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Latest betting tips - page 5

Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres MLB Pick – May 16th

MONEYLINE
+118ODDS

MY PICK

Pirates

PLACE BET!

The Pittsburgh Pirates are headed to San Diego today for game one of a four-game series with the Padres Thursday. The Pirates are licking their wounds after getting beaten down yesterday by the Arizona Diamondbacks, 11-1. The Pirates lost two out of three in the series against Arizona. The series loss comes after Pittsburgh had started out the month by winning seven of their first ten games.

The Pirates will look to get back on track tonight in San Diego against a Padres team that has lost four out of their last five games. The Padres are coming off of a two-game sweep at the hands of the Los Angeles Dodgers and are hoping they can keep their record above .500 with a win tonight.

Starting tonight for the Pirates is Trevor Williams (2-1 3.40 ERA), and for the Padres it is Eric Lauer (2-4 5.75 ERA). The game total over-under is set at seven and a half runs. The Padres are -128 home favorites. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM PST from PETCO Park in San Diego.

This is a fun matchup between two teams that nobody expected much out of this year, that are still hanging in there. Both teams are playing in tough divisions, but are managing to find limited success, with both teams having winning records entering play today. My gut tells me that neither of these teams will emerge as true contenders in the National League, but right now they have both proven tough to beat.

The Pirates are in an especially tough spot as they play in the National League Central, my pick for the best division in all of baseball. The Central currently has four teams with winning records and is being paced up top by the Cubs and Brewers. The Pirates are hoping to take advantage of a struggling Padres team that will be without their superstar prospect Fernando Tatis Jr again today, as the young phenom is still sidelined with a hamstring injury.

The Pirates will send Trevor Williams to the mound to try and get the job done tonight in game one. Williams had a great start to the season as through his first four starts, he was 1-0 with a 2.59 ERA, and the Pirates won all four of his starts. Williams hit a little bit of a road bump as he allowed nine earned runs over the course of two consecutive starts, that saw his ERA swell to 3.74.

But Williams looked great again in his last start as he threw seven innings of one-run ball against the St. Louis Cardinals and the Pirates picked up the win. Williams has done a fantastic job of keeping the ball in the ballpark this season as he has allowed just three home runs in over fifty innings of work. He will need to continue that success tonight if he wants to slow down a Padres that surprisingly has a lot of pop.

This Padres offense doesn’t score many runs. They are just 23rd in the majors in runs scored, and 27th in on-base percentage. But the one thing they can do is hit the long ball. The Padres have hit sixty-two home runs so far this season, and that is good for seventh in the majors. They are going to need to find a way to make hard contact tonight if they want to score runs against Williams.

Eric Lauer has mostly pitched well this season but has really struggled with his consistency. He got absolutely hammered in his last start that saw him give up eight runs, all earned, against the Colorado Rockies in just three innings. He also had rough outings against the Giants where he gave up five runs in six innings and against the Diamondbacks where he gave up four runs in five innings of work. Besides those bad starts, he has pitched fairly well, but it is very hard to know just what kind of effort he is going to give on a given night.

This number surprises me. To me, these teams are very even. Their records are nearly identical, and both are coming off bad series where they played poorly. When you look at the starting pitching matchup, Williams certainly seems to be the safer bet. He has the higher upside, Lauer rarely makes it out of the fifth inning even when he is pitching well and hasn’t shown the propensity to blow up like Lauer has this year. I guess since the Padres are at home, they are getting all the love?

But when you look at the home and road splits for both teams, the Padres have actually been better this season away from PETCO Park, and the Pirates have been better on the road than they have been at home. I’m not buying the home field advantage as being enough to move the needle towards the Padres like this. So, to see the Padres as fairly big favorites leaves me scratching my head.

This is about as even of a game as you will ever find, and in spots like this where I can flip a coin and pick up dog money, I am going to take it every time. Are the Pirates definitive favorites in this one? Of course, they aren’t. But if I can back them getting dog money in a game they absolutely can win; I am not going to pass up on it. Give me the Pittsburgh Pirates as road underdogs tonight in game one in San Diego at +118!

The Bet: Pittsburgh Pirates +118

PLACE YOUR BET!


This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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DraftKings MLB DFS Picks – May 16th

Last night’s DraftKings MLB DFS Picks once again weren’t good enough to get into the money as too many players in the lineup didn’t produce much, if anything.

Our pitchers had a solid night, especially Justin Verlander who hurled seven innings of one-run ball to go along with nine strikeouts in a win over his former team, the Detroit Tigers.

Eduardo Rodriguez had a much more volatile effort and while he was looking good with 10 strikeouts heading into the seventh inning while allowing just two runs, Rodriguez loaded the bases with none out, was removed from the game, and the bullpen promptly allowed all three of those baserunners to score. His six innings of five-run ball didn’t end up pretty, but I did like the 10 punchouts.

Our Rangers stack did some damage, mostly on the back of Shin-Soo Choo and Nomar Mazara. Choo was hit by two pitches, homered and scored two runs. Mazara enjoyed a four-hit night including a pair of doubles, although he wasn’t able to score any runs. Joey Gallo provided just one walk on the night.

Our Dodgers mini-stack didn’t do much of anything as David Freese posted a zero while Kike Hernandez registered just a single.

Finally, our Mets mini-stack wasn’t much good either, but that was because Wilson Ramos posted a zero. J.D. Davis delivered an RBI double to provide the Mets their only run in a dominant effort from Patrick Corbin.

We need to get things going this week and Thursday is a good night to do so as we look to tackle this small five-game main slate!

P – Marcus Stroman (TOR) – $7,700 vs. CWS

The small slate isn’t deep in pitching tonight and the best arm on the slate in Luis Castillo is facing a red-hot Cubs offense that crushes right-handed pitching, and the game is in a hitter-friendly environment – so I am going to pay down for pitching tonight and pay up for bats. That strategy begins here with Stroman who is enjoying a real nice season with a 3.12 ERA and 3.16 FIP on the season to go along with a so-so 7.79 K/9 rate. Stroman makes his money on the ground as he owns a 59.8% career ground-ball rate, which in turn helps him keep the ball in the yard as he owns a small 0.79 HR/9 clip for his career and an improved 0.52 mark this season. While the strikeout numbers aren’t big, the upside grows against this White Sox team that ranks 26th with a 26% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. The Jays are around -135 to win this game on the moneyline tonight, so I’ll take the increased strikeout upside with the win upside at this cheap price and run with it.

P – Eric Lauer (SD) – $6,800 vs. PIT

Lauer could deliver us some serious value in this one tonight. The Pirates offense is probably better than we thought it would be this season, however their numbers against lefties are weak. Entering play tonight, the Pirates are tied for 28th with a brutal .607 OPS against left-handed pitching while their huge 28.2% strikeout rate against southpaws ranks 26th. Factor in the extreme pitcher-friendly confines of Petco Park in San Diego. After getting the ball on Opening Day, it hasn’t been a great season for Lauer as he owns a 5.75 ERA on the year, but his 4.65 FIP and 4.70 xFIP, although not great numbers themselves, do call for some positive regression moving forward. The good news is that Lauer owns a solid 3.43 ERA at home this season and a ghastly 8.24 mark on the road. His Padres are favored around -125 on the moneyline to win this one tonight and the Pirates have just a 3.6 run projection – the smallest mark on the slate – so I can see some value coming out of Lauer in this one.

C – Yadier Molina (STL) – $4,200 vs. ATL

I had a heck of a time deciding on which catcher to roster in this one, but despite an 0 for 11 against right-hander Julio Teheran for his career, Teheran is allowing plenty of home runs to right-handed hitters this season so I don’t mind a roll of the dice in a Cardinals mini-stack tonight. I believe we can get Molina at reasonable ownership as there is actually some decent catching options on this slate in Willson Contreras of the Cubs, the hot-hitting Jason Castro of the Twins and Omar Narvaez of the Mariners. Molina is hitting right-handed pitching for a rock-solid .173 ISO and .746 OPS on the season while all four of his homers and 10 of his 11 doubles have come against a right-hander this season. Somewhat surprisingly, Molina has also swiped a pair of bases against a right-hander this season after stealing four bases last year and nine the year before. Teheran does allow steals – three this year, 19 last year and 26 the year before – so we actually have some stolen base upside on top of the average and power Molina brings to the table.

1B – Justin Smoak (TOR) – $3,900 vs. CWS

I stacked the Blue Jays against the right-handed Dylan Covey in Toronto recently, and while I got a couple of home run out of it, the stack didn’t rack up a ton of points otherwise. Smoak had a decent outing against Covey as he walked all three times he faced him, so he’s seeing the ball well from the right-hander to be sure. That said, the Blue Jays have a 5.2 run projection tonight – the highest mark on the slate – so I am going to roll out a four-man Blue Jays stack with an 11 mph wind blowing towards center field tonight in Chicago. Smoak is scuffling at the plate right now and has been since late April. That said, I wonder if those struggles at the plate will keep his ownership down with some big bats at first base on this slate. He still hit right-handers for more power than lefties, and Smoak hit righties for a huge .257 ISO and .867 OPS just last season. He’s going to turn it around and tonight looks like a fine opportunity to do so against a pitcher with a 5.91 ERA, 7.41 FIP and 7.76 xFIP on the season.

2B – Eric Sogard (TOR) – $4,400 vs. CWS

I was a little hesitant to roster Sogard in this lineup considering he is due for some notable regression considering his hot start to the season compared to his career numbers, but against a real poor pitchers and hitting out of the leadoff spot I’m having a tough time fading him in this Blue Jays stack. For what it’s worth, I also really like Kolten Wong at this position tonight and you could stack him with Molina and one of my outfielders as well. Nonetheless, I will go with Sogard here as he owns a big .409 OBP on the season and his 12.2% walk rate is actually higher than his 10% walk rate. He is bringing power to the table with four homers and a .237 ISO on the season, but that is already a career-high and I don’t expect it to continue much longer, although it could against Covey who is due to give up even more homers than the 1.69 Hr/9 he has yielded to this point. He’s actually bringing some nice cross-category upside to the table as he has two steals as well this season and as many as 11 in a big league season. I’ll stick with Sogard considering the on-base ability, pop and stolen base upside against a weak pitcher tonight.

3B – Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) – $4,100 vs. CWS

Perhaps this Blue Jays stack will see more ownership than we think as I can see a lot of owners flocking to Guerrero now that he is off the schnide with a two-homer game on Tuesday in San Francisco. Pitchers beware now that this guy has some confidence, and the fact that he powered up twice in the league’s least hitter-friendly park is quite impressive as one went to dead-center field. There isn’t a whole lot to say about this guy other than the fact he posted video game-type numbers in the minor leagues pretty much right from the get-go as an 18 year-old. He’s still only 20, but I can see Vladdy go on a serious run here, especially now that he is in a very hitter-friendly environment with the wind blowing out tonight at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago. He has been moved up the two-hole for this one tonight and brings a wealth of cross-category upside to the table as a result.

SS – Jorge Polanco (MIN) – $5,000 vs. SEA

I have plenty of money to work with tonight given my low-cost pitching, so I am going to use a couple of higher-priced Twins in this lineup against Mariners right-hander Erik Swanson tonight. Swanson has had a couple of nice outings mixed in with a couple of disastrous ones as he enters this one with a 6.35 ERA, 5.36 FIP and 4.90 xFIP. He’s allowed home runs at a 2.22 HR/9 clip so far and he hasn’t been able to rack up strikeouts either. Enter Polanco who is enjoying a fabulous season for the Twins as he’s already blasted eight home runs on the season and owns a .293 ISO and 1.022 OPS as well. Polanco is also white-hot at the plate entering this one as he’s 5 for 12 (.417) with a homer, a triple, three runs scored, two RBI and a stolen base over his last three games. Against right-handed pitching this season he owns a massive .320 ISO, .1095 OPS and a .451 wOBA on the year while he also owns a .316 ISO and .1079 OPS for the month of May and a .483 ISO and 1.357 OPS on the road against right-handers. Sign me up.

OF – Randal Grichuk (TOR) – $4,200 vs. CWS

I will complete my lineup here with Grichuk who homered off of Covey when we rostered him a week ago. The power against right-handed pitching is nothing new for Grichuk as he now owns a .233 ISO and .759 OPS on the season against right-handers while he owns slightly higher numbers against righties than he does lefties for his career. Grichuk isn’t going to register a high OPS given his inability to hit for a high batting average, but the ISO numbers speak to his power. He’s been extremely consistent in his power numbers in his career as he’s homered between 22 and 25 times in each of the last three years with that 25-homer season coming last year in his first season in Toronto. He has seven homers on the year so far so he is well on his way to another 25-ish homer season. He wasted no time in touching up Covey with a first-inning homer in Toronto last week and I’ll look for the power to continue in this one tonight.

OF – Marcell Ozuna (STL) – $5,000 vs. ATL

Braves right-hander Julio Teheran is worse to left-handed hitters, however as I mentioned in the Molina section he’s already allowed six home runs to right-handed bats and Ozuna is a reverse-splits hitter who has obliterated right-handed pitching this season while he owns fantastic career numbers against Teheran. This season against right-handers, Ozuna has put together a massive .286 ISO and .862 OPS on the season and posted a massive .268 ISO and .955 OPS in his breakout 2017 season against right-handed pitching. In his career against Teheran, Ozuna has gone 17 for 45 (.378) with three homers and two doubles to go along with a stolen base. I like the power numbers as he owns a .244 ISO and even 1.000 OPS against Teheran, but I also like the large sample size as we know he owns this righty. He’s having an All-Star season, so I’ll take Ozuna to go along with Molina in this mini-stack tonight.

OF – Eddie Rosario (MIN) – $4,700 vs. SEA

Completing this lineup and our Twins mini-stack is Rosario who is once again having a big year for the Twins – his biggest year yet, in fact. Perhaps one of the most underrated players in the game, Rosario already has smacked 13 home runs on the season and owns a .285 ISO to boot. He has just one steal so far, but he has stolen at least eight bases in each of the last two years and as many as 11 in a single big league season, so we know he can run. The power numbers against lefties look better so far, but I’m not arguing with a huge .269 ISO against right-handers either, especially since he is most certainly a traditional splits hitter given his numbers over the last two years of his career – his two breakout seasons. Safeco Field in Seattle isn’t the most hitter-friendly venue in baseball, so I didn’t want a full Twins stack tonight, but I very much like what we have in this high-priced mini-stack to be sure.

PLAY THIS LINEUP


This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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Getafe v Villarreal Predictions & Betting Odds – 18th May 2019

Getafe v Villarreal Betting Tips – La Liga, 18th May 3.15pm

Getafe will get a top-four finish this season in La Liga if they are able to better whatever result Valencia come up with on the weekend. Getafe have produced some great home form recently and they just have to push as hard as they can in this one. Villarreal are down in the bottom half of the table, having shaken off any relegation concerns. Read our predictions for Getafe v Villarreal.

Getafe v Villarreal Betting Odds*

Getafe 3/5
Draw 31/10
Villarreal 4/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 15th, 2019 at 3:20 p.m.)

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Getafe News and Form

Getafe have suffered defeats in two of their last three league fixtures. Both of those defeats were away from home though. Their home form remains good. They are now undefeated in their last four league home games, winning three of those four. So their home form is shaping up well for this final game of the season.

The home form of Getafe this season is W11 D2 L5. Of the five home defeats which they have taken, three of them have been against the current top four sides. Each of their last three home wins have been by a clean sheet and they have so good at the back.

Getafe have only shipped 11 home fixtures this season, which is an average of just 0.6 per game. That’s a fine home defensive record. They have picked up a clean sheet in just over half of their home games and only 39% of their home games have ended up over 2.5 goals.

Getafe have averaged 1.4 goals per home game in La Liga this season. There has been a clean sheet from them in each of their last four home games. Of their 11 home successes this season, seven of them have been by a margin of at least two goals. Getafe have scored 65% of their home goals in the second period of fixtures.

Getafe v Villarreal Head to Head

Getafe earned a 2-1 away win at Villarreal in January
Getafe are W3 L2 in their last five against Villarreal
Both teams have scored in just two of the last nine meetings
Just one of the last eight meetings have gone over 2.5 goals

Key-Facts – Getafe v Villarreal

  • Getafe are unbeaten in their last four home games
  • Getafe have not conceded in any of their last four home fixtures
  • Villarreal on a six match scoring streak on the road

Villarreal News and Form

Villarreal have produced a nice bit of form at the end of the season to get themselves safe. So they can relax for this final game. They have picked up a win in four of their last six games (D1 L1) so it’s been a good response from them to get away from relegation. Villarreal have only suffered the two losses in their last eight games.

Their away record for the season is W5 D5 L8 and they have averaged just a tiny shade over a goal per road games this season. There has been a clean sheet from Villarreal in 44% of their away games. Given their defensive strengths too, this may not end up being a high scoring fixture.

There has been a clean sheet from Villarreal in two of their last three on the road. In their last five league games away from home, they have gone W2 L3. Villarreal have hit the back of the net in each of their last six away games, scoring in each of their last twelve played, home and away.

They have been level at half time in 10 of their 18 road fixtures for the season. They have conceded a total of 62% of their away goals in the second period of fixtures. Across the last eight rounds of league action, only four teams have earned more points than Villarreal have done.

Getafe v Villarreal Tips & Odds

Under 2.5 goals at 11/10
Draw match outright at 31/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 15th, 2019 at 3:20 p.m.)

Getafe v Villarreal Predictions

Draw: There are two defences on show here who have been in good form recently. So this could be a low scoring fixture. Getafe are the ones really in need of the win, but they could find themselves denied by a resilient Villarreal. Draw.


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World Football: Benfica can clinch title in style on Saturday

WORLD football fanatic James O'Rourke (@JamesOR1) looks to continue his fabulous form with a selection of hand-picked best bets from across the planet on Saturday.

Mattersburg v Rapid Vienna | Saturday 18th May 2019, 16:00

We’re coming to the end of the footballing season in Europe and we’ve reached the penultimate round of fixtures in the Austrian top-flight. We have ourselves a bit of an end of season rubber on this occasion, also something that we’ll be witnessing plenty of in the next week or two.

Mattersburg and Rapid Vienna are part of the Relegation Group in the Tipico Bundesliga, with these two essentially the top two in the bottom six. What is certain is that Rapid Vienna will finish the season in seventh, which grants them a passage into possible European football next season. Mattersburg are seven points behind with only six to play for. These two are effectively playing for pride.

With that being the case, it opens the door to this being a game with no pressure on either team. Whilst that in turn also means there is the strong possibility of motivation being very low, we’re more likely to be present to an open game as opposed to a boring 0-0 with both going through the motions.

We have to remember that in this league there has been an average of 2.86 goals per game. Mattersburg and Rapid Vienna have been involved in 63% and 57% of their matches respectively in terms of beating the 2.50 goal line. Rapid’s away league contests has done so 80% of the time. Another percentage count is that Mattersburg and Rapid Vienna has only failed to score 17% and 20% of the time in the league.

Neither are especially secure defensive too. After all, they are in the Relegation Group. Mattersburg has seen both teams score 67% of the time, whilst for Rapid we can say the same amount has occurred in their away league matches.

Over the years this has also been a match which has led to a few goals. Only two of the last 11 meetings has failed to see each team find the back of the net. Furthermore, six of the last eight H2H’s in the league has featured a minimum of three goals overall.

Rapid have been involved in quite some epic games in recent times. They recently under back-to-back 4-3’s (one win, one lost) in the league. They won 4-2 only last month as well, whilst there was a 2-2 the weekend before. They generally play quite an open style, meaning they are good for goals, but can look a little suspect at the back.

With no pressure on them at all, and of course the possibility of some rotation, there is no need for them to be playing for a draw at all. Mattersburg has seen the 2.50 goal line beaten in three of their previous five on home soil.

We like the goals angle on this occasion, specifically the Both Teams To Score and Over 2 Goals market. This is available at 5/6 (***) using the Bet Builder.

Benfica v Santa Clara | Saturday 18th May 2019, 18:30

One of my favourite leagues in the Portuguese Primeira Liga and we have reached the final weekend. The title race has indeed gone to the final day, with Benfica holding a two-point advantage over rivals Porto.

Benfica very much have a winnable match in terms of a home encounter with Santa Clara, who to their credit have had a fine season, after winning promotion following 15-years in the second tier this time last year. Porto, on the flip side, have a home encounter with third in the table Sporting CP, which is anything but easy. Therefore, Benfica are massive favourites to secure a 37th league triumph.

Porto obviously need to do their own job on the day, but they’ll be wondering exactly how Santa Clara can potentially do them a favour. Well, there aren’t too many statistics which go in their favour. Benfica are only one goal shy of scoring 100 times in the league in this current campaign, whilst onto Porto has conceded fewer.

Benfica has only dropped points three times at their fortress Estádio da Luz. Santa Clara has only taken one point out of a possible 21 versus the current top four too. Of their 11 league victories, six of those came versus teams within the bottom six of the table. The earlier season meeting between these two saw Benfica run out 2-0 winners away from home, in what was a comfortable affair for Águias.

Benfica are scoring goals for fun as we’ve touched upon. I’ll stick my neck out and confidently state that they will score on Saturday to take them to at least the 100 goals scored mark. They’ve only failed to score twice in the league, both coming away from home. They’ve on an 18-match scoring run.

Santa Clara have only conceded 11 goals more than Benfica have done, which does suggest that they can be relatively stubborn and tough to break down. However, Benfica have a cause this weekend and they’ll be determined to put on a bit of a show.

In Benfica’s last eight matches in all competitions (league and Europa League), they have scored 3+ goals seven times. The one time they didn’t was away at Frankfurt in the Europa League quarter-final second leg, where they were defending a 4-2 lead from the first leg. In those seven matches, they’ve scored 4+ in six of them too.

Santa Clara are likely to face a tough task on Saturday. The only thing that really affords Porto some hope here is if Benfica get nervy and perhaps don’t score early, or possibly fall behind to a set piece or counter attack. Even so, Benfica scored 61% of their goals in the second half anyway.

This weekend is all about Benfica and the fact they’re priced at 1/66 to claim the title says everything. With that in mind, we fancy Benfica to again be among the goals.

Benfica Over 3.5 Team Goals is a market they’ve been regularly beating in recent times. We can get a price of 6/5 (Royal Panda) on them doing so on matchday 34.

Best Bets

Mattersburg v Rapid Vienna – Both Teams To Score and Over 2 Goals (5/6 ***)

Benfica v Santa Clara – Benfica Over 3.5 Team Goals (6/5 Royal Panda)


This post is originally from: welovebetting.co.uk

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Dundee v St Mirren Betting Preview – Scottish Premiership May 18

Dundee wave farewell to the Premiership, for the time being at least, as they complete their fixtures with a home game against St Mirren, the team that will finish just one above them and in the play-offs unless they can win at Dens Park or better Hamilton Academical’s result against St Johnstone.

Dundee Form and Team News

It’s been a traumatic season for the Dees, who are ending the campaign managerless having sacked Jim McIntyre last week despite a first win in 11 matches against Livingston. Dundee lost 20 of his 31 matches in charge and he was their second manager of the season. For home captain Martin Woods, another relegation will be a bitter pill to swallow as he’s suffered the same fate on several occasions throughout his career. James McPake will be in the manager’s hot seat for Dundee’s final match of the season and the former centre-back is interested in becoming the club’s seventh permanent manager in less than a decade. A second victory in a week would enhance his prospects with Morgen Wieghorst and Kenny Shiels thought to be another names in the hat. There will also be a turnover of playing staff with Darren O’Dea having already announced his retirement. Paul McGowan and Scott Wright could miss out this weekend but last week’s match-winner, veteran Kenny Miller, should start.

St Mirren Form and Team News

The Buddies can’t rely on St Johnstone to do them a favour at New Douglas Park and will have to try and win this game. However, Oran Kearney’s men were in the same position when they hosted Hamilton in midweek and they came through that test with flying colours. That match could well be one of the defining games of the relegation battle as the Accies had two men sent off and both are suspended for the clash with the Saints. St Mirren’s only defeat last month came against Celtic and they’ve not lost any of five matches since with two wins and three draws. They’ve scored at least once in all those games, though have only kept one clean sheet. Kyle Magennis has found the net in their last two outings and Kyle McCallister is also proving to be a big player in the run-in. While failure to win would be a setback, it wouldn’t be the end of the world whereas their opponents already know their fate.

Dundee v St Mirren Head-to-Heads

St Mirren have won four of their last six matches against Dundee, losing only one. Eight of their last 10 meetings have seen both teams score at least once with a one-goal winning margin in six of their last nine encounters in all competitions.

Dundee v St Mirren Current Match Odds

Dundee 23/10, Draw 5/2, St Mirren 5/4 (Odds correct at 3.00pm May 16)

Dundee v St Mirren Predictions

While Buddies’ fans will be glued to their phones to see what’s happening at Hamilton, their team must concentrate on the task at hand. Oran Kearney has finally got St Mirren organised and they have something to play for, unlikely already-relegated Dundee who have won only five matches all season in the Premiership. St Mirren to win and both teams to score looks worth a bet at 17/4 with 888Sport. A 1-2 Correct Score is 9/1 at BetVictor.

St Mirren to Win and Both Teams to Score

888Sport


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Charlton Athletic v Doncaster Rovers Predictions & Betting Odds – 17th May 2019

Charlton Athletic v Doncaster Rovers Betting Tips – League One Play-offs, 17th May 19.45pm

Charlton Athletic and Doncaster Rovers meet at The Valley on Friday night for the second leg of their League One play-off semi-final. The Addicks hold a handy lead in the tie after winning the first leg 2-1 at the Keepmoat Stadium last weekend. Charlton are the strong favourites to see the job through and book their place at Wembley Stadium, but can Donny cause an upset in the capital?

Charlton Athletic v Doncaster Rovers Betting Odds*

Charlton Athletic 10/11
Draw 13/5
Doncaster Rovers 7/2
* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 16th, 2019 at 12:00 p.m.)

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Table of Contents

Charlton Athletic News and Form

Charlton Athletic were excellent at the Keepmoat Stadium last Sunday, racing into a two-goal lead before half time. Lyle Taylor got them up a running in the 32nd minute, with Joe Aribo doubling the away team’s advantage just two minutes later. Unfortunately for Lee Bowyer’s men, they let a goal in at the other end with just three minutes left to play.

Charlton are a side in terrific form at the moment, winning four in a row since a 2-1 defeat to Oxford United a month back. In fact, their 2-1 victory at the Keepmoat on Sunday was their eighth victory in nine games. Bowyer’s boys have been hard to beat lately, too, losing just once since early February. The Addicks missed out on automatic promotion by three points, but they are favourites to win the play-offs.

In the regular League One season, only champions Luton Town had a better home record, as Athletic accumulated an impressive 53 points at The Valley. The south London outfit won 16, drew five and lost just two of their 23 home league fixtures. Meanwhile, they have won their last six on their own patch and are unbeaten in 17 at home in the league (13 wins, four draws).

Charlton are priced at 10/11 to win on the night, while you can get them at just 1/8 to qualify. The tie is well and truly in their hands.

Charlton Athletic v Doncaster Rovers Head to Head

Charlton picked up four points from the two league meetings this term

Doncaster beat Charlton 2-0 at The Valley in the FA Cup earlier in the season

Donny have not beat the Addicks in league action since 2014

Rovers have won only one of their last six against Charlton

Key-Facts – Charlton Athletic v Doncaster Rovers
  • Charlton have won each of their last six at the Valley
  • Athletic finished 15 points above Rovers in the regular season
  • Donny have won just one of their last ten away from home

Doncaster Rovers News and Form

Doncaster Rovers were blown away by two quickfire Charlton goals in the first leg, although they kept themselves in the tie by reducing the deficit with three minutes left on the clock. Grant McCann’s men are now priced at 5/1 to make it to Wembley and 7/2 to win on the night at The Valley.

Doncaster have struggled away from home in recent months, winning only one of their last ten League One fixtures on the road. However, they did pick up a 2-0 victory at The Valley in an FA Cup tie back in December. In the league meeting on Charlton’s patch, Donny were beaten 2-0 a month earlier.

Despite pipping Peterborough United to the final play-off spot with a 2-0 home win over Coventry City on the final day of the season, Rovers have been in poor form of late. Sunday’s play-off defeat was their third loss in five matches, winning just one of those along the way. The club from South Yorkshire have left themselves with a mountain to climb in the capital on Friday.

Charlton Athletic v Doncaster Rovers Tips & Odds

Charlton Athletic to win -1 at 12/5
Charlton Athletic to win to nil at 21/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 16th, 2019 at 12:00 p.m.)

Charlton Athletic v Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Charlton Athletic win: Charlton have been faultless on home soil in recent months, winning six on the spin at The Valley. After a dominant display at the Keepmoat last weekend, the Addicks will fancy their chances of completing the job on home turf. This could be a comfortable victory for the hosts, so check out the tempting odds of 12/5 for Charlton to win -1. I’m also backing Bowyer’s side to win to nil (21/10) on Friday night.


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Valladolid v Valencia Predictions & Betting Odds – 18th May 2019

Valladolid v Valencia Betting Tips – La Liga, 18th May 3.15pm

This game is all about Valencia’s hopes of securing a Champions League place next season. They are starting the weekend in fourth place in the table but that is only because of their head to head over Getafe. Sevilla are on the prowl as well just two points back. So Valencia can’t afford to slip up as they go to Valladolid who, with three wins in their last four games have secured survival. Read our predictions for Valladolid v Valencia.

Valladolid v Valencia Betting Odds*

Valencia 4/11
Draw 15/4
Valladolid 7/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 15th, 2019 at 3:20 p.m.)

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Table of Contents

Valladolid News and Form

It has been back to back league wins for Valladolid in La Liga, and they have won three of their last four (L1). They are in pretty good shape then and that swing of positive form has seen them not having any relegation concerns for the final weekend of the season. Overall this season at home Valladolid are W5 D5 L8. They have remained undefeated in their last three home games, and have won their last two there. Four of their five home successes for the season have been against teams in the current bottom six.

Valladolid have averaged under a goal per game at home this season, with only 33% of their home fixtures going over 2.5 goals. Valladolid have banked a clean sheet in 28% of home games this season and all ten wins that they have claimed in this season’s top flight (home and away) have been by a margin of exactly one goal. The last two home successes that Valladolid have taken have been by a 1-0 scoreline. Of the home goals that Valladolid have produced this season, 11 of them have been in the second period of fixtures. Just five times have they opened the scoring at home.

Valladolid v Valencia Head to Head

There was a 1-1 draw between the two sides earlier this season
Four of the last five meetings have ended in a draw, including the last three
Valladolid are winless in six at home against Valencia
Valencia have scored in all but one of their last eleven against Valladolid

Key-Facts – Valladolid v Valencia

  • Valladolid have won three of their last four league games
  • Valladolid have earned back to back 1-0 home wins
  • Valencai have won four of their last six league fixtures

Valencia News and Form

It has been back to back league wins from Valencia, who have scored a total of nine goals in their successes over Huesca and Alaves. Overall this season in the top flight, Valencia have produced an away record of W7 D6 L5. It has been a bit mixed fortunes for them on their recent travels as they are W2 L2 in their last four. But looking back a bit further you do see a positive trend of four wins in their last six away games (L2). Valencia have averaged 1.4 goals per away game this season and they are on a three-match scoring streak on their travels.

Valencia have not been rock solid at the back though, as they failed to complete a clean sheet in their last eight games. Valencia have produced 64% of their away goals in the first period of fixtures and they have opened the scoring in over half of their away fixtures. The only teams who have produced better away records this season in La Liga have been the current top three. They also boast the fourth-best defensive record in La Liga too. They have what it takes to hold on to that top four place.

Valladolid v Valencia Tips & Odds

Valencia to win by a one-goal margin at 12/5
Under 2.5 goals at 6/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 15th, 2019 at 3:20 p.m.)

Valladolid v Valencia Predictions

Valencia to win: The good news for Valencia is that they are taking on a side who are going to be relaxed because Valladolid are safe for the season. Valencia have to be somewhat cautious and brave at the same time, knowing that they can still be caught.


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May 16th, 2019 NHL Betting Tips

Written by Graeme & Scott on Thursday, May 16th, 2019

What a freaking game that was last night beween the Blues and the Sharks!

That’s the sort of thing we always want to see from playoff hockey.

It helped that both our bets/tips came in, but really that’s secondary to just exciting games like that. How about those Blues – able to score 4 goals in one period and then nothing else the rest of the game.

A lot of controversy over the final goal as there should be. That was a fun as hell game and it shouldn’t be tainted by a miscall like that. Let’s hope that during the Summer, the NHL revise a lot of their rules and their replay rules which are a mess.

We now head to Carolina for Game 4 of the Bruins vs Hurricanes series. Are the Bruins going to sweep? Or do the Canes have it in them to drag this series out?

Bruins vs Hurricanes Game 4 Betting Tips:

Graeme: The Bruins need just one more win and it’s highly possible they get it tonight. The Hurricanes – everything that could go wrong this playoffs is. It’s just not their year.

In saying that – you never know when a game can go right for them. Their offense really should have taken Game 3. Like I said yesterday yeah Rask did a great job but the Canes offense missed quite a few chances that any other night would have been a goal.

I do think Bruins will win but man I can’t count out those Canes. No Bet

Scott: Wow. The Bruins have grabbed hold of this series and it doesnt look like they are going to let go. Their powerplay has been incredible and their penalty killing was perfect in game 3 killing off all 5 of the Hurricanes powerplays.

I had thought the Canes would win at least one game possibly two but with the way the Bruins have played I’m not sure anymore.

I wanted to say the Canes would win this game and force a game 5 back in Boston but again with the Bruins results during the first 3 games I am going to avoid a tip for this one.

No Bet


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Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes Odds and Preview – Horse Racing Betting May 18

This Saturday’s Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes is the first major mile contest for older horses in the UK Flat season. It’s gaining a reputation for fields bigger than normal for the type of race and therefore offers more betting opportunities, even though this year’s renewal is probably well up to the level of previous years.

Lockinge Stakes History and Trends

Contested over the straight mile at Newbury in Berkshire the race is named after Lockinge, a village located on the border of Berkshire and Oxfordshire. It was established in 1958 and originally open to horses aged three or older. The first running was won by that year’s 2000 Guineas Stakes winner Pall Mall and the horse repeated his success as a four-year-old in 1959.

The Lockinge Stakes was given Group 2 status in the 1970s but relegated to Group 3 level in 1983. Promoted back to Group 2 in 1985, it was raised to Group 1 level and closed to three-year-olds in 1995. It now forms part of the British Champions Series, being the second race in the mile division which concludes with the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes in October. Winners of the Lockinge Stakes often go on to compete in the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot with the mighty Frankel the last to win both races in the same year in 2012.

    • Four-year-olds have easily the best record in the Lockinge Stakes. That age group has won nine of the last 11 runnings with five-year-olds taking the other two – older horses are usually worth swerving.
    • Only 12 fillies have taken part since 2004 but four of those have won.
    • The last 12 winners had all won over a mile previously.
    • All recent winners had been officially rated 113 or higher.

Lockinge Stakes Winners Since 2007

Season Form
Year Winner Jockey Trainer Age Weight Price Stall Rating R W
2007 Red Evie Jamie Spencer Michael Bell 4 8-11 8/1 7 (8) 115 0 0
2008 Creachadoir Frankie Dettori Saeed Bin Suroor 4 9-0 3/1 7 (12) 118 1 0
2009 Virtual Jimmy Fortune John Gosden 4 9-0 6/1 10 (12) 113 1 0
2010 Paco Boy Richard Hughes Richard Hannon 5 9-0 8/11 3 (9) 124 1 1
2011 Canford Cliffs Richard Hughes Richard Hannon 4 9-0 4/5 4 (10) 127 0 0
2012 Frankel Tom Queally Sir Henry Cecil 4 9-0 2/7 6 (7) 136 0 0
2013 Farhh
Silvestre De Sousa
Saeed Bin Suroor 5 9-0 100/30 5 (13) 124 0 0
2014 Olympic Glory Frankie Dettori Richard Hannon 4 9-0 11/8 3 (8) 125 0 0
2015 Night of Thunder James Doyle Richard Hannon 4 9-0 11/4 3 (18) 121 0 0
2016 Belardo Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian 4 9-0 8/1 6 (13) 117 2 1
2017 Ribchester William Buick Richard Fahey 4 9-0 7/4 5 (9) 122 1 0
2018 Rhododendron Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien 4 8-11 100/30 2 (16) 116 1 0

Le Brivido bids to give Aidan O’Brien back-to-back victories in the Lockinge and is having his first run over a mile since finishing second in the French 2000 Guineas in 2017 but the general 7/2 owes more to his connections than his overall form and he offers little in the way of value.

Mythical Magic has gone up a level at Meydan this year but whether he’ll be able to reproduce that form back in the UK is questionable and the Godolphin gelding is a general 14/1. Lord Glitters (a general 8/1) finished ahead of Without Parole in the Dubai Turf in March but was beaten by Beat The Bank in last year’s Summer Mile at Ascot. Andrew Balding’s five-year-old was only 12th last year but has had a prep run this time and beat Sharja Bridge (10/1 with Boylesports) in the *** Mile at Sandown. He was beaten by shock winner Accidental Agent and Lord Glitters in the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot last summer but had no luck in-running and is expected to reverse that form this weekend.

Sir Dancealot had excellent form last season so could be overpriced at a best 33/1 but he’s not really proven beyond 7f. LAURENS was just touched off by Billesdon Brook in last year’s 1000 Guineas at Newmarket but has made the greater progress since and can enhance the excellent record that fillies have in this Group 1.

The apple of trainer Karl Burke’s eye, she’s done all of her winning so far against her own sex but there were legitimate excuses when the daughter of Siyouni was well beaten in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot in October and she loves a galloping track. The likely strong pace is another plus as she stays further and has to be the bet at a stand-out 11/2 with Ladbrokes.

Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes Current Best Odds

Le Brivido 7/2, Laurens 11/2, Beat The Bank 7/1, Lord Glitters 8/1, Mustashry 9/1, Sharja Bridge 10/1, Without Parole 12/1, Mythical Magic 14/1, Ostilio 16/1, I Can Fly 20/1, Accidental Agent and Romanised 28/1, Billesdon Brook and  Sir Dancealot 33/1

(Odds correct at 1.45pm May 16)


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FA Cup Final Tips Manchester City To Seal Domestic Treble With A Comfortable Win Against Watford

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Rob Eddy’s Racing Tips: Friday 17th May

DISCLAIMER: ODDS AND ARTICLE UPDATED 16/05/2019, 18:38.

The Dante Meeting at York concludes on Friday with champion stayer Stradivarius putting his scalp on the line in the Yorkshire Cup, the opening leg of the Wetherby's Million bonus that he so brilliantly claimed last year.

There's also action to choose from at Newmarket, Newbury, Aintree (jumps) and Hamilton in Britain alongside cards from Leopardstown and Kilbeggan (jumps) in Ireland.

2.25 York

Twist 'n' Shake to Win and Each Way @ 5/2 - BET NOW

John Gosden and Frankie Dettori endured a mixed day on Thursday at York, with Lah Ti Dar scrambling home before Too Darn Hot was touched off in the Dante. They combine once more in this Listed contest for the fillies and might have another smart performer in Twist 'n' Shake.

She was only just held on her reappearance at Newmarket by the smart-looking Maqsad and duly went one better at Nottingham a week ago, storming clear to win a soft-ground maiden in splendid isolation.

That showed she'll operate on any ground and while the quick turnaround is a minor concern, Gosden's judgement is trusted for a filly clearly on the up and capable of having her say in this grade.

6.40 Aintree

Fidux to Win and Each Way @ 8/1 - BET NOW

Having ended 2018 with back-to-back hurdles wins, it has been something of a quiet start to this year for the Alan King-trained Fidux. He was well beaten at Taunton in February but last month's Cheltenham third behind Le Patriote might have some substance to it.

He was held up off the pace and made decent late progress to finish within four lengths of the winner, with Le Patriote’s subsequent win in the Grade 3 Swinton Handicap Hurdle at Haydock only boosting the form.

The improving handicapper Neverbeen To Paris is respected but Bryony Frost's mount might cede best to Fidux, whose last-time-out Cheltenham run bodes well. The King team are in good order at the moment (7-33 lately) and Wayne Hutchinson's mount squeezes into our Best Friday Horse Racing Betting Tips despite top-weight at Aintree.

7.05 Leopardstown

Archer's Up to Win and Each Way @ 20/1 - BET NOW

A competitive handicap on the Leopardstown card over a mile and a half offers perhaps another chance for Oisin Orr to showcase his talents.

The former champion apprentice is enjoying an excellent start to the season, in particular as he strikes up a fruitful partnership with the Dermot Weld yard. Here, he rides for Champion Hurdle-winning trainer Gavin Cromwell on seasonal debutant Archer's Up.

The dual purpose performer won first time out last season before joining this trainer and went close at Leopardstown on his stable bow over 1m5f off a mark of 69.

He was in and out thereafter both on the Flat and over timber but returns rated 7lb lower this evening and, with that course form in mind and his proven ability fresh, this might be the time to catch him at a decent price with Orr boasting a 22% strike rate of late.

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Twins vs. Mariners MLB Pick – May 16th

9.5O/U
-115ODDS

OUR PICK

OVER

BET NOW!

The Minnesota Twins and Seattle Mariners begin a four-game series on Thursday at T-Mobile Park. The Twins are the unlikely team in the AL Central to be ahead of the Indians. If the Twins hold on to win the division, it’s going to be a mini upset with the favorite Indians losing. It would be nice to see a nice race in the AL Central after what happened last season.

The AL Central was the least competitive division, as everyone struggled expect the Indians. They ran away with the championship by the end of May. It clearly didn’t help them win much more than that, though.

While the Twins brought in additional talent, the Indians sat and checked their hand. Now Corey Kluber is dealing with a fractured arm and isn’t coming back soon. He wasn’t pitching up to his standards before the injury either, but the Indians were waiting patiently on a turnaround for Kluber. Not so fast, as he’s out and there is no timetable for his return.

In other words, this leaves a nice opportunity for the Twins to take advantage of the situation. Minnesota enter Seattle with a record of 27-15. Conversely, the Mariners have struggled to keep up no matter where they are playing. This is a team who had something nice going on earlier. Erik Swanson is expected to play for the Mariners, while Michael Pineda is scheduled to pitch for Twins. He may be the guy who holds them back. Head below for our free Twins vs. Mariners pick.

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Twins -115/Mariners -105
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Michael Pineda (2-3, 5.85 ERA)
  • Erik Swanson (1-4, 6.35 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv
This was supposed to be the year that changed Michael Pineda. After so many injuries and downtime, it’s been hard for Pineda to pitch like it’s a decade ago. He actually didn’t too bad to open the season, but that has changed drastically. Pineda has been slipping fast with an overall ERA of 5.85. For a guy with an extensive injury history looking for a change of scenery in Minnesota, it just hasn’t worked out well thus far.

In his previous three starts, Pineda has gotten rocked for a 6.19 ERA and 1.56 WHIP. Now he must deal with a top-5 offense who have averaged 5.33 runs per game this season. It’s certainly worth noting that his opponents are hitting .333 against Pineda in 54 at-bats. They should be able to get a good offensive day in on Thursday vs Pineda.

There are no guarantees about Erik Swanson, though. He is likely going to run into some issues on the bump in this contest. Swanson goes into this one with an ERA of 6.35. In his previous three outings, that number balloons into a 7.98 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. The 25-year-old has shown some promising moments, but still has been erratic for the most part. I’d look at the OVER here late on Thursday night which should prove to get into the double digits in Seattle.

The Bet
OVER 9.5
-115
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Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors Game 2 NBA Pick – May 16th

O/U
-115ODDS

MY PICK

OVER 218

PLACE BET!

The Conference Finals are fully underway now for the NBA. Four teams are left in the playoffs and will look to earn a berth in the NBA Finals. The Portland Trail Blazers and the Golden State Warriors will meet up in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals on Thursday night. This game is expected to start at around 9:00 PM Eastern time on ESPN.

The Trail Blazers finished in third place of the Western Conference Finals this season with a record of 53-29. Portland was able to knock off the Oklahoma City Thunder in five games in the first round. The Trail Blazers then went on to beat the Denver Nuggets in seven games in the second round. Portland will look to even up this series on Thursday night.

Golden State ended the regular season with a record of 57-25, which put them in the top spot in the Western Conference. The Warriors played the Los Angeles Clippers in the first round and won in six games. Golden State then went on to play the Houston Rockets in the second round and won in six games again. The Warriors will look to take the first two games of this series at home.

The Trail Blazers and the Warriors are the last two teams remaining in the Western Conference. Golden State is the favorite in this matchup, but they have been hit with some injuries this postseason. The Warriors will look to keep winning so that as they get healthy, they will be able to cruise to the NBA Finals again this season.

Previous Matchups

Portland and Golden State met up four times throughout the regular season. The Warriors won the first game at home but lost the second game of the season series at home. The third game of the season series shifted Portland, where the Trail Blazers lost. Portland was able to even up the regular season series with a win at home in the final game of the series.

Game 1 of this playoff series was in Golden State on May 14. Damian Lillard put up 19 points, while C.J. McCollum, Maurice Harkless, and Rodney Hood each dropped 17 points for the Trail Blazers. Stephen Curry put up 36 points, while Klay Thompson added another 26 points. The Warriors were able to outplay Portland as they pulled off an impressive 116-94 win at home.

The Trail Blazers kept up with Golden State throughout the first three quarters of Game 1 but were outscored 39-23 throughout the fourth quarter. Portland was able to pull off a win on the road in the regular season and will look to do so again to even up this series on Thursday night. The Trail Blazers will look for McCollum and Lillard to put up stronger performances to pull off the upset.

Points Per Game

The Trail Blazers were averaging the third most points per game throughout the regular season. Portland averaged around 114.7 points per game, which was sixth best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers allowed around 110.5 points per game in the regular season, which wasn’t great. Portland is averaging around 109.8 points per game in the playoffs.

Golden State averaged around 117.7 points per game in the regular season, which was second best in the NBA. The Warriors are averaging around 117.9 points per game in the postseason. Golden State allowed their opponents to score around 111.2 points per game throughout the regular season, which was around the middle of the league.

Both of these teams were really solid scoring teams throughout the regular season. The Trail Blazers have not quite carried that into the postseason, playing a more defensive game in the playoffs. Golden State has kept up their offensive strength in the playoffs though and Portland will need to score a good amount of points if they want to keep up in this series. I believe they will come out firing in Game 2 to try and keep up.

Top Performers

The guard duo of Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum have been what has carried the Trail Blazers on this playoff run. Damian Lillard has averaged around 27.5 points and 6 assists per game at the Point Guard slot throughout the playoffs. C.J. McCollum is averaging about 25 points and 5.5 rebounds per game from the other Guard spot. Enes Kanter has stepped up for the injured Jusuf Nurkic, averaging around 12.5 points and 11 rebounds per game in the playoffs. Rodney Hood is averaging 10.5 points per game off the bench.

Stephen Curry has stepped up in the playoffs, especially as of late with Kevin Durant out for a little while. Curry has averaged around 25 points per game throughout this postseason run. Klay Thompson has also stepped up since Durant went down with an injury. Thompson is averaging around 19 points per game from the Shooting Guard spot. Draymond Green has had a solid postseason run, averaging 12.5 points, 9.5 rebounds and 8 assists per game. Andre Iguodala is averaging 11 points per game to round out the lineup.

The Guards for each team will go head to head throughout this series in the matchup to watch. Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum will look to keep up with the scoring of Curry and Thompson of the Warriors. Kanter will look to put up a strong performance with Golden State lacking a strong Center player. The Warriors depth has been stepping up in the last couple of games, but Hood will look to help propel the Trail Blazers depth to give them the edge in this matchup.

Pick Overview

The Warriors will be without Kevin Durant and DeMarcus Cousins for Game 2 of this matchup, but could get them back in Game 3 in Portland. Golden State will look for Steph Curry and Klay Thompson to put up another big performance to give them the win at home. Golden State has had the better offense in the playoffs, and they have some matchups that they will look to exploit to earn the win on Thursday night.

BetOnline has this game as the Warriors -7.5 against the spread. I believe that Portland could keep this close, but that is not the best bet in my opinion. BetOnline has the over/under for this matchup listed at 218. I believe that these two teams could combine for a high scoring matchup on Thursday night, which gives some value to the over for this game. I am taking the over for May 16’s Western Conference Final Matchup.

My Pick
OVER 218
-115
Place Bet Now!

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Deontay Wilder v Dominic Breazeale Preview, Betting Tips, Predictions & Odds

We assess the Boxing odds as Deontay Wilder puts his WBC heavyweight title and unbeaten record on the line on Saturday night when he goes head-to-head with fellow American Dominic Breazeale at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn.

Deontay Wilder v Dominic Breazale Odds

Wilder comes into the fight with a point to prove after his perfect record was ended after a hard-fought draw against Tyson Fury back in Los Angeles on December 1.

It was suggested that Fury was hard-done to by the judges' scorecards, with many feeling the British fighter edged the contest, despite almost being stopped in the final round when Wilder put him on the canvas with an explosive right-left combination.

Wilder had 40 professional wins under his belt before facing Fury, with 39 of those coming inside the distance, so he will be looking to return to the norm in New York this weekend and is priced at 1/6 for the win.

Breazeale arrives with a strong record of 20 wins and 18 KOs from 21 professional bouts with his only blemish being a seventh-round defeat against current WBA (Super), IBF and WBO champion Anthony Joshua in June 2016.

Joshua described Breazeale as "a tough cookie" but expects Wilder to get the job done, although those fancying a win for 'Big Baps' can get odds of 6/1, while a second successive draw for Wilder is 25/1.

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Deontay Wilder v Dominic Breazeale Betting Tips

Wilder By Ko, Tko Or Disqualification @ 2/5 - BET NOW

The 'Bronze Bomber' will be in no mood to get bogged down by Breazeale after his exploits against Fury last time out and, while an air of caution will be required, it seems it's a case of 'when and not if' he gets the job done without the need for the judges to give their verdicts.

It is Wilder's ninth defence of his WBC strap, which he won on points against Canadian Bermane Stiverne at the scene of Saturday night's fight back in November 2017.

None of his opponents, including Stiverne in a rematch, have lasted the distance since - apart from Fury last time out - and Breazeale, barring a major shock, is set to be another name on that list.

Deontay Wilder v Dominic Breazeale Prediction

Wilder To Win Rounds 7-12 @ 13/8 - BET NOW

Wilder will be aware that it took heavyweight rival Joshua seven rounds of his fight against Breazeale to get the contest stopped and it is likely that the 33-year-old will try and make a statement by getting him out of the ring earlier.

However, that will be easier said than done. Joshua dominated their bout but Breazeale won the plaudits afterwards for showing plenty of grit and determination on the night and he can again ask some questions of his more-fancied opponent.

He is also a man on a revenge mission after claiming Wilder attacked him in front of his family in an Alabama hotel in February.

Breazeale claims he is now in the best shape of his career in order to "bring the pain" to Wilder so is unlikely to give up without a real fight even though, ultimately, it's set to end in defeat.

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Brewers vs. Phillies MLB Pick – May 16th

MONEYLINE
+105ODDS

OUR PICK

BREWERS

BET NOW!

The Milwaukee Brewers and Philadelphia Phillies meet up for the fourth and final game of their four-game series this week. The Phillies won the opener by a score of 7-4, but have faltered in the last two outings with losses of 6-1 and 5-2. Bryce Harper has continued to struggle in the early stages of the season, similar to what happened last season at the beginning of the year.

Harper is hitting .220 with 7 long balls, which is pretty close to his production level at this point last year. The most overrated ball player in Major League Baseball is off to a predictable start this season. Well, predictable to everyone else but the team who signed him to a monster contract.

Harper ultimately finished with a batting average of .249 with 34 home runs. Those don’t look like $330 million-dollar numbers to me and he’s on pace to likely finishing in the same ballpark of a .250 average. After dusting himself off, Harper got back into the swing of things and bumped his numbers up.

However, .249 is very ugly for a guy making this money. Here we are again and he’s going into May 16th with a batting average of .220. Not good enough for a player carrying that much money around. The Phillies’ chances in the NL East certainly depend on his play. They’re 2.5 games up on the Braves right now, but at 24-18 there’s room for improvement. Zach Davies is expected to get the start for the Brewers, while Zach Eflin goes for the Phillies on Thursday. Head below for our free Brewers vs. Phillies pick.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Phillies -125/Brewers +105
  • O/U: 9

Pitching Matchup:

  • Zach Davies (4-0, 1.54 ERA)
  • Zach Eflin (5-3, 2.47 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

The Brewers’ pitching has mostly been amiss this season, but Zach Davies has been one member of the starting rotation who has been fantastic. He is going to need some help and look at options in the market at the deadline, but Davies has done a fine job at holding the rotation together.

Without him pitching like an elite hurler, the Brewers most likely aren’t looking at a record of 26-19. They are 16th in the majors with a team starter ERA of 4.34. Conversely, Davies has been rock solid with an ERA of 1.54 and perfect 4-0 record in 2019. He is helping pull that team ERA up significantly.

Davies is a guy who posted an ERA of 3.90 in 2017 and 4.77 a season ago, so this definitely isn’t the norm for him. He’s already made eight starts and hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in any outing. Where he shines is in his ability to keep the ball down and in the field of play. In his previous four outings, Davies has allowed just 1 home run. He is coming off a loss, but it isn’t due to his pitching. Milwaukee took a 2-1 loss against the Cubs, with Davies allowing a run in the outing.

It isn’t to take anything away from the Phillies’ starting pitcher Zach Eflin, who has been having a breaking out campaign as well. Not quite as good as Davies, but he still holds a 2.47 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. He has been a better pitcher thus far this season than the last three years combined.

His previous career-high was an ERA of 4.36 last season, so both of these pitchers are experiencing similar emotions in their careers. Eflin is coming off a complete game against the Royals, already his second complete game of the year. He’s pitched a lot of innings recently with 25 in his last three games. That can catch up to a pitcher, especially later in the season. Eflin has been good but Davies as an underdog looks more attractive in this spot.

The Bet
BREWERS
+105
Place Bet Now!

This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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