Free betting tips and previews
Here you will find free betting tips and previews from the hottest betting experts online collected and compiled in one place. Same as in the Tiltbet betting app on AppStore.
Here you will find free betting tips and previews from the hottest betting experts online collected and compiled in one place. Same as in the Tiltbet betting app on AppStore.
The Citizens are the reigning champions of England and they are being heavily backed to go and successfully defend their title. With manager Pep Guardiola firmly embedded at the club now they look to have everything in place to stay on top of the English game for some time to come. There doesn’t appear to be any let up in the intensity of their ambition to claim more titles either and picked up the Community Shield against Chelsea ahead of the new domestic season.
It was just all so easy for the Citizens last season as they broke records all over the place in the Premier League. They amassed a tally of 100 points and fired off 106 goals in their 38 games as well. They ended up with a W32 D4 L2 record and you just can’t argue with that kind of force. They finished 19 points clear of second-placed Manchester United and that is just a gap in quality which is going to be so difficult for any side to close this season. City are 4/6 odds on favourites to win the Premier League again* (betting odds taken from August 6th, 2018 at 8:57 pm).
The Citizens added Riyad Mahrez to their ranks over the summer for extra support in terms of creativity. That is something which is going to be important because teams have had a good look at how Many City managed to open them up so easily last season and will look to plug those holes in going up against them again. So City may have to find that extra touch of creativity, rely on those individual moments of brilliance from players even more this season with teams setting up more defensively against them.
There’s just no feasible way for teams to contain them, as the only times they looked vulnerable last season was when teams, notably Liverpool, came out and challenged them by pressing them high. That’s a risky game though and one that is so tough to pull off against City for 90 minutes. They just look as if they are doing things with consummate ease and they clearly have an abundance of depth and they are looking to continuously grow as well.
Man City 4/6
Man Utd 7/1
* (betting odds taken from August 6th, 2018 at 8:57 pm)
Not only will they have their ambitions on the domestic front but they will driving forth on their quest to get the Champions League title under their belt as well. But because of the depth that they have and some good additions in the transfer market during 2018, they should be able to handle themselves more than adequately. It’s just so hard seeing anyone get themselves close enough to the Citizens and of course, they have an abundance of individual strike power. Sergio Aguero is at 6/1 odds in the Premier League Top Goalscorer market* (betting odds taken from August 6th, 2018 at 8:57 pm) for the 2018/19 season while he has so many teammates around him to chip in like Gabriel Jesus and Raheem Sterling. It’s an embarrassment of attacking riches really. Without question, they are the obvious ones to beat. We don’t see anyone doing so.
Manchester City start their title defence with a great fixture as they head out on the road to visit Arsenal. That should be a thoroughly entertaining affair at the Emirates and Man City strolled to a 3-0 win there last season. They can be backed at even money odds* (betting odds taken from August 6th, 2018 at 8:57 pm) to get the win there in that opener, a nice price for the away side to be taken at. So that is the start that they have and following that they will be expected to go on a tear.
Their next six matches sees them with what should be a very comfortable run of fixtures against sides who are largely expected to finish in the bottom half of the table. They take on all three newly promoted teams in that sequence. Things start getting tricky around October and November when they face Liverpool, Spurs and Man United in a sequence of six games. The Citizens won’t be unhappy with their end of season run in either. They only meet one of the other big six in their final seven matches for the season, which is Tottenham on April 20th and that is on home soil.
The two Manchester derby dates against their rivals Man Utd are at home on November 10th and then at Old Trafford on March 16th.
Everything looks pretty manageable for the Citizens. Get the Arsenal game out of the way and they have a great run of fixtures early in the season which will allow them to build up a strong head of steam so they could get themselves off to a positive flyer. The same down the back stretch really because they shouldn’t be feeling too much pressure with the fixtures ahead.
There’s no way to oppose Man City really in the title race but because we do predict Liverpool to be the closest to them a Man City/Liverpool Straight Forecast is at 10/3 odds with bet365* (betting odds taken from August 6th, 2018 at 8:57 pm) does appeal.
A day after the Phillies and Diamondbacks went deep into extra innings, they’ll do it all over again at Chase Field in Phoenix. The Dodgers and Diamondbacks keep trading blows, with neither able to pull away in the NL West. Then quietly lurking behind them are the Colorado Rockies who might just have the D-Backs and Dodgers wondering what the heck happened at the end of the regular season.
Armed with a talent like Nolan Noreando, it’s not too wise to count them out just yet. The Diamondbacks won the marathon last night in the 14th inning, 3-2. It gives the D-Backs a small cushion in the division but doesn’t settle much thus far. The Dodgers could take it right back and be up by a couple of games by the end of the week. There is still a lot of baseball left to be played. The Giants certainly did themselves no favors by choking away a win last night, though.
Meanwhile, the Phillies are neck and neck as well. They’re in a heated battle with the Braves for 1st out east in the NL East. The Nationals are trading sideways, as they continue to sit around 5 games back of 1st. They still have a chance, but there’s going to come a time where they are really going to have to turn it up.
Bryce Harper and the offense has been playing better, but they still have to deal with a rotation that is without Stephen Strasburg. Strasburg came back and then proceeded to get bombed. It was a quick stay for him as he went back on the DL. The Phillies were playing great baseball before their five-game winning streak was snapped last night. They have a challenge this evening as Zack Greinke takes the bump. The Phillies are scheduled to counter with Nick Pivetta. Get our free Phillies vs. Diamondbacks pick below.
For a minute, there was doubt whether signing Greinke to a monster contract was worth it. After all, he finished with an ERA of 4.37 in 2016. Those numbers do not reflect the contract he signed. Even last year and his 3.20 ERA, more was expected from him. He was coming off a Cy Young year and 1.66 ERA in 2015. In other words, Greinke had lofty expectations.
At the beginning of 2018, there was more question marks surrounding him. He allowed 4 or more runs in three of his first five starts. That isn’t going to get it done. However, he’s hit a switch lately and been mowing hitters down. His ERA has dipped below 3.00 and he hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs since June 18th, nearly two months ago. Greinke enters with an ERA of 1.71 in his last three starts. He is also sporting a 0.67 WHIP and .187. Further, Greinke has been more productive at home with an ERA of 2.44 and 0.98 WHIP.
Pivetta comes into Arizona with an ERA of 5.71 in his last three outings. He was expected to make progress after taking his lumps with a 6.02 ERA as a rookie. The Phillies left him out there and gave him 26 starts. They could have sent him to the minors, but he got some valuable experience. Pivetta has been better but still has some work to do. He enters tonight with an ERA of 5.63, 1.49 WHIP, and .351 OBA on the road. It’s only 9-bats, but the Diamondbacks have done well against Pivetta, touching him up for a .444 batting average and .500 OBP. The price in this game doesn’t look too impressive at first glance, but Greinke at home with a price below -170 is difficult to pass up.
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Hibernian v Molde Betting Preview – UEFA Europa League 9th August 7.45pm
Hibs have been involved in some thrilling encounters right from the very start of Europa League qualification this season. They have made it through to this third qualifying round now and should be in pretty high spirits with their attack working so well. They opened the new Premiership season with positive results on the weekend too. Norwegian side Molde are entering into the qualification process at this stage for the season.
It has been an exciting ride from Hibs so far in Europe. They started with a 12-5 aggregate win over NSI Runavik in the first qualifying round, and there was some stress and tension to follow in the second qualifying round. Hibs fought back from 2-0 down at home to land a 3-2 win in the first leg of their duel with Asteras and then hung on for a 1-1 draw away in the second leg, knowing that conceding one more goal would have knocked them out. So they managed to hang in there and hold their nerve and the way that Hibs are going in front of goal, we can look at over 2.5 goals with bet365 at 39/40 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 5th, 2018 at 11:02 p.m.) for our Hibernian v Molde betting odds. Hibs produced a 3-0 win over Motherwell on the weekend in their opening fixture of the new Premiership season so they have returned at least three goals in four of their five games played this season. Granted defensively they haven’t looked great.
Molde are half way through their domestic league season, which started back in March. So they should have that extra advantage of being more settled and match sharp. Just like Hibs, they entered at the first qualifying stage of the Europa League this season where they beat Glenavon on aggregate having lost the first leg away from home. It was an easier ride for them in the second qualifying round as they beat out KF Laci 5-0 on aggregate. So they have been producing well in front of goals as well and both teams to score is at 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 5th, 2018 at 11:02 p.m.).
This is their first time back in Europe since the 2015/16 Champions League qualifiers where they lost in the third round and dropped to the playoff round of the Europa League. They beat Standard Liege there to get through to the group stage of the tournament and went on to win their group there ahead of Fenerbahce, Ajax and Celtic. They couldn’t make it past the round of 32 tough as they were stopped by Sevilla. But they have lost two of their last three European away games though. Each of their last nine European qualification ties have produced at least four goals over the two legs.
This will be the first meeting between Hibs and Molde.
* (Betting Odds were taken from August 5th, 2018 at 11:02 p.m.)
Hibs should have enough on home soil because they are producing well in front of goal in the early part of the season. However, their defence does look a bit of liability at the moment and therefore a Hibs to win & Both Teams To Score options looks solid for our Hibs v Molde prediction.
Istanbul Buyuksehir v Burnley Betting Preview – UEFA Europa League 9th August 7.00pm
Burnley’s reward for having gotten past Aberdeen in the last round is a trip to Turkey for the first leg of their third qualifying round tie in the UEFA Europa League. It was a tough battle that the Clarets had on their hands against Aberdeen and are going to need to be on their toes in this tricky away game. The Turkish outfit were the third-place finishers in the Super Lig la season and they make their entry into qualifying at this stage.
This is the third straight season that Istanbul Buyuksehir have been in European qualification. Last season they entered the third qualifying stage of the UEFA Champions League and did get past Club Brugge before losing in the playoff round to Seville 3-4 on aggregate. That means they dropped to the group stage of the Europa League where they finished third with a W2 D2 L2 record. That was their best ever performance in Europe. In the 2015/16 Europa League qualifiers they entered and exited at the third qualifying stage.
A season later they did get past the third qualifying round before losing to Shakhtar Donetsk in the playoff round So there’s a bit of a threat there for Burnley. The Turkish outfit are unbeaten in their last three European home games (W1 D2). This is a game which is probably worth backing to finish under 2.5 goals and that option can be taken at 27/40 at bet365* (Betting Odds were taken from August 5th, 2018 at 11:02 p.m.). This will be the first game of their new season but they did have a busy month of July with friendly games, the most notable being their 1-1 draw with Bayern Leverkusen back on the 18th.
Burnley had a really tough battle against Aberdeen in the last qualifying round. After a 1-1 draw at Pittodrie in the first round, they needed extra time back at Turf Moor to seal the deal, finally posting a 3-1 win after another 1-1 draw at 90 minutes with the Dons. So they are going to have to improve but of course, this is still early season. You don’t expect Burnley to give up many goals and both teams not to score in this fixture has to be worth a flutter at 8/11 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 5th, 2018 at 11:02 p.m.).
This is going to be a bit of a test of the Burnley character because they will know that they can’t afford to lose heavily on the road because they don’t boast a lot of firepower themselves to turn the tie back around. So this may not be a pretty game from the Clarets, they will just have to dig in there and stay in the tie. There was the usual grit and character from them against Aberdeen but it has to be said, the quality was a bit lacking.
Burnley and Istanbul Buyuksehir have never met before.
İstanbul Büyükşehir 4/5
(Betting Odds were taken from August 5th, 2018 at 11:02 p.m.)
A difficult away game for Burnley who are going to be entering some kind of unknown territory here. They will bank on their game plan and tough defence to get them through, but we are going with the value of the Turks, who did alright in Europe last season, to bank a win by a goal margin on home soil.
I TIPPED up Billericay as my main antepost last week and have been following their dealings and growth over the last few months. They have established a really impressive squad who will take some beating this campaign.
One of the few sides who may come close are local rivals Concord who play out of Canvey Island and who, themselves, have assembled a host of ‘localised’ stars from the Essex and surrounding area under the watchful eye of new gaffer Sammy Moore who has built a new look side over the summer.
Players of a decent pedigree for both sides will be on show including a certain Billy Knott who Bradford, Lincoln and even Chelsea (Youth) fans may remember and it looks like Concord will give the hosts a tough game – it will likely be one of the few matches that I wouldn’t confidently tip Billericay goals and an emphatic win with so much lower league talent on show.
I’m taking both teams to find the net in what could be a cracker of a game:
There has been plenty of talk about the Oakland Athletics and their recent surge in the American League. They’ve trekked all the way back to overtake the Mariners for the final wildcard. Not too long ago the A’s were 11 games back of the Mariners, and now and trying to pull away from them. While they’ve been good, there have been doubts that they can compete with the big boys of baseball.
They will have an opportunity to prove that against the Dodgers on Tuesday night in front of a home crowd. The Dodgers narrowly avoided a sweep by the Astros as they earned a tight 3-2 win on Sunday. The day before the scene was totally different, with the ‘Stros taking a beating by a score of 14-0. If you were to just look at the score, you maybe would have thought it was a preseason football score between the Texans and Rams. A 14-0 final sounds like it could be a Texans’ preseason game, so it could have made for some confusion. But no, that was just the Dodgers getting reamed.
The Dodgers needed to salvage the series with a win and that’s what they did, though. Walker Buehler was able to outduel Gerrit Cole and turn it into a 1-run win for the Dodgers. With the win, the Dodgers kept pace with the Diamondbacks at 62-51. As I write this, the Diamondbacks are currently in extras against the Phillies. It’s anyone’s at this point without much room for error. Also, the wildcard isn’t a sure thing either. The D-Backs likely aren’t going to go away, so the Dodgers must be sharp or risk missing out with a stacked lineup. Rich Hill who seems to have avoided the blister issue has been pitching well for the Dodgers. He started out cold but has really done a fine job to fight back in 2018. Sean Manaea will counter for the Athletics. Head below for our free Dodgers vs. Athletics pick.
It’s been a solid season for Sean Manaea, who in his third-year as a major league pitcher, is having his best campaign yet. Manaea enters with an ERA of 3.38, an improvement from 4.37 in 2017. When the A’s traded Sonny Gray to the Yankees, they were hoping that someone in the rotation would take on a bigger role. Manaea has answered the call and has served the A’s well as their top guy in the rotation. They’ve also gotten surprise production out of Edwin Jackson. Oakland also just bolstered their rotation with the addition of Mike Fiers from the Tigers. Fiers is having his best year yet, but we’ll see if the production translates in Oakland as well.
The Dodgers have clobbered Manaea in his career, though. They’re hitting .357 with a .400 OBP in 28 at-bats. Just about everyone that has had some at-bats against Manaea on the Dodgers roster is hitting above .300. In his last meeting against the Dodgers, he took a 4-0 loss in April. Rich Hill was getting clobbered to open the season, but it appears that it was mainly due to pitching with a blister. He’s been on fire recently, as he goes into Oakland with an ERA of 0.95 and 1.05 WHIP in his previous three outings. He also hasn’t allowed more than 1 run per start since July 10th. Hill has also been better on the road with a 3.09 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. I favor the Dodgers in what should be an entertaining matchup in Oakland.
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The Boston Red Sox, fresh off a sweep of the New York Yankees, will head to Toronto with a whopping 9.5 game lead in the American League East. The Yankees currently have a game pending against the White Sox, so that could be slightly less by the time you read this, but still. Can we stick a fork in the Yankees? At least in the division race against the Red Sox, I believe that we can. 9.5 games is way too much to overcome, even without considering the team they have to do it against.
The attention for the Yankees is going to turn to the wildcard. While it’d be a disaster if they don’t even catch a wildcard spot, that isn’t for certain at this juncture. They only have a 2.5 game cushion and the Athletics are closing in on stealing homefield from them. Playing at home is awfully important in a one-game format.
Anything can happen, but playing in a do-or-die situation at home can be the difference. The A’s are playing with all of the confidence and energy in the world, and the Yanks are playing lazy, sloppy baseball. Blowing a 4-1 lead to the Red Sox on Sunday night was the breaking point for some people. Aaron Judge completely changes the dynamic of the Yankees’ lineup.
They just have to survive and not lose the wildcard with him out. Judge hasn’t swung a bat yet since breaking his wrist, but is expected to do so shortly. A fractured wrist, even when it’s healed up enough for a hitter to return, can linger longer. The Yankees need a healthy Judge, especially with their questionable rotation, to be playing at optimal health. Meanwhile, the Red Sox keep padding their wins and leaving the Yankees way behind. Marcus Stroman will hope to get his stuff together tonight against the hot Red Sox. Get our free Red Sox vs. Blue Jays pick below.
Drew Pomeranz came back to Red Sox fans holding their breathe. The Red Sox haven’t needed Pomeranz to pitch like he was in 2016 and 2017, but it would be a nice luxury to have. Before hitting the DL in May, Pomeranz was getting rocked. When he came back to the majors, the same issues he had with long balls in the minors during his rehab stint hurt him here.
His velocity was way down, as he was topping out at 88mph on the gun. The Orioles got to him for 6 hits and 4 runs in 4.2 innings. It was a rare 7-6 loss to a bad team for the Red Sox. He responded with a nice outing against the Phils, as he allowed 2 runs across 5 innings. His velocity was still down, though. Nevertheless, it was the first time in five starts that he allowed less than 4 runs. Justin Smoak, Teoscar Hernandez, and Luke Maile have all made it look easy against Pomeranz with batting averages of .417, .500, and .400. The Jays own a .346 OBP against Pomeranz as a team.
It likely isn’t going to mean much if Stroman can’t limit the best offense in baseball, though. The Red Sox are averaging 5.31 runs per game for 1st in the major leagues. Boston hitters have done a fine job against Stroman, with a .305 batting average and .341 OBP in 174 at-bats. Stroman is coming off an iffy start against the A’s where he got lit up for 11 hits and 7 runs in Oakland.
He’s been worse at home though, with a 6.09 ERA and .331 OBA. The Blue Jays best plan of winning this game might be with attacking Pomeranz. It’s going to be tough for Stroman to navigate around this Boston offense. There should be some runs tonight at the Rogers Centre. A play on the OVER looks solid.
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It has been something of an unsettled summer for Manchester United it appears. Jose Mourinho seems to be more and more embattled and embittered and there has been little from them in the summer transfer market to suggest that they are going to step it up in their challenge for the Premier League title against rivals Manchester City.
Last season it was a matter of function over style from Mourinho’s men and it did get them a successful second place finish, so they were the best of the rest behind runaway titlists Man City. United are third favourites to win the Premier League outright at 7/1 odds* (betting odds taken from August 2nd, 2018 at 6:19 pm).
That is down Mourinho and that’s something that can’t be denied, even if the style is lacking. The Red Devils produced a very strong home record for the season last erm, winning fifteen of their nineteen fixtures at Old Trafford and one of the two losses suffered there was against the Citizens. So there was no complaints in terms of results and with the brilliance of David de Gea between the sticks, they conceded just the nine goals at Old Trafford all season in the top flight.
But it was the lack of flair and creativity that they were criticised most for. They are 5/2 in the Premier League without Man City betting market, behind only Liverpool* (betting odds taken from August 2nd, 2018 at 6:19 pm).
Their big players like Paul Pogba, Alexis Sanchez and to an extent Marcus Rashford never really got the chance to flourish like they could because of tactics. It’s unlikely that Mourinho is going to open up on the style of play, that’s not his way. So we can expect more of the same and their big summer signing at the time of writing has been midfielder Fred, who has been brought in primarily to add some steel at the base of the midfield which is designed to allow Pogba to flourish a bit more going forward. But they had players in that exact role last season and it didn’t free up the Frenchman.
So the jury is still out a bit in terms of what Manchester United will be able to bring to the table in order to try and reel in Manchester City who finished 19 points clear of them at the top of the table. That’s an enormous gap to make up. They have their big goalscoring asset in Romelu Lukaku who is at 8/1 odds with bet365* (betting odds taken from August 2nd, 2018 at 6:19 pm) to finish as the Premier League’s top goal scorer for the 2018/19 season.
Manchester United were pretty busy over the pre-season but failed to really post positive results, but as a disgruntled Mourinho was quick to point out, he had basically his second string with his pre-season preparations disrupted because of the World Cup.
Manchester City 4/6
Man Utd 7/1
* (betting odds taken from bet365 on August 2nd, 2018 at 6:19 pm)
The Red Devils host Leicester in the opening fixture of the new Premier League season. That is a Friday night kick off on August 10th, which is one to watch out for. Manchester United are 9/20 odds-on favourites at Old Trafford for maximum points out of the game* (betting odds taken from August 2nd, 2018 at 6:19 pm). Manchester United do appear to have a comfortable opening sequence of fixtures. The only other top-six side that they meet in their first eight games will be Spurs at the end of August and that one is at Old Trafford.
The back end of the season is pretty much the same for United as well because they face just one other top-six side in their final seven matches of the season. So that’s a nice run in which should help them to secure a top-four finish. Their big game within that sequence is the hosting of Chelsea on April 27th. The two key derby dates against Manchester City happen on 10th November at the Etihad and then on 16th March at Old Trafford.
You know what you are going to get from Manchester United and we can see the strengths of Mourinho’s approach to the game, even it’s not the most fan-friendly, getting them a top-four finish again. If you wanted to push that on there is a price of 10/11 on a Top Three Finish in the Premier League* (betting odds taken from August 2nd, 2018 at 6:19 pm) for the Red Devils next season. That will be the minimum from them in terms of success.
The next golf major of the season is already here, hot on the back of The Open Championship. This year’s PGA Championship is being hosted at Bellerive Country Club in Missouri. This will be the second time that the course has hosted the PGA Championship. This will be the last time that the PGA Championship will be hosted this late in the year as from 2019 it will be moving up to May.
This year’s tournament is a par 70 at 7,329 yards with a field of 156 players and the winner will walk away with almost a $2 million prize. The reigning champion is Justin Thomas who is right up near the head of the market at 14/1 odds with bet365* (betting odds taken on July 6th, 2018 at 7:42 pm) and he had a pretty good warm-up ahead of his title defence by winning the Bridgestone.
Here are our PGA Championship 2018 predictions.
Dustin Johnson 8/1
Rory McIlroy 12/1
Justin Thomas 14/1
Brooks Koepka 20/1
Jason Day 20/1
Justin Rose 22/1
Rickie Fowler 22/1
Jordan Spieth 22/1
Jon Rahm 25/1
Tiger Woods 25/1
Tommy Fleetwood 28/1
Francesco Molinari 30/1
Patrick Reed 40/1
Tony Finau 40/1
Patrick Cantlay 40/1
Henrik Stenson 45/1
Marc Leishman 55/1
* (betting odds taken on July 6th, 2018 at 7:42 pm)
He took a T13 at the 2017 PGA Championship and heads up the market for this year’s renewal. Johnson has a pretty strong record at the tournament as well with four top ten finishes from eight previous attempts. His best ever finish was a T5 at the 2010 edition but he is generally just so strong and consistent in the major events that he is going to draw a lot of appeal, despite the short price. Johnson goes into Bellerive on the back of a T3 at the WGC Bridgestone and that was on the back of the win at the Canadian Open so he is bang in form at the moment.
McIlroy is another one who is ticking over in some pretty solid form and so nearly got himself to The Open title recently. He ended up second there with four solid days and with another strong performance behind him at the WGC Bridgestone then he should be pretty dialled in. This is a tournament which McIlroy has won twice before, in 2012 and 2014 and he has three other top ten finish at the even besides those victories. He has only missed the cut once in nine previous PGA Championship quests. McIlroy is a 6/4 price at bet365* (betting odds taken on July 6th, 2018 at 7:42 pm) to land a top ten finish but opposers will question his short game at the moment.
The reigning PGA Championship holder couldn’t have had a better warm up. He stormed his way to the Bridgestone title over the weekend with a four-stroke victory. Last year’s success at the PGA Championship was his first and only Major title so far and after a T17 at the Masters and a T25 at the US Open this year, he will go to the tournament after another missed cut at The Open. But his response at Firestone was tremendous and as he will be in a group with Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy then there’s every expectancy that he will turn up with his game-head on. After his breakout year in 2017, he has the chance to build.
The American has produced some strong finishes since May, starting with his second place at the Fort Worth Invitation. He landed the big US Open title in mid-June and over the weekend came home 5th at Bridgestone. So the potential is there for him to make a decent fist of this. He will certainly have more appeal than the likes of Justin Rose who has had a back problem, Jordan Spieth who isn’t there with his form and Rickie Fowler who keeps on missing at the Majors. Koepka took at T5 at the 2015 PGA Championship and then a T4 in 2016 so has a decent track record at the event. For sure he looks some value at 4/1 for a top-five finish* (betting odds taken on July 6th, 2018 at 7:42 pm).
Dustin Johnson evens
Rory McIlroy 6/4
Justin Thomas 6/4
Justin Rose 9/4
Jordan Spieth 5/2
Brooks Koepka 9/4
Rickie Fowler 5/2
Jon Rahm 11/4
Jason Day 9/4
Tiger Woods 3/1
Francesco Molinari 11/4
Tony Finau 7/2
Patrick Reed 7/2
Paul Casy 7/2
Henrik Stenson 7/2
Alex Noren 9/2
Patrick Cantlay 4/1
Xander Schauffele 11/2
Hideki Matsuyama 5/1
* (betting odds taken on July 6th, 2018 at 7:42 pm)
Ten of the last 12 major titles have now gone to a first-time winner. The last three PGA Championship winners have all be first timers, culminating in Thomas last season so there is a bit of a trend there to look outside those who have won one of golf’s biggest prizes during their career. It appears to be the easiest of the Majors at which players can break their duck.
So looking at that a little more you could look at someone with a big price and just think back a year ago because Thomas was at 50/1 ahead of the tournament. The year before that Jimmy Walker won it from around 200/1 pre-tournament. But don’t go too big perhaps as every single major since 2012 has been won by a player sitting inside the current top fifty in the world.
You are also likely going to be wanting to look at a player who has previously won a tournament as well. All but three of the last US PGA winners had previously won a tournament during that year before picking up the Major. There does appear to be a bit of a value in looking for a player who had a strong performance in their final tournament prior to the PGA Tour as well. Looking at Firestone particularly, all but two of the last six winners of the PGA Championship were in contention at Firestone in the week prior to picking up the US PGA title.
Of the lot we like the look of Thomas, who has successfully defended a title before, albeit not a Major of course. However, title defences specifically at the US PGA have been rare (with only Tiger Woods having done it) so we are just going to have to look past him. He’s worth a small bet, but nothing big we feel.
Dustin Johnson ticks a lot of boxes with his current form but the price on him doesn’t offer a lot but still, those two do look to be the ones to beat this week. We are going to take a look at a solid performance at Firestone coupled with a top-fifty and current form. Along with a seeker of a first Major.
So with that in mind, we like the look of Tommy Fleetwood who has had such a good year and is nicely set at 28/1 odds* (betting odds taken on July 6th, 2018 at 7:42 pm).
As a long shot you have Thorbjorn Olesen who powered his way impressively to a T3 at Firestone on the back of a T12 at The Open and is a big 70/1 shot* (betting odds taken on July 6th, 2018 at 7:42 pm) but perhaps worth a little flutter.
He is outside of the top-fifty ranking though. The final one we will look at is Tony Finau who has the distinction of being the only player to have landed top-ten finishes at each of this season’s Major while Xander Schauffele has had top-six finishes at the last two Majors.
Rangers v NK Maribor Betting Preview – UEFA Europa League 9th August 7.45pm
Rangers are still looking for an extra edge going forward as that is something which has been missing from them. They are now at the third qualifying round stage of this season’s Europa League though and they get a tough tie now against Maribor. The Slovenian side also started at the first qualifying round like Rangers did and much like the Gers, have shown a lot of defensive strengths. This should be tight.
Rangers conceded late to settle for a 1-1 draw with Aberdeen on the weekend, in their first game of the new Scottish Premiership season. That was actually their fifth game of the season though as they have been plodding through the Europa League qualifiers. In the first qualifying round, Rangers beat Shkupi 2-0 on aggregate, before getting past Osijek 2-1 in the second qualifying round. It has all been tight for Rangers though, who have come up with only the three goals in their last four games now.
Their defence has been solid with three clean sheets in five games though and their strengths are at the back, not so much going forward. Under 2.5 goals is at 29/40 with bet365* (Betting Odds were taken from August 5th, 2018 at 11:02 p.m.) for this one. If you were looking at Rangers getting a home win in this first leg, then there is a temptation to back them to do it to nil. Frankly, they are going to have to show some initiative in his one because they will have a tough away game to follow and don’t want to be chasing for goals.
Maribor saw off Partizani Tirana 3-1 on aggregate in the first qualifying round of this season’s Europa League and then beat Rudar Velenje 2-0 on aggregate. They have completed three games for their new domestic season too. So far really the stand out performers in goalscoring for them this season have been Luka Zahovic and Jasmin Mesanovic which are ones to look out for in the anytime goalscorer market perhaps. Of the five games played they have taken four clean sheets so the comparisons with Rangers are there.
In the bet365 correct score market you are looking at a price of 15/2 on the 0-0 cropping up while a Rangers 1-0, given they are on home soil is at 11/2* (Betting Odds were taken from August 5th, 2018 at 11:02 p.m.). So the Slovenians look decent enough at the back which could be a problem for Rangers’ lightweight attack. But this will also be Maribor’s toughest game so far. Last season they were in the Champions League qualifiers and made it to the group stage posting a W4 D4 L4 record in their European campaign. Their last Europa League campaign was ended at the playoff qualifying round in 2016/17.
Rangers and Maribor have met before. In the 2001/02 they were paired up in the Champions League and Rangers won both games comfortably, scoring exactly three goals in each. Then it was in the 2011 Europa League that they next met up with Maribor winning through 3-1 on aggregate on that occasion.
* (Betting Odds were taken from August 5th, 2018 at 11:02 p.m.)
This is a tight game to call because they look to be shaping up in pretty similar fashion to each other. The Gers really have to get something on the board in this tie and we are just going to back them to edge their way through the first leg and a 1-0 correct score in their favour appeals.
Celtic v AEK Athens Betting Preview – UEFA Champions League 8th August 7.45pm
Celtic are just two steps from reaching the main draw of the UEFA Champions League. After starting in the first qualifying round, they now take on Greek Super League Champions AEK Athens in this third qualifying round tie. There will be pressure on Celtic to deliver a positive result at home in the first leg. The Greeks are entering qualification at this stage.
It has all been tidy enough from Celtic so far this season after starting in the first qualifying round off the UEFA Champions League. They beat Alashkert 6-0 on aggregate to open with them and collected a 3-1 aggregate success over Rosenborg in the last round. They started their title defence in the Scottish Premiership on the weekend as well with a win over Livingston and it means that in their three home games, they have scored exactly three in each of them. It is probably worth having a punt under 2.5 goals at bet365 for 3/5 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 5th, 2018 at 11:02 p.m.) though for this game as Athens will be the toughest opponent they have faced so far.
The Greeks have not been scoring well in pre-season. But the thing is, Celtic can make life easy for themselves in the tie if they come out and push hard to make the most of home advantage. Ousmane Edouard seems to have settled well at the club with three goals in his last two appearances at Celtic Park and as he is going to be a decent option in the anytime goalscorer market. Celtic are targeting their third straight appearance in the group stage of the Champions League.
The Greek champions are starting fresh in this game then, as this is their first competitive game of the new season. So advantage in terms of match sharpness should be with Celtic. They have of course been going through the regular pre-season fare but have posted just a W1 D2 L1 record from their four games and they failed to score in three of those. Their last competitive game was back in May when they lost to Panathinaikos in the Greek Super Cup Final.
Last season the Greeks entered at the third qualifying round stage of the Champions League where they lost out to CSKA Moscow and then dropped to the playoff round of the Europa League. They beat Club Brugge to make it to the group stage of the competition and qualified from their group too before getting knocked out in the round of 32. AEK Athens failed to score in seven of their twelve European games last season. Both teams not to score at bet365 is at 4/6 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 5th, 2018 at 11:02 p.m.). AEK Athens have won just one of their last eight European away games (D5 L2) and have failed to score in six of their last seven.
This will be the first competitive meeting between Celtic and AEK Athens.
AEK Athens 15/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from August 5th, 2018 at 11:02 p.m.)
This will be a test for Celtic but they are pretty reliable on home soil and have looked to be shaping up well enough this season. We are backing the Scottish Champions to go and get a win and it worth pushing for it to be to nil as well.
THERE are seven Champions League qualifiers on Tuesday as sides size up a place in the play-off round.
I’ve picked out a treble and start with Malmo to beat Vidi and posisbly set up another meeting with Celtic in the play-off round.
Malmo are in good form with seven wins and two draws in their last nine. They cruised past Drita then edged to victory over Cluj in the first two rounds and are much more experienced at this level than the Hungarians (formerly known as Videoton).
Vidi has a first-round bye then surprised Bulgarian champs Ludogerets 1-0 on on aggregate. That was a good scalp but Ludo were undercooker while Malmo have played plenty of competitive matches recently. The Swedes are a bit short but should win.
Add Qarabag at home to BATE. The Azerbaijans have developed a reputation of being tough to beat at home and in 11 CL qualifiers are unbeaten with just two goals conceded. It’s a fine record and I can see them winning 1-0 or 2-0 against a BATE side don’t score many on the road.
Complete the treble with over 2.5 goals at Standard Liege v Ajax. Both sides have a tendency to concede and while the Dutch are favourites to progress goals could be the way to go.
Ajax are desperate to return to the biggest stage after four successful failures and started well with a 5-1 aggregate win against Sturn Graz.
In the early game I fancy both to score at Astana v Dinamo Zagreb and other bets to consider are home wins for Red Star Belgrade against Spartak Trnava and Benfica against Fenerbahce.
IT’S the start of a busy week with the latest round of Champions League qualifiers taking centre stage.
There are also two games in the English Championship and while stats don’t really back it up the best bets could be both to score after just one of 24 teams (QPR) failed to net on the opening weekend.
Again the English games look tough to call with a draw a possibility at Nottm Forest v West Brom while Middlesbrough could edge out Sheffield United.
I’ve picked out a treble from the Champions League and the reasoning is on a separate Champions League post.
Well done to all the winners last night including HullShaker and nathan and check out previews for Tuesday game from some of our contributors. We asked for match previews and there was a good response with the first ones up now.
August Advised Super Singles: +2.2pts
August Advised Accas: -0.5pts
This month’s football partner at MrFixitsTips is BetBright. They’ve a great welcome offer where you can claim up to £50 to play with when you deposit £10 upon opening a new acount. 18+. T&Cs apply. New customers only.
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UEFA Champions League Qualifying. Kick-off: Tuesday 7th August 6:00pm.
THE journey to the promised land of the champions league group stages continues again this midweek with the 3rd qualifying round fixture between Azerbaijan champions Qarabag and the champions of Belarus BATE Borisov.
The fixtures are getting tougher for all after this year’s shake up of the competition and will only get tougher with the winner of this tie facing Dutch giants PSV Eindhiven in the playoff round. Both sides have their own credentials though with both having experience of the group stages, BATE being group regulars between 2008 and 2015 and looking to end a 3 year wait to get back into the groups and Qarabag being in the groups only last year facing the likes of Roma, Chelsea and Atletico Madrid, who they held 0-0 at home.
The hosts don’t kick off their domestic season until this weekend but have played two qualifiers to get to this stage beating Slovenians Olimpija Ljubljana and Kukesi of Albania and it is worth noting that they have yet to concede a goal in the qualifiers.
In their domestic league last season they only lost one match at home and conceded 4 in 14 home matches.
Over the full season they averaged 1.79 goals per match and a massive 22/28 of their matches went under 2.5 goals. Qarabag are a well organised side who probably rely on their home form and are unbeaten in 11 champions league qualifiers at home (6 wins and 5 draws) whilst only conceding twice in those 11 matches.
Their overall champions league home record is also very good having only lost 2 of 14 and those were to Chelsea and Roma in last year’s group stages. 6 out of their last 8 matches in the competition have went under 2.5 goals which included their group stage campaign last season, so they held their own defensively at home to the big boys.
Moving on to BATE and they have a potential advantage of being 17 games into their domestic season and currently sit 7 points clear at the top of their domestic league. Although they may be sharper or more match fit they have had one qualifier less than their opponents and beat a stuffy and well organised HJK Helsinki side 2-1 on aggregate with the win coming in Finland after a 0-0 draw at home but this was only their 2nd win in 20 away champions league matches and it looks like they suffer from the same travel sickness as Celtic do in Europe.
It looks like it is not only Europe where they suffer on their travels with 70% of their total goals conceded domestically last season coming away from home and that stat is currently exactly the same for the current campaign. They average 2.35 goals per match this season so far and 10/17 have went under 2.5 goals.
It is probably with no surprise that under 2.5 goals is best priced 1/2 (Boylesports) .
I expect Qarabag to take a low scoring lead to Belarus for the 2nd leg and will be extremely happy if they can keep a clean sheet also. Qarabag to win is best priced 23/20 (BetVictor) and a clean sheet is for the home side is tempting at 6/5 (Bet365).
Two first-place teams match up in Arizona today as the Philadelphia Phillies head to Arizona for game one of a three-game series with the Diamondbacks. The DBacks are coming off a four-game series split with the San Francisco Giants in their last series and are currently tied for first place with the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West. The Phillies come in hot as they have won five straight games, including a four-game sweep over the Miami Marlins in their last series and they hold a game and a half lead over the Atlanta Braves for first place in the NL East.
Starting for the Phillies tonight in game one is Jake Arrieta (9-6 3.32 ERA), and for the DBacks it is Zack Godley (12-6 4.46 ERA). The DBacks are -135 home favorites. The game total over-under is set at eight and a half runs. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM PST from Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona.
Jake Arrieta was brought in to be the ace of this Phillies team that had some big playoff aspirations coming into this season. Arrieta was quickly supplanted as the ace of the staff by young pitching sensation, Aaron Nola, but he has been a great number two this season for Philly and has them right in the mix for the playoffs. He has very inconsistent at times, but with an ERA in the low three-run range, he is still producing at an elite level most of the time.
Arrieta seems to be dialing it in as the Phillies close in on the division title. In July, Arrieta really shined as he made six starts, the Phillies won every game, and he went 4-0 with a 2.80 ERA. Arrieta has been there done that when it comes to making a push for a World Series title with his time playing for the Chicago Cubs, and he is carrying this team through the dog days of summer right now.
When you look at Arrieta’s season, he had one really bad month, June, where he went 0-4 with a 6.66 ERA. But besides that, he has been elite all season long. I am not sure what was in the water in Philly in June, but he was great before then, and has been great since then. Arrieta also loves pitching under the lights at night as his night game ERA is 2.80 in thirteen starts, compared to his daytime ERA of 4.17. That should come in handy tonight with a 6:40 PM PST start time.
Zack Godley really exploded onto the scene with the DBacks last season in his first full season as part of the Arizona rotation. He had a 3.37 ERA in twenty-five starts, and there was a lot of optimism about him coming into this year. But unfortunately for the DBacks, he has disappointed much of the year.
Godley’s ERA has been hovering above four runs all season long, and it currently sits at 4.46, not great for a National League pitcher, and over a full run worse than he performed last season. The strikeout numbers have been there for Godley, he has 130 Ks in 123 innings pitched this season. But he is walking far too many hitters. His walk rate jumped up from a career 3.1 per nine innings rate all the way up to 4.3 this season.
When you are giving out free passes all game long it is really hard to keep teams from scoring a bunch of runs. But, despite the fact that Godley hasn’t pitched that well this season, he is starting to really rack up the wins, as his twelve wins on the year are tied with Zack Greinke for the team lead. Godley has won seven out of his last eight decisions.
To me, this is a very close game. Both of these teams are very good and should end up playing in the postseason. I think Arrieta is clearly the better of the two starters. He is better overall, and he is pitching his best at the moment. Godley seems to win a lot, but this DBacks team is very inconsistent at the plate, so unless Godley starts pitching better, I expect this recent stretch of wins for him to stop.
Arrieta has one start against Arizona this season, and he pitched seven innings and allowed just one earned run, and he picked up the win for his effort. I expect a similar performance tonight out of the former Cy Young Award winner, and see the Phillies finding a way to win the game. It is just very rare that you get to back a team as good as this Phillies team is, with a starter as good as Arrieta is, and get this much dog money.
That is just too much value for me to pass up on tonight. The Phillies have had their struggles on the road this year, they are certainly a much better team at home. But when you look at Arizona’s splits, they aren’t all that good at home this season. The Diamondbacks actually have a significantly better road record than they do at home this year. So, it should be as big of a disadvantage for Philly as it usually is. Give me the Philadelphia Phillies as big road underdogs tonight in what should be a lower scoring tight contest at +125!
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