netherlands and Sweden will undoubtedly be strong challengers in this semi-final, but Azerbaijan have the added bonus of going last on Thursday which is a traditionally strong position for acts.

North Macedonia not to qualify @ 5/2 – BET NOW

Entering Eurovision for the first time since their name change for FYR Macedonia, North Macedonia are looking to put to bed a streak of six years without qualification to the final.

This year’s the Balkan county have Tamar Todevska’s ballad Proud to satisfy their qualification needs, but there is a chance that the curse could continue for Tamar.

Everything looks like it could go their way – the meaningful song, the second-to-last place in the semi-final and some weaker names earlier in the line-up. However, the song and staging are bland.

The song has done reasonably well in press polls, but nothing to set the world alight. It can’t be just an issue with songs that sees North Macedonia muster up just one Eurovision final qualification in eleven years, which is why they are a tip to not qualify again.

Eurovision 2019 Semi-Final 2 Prediction

Sweden to win semi-final 2 @ 4/1 – BET NOW

Sweden never mess around when it comes to Eurovision and crafting Eurovision earworms and this year is no different.

Forever Eurovision favourites, John Lundvik’s Too Late For Slick continues a long line of big pop songs from the Scandinavian country. Press polls and online engagement for the track has been strong which is why we shouldn’t be surprised to see Sweden romp home yet again.

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Leeds United v Derby County Predictions & Betting Odds – 15th May 2019

Leeds United v Derby County Betting Tips – Championship Play-offs, 15th May 19.45pm

A Kemar Roofe goal was enough to give Leeds United a 1-0 win at Pride Park in the first leg of this Championship play-off semi-final. Derby County have struggled away from home in 2019, but can Frank Lampard’s side cause an upset at Elland Road on Wednesday night? United are priced at just 1/9 to qualify, while the Rams are available at the big odds of 11/2. Will Marcelo Bielsa’s boys get the job on home soil?

Leeds United v Derby County Betting Odds*

Leeds United 8/11
Draw 3/1
Derby County 4/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 14th, 2019 at 12:50 p.m.)

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Table of Contents

Leeds United News and Form

After ending the regular season with four games without a win, Leeds United picked up a narrow victory at Pride Park last Saturday. The Whites settled fast in the first leg, taking the game to the Rams from the first whistle. Bielsa’s side had more shots on goal, saw over 55% of the ball and scored the all-important goal. Roofe, who has been a thorn in Derby’s side this season, scored ten minutes into the second half to give Leeds a 1-0 lead in the tie.

Despite finishing their campaign with one point from a possible 12, which handed the two automatic spots to Norwich City and Sheffield United, Leeds went into the play-offs as one of the favourites. On the whole, the Yorkshire club had a fine season in the second tier under the experienced Bielsa, winning 25 of their 46 league matches.

Leeds have been very strong on home soil this season, accumulating an impressive 46 points at Elland Road, with only the top two of Norwich and Sheffield Utd (both 49) picking up more. Along the way, United won 14 times and netted 38 home goals.

After doing the business at Pride Park last weekend, Leeds have put themselves in a great position to qualify for the Championship play-off final. They are also fancied to win on the night, with *** pricing them at just 8/11.

Leeds United v Derby County Head to Head

Leeds are unbeaten in four against Derby, winning three and drawing one

United have won the last three meetings, scoring seven times and conceding only once

Derby have picked up just one victory in six against the Whites

Back in January, goals from Roofe and Jack Harrison gave Leeds an easy 2-0 win over the Rams at Elland Road

Key-Facts – Leeds United v Derby County
  • Leeds have lost just five home league games this term
  • Derby have picked up only one away league win in 2019
  • United have won five of their last eight on home turf

Derby County News and Form

Whether Derby County go on to reach the Premier League or not, Frank Lampard has had a fine first season at Pride Park. Top six will have been the aim, but they made sure of their play-off place by winning four and drawing two of their last six regular season fixtures, beating West Bromwich Albion 3-1 at home on the final day.

Unfortunately for Lampard, his team didn’t really turn up in the first leg. The occasion got to many of their star players and, even though the Rams kept the scoreline low, Leeds looked pretty comfortable in the East Midlands. The Rams struggled to hit back after Roofe’s goal, although they were awarded a late penalty which was quickly overruled by the linesman.

Derby were excellent at home in the Championship this season, but the club had their problems on the road. Their recent 2-0 victory at Ashton Gate was their first away league win since winning 4-3 at Carrow Road in late December. Derby won seven, drew seven and lost nine of their 23 away encounters in this term’s Championship.

Derby have given themselves a mountain to climb at Elland Road. The odds are stacked against them, but the Rams are available at the tasty price of 11/2 to turn this tie around in Yorkshire.

Leeds United v Derby County Tips & Odds

Leeds United to win at 8/11
Leeds United to win to nil at 2/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 14th, 2019 at 12:50 p.m.)

Leeds United v Derby County Predictions

Leeds United win: Leeds have one foot in the Championship play-off final are their dogged display at Pride Park last Saturday. Bielsa’s boys still have work to do in this mouth-watering tie, and Lampard’s Derby will no doubt have a go in Yorkshire. However, I can see United booking their place in the final at Wembley Stadium. Leeds have already kept two clean sheets against the Rams this season, so have a punt on the hosts to win to nil (2/1) yet again on Wednesday.


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Yorkshire Cup 2019 Preview, Betting Tips, Predictions & Odds

Ahead of Friday's feature at York we have our Yorkshire Cup 2019 Preview with Stradivarius seemingly about to be tested by the next generation of would-be stayers.

Can anything get in the way of last season's £1m Bonus-winning king of the Long Distance Flat races?

Yorkshire Cup Racing Tips

15:00 Yorkshire Cup

Stradivarius win and each-way @ 4/5 BET NOW

It will be the brave Yorkshire Cup 2019 Prediction that suggests John Gosden's outstanding stayer will taste defeat on the Knavesmire after his scintillating run of success through 2018.

Beginning with this very race, Stradivarius was unbowed in five starts. He added the Ascot Gold Cup, a second Goodwood Cup and the Lonsdale Cup, securing a £1million bonus for winning all four races in the process. In his final trick he won the Long Distance Cup back at Ascot, defying fears over the soft ground in the process.

The Weatherbys Hamilton Stayers' Million is again going to be his big aim this year and he must put his best foot forward in order to keep the dream alive. For that reason Gosden is sticking with a tried and tested method of coming straight to York and his team are in sparkling for right now, with a 26 per-cent strike rate over the fortnight leading into the Dante Festival at York.

He's the one to beat with last year's runner-up Desert Skyline amongst the 11 rivals he can face here.

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Dee Ex Bee win and each-way @ 7/1 BET NOW

The one that stands out most amongst the opposition is the Mark Johnston-trained four-year-old Dee Ex Bee, last year's Epsom Derby bridesmaid.

Typically for the yard, he made light of a step up in distance when winning the Sagaro Stakes on his reappearance at Ascot on this comeback this month. Things didn't quite pan out for him after his Classic second last summer but he marked himself down as a stayer to be feared with that recent win.

There was a clear glint in his trainer's eye when he talked afterwards of having just this type of four-year-old in the yard with which to go to war in the staying division.

Johnston clearly thinks a lot of Dee Ex Bee and he might well prove a fly in the ointment for the champion. At worst, this should be the first of a summer series of stamina battles between Stradivarius and his younger rival, both of which will feature heavily amongst the Yorkshire Cup 2019 Betting Tips this week.

Ispolini win and each-way @ 8/1 BET NOW

Amongst the possible outsiders worth noting is Charlie Appleby's Ispolini. Ballydoyle duo Southern France and Capri are seemingly going to be staying in Ireland so there could be some value in looking elsewhere before the final declarations are through, with Ispolini a fair offering at latest Yorkshire Cup 2019 Odds.

The four-year-old Dubawi gelding hasn't raced on British turf since finishing four-lengths fourth behind Young Rascal in the Chester Vase last May. 2019 has already been productive, with two wins in four starts over in Dubai including a Group 3 Meydan success over 1m6f and a credible second over the same trip behind Cross Counter on World Cup night.

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Mr Fixit
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Oddschanger.com started in 2012 and provide betting tips and previews on over 10 different sports. They don’t just focus on the most popular Football and Horse Racing events, they provide tips from a wide variety of sports including; Golf, Tennis, Cricket, NFL, Boxing, MMA, Darts, Snooker, Rugby League and Rugby Union. Oddschanger´s daily bets (including trebles, long shots and challenge bets) brings you the best value for every sport, every day.

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Accutipster
Accutipster.com is an informative betting website with writers that cover a variety of sports looking to find the best value possible in markets spread across Europe, and in terms of International football or NFL – the world. On a day-to-day basis, Accutipster pick out a selection of bets – with the aim of winning more than they lose.

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