Free betting tips and previews
Here you will find free betting tips and previews from the hottest betting experts online collected and compiled in one place. Same as in the Tiltbet betting app on AppStore.
Here you will find free betting tips and previews from the hottest betting experts online collected and compiled in one place. Same as in the Tiltbet betting app on AppStore.
In a rehearsal for next week’s Scottish FA Cup Final, Celtic end their league campaign playing host to a team who will be looking to upset the odds not only at Celtic Park this week but also at Hampden next – can the champions bounce back from a lacklustre performance in last week’s OLd Firm clash at Ibrox?
With another domestic treble up for grabs in six days time, Neil Lennon may be tempted to make changes for the Hoops’ final Premiership game of the season with nothing at stake. Celtic will be parading the league trophy after the final whistle so there is a possibility that a below-strength team could take their eye off the ball against Hearts. Lennon is considering giving a start to 16-year-old Karamoko Dembele in one of several changes likely. Oliver Burke played 90 minutes against Rangers last week and could play his final match before returning to parent club West Brom – Kieran Tierney, James Forrest, Odsonne Edouard, Jonny Hayes and Mikael Lustig are all likely to be rested by the caretaker manager, who could be taking charge of his final match at Celtic Park with a permanent contract looking no nearer. Celtic ‘s defeat at Rangers was their first, in domestic competition, since December and also the first time they’d conceded a goal in seven matches.
Craig Levein is also set to make changes to his starting line-up and could give a league debut to Bulgarian teenager Alex Petkov – the latter has made just one senior appearance so far. The Jam Tarts left out key players Michael Smith, John Souttar, Arnaud Djoum and Uche Ikpeazu from last week’s defeat at Aberdeen and its likely at least two of those will also be missing again at Celtic Park. In theory, Hearts could finish as low as eighth in the table with another defeat and they are ending the season with a whimper. But the focus has very much been on Hampden since they beat Inverness CT in the Scottish Cup semi-finals. Levein’s side have lost five of their last six in the Premiership with the only bright spot being a 1-1 draw in the Edinburgh derby at Hibernian. They’ve not scored more than once in any of those games but have been boosted by the news that Austrian Peter Haring has signed a new two-year contract at Tynecastle.
It’s almost 10 years since Hearts last won at Celtic Park and they last avoided defeat in 2015. Celtic have won five of their last six meetings in all competitions, scoring at least three goals in four of those games.
Celtic 3/10, Draw 9/2, Hearts 10/1 (Odds correct at 11.00am May 17)
Both teams will have unfamiliar line-ups in this fixture but the likelihood is that Celtic’s second string is a lot better than that of Hearts and they also have home advantage. Celtic look value at 41/20 with Hearts getting a two-goal start in the Handicap betting with Unibet. Celtic to Win Both Halves is 9/5 with Unibet.
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The Seattle Mariners play host to the Minnesota Twins this weekend for a four-game series. Things got started on Thursday with the Mariners taking a 11-6 loss against the hot Twins. Forget about the Indians, the Twins are running hot and taking the initiative to generate a healthy lead in the AL Central.
The Indians ran away and left everyone far behind in a season where the Twins were expected to be a threat. They may have been late bloomers, but everything has been working for them in 2019. The Twins have opened up a 4.5-game lead in the AL Central, as the Indians have never really been on point at any point this season. They struggled to open the season, a lot of the blame was put on the absence of Francisco Lindor in the lineup. That’s a sizable bat out of the offense, though they haven’t been so great in his return either.
In other words, the Twins are loving what they’re seeing in Cleveland. The Twins are out to a 28-15 start to the season. They hit 4 long balls in their winning cause on Thursday. It was the return of Miguel Sano to the lineup and he had 2 hits and an RBI. The offense erupted in the 4th inning for 7 runs to chase Erik Swanson out of the game. Minnesota ultimately secured a 11-6 win, which was more than enough to cash our ticket on the OVER.
It was a nice day yesterday, as we completed the sweep for a 4-0 day, including a winner on the Bruins in Game 4. The Twins will send Martin Perez to the bump this evening, while the Mariners hope to respond with Marco Gonzales. Head below for our free Twins vs. Mariners pick.
Betting odds provided by bovada.lv
The Twins have won three games in a row behind a hot strike offense that has been playing well this season. They added Nelson Cruz in the offseason and made some attempts to get better in that respect. Note that Cruz has been out with an injured wrist, but has been contributing with a .270 batting average and 7 home runs.
At this point, bringing in Nelson Cruz instead of somebody like Robinson Cano was a smart move. The Twins are 3rd in the major leagues with 5.42 runs scored per game. They finished 13th last season with 4.56 runs per game. Quite the improvement, so far anyway.
Also helping is performances from guys like Martin Perez. The Twins really didn’t have sky high expectations for Perez going into this season, but he’s been exceeding what they had in mind. Perez spent seven years in Texas with the Rangers and never met his goals.
In his final year there, he posted an ERA of 6.22 and only had one season, in 2013, with an ERA below 4.00. It’s early and he could still tank badly, but his ERA of 3.11 looks pretty impressive in comparison to his past. He pitched for the Rangers for all seven years of his career and hasn’t looked like this in a long time. However, Perez has been susceptible to getting hit on the road, as he has a 4.08 ERA and 1.30 WHIP on the road compared to a 2.51 ERA in Minnesota.
The Mariners have done well against Perez, as they’re hitting .301 with a .354 OBP in 133 at-bats. Conversely, Marco Gonzales has been sharp in the limited action he has seen against this lineup. The Twins are hitting just .188 in 16 at-bats against Gonzales. Not a huge sample size, but he has been capable. Gonzales has been pretty solid at home, as he’s sporting a 2.93 ERA in 27.2 innings pitched. In his previous 10 innings, he’s allowed just 3 runs on the board. This looks like a spot where the Mariners likely show up and get a win as slight underdogs to the Twins on Friday.
Plenty of sport to enjoy today as there's horse racing from York, US PGA Championship golf in New York and One Day International cricket involving England and Pakistan.
The football keeps coming thick and fast on Friday too as the last of the play-off semi-finals takes centre stage this evening. The second leg of the League One clash between Charlton and Doncaster is the focus for us and it is Charlton who are in the driving seat after winning the first leg 2-1 away at the Keepmoat Stadium last week.
The Addicks are on a six-match winning run on home soil at The Valley and they are 19/20 for victory against Doncaster, who failed to win away at any top-half team in League One during the regular campaign. Rovers failed to score in three of their five away matches at top-five teams and a Charlton win to nil - 21/10 with Bet Victor - looks good value as Lee Bowyer's side conceded just 15 goals in home league games.
While Charlton are rock-solid at the back, they are also impressive going forward and Lyle Taylor is 7/2 to be first goalscorer as he bids to add to the seven goals he has scored in his last six matches at The Valley.
|Friday - 7.45pm||Odds||Bets|
|Charlton v Doncaster - BEST BETS|
|Charlton win Best Bet||19/20|
|Charlton win to nil||21/10|
|Lyle Taylor first goalscorer||7/2||Boylesports">|
As we previously mentioned, the 19/20 for Charlton to win on Friday night is too good to ignore, while Braga are tipped to bounce back from a run of three successive league defeats in Portugal. Braga have won 12 of their 16 home league games and should be too good for woeful Portimonense, who have taken a paltry two points from the last 21 available on the road.
Finally, a punt on under 2.5 goals has paid out in 10 of the last 11 meetings between Dundee Utd and Inverness ahead of what is likely to be a nervy second leg of their Scottish Premiership play-off semi-final, with Dundee United carrying a 1-0 win over from the first leg.
|Friday Football Treble||Odds||Bet|
|Tips:||Bragav Portimonense - Home Win||@ 2 / 5||Betfred">|
|Charlton v Doncaster - Home Win||@ 19 / 20||Betfred">|
|Dundee Utdv Inverness- Under 2.5 Goals||@ 17 / 20||Betfred">|
|Treble Pays:||@ 4 / 1||Betfred">Betfred|
Our tip of the day comes from the 2.25pm at York as John Gosden's Twist 'N' Shake looks to be a worthy favourite for the Oaks Farm Stables Fillies' Stakes. The 3-year-old placed on her first two starts before winning at Nottingham last time out and she is expected to enhance her reputation on Friday.
|Friday - 2.25pm||Odds||Bets|
|Nap Of The Day - York|
|Twist 'N' Shake Best Bet||7/4|
The best advised winning bets in the last five days on the Betting Directory:
|16th May||Middleton Stakes||Lah Ti Dar - Won||4/7|
|16th May||Gerwyn Price v Peter Wright||Price win||13/10|
|16th May||Daryl Gurney v Michael Smith||Gurney win||7/5|
|16th May||Michael van Gerwen v Mensur Suljovic||Van Gerwen win 8-5||5/1|
|16th May||Portsmouth v Sunderland||The Draw||23/10|
We've listed the best offers for today's sport below as well as new customer offers from the best bookmakers
Napoli v Inter Milan Betting Tips – Serie A, 19th May 7.30pm
This one is a top-four clash in Serie A although the only importance in it is on Inter and their chance at a top-four finish. Napoli have locked down second spot already in the division and Inter are only one place behind them. Mathematically they can still miss out on a place in the Champions League next season but a win in this fixture would guarantee that they get there. That is not going to be an easy feat in Naples though. Read our predictions for Napoli v Inter Milan.
Inter Milan 17/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 15th, 2019 at 3:20 p.m.)
Table of Contents
It is a three-match winning streak that Napoli are on in the league at the moment. They have netted at least two goals in each of those three. Napoli have produced a home record of W12 D4 L2 in Serie A this season and only Juventus have been able to get the better of them in leading standing once again.
They haven’t been in the hottest of home form, Napoli having gone W2 D2 L2 in their last six home games. They have only managed to bag the one clean sheet in their last eleven games home and away combined. There has not been one from them in any of their last five home fixtures. Both of their home defeats this season have been against top four sides, Juventus and Atalanta.
Their weekend opponents Inter are third. Napoli have done alright in front of goal, averaging two per game in Naples. They have conceded at under a goal per home game as well. Napoli have taken a clean sheet in 44% of home fixture, 61% of their home games going over 2.5 goals.
Napoli are on a twelve match scoring streak in the league at the moment, having netted in each of their last five on home soil. In total, they have opened the scoring in 12 of 18 home games. Of the five times that Napoli have fallen behind this season at home, they have managed to produce an equalizer on three of those occasions.
Napoli lost 1-0 at Inter earlier this season
There has been just two goals scored in the last four meetings
Napoli have lost one of their last five against Inter (W2 D2)
Inter are winless in twelve league visits to Napoli
Key-Facts – Napoli v Inter Milan
Inter got a 2-0 home success over Chievo last weekend and that moved them on to a seven-match undefeated streak of form (W3 D4). So it has been solid stuff from them, but those draws have prevented them getting over the line in terms of a top four finish.
It is likely that they will still achieve that goal though. Inter have a strong record away from home in the top flight this season of W9 D4 L5 and they have been carrying good recent road form. Inter have won three of their last four out on their travels (D1).
Inter have averaged 1.6 goals per away game, conceding at an average of just over a goal per game. They have taken a clean sheet in 39% of road games, taking a clean sheet in two of their last three road games. Five of their nine away successes for the season have been by just the one-goal margin.
Four of their five away defeats have been by a margin of just the one goal too. 68% of the away goals that Inter have scored this season have come after the halftime break. Each of Inter’s last four league games have gone under 2.5 goals. There has also been a fair few low-scoring games between these two recently.
Under 2.5 goals at 11/10
Both teams not to score at 8/15
* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 15th, 2019 at 3:20 p.m.)
Draw: At the end of the day neither would be disappointed with a draw in this fixture. Napoli are a strong home side and realistically Inter would be pretty happy with a point to keep their top four hopes going strongly. They have an easy home game to finish the season with, so a point here fits for them. Draw in the match outright.
The Cincinnati Reds welcome the Los Angeles Dodgers for a three-game series over the weekend. Cincinnati are feeling pretty good after a couple of wins against the Cubs this week. Luis Castillo showed up again in a big way in his most recent start, as he held the Cubs to 2 hits and 2 runs in 5.1 innings. There was a lengthy rain delay and the bullpen picked right up where Castillo left off.
The Reds are down in the NL Central at the moment, and I think if they get back into the hunt, it’s going to take their strong bullpen to do it. Yasiel Puig is going to have to be part of the equation as well. The Reds didn’t sign him to loaf around and collect a paycheck while not contributing. He’s hitting just .206 with 7 home runs as we get deeper into May. That has to change for the Reds who are going to need offense.
Everyone else in the NL Central are within 3.5 games of one another, while the Reds are 6.5 back. That’s certainly not ideal, but there is a long time left for Puig and company to get hot. They can’t depend on Castillo to carry the load, even though he is an early candidate for the National League Cy Young. Anthony DeSclafani is a guy who the Reds need to get going.
DeSclafani has been an average pitcher, but he is at a point in his career where it’s time to elevate his role. DeSclafani will see the bump this evening on Friday night. He will make ninth start of the season, while Rich Hill will make his fourth of the season. Hill was bothered by an injury during training camp, which set him back until April 28th when he made his 2019 debut against the Pirates. Head below for our free Dodgers vs. Reds pick.
Betting odds provided by bovada.lv
The Dodgers go into the weekend with a solid record of 29-16 and are on a three-game winning streak going into Cincinnati. They are enjoying life at the top of the National League, as they’ve shown thus far that they don’t need Puig in their lineup to have success. The Dodgers are also without Manny Machado after they traded for him last season. It wasn’t enough to win the World Series, but it appears that they have another team built to go far. Cody Bellinger has more than made up for their absence, as he continues to swing a hot bat with 15 home runs.
Rich Hill has made only three starts thus far this season. He returned to post what looked like an impressive start with just 1 earned run allowed. However, Hill was on the bump for 5 runs, including 2 deep balls. He was fortunately to only get credited with 1 run against. He wasn’t as fortunate against the Padres and Nationals, as he was responsible for 12 hits and 6 runs in 9 innings of play. He is looking for his first standout game of the season Friday in Cincinnati.
Hill has had some issues on the road, as he enters with an ERA of 6.75 and 2.00 WHIP after getting handled by the Padres in San Diego. The Reds are hitting better against left-handed pitching this season, with a batting average of .246 as opposed to .205 against righties. If DeSclafani can keep away from Joc Pederson he should be alright here.
Pederson has mauled him for a .444 batting average and the only hitter on the Dodgers to take him deep, which he was able to do twice. He has loved pitching at night, as he holds an ERA of 2.02 and 1.05 WHIP compared to an ERA of 8.16 and 1.53 WHIP during the day. I can see this being a letdown spot for the Dodgers in the season opener against the Reds. The Dodgers have been very beatable on the road with a record of 10-10. Pitching is about even here, but the price is far more attractive on the home team. Go with the home dog to pull off a small upset on Friday evening in Cincinnati.
The New York Mets and Jacob deGrom go into the weekend against the Miami Marlins following a tough loss in Washington. The Mets won the series opener, 6-2, on Tuesday and then dropped the next two to fall back to 20-22 on the season. In what was a hot start for the Mets to start the season, they’ve tailed off and are falling out of favor in the NL East. They find themselves 3.5 games behind the Phillies for 1st in the division and are losers in six of their last ten games.
They were on a three-game winning streak before dropping two games in a row. The Mets have plenty of work to do if they want to hang with the Phillies and Braves. It’s not particularly a strong division, I don’t foresee anyone coming out of the National League from the NL East, though it’s likely going to be a close race for the divisional crown in September.
The Mets must get better play out of Robinson Cano. He was brought in to help an offense that was abysmal a season ago and hasn’t contributed much. He was pretty well a bust in Seattle as a Mariner, so not much has changed. I’m not so sure the Mets should have expected to get a solid ROI in Cano.
He has connected for just 3 home runs and is hitting .257. Cano was injured and struggled in his final season in Seattle last year. He hit just 10 long balls, though he had an adequate average of .303 at the plate. Having said that, Cano is a guy who needs power numbers to justify his contract.
The 39 home runs and .298 average he notched in 2016 looks like a tall order to match now. The Mets need his power game to open up. Jacob deGrom appears to be back in the saddle, though, as he is beginning to look like himself after a brief stretch of okay play. Head below for our free Mets vs. Marlins pick.
Betting odds provided by bovada.lv
The Mets need deGrom to pitch like he did last season, but we quickly found out that just that isn’t going to be enough. They finished with a record of 77-85, which was good for 4th in the NL East despite a picture perfect season by deGrom. Management addressed the issue, but acquiring Cano was never a sure thing.
They missed out on the big name tickets and had to settle for a trade for Cano. deGrom is back on point, though, and that’s a really good sign. After allowing 5 runs in 4 innings against the Brewers, deGrom has allowed just 3 runs in three outings. He owns an ERA of 1.29 with a 0.76 WHIP in his previous three outings. deGrom has been much better on the road as well, with an ERA of 1.80 and 0.96 WHIP as opposed to a 4.91 ERA and 1.27 WHIP at home.
He recently dominated the Marlins, allowing just 1 run across 7 innings in a 4-1 victory. In 122 at-bats, the Marlins have connected for only 1 deep ball and a batting average of .230. Brian Anderson is responsible for the only home run against deGrom. In deGrom’s last 14 innings pitched against the Marlins, he has allowed only 1 run and 8 hits across two starts.
We should see deGrom at peak Cy Young level tonight against the Marlins. Meanwhile, Trevor Richards has been struggling to find a rhythm. He wanted a breakout campaign, but he isn’t getting what he hoped for. In his second season, Richards showed moments of good stuff as a rookie. He looks like the same guy who posted an ERA of 4.42 a season ago. Richards goes into Friday with an ERA of 4.46 and 1.37 WHIP. The Mets have been solid against Richards, as they’re hitting .316 with 3 long balls in 57 at-bats. Consider the Mets in this spot to win by 2 runs or more Friday evening in Miami.
MANCHESTER CITY take on Watford in the FA Cup final on Saturday at Wembley. Daniel McCulloch (@DMcCulloch1984) takes a look at the betting.
Given that Manchester City finished 48 points better off in the Premier League than their opponents this weekend, it is little wonder that the Citizens are generally as short as 1/4 to win this encounter.
Watford come in to this game with just one win – against bottom side Huddersfield – from their six matches since they beat Wolves in that epic semi-final, but I am prepared to discount those games. Players minds have clearly been on the Wembley showpiece since that incredible comeback and I do actually feel that they have enough attacking ability to cause City problems.
The Hornets may have lost 11 of their 12 matches against the Big Six this campaign, but they were competitive in most of those and did manage to find the net in both games against City.
Five of their 11 defeats against the aforementioned half dozen came via a scoreline of two goals to one and I fancy that result again here. It’s 9/1 with Skybet and I advise supplementing that with a 3-1 victory for Pep’s side at 10/1 with ***.
I have written many a time about the frequency of this scoreline under Guardiola; City have won in this manner on seven occasions in the Premier League this term and 17 of the Catalan’s 114 league matches as City boss. That implies that there is a 15% chance of this occurring yet the odds suggest its around 9%.
If Watford are to score – which I believe they will – then their hero from the semi-final Gerard Deulofeu seems to be their most likely scorer. The Spaniard has scored 12 goals in 33 matches in all competitions this season and in five of his last 13 matches overall (including against City in the 3-1 defeat). At 11/2 with Betfred, backing him to score in 90 minutes looks to be worth a few pennies to me.
At shorter prices, I did consider backing the second half to feature more goals but that’s not really a fun watch for such a short price, so I would rather throw a few darts at bigger prices.
Manchester City v Watford – Manchester City to win 2-1 (9/1 Skybet)
Manchester City v Watford – Manchester City to win 3-1 (10/1 ***)
Manchester City v Watford – Gerard Deulofeu to score at anytime (11/2 Betfred)
FOOTBALL LEAGUE fanatic Tom Love (@TomLove_18) runs the rule over Thursday night's League One play-off encounter from The Valley between Charlton and Doncaster.
Charlton are in pole position to secure their place at Wembley after a 2-1 victory at the Keepmoat in the first leg of this League One play-off tie. Goals courtesy of the highly-rated Joe Aribo and hitman Lyle Taylor put the Addicks two up but a late Matty Blair header has given Doncaster a sniff.
Having said that, for a play-off side, Donny’s away record isn’t the most impressive and Charlton are formidable hosts. Looking at the prices, the London side are slight odds-on shots to win a game they don’t necessarily have to, and that is generally a warning sign.
However, the gulf in class between the sides, especially since the turn of the year, has been there for all to see.
Lee Bowyer has done a sterling job since taking the helm at The Valley; with a relatively small squad on the whole, they’ve relied on their quality and togetherness. There’s ability throughout the team and it’s hard to pick holes in Athletic’s XI – they’re classy and comfortable all over the park, especially so in midfield.
Bowyer’s fluid 4-1-2-1-2 formation has worked a treat for all. Josh Cullen revelled in a similar formation when on-loan at Bradford a couple of seasons ago and he has maturity on the ball that belies his years. Kristian Bielek has made a serious impression at the base of the diamond and Charlton will be desperate for him to return next year – they’d have to go up to do so though.
Aribo has many suitors too and it’s easy to see why. Tall, fleet-a-foot and possession of cool finishing, it’s no surprise clubs such as Arsenal and Leipzig have been rumoured to be in for the youngster.
I personally didn’t expected Donny to do much this season but all credit to Grant McCann and his players for grasping that ixth spot. I did feel like they needed a win in that first leg in South Yorkshire if they were to make the final. We’ve seen stranger things happen though, but the bookies can’t see an upset here with them trading at around 13/2 To Qualify.
The prices look about right to me in the Match Odds markets so I’m going to switch my focus to alternative punts.
I’m keen on the 6/5 (Paddy Power) on the Second Half to be the Highest Scoring Half. I doubt Donny will come all out from the get-go – they’ll probably try keep it tight and build pressure late on if they have to. Flip that coin onto Charlton and they may be happy keeping the ball, waiting for the visitors to attack and then hit them on the break and kill the tie.
I’m also going to dip into the card market and the player I like, if he plays, is Rovers midfielder Tommy Rowe at 7/1 (Skybet). He has been in and out of the team so it’s one I’d wait for team news on but if he does play he looks overpriced.
I’ve talked about Charlton and their skilful midfield and that could prove hard to cope with for the visitors. Rowe is an all-action midfielder and with a lot at stake, I’d expect the high card count to continue throughout these play-offs.
Rowe has picked up seven yellows in his 33 appearances this season so I’d expect him to be more of a 4/1 shot here. To be fair, most bookies have him around that price so it’s a real standout price from Skybet.
Charlton v Doncaster – Second Half to be the Highest Scoring Half (6/5 PaddyPower)
Charlton v Doncaster – Tommy Rowe to be carded (7/1 Skybet)
IT'S been the month for comebacks but I'm writing off Inverness on Friday night.
Liverpool, Spurs and most recently Derby have produced miracle recoveries but odds are stacked against John Robertson's side at Tannadice.
Dundee United start with a one-goal lead against a side who must be running on empty ahead of their fourth play-off tie. I tipped United not to lose the first leg and to qualify and I'm standing by that.
Finding value isn't easy with United 4-5 with Ladbrokes to win and just 1-9 to qualify. Inverness are 6-1 at *** to reach the Final and 4-1 to win at Tannadice but haven't beaten United in five attempts this season.
It's bound to be tight and tense and under 2.5 goals has a decent chance at 4-5 with Marathonbet. The last nine league meetings between the clubs have gone under 2.5 and the only time it went above this season was in the Scottish Cup.
Kevinmac has posted a full preview of Dundee United vs Inverness here.
Elsewhere tonight Charlton start their League One semi-final one up on Doncaster and should add to their lead.
The Addicks have an exceptional home record, winning their last six and not losing since October, while Donny have one win in 10 on the road.
Charlton don't need to win but should do at 4-5 with Marathonbet and next up for them would be Sunderland who beat Portsmouth 1-0 on aggregate after a 0-0 draw at Fratton Park.
Not much else on the go on Friday although Greg is likely to post something for the final round of French Ligue 2.
Well done to all the winners on Thursday – my only bet was Matt Kuchar to beat Jordan Spieth in a mythical US PGA twoball and around halfway he was two ahead. However, Spieth birdied two of his last three holes and Kuchar bogeyed 17 to lose by one.
Hopefully one of my antepost tips Brooks Koepka will stay at the top after his super 63 but he's just one clear of Danny Lee with Tommy Fleetwood four back in third.
If that's a winner I'll post another golf tip if I have a time but as usual at this time of the week I'm concentrating on the weekend card.
Remember to check welovebetting for their video chat and tips.
*Mythical twoball, draw void, place by 6.15pm
Mr Fixit's May Super Singles Total: -11.2pts
Mr Fixit's May Accas Total: -17pts
If you're a keen golf punter don't forget to have a look at our betting masterclass on how to pick a winner when betting on golf!
EUROPEAN football fanatic Mark O'Haire (@MarkOHaire) is heading to Italy for his next best bet from the continent.
Milan’s hopes of a top four finish in Serie A and Champions League qualification remains possible after the Rossoneri crept past Fiorentina last weekend. Hakan Calhanoglu’s glancing header proved decisive in Florence to keep Gennaro Gattuso’s group within three points with two very winnable games to round off the campaign.
With Atalanta travelling to Turin to face Juventus immediately after this encounter, Milan will be hoping to collect maximum points at home to already-relegated Frosinone and pile the pressure on the Bergamo outfit ahead of next weekend’s final fixtures. Realistically, their form since the Derby della Madonnina defeat in March could prove insurmountable.
Nevertheless, the Rossoneri will undoubtedly give it a good go. The host have registered only three triumphs in 10 across all competitions, although back-to-back victories over Bologna and Fiorentina have lifted the mood around San Siro. Gattuso’s troops have also shown consistency when welcoming the lesser lights to their Milan base.
Under Gattuso’s watch, AC have W18-D7-L5 at San Siro in Serie A action with W11-D2-L1 recorded against clubs outside the current top four this term. The Rossoneri have W13-D1-L1 when hosting clubs in 13th and below since the start of last season and are understandably short-priced favourites to succeed again on Sunday.
Frosinone are on their way back down to Serie B after suffering from a dreadful opening stanza. The guests picked up a sole point from their opening eight encounters and had table a solitary victory before Christmas. The Canarini have found things tough against the top-flight elite too, pocketing a single point in 15 games against the top-eight (W0-D1-L14).
Marco Baroni’s men have managed a league-low 0.45 Expected Goals (xG) from open play on average and posted an xG ratio on the road below the 30% mark. The strugglers have W2-D2-L9 since mid-February but only the very first game in this sequence away at Juventus saw Frosinone go down by more than two clear goals and they’re unlikely to be blown away.
Only Torino have scored fewer goals than Milan in the top half of the table and only three of the Rossoneri’s 17 victories have arrived by three goals or more. Eleven clubs average a better xG figure than Gattuso’s men and nine teams have bettered their xG from open play returns in 2018/19, adding further credence to the case this might not be a whitewash.
Therefore, I’m happy dipping into the Bet Builder facility from *** to support a Milan win, Under 5 Goals and Frosinone to receive Over 1 Card for a 20/21 play.
I’ve already made the obvious case for a home success, whilst fewer than five goals have been scored in 62/72 (86%) of their combined games. Dipping down to their respective home/away matches and 26/36 (72%) combined contests produced Under 3.5 Goals with the xG average hitting 2.40 and actual goals per-game sitting at 2.50 in the same sample.
Finally, Frosinone average 2.89 cards per-game, which rises to 3.39 on the road – the second-highest figure in Serie A. The Canarini have picked up at least 20 Bookings Points in all bar four games as guests and are unlikely to relish a final outing at the San Siro.
Milan v Frosinone – Milan to win, Under 5 Goals, Frosinone to receive Over 1 Card (20/21 ***)
In their warm-ups for the 2019 World Cup, England put on quite the show against Pakistan this week. England chased down over 350 runs set as a challenge to them by the tourists. It wasn’t just the fact that England managed to complete a successful run chase, it was the ease with which they did it that was so impressive. England are 4/11 to win the fourth match* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 16th, 2019 at 3:16 p.m.) of the series at Trent Bridge on Friday.
* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 16th, 2019 at 3:16 p.m.)
England will be without their captain Eoin Morgan for this match because of a slow over-rate during their win over Pakistan in Bristol. It’s not going to be a big issue as it will be another chance to shuffle the line up just a little bit. They did for the third match of the series, including dropping Jos Buttler and still, England coasted to a six-wicket victory.
England chased down a target of 359 to claim the win in Bristol, putting them 2-0 up in the series with two to play. The target set by Pakistan looked as if it was going to be a good challenge for England and their shuffled batting order. It didn’t pan out that way as openers Jason Roy and Jonny Bairstow tore into the Pakistan bowling attack. Roy scored 76 off just 55 balls before being caught and put together an opening partnership of 159. Bairstow went on to pick up a century, scoring 128 before he was bowled.
Bairstow is joint 3/1 favourite with Joe Root to be England’s top scorer at Trent Bridge* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 14th, 2019 at 11:51 p.m.). This is, of course, all valuable stuff for England ahead of the summer’s World Cup which they are hosting. They look confident and full of self-belief. There was another key component to their win at Bristol over Pakistan.
Pakistan looked to be on course for an even bigger total, but England’s bowlers did a superb job of restricting their batting at the back end of their innings. It was that tightening up which really was the set up for their batsmen to get themselves into the game. Still, at the end of the day, it was England’s second highest ODI run chase.
This is a tough position for Pakistan now ahead of the world cup. Coming into this series it was their bowling attack which was deemed to be the strongest aspect of their game. That was totally destroyed on Bristol and the fielding display that they put on was woeful. There is going to be a long way back for them from there and they are 11/5 to haul themselves back into the series with a win* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 14th, 2019 at 11:51 p.m.).
England were majestic in their run chase in Bristol and that will just have put even more wind in their sails. There is confidence soaring through every aspect of their game at the moment and they are likely to wrap up this series at Trent Bridge.
Aston Villa will be taking on Derby for a place in the Premier League next season. They both came through some gurgling play-off semi-final ties and will now meet at Wembley in England’s richest game. That will be a 3 pm kick off on Monday, May 27th.
The bookmakers have put the Villains on the board as the early favourites to the tune of 6/5* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 16th, 2019 at 3:16 p.m.)
Aston Villa 6/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 16th, 2019 at 3:16 p.m.)
Aston Villa came through a stressful night at the Hawthorns in the second leg of their semi-final tie against Midlands rivals West Brom. The Villains had taken a 2-1 lead from the first leg with them, into the game. Even though Villa lost 1-0 at the Hawthorns, with no away goals rule in play, it sent the game to a penalty shootout.
West Brom missed their first two spot kicks, opening the door wide open for Aston Villa to take full control. Tammy Abraham sealed the deal for them to give them a 4-3 shootout success. So they are one step from ending their three-year absence from the top flight and they are 8/13 for Promotion* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 16th, 2019 at 3:16 p.m.).
But given what Derby produced in their semi-final against Leeds, Villa will have to watch their backs.
In the head to head between the two sides this season, it is Aston Villa who held a clear advantage. They powered their way to a 3-0 success at Pride Park in the first league meeting, before taking a 4-0 win over them back on home soil. Derby have taken just one win in their last nine games against Villa.
Derby lost 1-0 at home against Leeds in the first leg of their play-off semi-final, and it looked as if the Rams had missed the boat. It got worse for them as well when Stuart Dallas gave Leeds the opening goal of the second leg. However, Derby got a lifeline when Jack Marriott, who had come on a first-half substitute because of injury, capitalised on a mistake at the back from Leeds to send the Rams in 1-1 at half time at Elland Road.
Mason Mount got Derby’s second goal of the game, right after the restart and then it was game on. In a dramatic turnaround, the Rams completed the game with a 4-2 success, Marriott putting the game beyond doubt five minutes from the final whistle, to crush the hopes of the home support. Derby are 11/8 for Promotion* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 16th, 2019 at 3:16 p.m.)..
After yet another Premiership title, the Celtic managerial position looks to be a little unsettled. Neil Lennon came in this season, following the departure of Brendan Rodgers to English Premier League side Leicester. Lennon duly obliged by bringing the Premiership title back to Celtic Park. They will also face Hearts in this season’s FA Cup Final.
Not too bad at all, but is it good enough to see him get the job full time? The position is one that is open as Neil Lennon was brought in just until the end of the season.
Rafa Benitez 8/11
Neil Lennon 7/2
David Moyes 9/2
Chris Hughton 9/2
Slaven Bilic 12/1
Roberto Martinez 12/1
Marcelo Bielsa 16/1
Martin O’Neill 14/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 16th, 2019 at 4:57 p.m.)
Lennon is the 6/4 favourite to be the man in charge of the club at the start of next season, but punters have been betting against him. But after a difficult and somewhat disappointing end to the season, which included a 2-0 loss against Rangers in the last Old Firm derby of the season, perhaps Celtic are going to broaden their horizons a bit.
Pretty much immediately after he was sacked at the close of the Premier League season, former Brighton boss Chris Hughton saw his name was linked to the Celtic job. Hughton is at 9/2 to be the next Celtic manager* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 16th, 2019 at 4:57 p.m.) making him joint third favourite alongside former Everton and Manchester United man David Moyes.
As each day goes by, a new name is popping up on the list, including Claudio Ranieri, Marcelo Bielsa and former West Ham boss Slaven Bilic. Bilic is at 16/1* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 16th, 2019 at 4:57 p.m.) and he sort of expressed some interest in the position.
So what next for Celtic, who will be heading to the Champions League next season in the first qualifying round?
But it is the name at the head of the market, that is perhaps the most intervening. Rafa Benitez is the 8/11 favourite* (Betting Odds were taken from *** on May 16th, 2019 at 4:57 p.m.) and there has been a lot of speculation that the Spaniard’s time is up at Newcastle. Not that the fans or club would want him to step away, it appears to be more about frustration over his ambitions for the club not being backed by the board.
If the talks between Benitez and owner Mike Ashley crashes (supposedly set to take place this week), then who knows? It wouldn’t be a huge surprise to see Benitez look elsewhere. The purse strings have been super tight at Newcastle and a move to Celtic could free him up. But if Benitez were to leave the club then he would be a heavily targeted man for a lot of other top European clubs.
PRO PUNTER Dino Vita (@VitaDino) shares his latest weekend NAP from Scotland.
My selection this week comes from the Scottish League Two play-offs as non-league Cove Rangers make the long journey south to face Berwick.
Cove demolished Berwick last weekend 4-0 at home and should comfortably complete the job on Saturday to enter the Scottish Football League for the first time.
Cove narrowly missed out last season in the final against Cowdenbeath but have put themselves within touching distance after an impressive first leg win.
Berwick have had a disastrous 2019 wining one game in their last 23 which has season them finish bottom of League Two and looking at relegation to the Lowland League.
Cove are all set up stadium-wise and with a wealthy backer to continue their journey into the Scottish leagues – the should have little problem securing progress on Saturday.
Berwick v Cove Rangers – Cove Rangers to win (10/11 Skybet)
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