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Tuesday, August 14, 2018

Free betting tips and previews

Here you will find free betting tips and previews from the hottest betting experts online collected and compiled in one place. Same as in the Tiltbet betting app on AppStore.

Latest betting tips - page 6

Celtic v AEK Athens: Half the battle in 9-2 Bet Builder Tip

BRENDAN RODGERS has voiced frustration at Celtic’s lack of summer signings but his players have made a decent fist of their Champions League campaign so far despite the shortage of reinforcements.

The Hoops have safely negotiated two of the four qualifying ties, with AEK Athens next up at Parkhead tonight for the first leg of their third-round clash.

Result

Celtic’s home form has been the bedrock of their Euro challenge in recent years and they’ve already beaten Alashkert 3-0 and Rosenborg 3-1 in this summer’s campaign.

AEK represent a step up in class but a home win is a must for the Hoops who often fail to convince on the road in Europe and need something to protect in Athens.

Celtic’s defence remains suspect at the top level, especially if inexperienced duo Kris Ajer and Jack Hendry are paired at centre-back, but they’re formidable in the final third.

With a full house roaring them on, and in-form Odsonee Edouard leading the line, the Scottish champs can take victory tonight at 7-10.

Team specials

Rodgers’ side will be on the offensive from the start seeking an early advantage and they’re decent value at 9-4 to net in both halves.

They boast goals all over the team, with the likes of Olivier Ntcham, James Forrest, Tom Rogic and Callum McGregor all capable of weighing in with a crucial strike.

It’s likely Celtic will dominate possession and have the bulk of chances so they’re well capable of netting either side of the break same as they did against Rosenborg.

Corners

Celtic racked up a dozen corners in their Premiership opener against Livingston at the weekend and averaged 7.37 at home in the league last season.

AEK will put up stiffer resistance than Scottish top-flight new boys Livi but will still face plenty of pressure and can chip in to the corner count too, so go for over 8 combined at 4-7.

Bet Builder Tip

  • Celtic win
  • Celtic to score in both halves
  • Over 8 match corners
  • (9-2, bet365)
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This post is originally from: mrfixitstips.co.uk

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Pirates vs. Rockies MLB Pick – August 8th

The Pittsburgh Pirates made the Rockies look like a team playing for nothing last night. The Pirates blew the Rockies out by a score of 10-2 at Coors Field Tuesday evening. In the NL West, it’s the Dodgers and Diamondbacks trading the top spot, and then behind them stalking are the Rockies. They’re 2.5 back at the moment, which doesn’t sound like a lot, but they have two very good teams ahead of them.

With that noted, 2.5 games feels like more considering the Diamondbacks and Dodgers are in front leading the way. That’s not to say the Rockies are out of anything. They have a quick strike offense that can get hot in a hurry. They have one of the most feared hitters in the division, Nolan Noreando. What they don’t have is an ace like Greinke or Kershaw. They don’t have a Maeda or Rich Hill either.

Chad Bettis got punished last night, as the Pirates scored 9 earned runs off him in 4.2 innings. Bettis has benefited from getting strong run support this season. He had an ERA of 5.10 with a record of 5-1. To put things in perspective, Jacob deGrom who is the leading candidate for the Cy Young, has a record of 5-7 thanks to an anemic offense.

Put deGrom on the Rockies and his win total would skyrocket. The Rockies will go with German Marquez to try and clean up the mess from Tuesday. Pittsburgh is slated to counter with new acquisition, Chris Archer. Archer will be making his second start with the Pirates since coming over from Tampa. 5 games behind the Braves for the final wildcard, they have an outside shot of finding their way in the postseason. Get our free Pirates vs. Rockies pick below.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies Pick

Chris Archer (3-5, 4.40 ERA) vs. German Marquez (9-8, 4.70 ERA)

It’s been what I perceive to be a rather underwhelming career for Chris Archer. He was expected to be elite pitcher, and between 2013-2015 he was a great asset. Elite? Archer never had a year below 3.00 despite consistent numbers around that mark, so I wouldn’t call him elite. However, he was expected to develop into a Cy Young candidate. That never happened, as Archer regressed ever year since then, topping the 4.00 ERA mark each season. Overrated? I wouldn’t argue with you if you want to say that. A lot of people like to bill him as an ace, yet he hasn’t had an ERA under 4.00 since 2015. Archer was taken for 7 hits and 3 earned runs in his debut. He exited with an ERA of 6.23, 2.54 WHIP, and .480 OBA.

Despite the pedestrian numbers for Marquez, he’s settled in to be a pretty reliable member of the rotation in Denver. He went on a pretty brutal stretch where he couldn’t figure anything out, but Marquez has been pitching well since the end of June. Marquez has allowed more than 2 runs only once, which came against the Diamondbacks in a wild 11-10 win. Otherwise, he was holding some good offenses down, including the Dodgers, Athletics, and Brewers. Marquez had a couple of horrid outings near the beginning of the season to skew his Coors Field numbers up, but he allowed an average of 5 hits and 2 runs in his last two home starts. Following a pitiful effort on Tuesday, the Rockies should be able to get a win back this afternoon.

The Bet: ROCKIES (-120)

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This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays MLB Pick – August 8th

The Boston Red Sox had a heck of a weekend at home against the New York Yankees. They swept the Yanks and took a convincing lead in the American League East in the process. The way it’s been going for the Red Sox, the biggest race they might have to worry about is catching the 2001 Mariners and their 116 win season. With that said, the Astros are still hanging around for top honors in the American League.

It’s looking likely that the Red Sox have this in the bag, though. They played in a close one against the Jays on Tuesday and looked a bit hungover from Sunday. Their power offense didn’t look the same against Marcus Stroman, as he was able to make them look bad Tuesday. Stroman has struggled to get his pitching together, but he looked like an ace against the best offense in baseball. The bullpen late in the contest was a different story.

The Red Sox had just 1 hit before J.D. ripped a double to lead-off the 7th. No one could bring him home, though, which summed up a night of terrible hitting for the Red Sox. The Blue Jays had the bases loaded the inning before with no outs and didn’t scratch a run across, it was that kind of night. J.D. Martinez made no doubt about it in the 8th, though, as he hit a 3-run shot to give the Red Sox a 5-3 lead. Hangover cured for the offense.

What the Red Sox must avoid is relaxing too much after such a successful series against their divisional rival. They hold a comfortable lead over the Yankees and it could be easy to lay back and look at the standings. It would take some kind of collapse for the Yanks to overtake the Red Sox, but the Astros are still within striking distance of 1st overall. Even the best teams in baseball will have off nights over the course of a long season. The Red Sox have to be happy with what they saw from Drew Pomeranz on Tuesday night. The verdict is still out on Pomeranz since coming off the DL and he looked nice on Tuesday. Brian Johnson will look for some more run support Wednesday. Get our free Red Sox vs. Blue Jays pick below.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick

Brian Johnson (2-3, 3.74 ERA) vs. Mike Hauschild (1-0, 0.00 ERA)

The Blue Jays looked much more like a complete team over the weekend against the Mariners. The Jays helped the Athletics out by winning three of four in Seattle. The choke job by the Mariners looks alive and well. They also gave the Red Sox a good battle Tuesday night despite the bullpen blowing things in the 8th. It doesn’t mean much in the grand scheme of things. Down by 15 games for the final wildcard it’s pretty much over. The only thing that has to be done is for them to be statistically eliminated from the postseason. The A’s certainly believed that their series against the Mariners meant something, though.

28-year-old Mike Hauschild made his major league debut in 2017 with the Rangers. It didn’t go so well for him coming out of the bullpen, as he posted an ERA of 11.25 in four games. He didn’t last long up in the big leagues and didn’t get his chance again until August 2nd against the Mariners. Hauschild was sharp, holding the Mariners to just 4 hits and no runs across 6 innings. It was a dream outing for a guy who waited a long time to score a win in the majors. That was out of the bullpen as a reliever. Hauschild will get the first start of his career against the best offense in baseball Wednesday. This is what he’s been waiting for all his life, we’ll see if it works out for him.

Johnson has done a nice job for the Red Sox in 2018. The third-year pitcher is having his best season yet after going to the starting rotation from the bullpen. He hadn’t allowed more than 2 runs before his last start against the Yankees. In five straight starts, Johnson 1 or no runs in three of five starts. In the other two, he gave up 2 runs in each. He’s handled the road well with a 2.22 ERA in 24.1 innings. I don’t believe Hauschild is going to be able to keep up with Johnson here. You have to imagine the nerves and butterflies Hauschild is likely going to have in his first ever start at 28 years old. I feel like the price should be along the lines of -160 to -165. Kimbrel won’t blow this one, with the offense shouldering the load to give the Red Sox a win in Toronto.

The Bet: RED SOX (-140)

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This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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Manchester United v Leicester Predictions & Betting Odds – 10th August 2018

Manchester United v Leicester Betting Tips – Premier League, 10th August 8.00pm

Manchester United and boss Jose Mourinho will be under some pressure on Friday night to deliver maximum points. This is the opening game of the 2018/19 Premier League season and United are expected to start strongly. But they don’t appear to have had a very settled summer. Leicester doesn’t have much form going against the Red Devils in the Premier League and are heavy underdogs for this game.

Manchester United News and Form

United boss Jose Mourinho does not appear to have had a happy summer with injuries stacking up, players coming back late after the World Cup and little action in the transfer market. It will be interesting to see how they perform here and they have doubts over Paul Pogba, Eric Bailly, Ander Herrera, Ashley Young, Jesse Lingard and Marouane Fellaini while Antonio Valencia and Nemanja Matic are bigger injury concerns. United went W15 D2 L2 at home last season shipping just the nine goals, so under 2.5 goals with bet365 at 17/20 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 7th, 2018 at 5:12 p.m.) is a decent option for Manchester United v Leicester predictions. Five of United’s last six league games have been under the goal line and United banked a clean sheet in 63% of their home games last season.

Romelu Lukaku is the 6/5 favourite in the anytime goalscorer market* (Betting Odds were taken on August 7th, 2018 at 5:12 p.m.) and United will need him at his marauding best because it is hard to see where the goals are going to come from otherwise. Last season United opened on home soil as well, beating West Ham 4-0 in a positive start. They have won their last three opening games of a new season in a row. The last time they lost an opener was against Swansea at Old Trafford in 2014. United have such a strong record at home that they will appeal as the Red Devils are undefeated in 34 of their last 36 Premier League home games.

Leicester News and Form

Leicester could have a tough time in this one. At the back end of last season, they lost their last three away games in a row, shipping at least two goals in each of those. Boss Claude Puel seemed to lose his way just a touch at the end of the term. He won’t have a full strength side out at Old Trafford either which won’t help his cause here. Puel has said that Harry Maguire and Jamie Vardy won’t be starting the game and one of their big summer signings James Maddison is a big injury doubt for them as well. The Foxes have brought in Rachid Ghezzal as a replacement for Riyad Mahrez who went off to Manchester City, but he’s likely to be on the bench after joining the club late in the summer.

So Leicester were already underdogs for this game and now have to deal with an understrength starting eleven. Because of that, Manchester United to win to nil at 5/4 odds with bet365 does appeal* (Betting Odds were taken on August 7th, 2018 at 5:12 p.m.) in Manchester United v Leicester predictions. The Foxes weren’t a great away side last term, posting a W5 D5 L9 record on the road in the top flight. Last season they opened their account away from home and suffered a 3-4 loss at Arsenal in what was a cracking game. The Foxes are W1 D1 L2 in their last four opening fixtures of a Premier League season. This could be a tough night for them.

Manchester United v Leicester Head to Head

The Red Devils have some strong form going against Leicester in the Premier League including their 2-0 win over them in last season’s corresponding fixture. United are undefeated in their last seven Premier League games against the Foxes now (W4 D3) and they have won five of their last six top-flight home games against Leicester as well. Both teams have scored in seven of the last nine meetings but only once in the last three.

Manchester United v Leicester Betting Odds*

Man Utd 9/20
Draw 16/5
Leicester 13/2
* (Betting Odds were taken on August 7th, 2018 at 5:12 p.m.)

Manchester United v Leicester Predictions

Manchester United to win: Jose Mourinho has personnel problems for one reason or another and they themselves are not likely to be at full strength. But still, we are backing the home side to get a win on the board as tactically they should do enough to stifle Leicester. Manchester United to win & under 2.5 goals looks like a reasonable prediction.


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DraftKings PGA Championship Sleeper Picks

Welcome back guys. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings sleeper picks for The 2018 PGA Championship. If you are looking for some more picks and a breakdown of this year’s host course, Bellerive Country Club, be sure to read my initial write up for this major, through this link. Below are some of my favorite cheap plays of the week, that will hopefully come with lower ownerships in GPPs. @Hunta512.

Thorbjorn Olesen: (6,700)

The European Tour player, originally from Denmark, has possessed huge upside over the last two months. He won the Italian Open back at the start of June and since then he has made four of six cuts, finishing T2, T6, T12, and T3 in those four tournaments he made it to the weekend. In his last two starts, he has gained an average of nine strokes for each event. In his T12 at The Open Championship, he ranked 12th in driving distance and T9 in greens hit. Furthermore, in his T3 last week at The WGC Bridgestone Invitational, Olesen ranked 5th in distance off the tee and T8th in GIR, helping him to rank 5th in GIR, 5th in BOB%, 11th in bogeys avoided, and 15th in SGP when comparing all of these players last two starts.  (via Fantasy National) He has never missed a cut in a PGA Championship in four tries and is 10/16 in majors over his career.

The odds makers are giving him plenty of respect in this current form, at 75/1 to win (via Boavda), which are, by a wide margin, the best odds for all the golfers $7,000 and below this week on DraftKings. These are tremendous odds for a player this cheap. For example, major champions, Sergio Garcia and Phil Mickelson are both priced over $8,000 and have much worse odds to win at 100/1. (via Bovada) Fantasy Labs currently only has him with an ownership somewhere between 9-12% and Fantasy National is calculating an ownership of 10.7%. If these numbers end up being close to accurate, I will be very overweight on Olesen in GPPs.

Ian Poulter: (7,400)

After an ugly 81 in his second round of The Open Championship, Poulter has looked excellent, posting a T12 at The RBC Canadian Open and a T10 at The WGC Bridgestone last week. He did indeed miss that cut at Carnoustie due to that poor round, but this was just a small blimp on the radar for Poulter, as this was his only MC in his last 13 starts. In this run, he has nine top 25s, including a win at The Houston Open. If we eliminate his performance at The Open, Poulter is averaging a strong 7.22 averages strokes gained in his last five made cuts. For a bigger sample size of his form, he ranks 10th in SGT2G, 12th in SG APP, 11th in ball striking, 11th in BOB%, and 10th in SGP in his last 24 rounds. (via Fantasy National)

His driver has also been better than usual, gaining 1.2 strokes off the tee in his last five events, with an average drive of 306 yards. Even as a tenured veteran of The PGA Tour, Poulter didn’t compete here at The 2008 BMW Championship. But, either way, he has made the cut in five of his last six majors and is looking like a solid bet for a top 25 in his first crack at Bellerive.

Ryan Moore: (7,400)

Moore is having an exceptional season (14/18 cuts and nine top 25s), but I still feel like he will go under owned in this major, just because, when the field is strong, he tends to be a forgotten name. In the two majors Moore has played in this season, he has seen an average ownership of 4.9% in The Millionaire Makers on DraftKings. In both of these majors, he proved the players who faded him wrong, with a T28 at The Masters and a T12 at The Open Championship. That T12 was his last start and he is now nine for his last 11 in made cuts, with six top 20s. No, he isn’t the longest player (177th in DD), but Moore has been one of the best players on Tour in SGT2G, ranking 13th in the stat this year.

He is averaging 4.7 strokes gained total in his last ten tournaments and ranks 4th in SGT2G, 3rd in SG APP, 25th in SG OTT, 5th in ball striking, 29th in SG on par fours, and 11th in bogeys avoided in his past 24 rounds. (via Fantasy National) As for success at majors, he has only missed two cuts in his last ten, with four top 30s, two of which were this year. I am expecting another sub ten percent ownership for Moore in this major, making him one of the sneakiest plays of the week.

Also Consider:

Xander Schauffele: (8,200)

He had an ugly week at The WGC Bridgestone, but as he has shown us time and time again, no matter the finishes he had right before, Schauffele tends to show up in a big way on the major stage. Thus far into his career, he is 5/6 at major events, with three top tens and one top 20. Two of those top tens came this season, with a T6 at The U.S. Open and a T2 at The Open Championship. Just yesterday, Jason Sobel of The Action Network took the time to actually break down each players results in majors vs regular events over the last five years, and Schauffele was the player who presented the most dramatic splits in favor of majors, with an average finish difference of 19.57. That’s an insane number when you wrap your head around it and with some people still bitter about his T68, near last place finish at The WGC Bridgestone last week, this seems like a perfect time to attack Schauffele in GPPs.

Webb Simpson: (7,700)

Very much like with Moore, Simpson is someone who people tend to forget about at majors. In the first three of the season, he has finished T20 at The Masters, T10 at The U.S. Open, and T12 at The Open Championship, but has only seen an average ownership percentage of 6.4% in The Millionaire Makers. It’s really odd this has been the case, when you consider Simpson has been a steady option in majors, making six straight cuts and 21/29 in his career. As for his current form, he has gained 5.0 strokes in his last ten events and ranks 10th in SG on par fours and 2nd in bogey avoidance in his last 24 rounds. (via Fantasy National) He is currently at 66/1 to win (via Bovada) and I think another major top 20 is very possible for Simpson at Bellerive.

Louis Oosthuizen: (7,700)

As expected, in Sobel’s piece, Oosthuizen also showed his major pedigree, with a positive finish difference of 8.4 spots in majors the last five years, which was third best of all the golfers ranked. As you probably already know, his major success goes back much longer than five years, but just to refresh your mind, Oosthuizen is 26/40 in majors for his career, with 19 top 30s, six top tens, three runner ups, and one win, which came at The 2010 Open Championship. Recently, his game has been heading in the right direction, making five straight cuts, including a T16 at The U.S. Open and T28 at The Open Championship. Additionally, he is gaining 6.3 strokes per event during this stretch. At this modest price tag, Loui is a high upside play that cant be ignored.

Danny Willet: (7,000)

After a very ugly season, it seems like Willet has finally started to regain some form. The 2016 Masters Champion has made three cuts in a row, with a T6 at The Irish Open, a T19 at The Scottish Open, and a T24 at The Open Championship. As expected, with this being the only signs of life he has shown in quite some time (6/16 this season), his stats aren’t very appealing, but at The Open, he ranked T6 in GIR and gained 6.4 strokes total, which was the most he has gained in a PGA event since his Masters win over two years ago. He was dealing with some injuries and making major changes to his swing, but he seems to be over those challenges and is ready for the challenge of this coming major. There’s absolutely risk involved in rostering Willet, but he should come with an extremely low ownership in The Millionaire Maker (0-1% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs), making him in an ideal risk for that large tournament.

Russell Henley: (6,700)

Henley was also a victim of a bad second round at Carnoustie, resulting in a MC, but this was his first missed weekend in six starts. Plus, prior to this, he had posted four straight top 30s, with finishes of T29, T25, T6, and T10. In that span, he was averaging an excellent 7.65 strokes gained per start. Also, before The Open, he had made seven major cuts in a row, with four finishes inside the top 30. Finally, this is the second lowest DraftKings’ price Henley has seen all season. He hasn’t played since that MC and I am sure he is ready for a bounce back performance at this year’s final major.

PLAY THIS LINEUP


This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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Football Tips: Europa League Qualifying // 09.08.18

3/6 on the first weekend of the Football League – a 0-0, a 1-1 and a 1-0 spoiling the 3 winners. In the season ante post, none of the four that played lost…so a good start to that, just the other 40 odd games to go!

Nothing took my fancy in the Champions League Quals – only Ajax really, and they blew a 2-0 lead against Liege.

Six games, three handicaps + three over/under team goals bets to form a 40/1 Acca. Plenty of mis-matches in this round, some big enough to be confident of a handicap, others that they should score two goals.

All games are in Thursday’s fixtures:

Hap Haifa vs Atalanta: Atalanta -1 Goal Handicap @ 11/10 (1700 KO)

Atalanta put double figures on their last opponent, winning their away leg 8-0! Haifa are a decent side in the Israeli league, but shouldn’t cause the Italians too many problems.

Alashkert vs CFR Cluj: Cluj Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 4/5 (1700 KO)

Alashkert caused Celtic no issues whatsoever in the Champions League round they played in – Cluj are not quite upto Celtic’s quality, but not far off. I can’t see Alashkert causing them any issues either, and fancy them to finish it in the first leg.

Leipzig vs Craiova: Leipzig -2 Goal Handicap @ 11/10 (1730 KO)

Leipzig were pretty ruthless in the first leg of their last round. Even their young side beat a decent Hacken side 4-0 in the first leg, and I think they will put a similar score on a defensive minded Romanian team.

Trencin vs Feyenoord: Feyenoord Over 1.5 TG’s @ 8/11 (1800 KO)

Trencin are one of the best teams I know for goals. They score plenty, but concede a hell of a lot. Feyenoord have an excellent young side with a few key experienced players such as Van Persie thrown in. I think they will score at least two, but I don’t have enough certainty in their defence to be sure of a handicap.

Din Minsk vs Zenit: Zenit Over 1.5 TG’s @ 4/6 (1800 KO)

Minsk put half a dozen goals or so past Dunska Streda, but I’m guessing they secured the place via runners up place in a cup or something as they are awful! Zenit will be a different matter, and with their army of Argentines, including Paredes, Driussi, Rigoni and Mammama – I can’t see the Belarusians keeping them out.

Besiktas vs LASK: Besiktas -1 Goal Handicap @ 4/6 (1900 KO)

Besiktas breezed through their last round, and against LASK, an average Austrian side – I can’t see them having too many issues. They have a quality squad that at this level should win quite easily.

40/1 in total – I cracking looking bet!

Best of luck

Will


This post is originally from: www.accutipster.com

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Celtic v AEK Athens – No Greek tragedy for Hoops

SCOTTISH football expert Mr Fixit (@MrFixitTips) previews Wednesday night’s Champions League contest between Celtic and AEK Athens as the Bhoys look to progress.

Celtic v AEK Athens | Wednesday 8th August 2018, 19:45 | Premier Sports

Celtic cruised past Alashkert and Rosenborg but will find it tougher to see off AEK Athens. Brendan Rodgers knows his men must take a lead to Greece where a hot reception awaits.

The Hoops are evens to qualify for the Champions League with the winners of this tie facing Malmo or Vidi – and the Hungarians are favourites after a 1-1 draw in Sweden.

AEK haven’t played a competitive game and aren’t great travellers. Last season they lost home and away to CSKA Moscow without scoring in their first qualifiers for 10 years so Celtic are more experienced at this level.

To win Wednesday night’s first leg Celtic are a best 5/6 at William Hill and they’ve been boosted by the absence of AEK skipper Petros Mantalas. Celtic are fancied to qualify at 4/6 with William Hill while the Greeks, back at the top after a financial crisis, are 6/5 at Paddy Power.

Rodgers’s side have netted exactly three in four of their five matches this season with the exception being away to Rosenborg when they protected a 3-1 lead. Another three goals, preferably without conceding, would be a perfect outcome but is a tall order especially with Moussa Dembele missing.

Celtic to score 3+ pays 37/10 at Unibet but two or more has a better chance at 1/1 with Bet365. Both Teams To Score is 11/10 but Rodgers will be desperate to keep a clean sheet and Celtic are 17/10 at BetVictor to win to nil.

Odsonne Edouard is again first-scorer favourite and I fancy him at 10/3 at William Hill to score first. Olivier Ntcham has made a good start to the season and takes penalties and is worth a look at 7/2 with William Hill to net.

Best Bets

Celtic v AEK Athens – Celtic to score Over 1.5 Goals (1/1 Bet365)

Celtic v AEK Athens – Olivier Ntcham to score at anytime (7/2 William Hill)

AEK Athens Celtic Champions League Champions League Tips Olivier Ntcham

This post is originally from: welovebetting.co.uk

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Matt Cooper’s Golf Tips: Webb backed by stats

THE PGA Championship has always been the odd one out.

In its earliest incarnation it was a match-play event and throughout the 1950s and 60s its positioning on the calendar made it impossible for golfers to play both it and The Open Championship, a wilfully stubborn act of decision-making, determined to be as awkward as possible.

In another phase of its history the tournament had a habit of being hosted by the most humid locations the committee could find, perhaps one reason it threw up apparently random winners, as if Major champions were plucked from a tombola stall while a wet-through and crimson Colin Montgomerie chuntered in the background like a melting lollipop.

In a desperate attempt to create itself an identity there was a shortlived period when the event was subtitled “Glory’s Last Shot” but it always had the whiff of an ill-advised tattoo and it didn’t last long. There were “internal conversations” and it was quietly dropped.

And so, to this year, the final time it will be the fourth Major of the year. The latest rescue act is to return the Players Championship back in its March slot and pop the PGA Championship in its place, becoming the second major of 2019, the theory being the US Open and Open are strong enough to sit alone while the FedEx Cup can rattle along a little sooner.

You sense the change will work and the event can finally put its neediness to bed.

Major player No.1

Xander Schauffele has played just six Major championships and already boasts four top-20 finishes, three of them in the top six. He was also a winner of the Tour Championship at East Lake last year, a track renovated by Rees Jones, just as this week’s host has been.

Major player No.2

Tony Finau has seven top 30s from 10 Major championship starts. Six of them are top 20s and four top 10s, including three this season alone.

Picks

This is a good week for trends, one of the strongest being the remarkable difficulty chasers have on the final day. In fact, 18 of the last 22 winners were tied second or better after 54 holes and not one winner in that spell was worse than tied fourth.

None of this is too much help unless you can see into the future (and if you possess that knack you’d do even better to glance forward another 24 hours in order to land a coup), yet we can glance at a few other constants in our quest to back the victor.

First up – event form (eight of the last 10 winners already possessed a top 20 finish in the PGA Championship). Secondly – seasonal record (eight of the 10 were already winners that year and seven had ticked off a top 10 in the Majors). Finally: recent form (seven had a top 20 in their previous four starts).

Unsurprisingly, that leaves us with plenty of the favourites, but it also draws out three names with valid chances above and beyond the numbers game.

First up is Webb Simpson (50-1) whose Players Championship win in May was one of the most comprehensive of the season and fits in nicely with a solid year of Major championship campaigning. In fact he’s notched top 20s at Augusta National, Shinnecock Hills and Carnoustie.

In his last three starts he’s had the look of a player ready to contend again. He opened The Greenbrier with a 61, a third-round 67 got him into contention in The Open and there was a second-round 65 last week at Firestone Country Club.

He’s still only 32 years old yet won the US Open back in 2012 and a second Major looks something he is well capable of.

Back in 2008 Bellerive hosted the BMW Championship, part of the FedEx Cup play-offs and Bubba Watson (66-1) opened with a dreadful pair of 73s that left him last but three in a 68-man field.

However, he then shot 66-65, a weekend tally only one man bettered. Admittedly, he had little to play for other than pride but those two rounds should provide good memories.

His most recent form is far from great (MC-MC-T31), yet he did card a 67 in the third round last week and his medium range form is fantastic. In fact, he’s notched three wins this season.

Remember also, that back in 2010 he lost this tournament in a play-off. Given he’s a two-time Major champion, fits all the trends, has a trio to titles for the year and a touch of course form he’s a really nice price.

Finally, Patrick Reed (40-1) gets a vote. On the one hand I don’t think he’s finished with the business of winning Majors after the success in Augusta this April. There’s a sense some recent winners of the big ones were satisfied with their catch. If they were an animal in the wild they’d caught their prey, fed on it, and wandered away for a snooze under a shady tree.

Reed, on the other hand, looks like the kind of animal who’s tasted game once and is hungry for more. It wasn’t entirely surprising he struggled at Carnoustie (he’s yet to notch a top 10 on the links), but crucially he didn’t sulk when a first-day 75 left him T110th. In fact, he spent the rest of the week fighting his way through the field, eventually landing T28th.

Moreover, he was fourth in the US Open and tied second in this tournament 12 months ago. Three top fours in his last year of Major golf is exceptional stuff and better than quite a few players available at much shorter prices.

Recommended Bets

  • Simpson (50-1, Unibet) – 2pts ew
  • Watson (66-1, Unibet) – 1pt ew
  • Reed (40-1, Unibet) – 1pt ew

Matt Cooper (Unibet blogger)


This post is originally from: mrfixitstips.co.uk

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Alan Thomson’s Racing Tips: Star ready to shine again

STAR OF THE EAST (3.30) was never in danger of losing at Newmarket and a 5lb rise is fair enough given his superiority.

He meets an in-form rival in Reverend Jacobs, penalised 6lb after landing a huge gamble at Newmarket last week and Pontefract racegoers should witness an exciting finish.

At Chepstow, CAMOMILE LAWN (4.30) was given an awful lot to do when held up at Sandown and Charles Bishop shouldn’t make the same mistake. She scored on a fast surface at Yarmouth in June but this daughter of Camelot should handle this easier surface.

PRAECEPS (5.00) was kicked three lengths clear a furlong out at Nottingham but somehow managed to get caught on the line. Sir Mark Prescott’s three-year-old is held by Onefootinfront on their Wolverhampton form but may be the better performer on turf.

At Yarmouth, SUSSEX GIRL (6.20) has the services of Silvestre De Sousa for the first time. John Berry’s filly bounced back to form at Newmarket when third to Gravina and Double Reflection at a loud price. She won at Yarmouth last October off a 3lb higher mark (good to soft) and confidence would increase if a few thunderstorms hit the seaside course.

Lunar Deity was stepped up to 1m 2f at Sandown and seemed to stay the new trip well enough in third, while Cliff Lines saddles course specialist Tyrsal, a bit unlucky when just denied by Girls Talk at the last meeting. It’s quite an interesting little contest.

Recommended bets

  • Pontefract 3.30 – Star Of The East (9-2, bet365)
  • Chepstow 4.30 – Camomile Lawn (4-1, bet365)
  • Chepstow 5.00 – Praeceps (11-8, William Hill)
  • Yarmouth 6.20 – Sussex Girl (11-2, bet365)
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Mr Fixit’s Top Tips: No Greek tragedy for Celtic

CELTIC and others know how tough it is to qualify for the Champions League these days and that was highlighted by the fact there was only one home winner out of seven on Tuesday.

Benfica beat Fenerbahce 1-0 but the likes of Qarabag, Malmo and Red Star Belgrade are facing exits while Ajax blew a 2-0 lead to draw 2-2 at Standard Liege.

Just three ties on Wednesday with Celtic facing AEK Athens, PAOK entertaining Spartak Moscow and Salzburg a short price at home to Shkendija.

Unlike Tuesday there could be three home wins and certainly Celtic and PAOK are both stronger in front of their own fans than on their travels.

I’ve posted a separate preview on Celtic v AEK and going with a Super Single of Olivier Ntcham to score – he has two in three games at Parkhead – and a double of Celtic and PAOK.

Last night my Champions League treble was well beaten but well done to all the winners including HullShaker on of his new favourites Billericay.

Remember to check out welovebetting for latest tips and video chat.

1pt Super Single

2pts Daily Double

August Advised Super Singles: +2.2pts

August Advised Accas: -1.5pts

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Champions League Tips: Celtic need to take lead to Greece

CELTIC cruised past Alashkert and Rosenborg but will find it tougher to see off AEK Athens.

Brendan Rodgers knows his men must take a lead to Greece where a hot reception awaits.

The Hoops are evens to qualify for the Champions League with the winners of this tie facing Malmo or Vidi – and the Hungarians are favourites after a 1-1 draw in Sweden.

AEK haven’t played a competitive game and aren’t great travellers. Last season they lost home and away to CSKA Moscow without scoring in their first qualifiers for 10 years so Celtic are more experienced at this level.

To win tonight’s first leg Celtic are a best 5-6 at William Hill and they’ve been boosted by the absence of AEK skipper Petros Mantalas.

Celtic are fancied to qualify at 4-6 with Hills while the Greeks, back at the top after a financial crisis, are 6-5 at Paddy Power.

Rodgers’s side have netted exactly three in four of their five matches this season with the exception being away to Rosenborg when they protected a 3-1 lead.

Another three goals, preferably without conceding, would be a perfect outcome but is a tall order especially without Moussa Dembele missing.

Celtic to score 3+ pays 37-10 at Unibet but two or more has a better chance at 11-10 with Betfred.

Both teams to score is 11-10 at McBookie but Rodgers will be desperate to keep a clean sheet and Celtic are 17-10 at McBookie to win to nil.

Odsonne Edouard is again first-scorer favourite and I fancy him at 10-3 at William Hill to score first.

Olivier Ntcham has made a good start to the season and takes penalties and is worth a look at 7-2 with William Hill to net.

Elsewhere PAOK, who finished runners-up to AEK, should use their strength at home to beat Spartak Moscow and are 23-20 with McBookie.

Recommended Bets

  • Celtic to score 2+
  • Ntcham to score
  • Celtic/PAOK double (3-10)
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This post is originally from: mrfixitstips.co.uk

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DraftKings MLB DFS Picks – August 7th

Last night’s DraftKings MLB DFS Picks did a real nice job, starting with our top pitcher Trevor Bauer and moving on into the bats.

Bauer was electric in his six innings of shutout ball as he punched out 11 Twins on the night while allowing just three hits and three walks, notching his 11th win of the season in the process.

Our second starter Matt Boyd didn’t do nearly as well, however, as he tossed just 5.1 innings on the night while yielding four earned runs in a losing effort in Anaheim against the Angels.

Our bats did a nice job as we received several extra-base hits throughout. Mike Zunino played longball once again against Rangers left-hander Martin Perez while we also received a double from Ryon Healy as part of the eight hits our four-man Mariners stack produced.

Our Astros three-man stack also produced, punctuated by a three-run homer from Marwin Gonzalez. Tony Kemp doubled as well while Gonzalez’s bomb accounted for all three of the RBIs on the Houston side in this one.

Lastly, we received a low-owned, solo home run from Mets second baseman Jeff McNeil, a player to keep an eye on as he has hit for plenty of power throughout the season, both at the big league and minor league levels.

Let’s build on last night’s effort on tonight’s 14-game main slate!

P – Zack Greinke (ARI) – $10,100 vs. PHI

Greinke is best used at home despite the hitter-friendly confines of Chase Field in Arizona. He owns a stellar 2.96 ERA on the season, however that figure drops to 2.44 at home. His overall strikeout rate for the season stands at 25.9% for the season, a number that trends up to 26.6% at home. Greinke also gets a favorable matchup against the strikeout-prone Phillies. Entering play tonight, the Phillies own baseball’s third-highest overall strikeout rate at 25.1% while they own a 25.8% clip against righties, good for the second-highest mark in baseball. With the ERA and the strikeout upside, I think Greinke is in for a big night.

P – Chase Anderson (MIL) – $7,800 vs. SD

Anderson isn’t having the same stellar season that he enjoyed in 2017, but he is still pitching to a 3.65 ERA on the season, and his strikeout upside gets a boost against another strikeout-prone club in the form of the San Diego Padres. Anderson has punched out hitters at an uninspiring 19.7% clip, however he faces a Padres club that has the highest strikeout clip in baseball at a 25.9% mark against right-handed pitching. The Padres are also the league’s 30th ranked offense in terms of OPS against righties with a .648 mark while they’re the league’s 29th-ranked road offense with a .652 OPS away from home. In terms of opponent, Anderson as the best matchup on the slate.

C – Robinson Chirinos (TEX) – $4,300 vs. SEA

The Rangers take on Mariners right-hander Felix Hernandez tonight, a pitcher with an ugly 7.58 ERA on the road. Therefore, I’m feeling a three-man stack against King Felix beginning here with Chirinos. Chirinos carries plenty of pop in that bat as he’s clubbed 15 homers on the season while he owns an overall .225 ISO as well. He hasn’t hit righties for quite as much power as he has lefties, but still owns a powerful .216 ISO against same-handed pitching, making him a fine play against a very targetable pitcher.

1B – Albert Pujols (LAA) – $3,900 vs. DET

The Angels and Tigers get back at it tonight in Anaheim, and the Angels have themselves a nice matchup on their hands against right-hander Jacob Turner who makes his first start back with the Tigers this season. Obviously we’re not talking about the Pujols of old here, but he has still racked up 17 homers on the season while he’s also recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 14 games. Also of significant note with Pujols and Turner is the fact Pujols has faced him four times, and homered three times. Let’s let him kick off our four-man Angels stack, although he will hit at the end of it out of the cleanup spot tonight.

2B – Brandon Drury (TOR) – $3,300 vs. BOS

Like yesterday, second base was the final spot to fill out today, and I am going to look for some more one-off power with Brandon Drury against left-handed Drew Pomeranz. Drury hasn’t hit much since coming over from the Yankees, however he does hit lefties for more power than he does righties while Pomeranz has yielded a huge .958 OPS to right-handed hitters this season. Some one-off power from the newest Blue Jay would be a big boost for this lineup.

3B – Adrian Beltre (TEX) – $3,600 vs. SEA

Beltre and his good buddy Felix Hernandez will go toe-to-toe again tonight as they have a lengthy history of 70 plate appearances against one another. Beltre has hit just .224 with one homer in that time against Hernandez, but tonight he faces him on the road, right where he wants him. Beltre’s power certainly isn’t what it used to be, but he still hits righties for more power than lefties and has a solid .281 average on the season. He works fine as a cost-effective player as part of a three-man stack.

SS – Elvis Andrus (TEX) – $4,300 vs. SEA

Last man up in the Rangers stack is Andrus who bring solid power/speed upside with him into this matchup tonight. Andrus also has a long history against Hernandez, 116 plate appearances to be exact, and has hit .284 with five steals in that span. Andrus is riding a lengthy 17-game hit streak into action tonight, and he’s hit two homers, five doubles and two triples in that span. At the top of the lineup, I like the cross-category upside Andrus brings to the table.

OF – Kole Calhoun (LAA) – $4,100 vs. DET

We will complete our Angels four-man stack with a trio of outfielders beginning here with Calhoun. He’s enjoyed a monster run since slumping terribly for much of the first half of the season. Calhoun has produced a massive .355 ISO and 1.034 OPS in the season’s second half so far, and his recent power output has him standing with a powerful .213 ISO against right-handed pitching. He’s also going to hit at the top of the lineup, so let’s look for some more production against the right-hander Turner.

OF – Shohei Ohtani (LAA) – $4,400 vs. DET

Ohtani may not be pitching these days, but he sure is hitting. He has mashed right-handed pitching in his first season of North American baseball to the tune of a massive .328 ISO and a 1.010 OPS on the season while all 11 of his homers have come against righties as well. Ohtani has also brought some stolen base upside with him lately as he’s swiped two bases over the last four games. We’re here for the power though, and Ohtani certainly boasts some of that against right-handers.

OF – Justin Upton (LAA) – $4,200 vs. DET

After crushing left-handed pitching last season, Upton interestingly has some big-time reverse splits this season as a lot of his power has come against righties in 2018. Upton enters tonight’s contest sporting a powerful .213 ISO and .838 OPS against righties this season as compared to his paltry .095 ISO and .598 OPS against lefties. Upton also brings a little bit of stolen base upside to the table with five steals on the season. Let’s look for the veteran to flex some more muscle tonight.

PLAY THIS LINEUP


This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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August 7th, 2018 Betting Tips: MLB, WNBA

Posted: August 7, 2018

The Oakland Athletics have been one of the hottest teams in the league over the past month and today they face off against one of the other top teams over the past couple month, the Los Angeles Dodgers. This should be a good series as both teams are deep in playoff contention and, despite their massive payroll difference, are nearly identical in their offense numbers. The series kicks off tonight with Rich Hill against Sean Manaea who have the same FIP- of 103.

The Mariners are right behind the Athletics for the second Wild Card and they finally get a break as they face the Rangers tonight. This should be interesting as they send Felix Hernandez to the mound against Bartolo Colon. These are two pitchers who have been around forever, but their best days are behind them. I’d love to see Felix with a career like Bartolo in a couple of years, but injuries might not allow that.

MLB Betting Tips:

The Mets are just a disaster this year and it’s a tough place for the organization to be in. They can’t really afford to go for it thanks to the owners business dealings while they are afraid to sell. They could’ve done a great job trading Jacob deGrom or Noah Syndergaard, but chose not to. They are just in no man’s land.

I’ll be happy to bet against them though and will be taking the Reds -114 tonight. Jason Vargas goes for the Mets and he’s having a rough season with some really bad results of late. The Reds hit lefties well and I think they’ll do exactly that here.

Despite playing at Coors Field, the Rockies offense has been a huge disappointment this season. They should be leading the world in all of the offensive categories, but they are middle of the road with a hugely disappointing 85 wRC+ on the year. Jameson Taillon has a good groundball rate and I expect him to do well here. Chad Bettis on the other hand has an ERA over 5 on the year and I think the Pirates -104 will get it done.

Finally, we have the aforementioned Dodgers/Athletics game. While these two starters are nearly identical in their stats, the offenses aren’t when it comes to hitting left handed pitchers. The Athletics have a 102 wRC+ against lefties while the Dodgers are at just 89 wRC+. I think that will be the difference here and the Athletics -108 will roll here.

WNBA Betting Tips:

Just one game that I’m looking at here today and it’s the Minnesota Lynx -4 against the Chicago Sky. The Sky are having a disappointing season across the board, but they have really bled points this season as they are allowing 90 per game. The Lynx have a far better defense and are keep teams are 77 per game. I think they get the Sky to play their game and they dominate that game. Minnesota is a great play here and is my play of the day.

Istanbul Basaksehir v Burnley – Expect Turkish delight in Istanbul

ROSS CASEY (@Rosscasey24) previews Thursday night’s battle in the Europa League between Istanbul Basaksehir and Burnley from the Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium.

Istanbul Basaksehir v Burnley | Thursday 9th August 2018, 19:00

Burnley drew both of their matches against Aberdeen over 90 minutes in the previous round, before putting the Dons to bed in extra-time of the second leg.

Next up for the Clarets is a trip to Turkey to face Istanbul Basaksehir, which on paper looks a much tougher proposition.

The Super Lig outfit are particularly strong at home and Sean Dyche will surely be hoping to keep things tight and make sure the tie is still in the balance for the second leg back at Turf Moor.

Istanbul Basaksehir

The hosts have only won two of their pre-season matches, but you can’t read too much into those results, especially as none of them occurred at their home stadium.

Last season, Basaksehir’s home league record read W11-D4-L1. That is a tremendous record – the hosts won 76% of their home Super Lig matches. In particular, you have to look at the defensive record they had – in 17 matches they only conceded 14 goals.

However, there is a caveat with the fact that in the Europa League, they kept just two clean sheets in their history of the competition. Against a Burnley side that don’t score a hatful of goals though, they will be quietly confident of keeping them out.

Illness could rule Emmanuel Adebayor out of this clash, but the experienced Mevlut Erdinc will be able to fill the void. They have excellent wide players in Kerim Frei and Elijero Elia and a very experienced defence that we have already mentioned have a good home record.

Burnley

The Clarets have made late movements in the transfer market, with Ben Gibson, Joe Hart and Matej Vydra all arriving at Turf Moor this week, although it is currently unclear if they will be registered in time to play here.

Anders Lindegaard is set to deputise for Hart if he isn’t registered and he conceded against Aberdeen in both legs, whilst Adam Legzdins impressed between the sticks in their last pre-season game against Espanyol.

Burnley lost just five away games last season – only Man City lost fewer on the road in the Premier League – but they did so thanks to a great defence rather than an outstanding attack. The Clarets only netted 20 goals in 19 away trips on Premier League duty.

Dyche’s troops did go without a win in any of their last five league games, and in betting terms, that continued in the Europa League making their winless streak in competitive matches now a run of seven. That is the reason they are a 61/20 best price to win here.

The betting angles

Burnley are on a poor run in terms of victories at the moment and even with Adebayor possibly out of this game, I think that in tough conditions and in a hostile atmosphere, they will face defeat.

Istanbul have an excellent record at home and with Nick Pope out, Burnley will have either a fourth-choice keeper in place or Joe Hart playing for a brand new side.

Back a home win here at 21/20 with BetVictor.

Best Bets

Istanbul Basaksehir v Burnley – Istanbul Basaksehir to win (21/20 BetVictor)

Burnley Europa League Europa League Tips Istanbul Basaksehir

This post is originally from: welovebetting.co.uk

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The Saint Greg Browning’s Tips: Make Conference call for goals

IT’S round two of fixtures for the three Conference divisions – historically the Conference South has always been a bit of a gem for goals.

It’s hard so early in the season to work out where to go for goals but have picked out a double – there’s also a good opportunity from the Vanarama National League.

Sky Bet Special

12 matches from the Vanarama National Legaue

Bookies are being a bit generous with markets set for total match goals – 31+ goals in all 12 matches is good value in my opinion. You always get a couple of games that see 4 or 5 goals. There were 26 scored on Saturday and some teams are already showing their defensive frailties so I’m happy to get on this.

  • 31+ match goals in the Vanarama National League (10-11, Sky Bet) (NAP)

****************************

Conference South Goals

  • Hungerford Town v Wealdstone
  • Weston Super Mare v Truro City
  • Over 2.5 match goals double (7-5, (
LATEST OFFERS


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You will get free betting tips from the hottest betting experts online collected and compiled both here and in the Tiltbet betting app on AppStore. The app and website are updated daily with betting tips from both large and small sports markets worldwide. Football tips from the Premier League, Serie A, Bundesliga, La Liga, Ligue 1, Champions League, Europe League. Hockey tips from NHL and KHL. Horse racing tips from the big fleas in Europe. Tennis tips from all over the world. Golftips from the PGA Tour, the LPGA Tour, the European Tour and more.

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Mr Fixit
MrFixitsTips.co.uk started in 2010 and has grown to become a really huge and active betting community on the web. Provide daily tips and previews from English, Scottish and international football, racing tips, NBA basketball tips and NFL American football tips. With more than 20 years of experience writing tips for the Daily Record, Scotland’s biggest newspaper, Mr Fixit brings you tips and betting news every day.

The Sports Geek
Thesportsgeek.com was founded in 2008 and provide betting picks and different kinds of betting strategies. With a team of five expert tipsters they offer picks from NBA, NFL, College Basketball, NHL and Golf.

We Love Betting
Welovebetting.co.uk is a site providing tips and insights from many football markets, such as Premier League, English football, Scottish football, International football but also other sports such as Golf, Horse racing and NFL. We Love Betting is updated daily with tips and betting previews.

FootyAccumulators
Footyaccumulators.com began in 2010 and provide betting news, match previews and recommended bets. FootyAccumulators write betting previews on over nine football leagues as well as internationals. They do not just focus on the Premier League, they also provide betting tips and previews for clubs in the Championship, League One and League Two.

Sports Betting Tips
Sportsbettingtips.org is a website with the ultimate aim to cover as many sports as possible. Each day they will provide at least one post with sports betting tips but they aim to provide at least 3 separate betting tips every day. All betting tips are free, and always will be so they say. Sports Betting Tips also provide other topics such as sports trivia, betting challenges and they have a “sports betting for dummies” section to help people new to sports betting.

Oddschanger
Oddschanger.com started in 2012 and provide betting tips and previews on over 10 different sports. They don’t just focus on the most popular Football and Horse Racing events, they provide tips from a wide variety of sports including; Golf, Tennis, Cricket, NFL, Boxing, MMA, Darts, Snooker, Rugby League and Rugby Union. Oddschanger´s daily bets (including trebles, long shots and challenge bets) brings you the best value for every sport, every day.

Betcraft
Betcraft.co is run by Gavin, a professional tipster who has a deep understanding of the mathematical and statistical side to betting which has allowed him to identify value. He explains why Martingale system is a long term loser and provide betting tips and preview purely based on value.

Betting Directory
Established in 2004 Betting-directory.com has grown in to a team of 10 expert writers, covering all major sport events. And with weekly celebrity guest columnists Betting Directory provide daily free betting tips and previews.

Accutipster
Accutipster.com is an informative betting website with writers that cover a variety of sports looking to find the best value possible in markets spread across Europe, and in terms of International football or NFL – the world. On a day-to-day basis, Accutipster pick out a selection of bets – with the aim of winning more than they lose.

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