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Monday, December 17, 2018

Free betting tips and previews

Here you will find free betting tips and previews from the hottest betting experts online collected and compiled in one place. Same as in the Tiltbet betting app on AppStore.

Latest betting tips - page 4

Rob Eddy’s Racing Tips: Saturday October 20

British Champions Day rules the roost on Saturday as Ascot stages the culmination of a summer of thrills and spills from the best thoroughbreds in the land. Rob Eddy’s racing tips focus on the big meeting at the Berkshire track.

There's also action at Catterick, Ffos Las, Market Rasen, Stratford and Wolverhampton (evening) in Britain, with Leopardstown taking centre stage in Ireland on this Saturday afternoon.

2.00 Ascot

Tasleet win and each-way @ 10/1 - BET NOW

Second to Librisa Breeze in this race 12 months ago, there's a chance that Tasleet is being cast aside too hastily in the racing betting now. 

William Haggas' five-year-old was three-times a Group One bridesmaid over this 6f trip last season, while he also decisively landed a Group Two at York on soft ground. He is closely matched with the likes of Librisa Breeze and The Tin Man on his best form, and he should have nothing to fear on the soft ground that is set to prevail – a source of concern for the likes of Limato.

With further doubts over Harry Angel here at Ascot, Tasleet is a worthwhile each-way player at current racing odds.

He will be sporting some new headgear after a somewhat disappointing finish in the Sprint Cup at Haydock last time behind The Tin Man, amongst others, but that was just his second start this term and the low miles he has clocked up so far in 2018 could be an asset in this end of season showdown.

2.40 Ascot

Magical win and each-way @ 8/1 - BET NOW

Aidan O'Brien and Ryan Moore is a potent combination anywhere and it would be a shock to find them leaving Champions Day empty handed. 

John Gosden's Lah Ti Dar has been all the rage for this race since she finished second to Kew Gardens in the St Leger last month. She makes a worthy favourite for the Fillies & Mares Stakes but is priced accordingly. 

She was beaten two-and-a-quarter lengths by the Leger winner at Doncaster, while Magical got within a length of the same rival in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe since. The Ballydoyle filly essentially recorded a career-best when finishing five lengths down on the outstanding winner Enable at Longchamp.

Magical could have plenty more to offer over this intermediate trip and, unlike the Gosden filly, there aren't any doubts on her ability to act on the prevailing softer ground here. Her experience might count for plenty and she's a fair price here, with Moore seemingly fancying her over last year's winner Hydrangea in the same colours.

3.15 Ascot

Recoletos win and each-way @ 6/1 - BET NOW

Take out a poor effort in the Queen Anne here in June at the Royal meeting and it has been a fine campaign for this French raider. 

He has proved himself a top-notch miler with a preference for some cut in the ground and, as such, earns the nod over the brilliant three-year-old Roaring Lion on these terms of engagement. 

John Gosden's colt has won his last three starts at Group One level since the Derby, but they've all come over a mile and a quarter. This drop in distance, as well as the slower ground, make him an uneasy market leader. Roaring Lion was, remember, well beaten over this trip in the Guineas at Newmarket. 

Recoletos meanwhile has pushed the flying filly Alpha Centauri all the way over a mile and notched a second Group One of the season in the Prix du Moulin last month. This test is ideal for Olivier Peslier's mount.
 

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Michigan vs. Michigan State NCAAF Pick – Week 8

There’s your run of the mill rivalry games between conference foes, and then there’s your ‘stop everything you’re doing and pay attention’ games between two programs that have legitimately strong feelings of disdain against each other. The rivalry between Michigan and Michigan State falls into the latter category, and we should be treated to a dandy on Saturday afternoon at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing as a result.

To make this year’s meeting of the two squads even more appealing, both schools are nationally ranked and have their sights set on greener pastures. Michigan enters the game ranked #6 with a mark of 6-1, while #24 Michigan State has a record of 4-2.

For the Wolverines, a victory cements their status as a serious Big Ten title contender as well as a squad that’s ready to pounce into the College Football Playoff conversation. A playoff berth may be a bit rich for the Spartans with two losses already, but they remain a factor in the Big Ten East and have their sights squarely set on a spot in a primo bowl game.

In short, we can buckle up for what shapes up to be one of the more entertaining games of a huge Saturday of College Football action. Let’s see what both programs are bringing to the table as we break down this matchup in detail.

Michigan @ Michigan State, 12:00 PM EST, FOX

Spread:

  • Michigan -7 (-115)
  • Michigan State +7 (-105)

Money Line:

  • Michigan -300
  • Michigan State +250

Total Points:

  • Over 41 (-105)
  • Under 41 (-115)

Michigan vs. Michigan State pick:

Michigan’s lone blemish came in the opener against Notre Dame, and you can be sure the Wolverines are still kicking themselves after that one. The team was criticized for its effort in the wake of the game, but there haven’t been any complaints on that front since that point. While the team has been tested here and there, head coach Jim Harbaugh has had the team focused and playing up to its capabilities.

In its most recent outing, Michigan delivered a convincing victory over the Wisconsin Badgers in front of a primetime audience. The final score was 38-13, and the Wolverines basically dominated their conference rivals. It has to go down as their most impressive outing of the season, namely because Wisconsin entered the game ranked #15 in the nation.

On the season, Michigan has outscored opponents by a margin of 267-108, or an average of 38.1 to 15.4 points per game. The Wolverines have been leaning more heavily on the run on an overall basis. While the defense is strong overall, it has been particularly potent against the pass. Michigan’s defense has 20 sacks on the year, eight turnovers, and three defensive touchdowns.

Michigan State is back in the Top 25 after a big win over Penn State last week, but the program has been inconsistent on the whole to start the year. We can trace that all the way back to the season opener, as it took everything the Spartans had to take down Utah State by a score of 38-31.

From that point, the Spartans dropped two of their next four, with both losses being of the disappointing variety to lesser competition in the form of Arizona State and Northwestern. Last week’s 21-17 victory over Penn State was a little on the surprising side, as the Nittany Lions came were ranked #8 heading into the game.

For the year, Michigan State has outscored opponents by a margin of 157-134 in total, or an average of 26.2 to 22.3 points per game. The offense has been pretty balanced, while the clear strength of the defense has been in stopping the run. The Spartans have generated 14 sacks, 10 turnovers, and one defensive touchdown on the season.

This is one of the most historic rivalries in all of College Football. The two schools met for the first time back in 1898, a 39-2 victory for Michigan over what was then known as State Agricultural College. All told, they have met 110 times. Michigan holds an all-time edge of 69-36-5. Recently, Michigan State has had a clear edge in the series.

Over the past decade, Michigan is just 2-8 straight up against its rival and 0-10 against the spread. The Over has been the correct call four times over that span, including in three of the last four years. Last year, the Spartans won a tight and hard fought game by a score of 14-10, a game in which Michigan was a 12.5-point home favorite.

Michigan is on the road this time around, but the school is still favored, albeit by a smaller 7-point margin. However, this year’s Wolverines team seems like a much stronger squad. Junior QB Shea Patterson has done a fine job in fitting in and leading the offense. On the season, he’s completing 68.6 percent of his passes for 1,311 yards, 10 touchdowns, and three picks.

Among the weapons he has at his disposal are senior RB Karan Higdon, who has posted a line of 120/687/6 so far. Sophomore wideout Donovan Peoples-Jones is among the talented pass catchers, as he has hauled in 21 balls for 247 yards and five scores. The balanced offense is complemented by a standout defense which can take over a game in its own right.

Michigan State doesn’t quite have the starpower that its rival does, but there’s still talent to be found on offense, including senior wideout Felton Davis III, who has hauled in 31 passes for 474 yards and four scores. The defense has had some bright spots through the season, but it needs to show more consistency overall.

On paper, Michigan is better squad than its in-state rival this year. The program appears poised and focused, and they are legitimately in the conversation as one of the nation’s top teams not named Alabama. They should be able to steal a road victory from the Spartans as a result. That said, we’re expecting another tight one in which the home team covers the touchdown spread.

We’ll take Michigan State plus the points in what should be an entertaining and hard hitting affair.

Michigan State +7

This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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EPL Matchweek 9 – Chelsea vs Manchester United Pick

Game of the Week of Matchweek 9 will take place at Stamford Bridge, where 3rd placed Chelsea (due to goal difference) will host rivals Manchester United in a fantastic Matchweek 9 matchup. Teams are currently on different paths with Chelsea in the middle of a title race in the EPL and Manchester United struggling to win a match.

Chelsea has been a revelation this season and are currently sharing the 1st place in the EPL with their rivals Liverpool and Manchester City. The Blues are undefeated in their opening 8 matches with 6 wins and only 2 draws. Maurizio Sarri has revived the squad and the likes of Hazard, Willian and Kante are performing at a career level.

On the other hand, Manchester United are in the middle of their worst start in EPL history. The Red Devils are currently in the 8th place in the EPL with 13 points from their opening 8 matches. Manchester United have already lost 3 times to Tottenham, Brighton and West Ham United. The 0-3 defeat by Tottenham at Old Trafford has been particularly painful for the Red Devils, having dominated that rivalry for the better part of the last 2 decades.

I have prepared a short breakdown of the match and some betting predictions, so feel free to read on.

Chelsea vs Manchester United Odds

  • Chelsea -141
  • Manchester United +350
  • Draw +280
  • Over 2.5 Goals -101
  • Under 2.5 Goals -119

Chelsea vs Manchester United Pick

Chelsea versus Manchester United is a traditional rivalry in the English Premier League. Manchester United and Chelsea are the two most successful clubs in the EPL history with combined 18 EPL titles in 26 seasons (Manchester United have a record 13 titles, while Chelsea has won 5).

Chelsea has been playing well since the beginning of the EPL season and new manager Maurizio Sarri has revitalized a squad that has struggled the previous season in the EPL and finished in the 6th place. Chelsea have started the competition strong and are still undefeated in the EPL with 6 wins and 2 draws in their opening 8 matches. They have excelled at both sides of the pitch, having the 2nd best defense in the EPL and the 3rd best offense. After a terrible year under Antonio Conte, when they seemed lost and done, Chelsea have popped up as a key title contender in the EPL next to Liverpool and Manchester City.

Manchester United, on the other hand, have been the main disappointment of the season, so far. Jose Mourinho’s squad is in the middle of the worst EPL start in Manchester United history and are in the 8th place in the EPL with 13 points from their opening 8 matches. The Red Devils’ defense has been abysmal in that period, allowing 14 goals in those 8 matches. Only 3 clubs have allowed more goals in the EPL in the same period.

Chelsea and Manchester United have met on 180 previous occasions, where Manchester United have been more dominant with 77 wins, Chelsea have won 54 times and on 49 occasions the matches have ended in a draw.

This rivalry has been dominated by a home team in recent history. Chelsea has won 7 out of the last 8 matches against Manchester United that were played at the Stamford Bridge. Manchester United have really struggled at Stamford Bridge versus Chelsea, their last win coming all the way back in 2012.

The rivalry has been notoriously stingy when it comes to goals, with only 2 out of the last 10 matches between the two sides ending up with more than 2.5 goals scored. The matches played at Stamford Bridge have been a bit more efficient, with 4 out of the last 10 matches ending up with more than 2.5 goals scored in them.

Both sides have tremendous offensive potential, with Hazard, Willian and Giroud on the one side and Lukaku, Martial, Sanchez and Pogba on the other side. Both sides are coming off a long rest, as the international break for the League of Nations matches was taking place whole last week and both sides will be fresh for this after a 2-week rest. Both sides should be healthy for this one, with the only injury on the Manchester United side, defender Marcus Rojo, who is still suffering from a knock he took in practice.

I expect both teams to focus on dominating the midfield and controlling the possession. Both sides like to employ their own brand of pressing, used to dispossess the opponent and quickly transition into a counter-attack. Chelsea have much more pace in transition with Hazard and Willian leading the way on the wings. Manchester United’s main scoring threat is Romelu Lukaku, who is an excellent target man.

I can’t pick against recent history at Stamford Bridge and Chelsea’s form this season. I expect Manchester United to play much better in this one, compared to some of their outings this season, but the Blues to prevail in the end. It will be a close match and a low-scoring one at that, but I think that Manchester United’s back four has failed to protect their net all season and trying to do that against Chelsea is a completely different challenge.

Chelsea to Win

This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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Balmoral Handicap – Horse Racing Betting October 20

The attention on Champions Day at Ascot does, of course, focus on the four Group 1 races being contested. There is a massive £737.230 in prize money on offer for the winner of Qipco Champion Stakes but connections of Roaring Lion, a contender for racehorse of the year, have opted to go instead for the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, worth a mere £655,709 to the winner, with fears about the ground on the round course at Ascot which is currently described at heavy.

However, the colt isn’t the only John Gosden superstar on show this Saturday. Cracksman runs his final race in the Qipco Champion Stakes and Stradivarius bids to cap an unbeaten campaign with victory in the Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup having already earned his owner more than £1million in prize money in 2018.

The Tin Man will bid to win the Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes for a second time and follow up his win in the 32Red Sprint Cup at Hayodock but faces stiff opposition including the 2017 winner of the race, Librisa Breeze, and the enigmatic Harry Angel as well as a back-to-form Limato.

Prize money for the Balmoral Handicap almost pales into significance alongside the purses of the Group races but a sizeable amount will still go to the winner of this 1m contest run over the straight course and there will be a maximum field with three reserves also declared.

The £250,000 Balmoral Handicap, sponsored by Qipco, brings down the curtain on British Champions Day at Ascot.

It is Europe’s richest mile handicap and last season, all but three of the 20 runners were related 100 or higher. This is a race that attracts milers who are bordering on Listed or Group class, a point emphasised last year when Lord Glitters, who landed the spoils, and Accidental Agent, who finished fourth, went on to fight out the finish of the Group 1 Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot this summer. The former runs in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes this year and has decent prospects.

Balmoral Handicap Trends

This is only the fifth year that the Balmoral Handicap has been staged but there are already some noticeable trends emerging.

  • Every winner so far has been drawn in stall 10 or lower
  • Three of the four previous winners were five-year-olds and the other was a four-year-old
  • No winner has carried more the 9st 5lb
  • Three winners had had their previous race at Newmarket

Raising Sand is bidding for a fourth victory at Ascot and showed he handles soft ground over 7f two weeks ago. He has a penalty but will be hard to keep out of the frame if a draw near the stands rail doesn’t prove a disadvantage and bookmakers have installed the Jamie Osborne supposed first string as favourite (a best 11/2 with Ladbrokes), though his stablemate Hathal (25/1 with Coral) should not be underestimated given he’s been campaigned at a much higher level and has been lightly-raced this year.

Argentello is another drawn high but the Gosden three-year-old is on a roll and has won four of his last five starts. Frankie Dettori rides and he’s only a best 10/1. Aquarium (25/1 with Ladbrokes)  is another carrying 6lb extra having come back to form at York on soft ground lately. However, his recent victory was over an extended 1m2f and he’ll be having the 21st race of a busy season.

SAFE VOYAGE has only won over 7f so far but, on the evidence of impressive victories recently at Haydock and Galway, should have few problems with the extra furlong. Riding in this is the biggest moment in the career of Sean Davis to date but the apprentice showed no sign of nerves when winning on his mount at Galway and the youngster’s 5lb claim makes a general 9/1 quote for the John Quinn runner look decent value.

Flaming Spear (9/1 with Betfred) usually runs well in races like this and South Seas also makes some appeal at the general 16/1.

Saturday’s Balmoral Handicap Current Best Odds

Raising Sand 11/2, Flaming Spear and Safe Voyage 9/1,Argentello 10/1, Kynren 11/1, Via Via 12/1, Zwayyan 14/1, Sharja Bridge and South Seas 16/1, Mitchum Swagger and Via Serendipity 20/1, Humbert 22/1, Aquarium, Hathal and Tricorn 25/1, Mjjack and Original Choice 28/1, Another Batt, Escobar and Waarif 33/1, Poet’s Society 40/1, Circus Couture and Raydiance 50/1

(Odds Correct at 1.15pm October 19)


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EPL Matchweek 9 – Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford Pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers and Watford are both enjoying their EPL seasons after hot starts and some unlikely wins for both squads. After all, Wolves are a newly promoted side from the English Championship and Watford barely avoided relegation last season in the EPL. This intriguing Matchweek 9 matchup is of great importance for both clubs, as they try to assert themselves among the elite clubs in the EPL.

Wolves needed a few matches to get a hang of the English Premier League but since then have been in spectacular form. They are undefeated in their last 6 matches in the EPL with 4 wins and 2 draws in the process. Besides impressive wins versus Southampton, Crystal Palace, West Ham and Burnley, their 1-1 draw against the defending champs Manchester City, really stands out.

Watford got off to a fantastic start, winning 4 of their opening matches in the EPL. They have cooled off since then drawing only 1 match and losing another 3. Still, this has been enough to keep them in the 9th place in the EPL and in the hunt for the European qualifications pot. Their 2-1 win against Tottenham Hotspurs has been the highlight of their season, so far.

I have prepared a short breakdown of the match and some betting predictions, so feel free to read on.

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford Odds

  • Wolverhampton Wanderers -132
  • Watford +360
  • Draw +255
  • Over 2.5 Goals -122
  • Under 2.5 Goals +102

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford Pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers and Watford have met on 30 previous occasions and the matchup has been incredibly even with Wolves winning 8 matches, Watford winning 8 as well and a whopping 14 matches ending in a draw. Since 2004, the story has been pretty much the same with 14 matches played, Wolves winning 4, Watford 5 and 5 ending in a draw. It is important to note that only 2 of those 30 matches were played in the EPL, with the majority (26 matches) played between the two sides in the English Championship.

When it comes to matches played at Molineux Stadium, Wolves have been particularly bad, winning only 4 out of the 16 matches played at their own stadium. Watford has won 6 of those 16, and 6 have ended up in a draw.

The matchup has traditionally produced a lot of goals, with 9 out of the last 12 matches between the two sides ending up with more than 2.5 goals scored in them. When it comes to matches played at the Molineux Stadium, only 4 out of the last 10 matches there had more than 2.5 goals scored. It is important to note that the last 5 matches between the two sides have seen both teams score.

A peculiar trend can be seen in Watford’s performances away from home. In 9 out of their last 11 away games in the EPL, Watford has failed to find the net. Overall, Watford has also failed to win in 14 out of their last 15 away games in the EPL (1 win, 1 draw and 12 losses). In 10 of those losses Watford has also failed to score.

Wolves’ 15 points from the opening 8 matches is the best start in EPL by a newly promoted side since 2008/2009 Hull City squad. Overall, there are only 3 newly-promoted clubs who have had better starts in the English top-flight league than this year’s Wolves.

While Wolverhampton is supposed to be fully fit for this match, Watford have been hit by an injury bug, especially in their defensive line. For the match against Wolves, Watford will miss the services of Holebas, Janmaat, Kabasele and Cleverley. Each of the 4 players has been an integral part of Watford’s rotation in the EPL and their absence will be a severe handicap for the Watford side who already struggled away from home.

Wolves haven’t really dazzled the EPL with their offensive play, which has won them plenty of fans in the English Championship last season. This season, they have only scored 9 goals in their opening 8 matches in the EPL. It is key that Wolves’ defense has withstood the rigors of EPL soccer and have allowed only 6 goals in the opening 6 matches. Especially if we consider that newly promoted sides like Cardiff City and Fulham are dead last in defense in the EPL allowing 17 and 21 goals in the same number of matches.

The match will be fought in the middle of the field as both sides fight for possession and a chance to counter attack or build up their attacking moves. Wolves midfield is controlled by the duo or Ruben Neves and Joao Moutinho, who possess a creative touch to spark the offense with a single touch, while the trio of attackers in Diego Jota, Raul Jimenez and Helder Costa are there to quickly transition into attack and score.

Watford is not nearly as creative in the middle of the field, but they do possess a level of physicality with Capoue and Doucoure that could pose a lot of problems for the Wolves. Couple with the offensive pair in Deeney and Gray, who work great together, Watford could be dangerous on a counter-attack especially.

Wolves are the favorites in this one, especially if we consider their recent form and the injury crisis in the Watford defense. It will be a close match, where a single goal might decide the outcome of the match. I believe that Wolves are better prepared and the healthier team at the moment and that they will win this one at home and continue their climb along the EPL table. This is why they are my pick.

Wolves to Win

This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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FootyStats’ Both Teams To Score Tips

Luton Town vs Walsall

Luton are in great form, winning 4/5 at home recently and 67% of games overall. Walsall has also won 67% of their away games, making this a tough fixture for the newly promoted side.

So far they have averaged 2.00 goals per game, whilst Walsall has seen 83% of their away games end with BTTS landing.

Nottingham Forest vs Norwich City

75% of games involving these sides has ended with BTTS landing so far this season. Forest has not lost in the last 5 games and is still unbeaten at home this season.

Norwich, who are in good form on the road, will look to put an end to that run. They have scored in the last 5 games, losing just 1.

Wigan vs West Brom

Wigan are doing really well this season, especially at home. They have won 67% of games so far, scoring 1.50 goals per game.

Before today, they have had a respectable defensive record but West From are one of the better teams in the league and will pose a different threat.

The Baggies have scored just under 2.00 goals per game on the road and come into this one unbeaten, winning 4/5 games recently.

Recommended Bet


This post is originally from: mrfixitstips.co.uk

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FanDuel NBA DFS Picks – October 19th

I’m already getting sick of the NBA scheduling. On opening night we got two games, then we got 11, then three and on Friday we’re back to a big slate with nine games. It’s at least more palatable than 11 games and not super tiny. So, there’s that.

Last night wasn’t perfect, but I did hand in some solid NBA DFS picks. John Wall was fantastic, Dario Saric was a solid play, LeBron James was fine and Derrick Jones Jr. was an elite value punt. I missed out on Ben Simmons, Joel Embiid, Bobby Portis and Zach LaVine, but there were still some solid picks there for the taking.

Let’s move on with tonight’s fun nine-game and check out my favorite roster over at FanDuel:

PG: Spencer Dinwiddie – Brooklyn Nets ($5.5k)

D’Angelo Russell is the future in Brooklyn, but the Nets can’t quit Dinwiddie, who was great for them last year. He got off to a hot start with 35.8 fantasy points in his first game and I see no reason why he can’t keep the momentum going against the Knicks.

Derrick Rose ($4k) is a viable punt here (31 minutes vs. Spurs), but I love the value with Dinwiddie, who is much safer.

PG: Trey Burke – New York Knicks ($5.8k)

Most will take one look at Burke’s first game (22.6 fantasy points) and move along, but he did that in just three quarters. He had a very solid debut and he could keep it rolling against a bad Nets defense. This should be a fun, fast-paced game and both Burke and Dinwiddie are simply too cheap on this slate.

There are admittedly a slew of viable point guards to choose from tonight, but not a single locked-in “must have” elite. That’s provided Russell Westbrook (listed as doubtful) doesn’t play, of course.

SG: Joe Harris – Brooklyn Nets ($4.3k)

Brooklyn is pretty banged up at the moment, so as long as they’ll be without bodies and are facing the Knicks, you might as well consider some of their options.

Harris is another one to give a look, as he played 37 minutes and dropped in 28 fantasy points in his 2018-19 debut. He’s looking at a solid role and New York offers a fine matchup. He’s also pretty cheap and can serve as my “free square” pick for this slate.

Ideally I’m getting a guy at the bare minimum for that role, but I’m not using someone at $3.5k just for that purpose. I want every single option to at least give me a shot at some production and Harris absolutely does that at a steep discount.

SG: Klay Thompson – Golden State Warriors ($6.4k)

The Warriors head to Utah to face a tough Jazz defense for their second game of the year. Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant will garner higher ownership, but Thompson is the only guy of this trio that had any success against Utah (30 fantasy points per game) a year ago. He’s a fun late-game hammer and should be pretty contrarian.

SF: Paul George – Oklahoma City Thunder ($9.2k)

Here’s another elite late-game hammer, as PG-13 continues to go to war with Russell Westbrook (likely) on the shelf. That will make Dennis Schroder a priority play, but I’d rather use George here. Schroder will get the Patrick Beverley defense, while nobody on the Clippers can stop PG-13.

We know that, since he crushed them last year to the tune of 54 fantasy points per contest across three meetings.

SF: Tyreke Evans – Indiana Pacers ($6.9k)

Most will opt for Victor Oladipo in this spot (admittedly cheap at SG), but he struggled with Milwaukee’s length last year. That won’t be as much of an issue for Evans, who is adept at scoring inside and creating for others. He got off to a solid start in the opener and should keep cooking here.

PF: Kevin Love – Cleveland Cavaliers ($8k)

It’s hard to not slide Anthony Davis into my lineup immediately, but he is insanely priced at $13.3k. I will try my hand at building a winner without him and Love should be part of that. His upside is massive with King James now in La La Land and he showed that with a solid 29-point fantasy outing in the opener.

Love wasn’t even hitting his shots and had a tough matchup with the Raptors in Toronto, so I know there’s upside just around the corner. Tonight he gets the Timberwolves, who really don’t have a big that can silence him. I’m expecting a big game in correlation with this discounted price tag.

PF: Jayson Tatum – Boston Celtics ($6.4k)

Tatum showed in Boston’s home opener that he was no fluke last year, as he erupted for 40 fantasy points in a win. He has a tougher matchup tonight against Toronto, but he’s a versatile player that knows how to score. I think he’s still way too cheap given his talent and upside.

C: Enes Kanter – New York Knicks ($7.5k)

There are a lot of interesting center options tonight, but few offer the upside Kanter can. He has a shot at 20 and 20 anytime he plays and that’s certainly plausible against a bad Nets defense. The Battle of New York is officially on tonight and Kanter will hope to duplicate the success he saw in this matchup a year ago.

Summary

I like this Nets/Knicks game and I’m picking my spots elsewhere in terms of usage and upside. PG-13 and Love are two guys I really like on this slate and while I don’t mind hunting for elites, I’m not looking to force them.

The Brow is just too expensive. I’d much rather pay for Giannis Antetokounmpo or just not use a stud. I’m also not paying almost $10k for Jimmy Butler, as mad as he may be.

Overall, this Nets/Knicks game should be a good one and that’s what helps set everything up for me. Agree or disagree? Let me hear it in the comments below!

PLAY THIS LINEUP


This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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Scottish First Scorer Tips & Contest: Win up to £20

McBOOKIE.COM are the only online bookie listing first-scorer tips for all SPFL games and once again we’ve teamed up with the Scots firm to look at some of the best bets from the lower leagues.

Email your own selection to mrfixit@dailyrecord.co.uk and you will have a chance to win a £20 free bet with McBookie.com.

One person with a correct prediction will be picked at random to scoop a £10 free bet. But if you have backed your player with at least a fiver at McBookie.com your prize will be doubled.

Here is McBookie's Damian Walker with his thoughts for this weekend:

Damian writes: “East Fife shocked Queen of the South 2-0 in the Irn-Bru Cup and I can't fathom the bookies' pricing of the Fifers as once again this weekend they have failed to grasp how well they are playing.

“On Saturday they entertain Brechin and should be odds-on favourites but are 5-4 against. Remember East Fife have now won their last seven matches in all competitions, scored 16 goals and conceded just twice in those games.

“And two of the wins were against Championship opposition in the form of Queen of the South and Partick Thistle. Make no mistake, East Fife are on a roll.

“I keep plumping for Rory Currie to score first but this week I am going for Kevin Smith, who has scored in their last two wins and is 11-2 with McBookie to break the deadlock.

“Moving up into the Championship and league leaders Ayr United travel to face second-placed Ross County in the biggest game of the season.

“I’ve been with the Staggies since before a ball was kicked and they are still my strong fancies to lift the title. Ayr have performed minor miracles this campaign having been 100-1 for the title pre-season and are into just 6-1.

“This is the acid test for Honest Men and I expect them to come up short against the best side in the division in my opinion.

“Billy Mckay has been in great scoring form of late for Ross County and followed up his hat-trick away to Dundee United with the winner at home to Partick Thistle.

“Manager Stuart Kettlewell rested Mckay for the Challenge Cup game last weekend and he will be back for this crucial clash. McBookie make Mckay 9-2 to score first.

“Finally in the Premiership, Hibs look too big for their trip to face Celtic. There is little doubt Celtic are the not the same force they were and their squad has gone backwards.

“They sit a point behind Hibs in the Premiership and have already lost two league matches from their eight games.

“Hibs have won their last four league matches scoring 13 goals and conceding just two while Celtic have won just two of theirs. Celtic are 4-9 for the game with Hibs at a massive 6-1 and that just looks too big.

“Because of the huge price about Hibs we are being offered a massive 19-2 with McBookie about Florian Kamberi scoring the opening goal.

“Kamberi has netted 12 goals in 19 games for Hibs and has six from seven games this season so the odds of almost 10-1 represent one of the first scorer bets of the season.

Can you find a winner!”

Recommended Bets

  • Smith (East Fife) 11-2
  • Mckay (Ross County) 9-2
  • Kamberi (Hibs) 10-1


This post is originally from: mrfixitstips.co.uk

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Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Betting Preview And Tips

Champions Day at Ascot is always a thrilling way to end the flat season in the UK and the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes is one of the highlights of one of the best cards anywhere in the world. There is a bumper field of 15 horses set to go down to post for the Group 1 contest over a mile and it is shaping up to be a fascinating contest.

Queen Elizabeth Stakes II Odds

The race has received a major boost this week with the news that Roaring Lion will take his chance for John Gosden.

The Kitten's Joy colt has not been seen down at a mile since finishing a staying on 5th in the 2000 Guineas with four wins since then all coming up at ten furlongs, including last time out when winning the Irish Champion Stakes in good style.

The decision to drop back down in trip is a risky one but his form is there for all to see and some cut in the ground should see his stamina come to the fore in a strongly run race. The John Gosden trained horse is the right favourite and can be backed at 9/4 with Ladbrokes to win this weekend.

Laurens (7/1) looks like the major threat after a brilliant season in which has seen her claim two Group 1 races in lovely fashion. The Karl Burke trained filly will have a sex allowance in her favour but this is another step up in class against the boys.

Recoletos picked up the Prix Du Moulin last time out and could be in the mix but like Laurens, will need plenty more to mix it with Roaring Lion. Lord Glitters (7/1) is another rock solid opponent at this level but he is a notch below the likes of Roaring Lion, assuming the favourite puts his best hoof forward.

A cracking race in prospect but it isn't a deep one in terms of depth which is why connections have allowed Roaring Lion to run. Down in trip, yes, but this is by far the best horse in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes and should be backed as such.

Queen Elizabeth Stakes II Betting - Click To Bet

*Odds correct as of 18th Oct, 11:15. Odds are subject to change.


Posted: Friday, 19th October 2018

Archive - Previous 5 Horse-racing Articles

Golden State Warriors vs Utah Jazz NBA Pick – October 19

The Utah Jazz and Golden State Warriors both play their second game of the season on Friday night. Both teams will enter the night at 1-0, but only one team can stay undefeated. Both teams played some close games against each other last season, so I would expect another close matchup on Friday night.

The Jazz finished with a 48-34 record last season. Utah earned the fifth seed in the Western Conference. The Jazz had a really solid season and it carried into the playoffs. Utah met up against the Oklahoma City Thunder in the first round and won in six games. The Jazz lost in the second round against the Houston Rockets in five games.

The Golden State Warriors ended the regular season with a 58-24 record. The Warriors went on a 16-5 run to win the NBA Finals. Golden State rolled through the San Antonio Spurs, New Orleans Pelicans, Houston Rockets and Cleveland Cavaliers in route to their second straight championship.

Golden State is favored on the road by two and a half points. The Warriors have dealt with the supposed “championship hangover” before, so I do not expect Golden State to start off this season slow. Golden State looked solid in their first win, which means Utah will need to put together a really good performance to pull off the win on Friday night.

Last Season’s Matchups

The first game between these two teams was in Golden State. The Warriors pulled off a dominant 125-101 win. Kevin Durant scored 21 points, which led the Warriors. Rodney Hood led the Jazz in points off the bench with 26. Golden State shot at almost sixty percent in the game.

Utah hosted the second game of the season. Klay Thomson had a pretty dominant night with 27 points, but it was not enough for the Warriors. Ricky Rubio, Rudy Gobert and Donovan Mitchell each dropped 20 plus points. The Jazz dominated with a 129-99 win.

In the third matchup of the season, the Warriors were without Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green and Klay Thompson. Quinn Cook led Golden State in points with 17. Donovan Mitchell put up 21 points and Rudy Gobert dropped 17 points and 15 rebounds as the Jazz rolled to a 110-91 win.

In the final matchup of the season, the Jazz pulled off a 119-79 win. Klay Thompson led the Warriors in points with 23. Donovan Mitchell dropped 22 points to help lead the Jazz to the win. Golden State was again without Stephen Curry.

The Jazz dominated the season series with a 3-1 record. Utah was one of the few teams that found success consistently against the Warriors. Golden State will look to turn that around with a road win early this season. Utah went 2-0 at home last season and they will want to repeat that with a win to start this season.

Season Openers

Utah played their first game of the season against the Kings in Sacramento. The Jazz had a solid 123-117 win on the road. Donovan Mitchell had 24 points, while Joe Ingles dropped 22 points. Utah’s offense was rolling, but their defense struggled to slow down the Kings. Sacramento shot a little over 50 percent.

Golden State met up against Oklahoma City on opening night. The Warriors celebrated last season’s championship run with a win against the Thunder. Stephen Curry dropped 32 points and Kevin Durant scored 27 in route to a 108-100 win.

The Jazz put together a better offensive performance, but against the Kings it is not super impressive. Utah will get a real test against the Warriors defense. Golden State was able to hold the Thunder to around 36 percent shooting. The Warriors offense also has the ability to go off on just about any night.

Pick Overview

Golden State has the better roster, which makes me like them to take the win on the road. Utah had a lot of success against the Warriors last season, which I doubt Golden State has forgotten. The Warriors will look for revenge on Friday night.

Last season, the Warriors and Jazz saw a lot of high scoring games against each other. These games were not very close, but one of those teams found a way to put up big numbers. I believe we could see another high scoring game on Friday night.

BetOnline has this game listed with an over/under of 218. This means each team needs to break about 109 points to go over. These teams found ways to put up big numbers against each other last season. I believe the best bet is on the over. Golden State has one of the best offenses and Utah’s defense struggled in their first game, which makes me believe this is a setup for a high scoring affair.


This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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NC State vs. Clemson NCAAF Pick – Week 8

0One of Week 8’s most anticipated contests features a pair of undefeated and nationally ranked ACC teams. While the #3 Clemson Tigers are where they were expected to be with a perfect mark of 6-0, the fact that the NC State Wolfpack are 5-0 and ranked #16 in the nation is a bit on the surprising side.

These two squads are one-two in the ACC Atlantic division, so this game will go a long way towards settling the conference as the season moves along. In addition, a meeting of two nationally ranked clubs will certainly have a massive impact on next week’s polls.

If Clemson wins by a healthy margin, it will be business as usual in their world, and they should maintain a top 3 ranking pending the weekend’s other results. If NC State takes them down to the wire, it’s not out of the question for them to drop a spot in the polls. If they happen to lose, then they’re obviously heading south in next week’s rankings.

It’s the opposite story for NC State. A big upset win will almost undoubtedly catapult the squad into the Top 10. They can still hang onto a spot in the Top 25 with a close loss, but a defeat of the blowout variety could make their ranking in the eyes of the polls a little tenuous.

Let’s take a look at what both teams are bringing to the table for looks to be an awfully entertaining matchup.

NC State @ Clemson, 3:30 PM EST, ESPN

Spread:

  • NC State +16.5 (+105)
  • Clemson -16.5 (-125)

Money Line:

  • NC State +635
  • Clemson -850

Total Points:

  • Over 56 (-110)
  • Under 56 (-110)

NC State vs. Clemson pick:

While NC State started off the season with a pair of victories over lesser competition, they look to be getting better as the season moves along. Hurricane Florence led to the cancellation of their Week 3 game with West Virginia, but the club came out of the unexpected bye like a ball of fire in rattling off three more victories in a row.

Marshall and Virginia were the next two victims, while the club took down Boston College by a score of 28-23 its last time out. For the season, the Wolfpack has outscored foes by a margin of 165-84, or an average of 33 to 26.8 per game. NC State has a balanced approach on both offense and defense, with the latter unit producing 13 sacks, eight turnovers, and a defensive score on the season.

On offense, senior signal caller Ryan Finley has put together a fine season. He’s completing 69.5 percent of his passes for 1,621 yards, 10 TDs, and three picks so far. Senior RB Reggie Gallaspy II has been the star in the backfield, producing a line of 89/324/7. Junior wideout Kelvin Harmon has emerged as the top option in the passing game, hauling in 33 balls for 534 yards and two scores.

Clemson has had several dominating wins this season, but the club was also taken to the limit a pair of times. Texas A&M nearly scored an upset in Week 2, while Syracuse almost pulled out a victory over the Tigers a couple of weeks ago. Last week, Clemson rolled over Wake Forest to the tune of 63-3.

For the season, Clemson is outscoring opponents by a margin of 253-87, or an average of 42.2 to 14.5 per game. The offense is productive in both facets, but the run game is averaging a dominant 280.8 yards per contest. The team’s defense is stifling opponents both in the air and on the ground. The unit has compiled 20 sacks and eight turnovers on the year.

The quarterback position looks to be finally settled for Clemson, as freshman Trevor Lawrence has the keys to the offense. He has thrown for 11 scores and two picks so far this year. He has a number of talented pass catchers at his disposal, but the story on offense has been the dynamic Travis Etienne, the Tigers sophomore phenom at running back. Etienne has a line of 83/761/11 so far, and he has added on a receiving touchdown for food measure.

These two programs have quite the history together. They first met way back in 1899, a 24-0 victory for Clemson over what was then known as North Carolina A&M. The two squads have met 86 times in total, with Clemson holding an overall series lead of 57-28-1.

Clemson holds a clear edge over the past decade with a record of 9-1 straight up, but the Tigers are just 3-7 against the spread over that span. The Over has been the correct choice four times in the last ten meetings of these two programs, including in two of the last three years. Last season, Clemson was a 38-31 road victor in a game in which it was favored by 10 points.

This year’s spread is 16.5 points, and you have to go all the way back to 2014 to find a margin of victory that was that large in this series – a 41-0 win for Clemson. For the last three years, the margin of victory has been 15 points or less, with Clemson winning all three contests.

As the #3 team in the nation, Clemson is clearly the more talented squad. The Tigers entered the season with national championship aspirations, and there’s nothing to suggest that goal is a pipe dream. That said, Clemson has been tested twice so far, and seeing them tested here wouldn’t be a surprise.

NC State is playing well on both sides of the ball, but this is obviously the team’s stiffest test of the season. Pulling off a massive road upset may me too much of an ask, but expecting the Wolfpack to keep this one close and respectable is not.

We’ll look for Clemson to win outright, but we don’t see them covering such a hefty spread against a hungry opponent. Our pick is NC State plus the points.

NC State +16.5

This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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Panthers vs. Capitals NHL Pick – October 19th

The Washington Capitals play host to the winless Florida Panthers on Friday night at the Capital One Center. The Panthers came close against the Flyers, but fell by a score of 6-5 in a shootout. Despite no win, they’ve picked up a couple of points because of two shootout losses. They were a goal away from beating the Lightning in the season opener, but ultimately came up short to a better team.

Falling to the Canucks at home, 3-2, was probably their weakest lost thus far. With that said, they have been in every game this season and just need the puck to start bouncing their way. They also would like to have their starting goaltender back in net. Bob Boughner and his team are operating without Roberto Luongo, as they’ve had to turn to Michael Hutchison and James Reimer. Reimer is acting as the fill-in starter while Luongo tends to his injury.

The Panthers put Luongo on the IR and is likely going to be out for a few weeks. He suffered an MCL strain in the season opener, a blow to a team that doesn’t have much depth behind him between the pipes. Reimer is fine for spot start duty, but a few weeks with him in net isn’t the most ideal scenario. Boughner, in his second season as the bench boss in Florida, is expected to see progress with his team in 2018-19.

He started off slow last season in his first-year, but his team made a furious rally in the second-half to have a chance at the playoffs. If they learned their lesson, they can’t afford another slow two months in October and November. The Capitals, 3-2-1, should give the Panthers some issues, but they’ve been beatable out of the gate. Head below for our free Panthers vs. Capitals pick.

Florida Panthers vs. Washington Capitals Pick

The Capitals barely survived against a bad Rangers team in their last outing. The Rangers brought the Caps to overtime at 3 goals apiece. That’s as close as they got, though, with Matt Niskanen putting an end to overtime. Against a bad team like the Rangers, it was a closer finished than expected. The Rangers went in as sizable underdogs. The Caps have put together only two complete games so far.

They mauled the Bruins by a score of 7-0 in the season opener, and have a 5-2 win over the Knights. In their other games, it appears that they might have been celebrating their Stanley Cup win the night before. The defence in particular has looked slow and inadequate. After the 7-0 win, the Capitals have allowed an average of 4.2 goals per game. Holtby enters with a 0.898 save percentage and 3.18 GAA. Ovechkin and the offence continue to produce at a solid rate, with 4 goals per game to open the season.

That could be an issue for the Panthers without Luongo in net. Since his exit, the Panthers have given up 14 goals in three games for an average of 4.6 goals. Reimer is a better option than Hutchison, but he’s allowed 8 goals in his only two starts this season. Reimer holds a 0.885 save percentage and 3.62 GAA. First-overall selection from the 2014 draft, Aaron Ekblad, is still searching for his first point this season for the Panthers.

With no Luongo, his presence becomes more important on the blueline. And it may look like an auto-bet on the Capitals at first glance, but at -170 and their defence too erratic to support a bet on the puck line, it’s tough to justify Washington here. In what looks like a 4-3 or 5-3 game, the OVER is likely a better option Friday night.


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San Jose State vs. San Diego State NCAAF Pick – Week 8

For what some people consider a bailout special in the last time slot for games, the San Jose State Spartans stay in California as they travel south to San Diego. If you are looking for a true bailout game, you might want to look to the Hawaii game at midnight, though. San Jose State are still searching for their first win of the season. With a record of 0-6, they are just trying to avoid going winless in 2018.

If we take a look at the rest of their schedule, the best chance for a win may come next week against UNLV. They welcome the Rebels at home in San Jose, so that’s likely going to be their only opening to a win. However, expect San Jose State to be an underdog regardless. The oddsmakers do not expect them to find a win in San Diego against the Aztecs. As four touchdown underdogs, it’d have to take a heck of an effort to spring a massive effort.

Absolutely no one would notice the upset other than people betting on the game. With the defense that San Diego State is going to throw at the Spartans, it’s going to be difficult for San Jose State to put together a game plan to pull off the upset. San Diego State don’t have many blowout wins this season, but who they’ve beaten counts for more than that.

The Aztecs have victories against Boise State, Arizona State, and won a close one against Air Force last week. An all instances, they denied their offenses from getting anything going. Arizona State scored 21 points, which is the most a team has scored other than the 38 Stanford put up in Week 1.

Their only loss on the year came against Stanford, 38-10. Since then they’ve given up just 17 points per game and gone 5-0. Meanwhile, San Jose State just got demolished by Army for a final score of 52-3. Their best game of the year was a 35-22 loss to Oregon.

The Ducks slept during that one, allowing San Jose State to cover the spread. The Spartans had to go to their backup QB, Josh Love, and things got ugly. They were outgained by 224 yards, a week after Colorado State outgained them by 106 yards. After failing to run down Army last week, they get another offense that will look to pound it down their throats Saturday night. Head below for our free San Jose State vs. San Diego State pick.

San Jose State Spartans vs. San Diego State Aztecs NCAAF Betting Odds:

Spread:
San Jose State +27.5(-110)
vs. San Diego State -27.5(-110)

Total:
Over 42.5(-110)
Under 42.5(-110)

Betting odds provided by Sportsbetting.ag

San Jose State vs. San Diego State Pick:

San Jose State hope to avoid getting embarrassed for a fourth consecutive game. The Aztecs have blown the Spartans out of the water in the last four meetings, the latest a 52-7 win in favor of SDSU. They’ve beaten them by an average of 34.25 points in those four games.

The last time San Jose State tasted a victory against San Diego State was in 2012. A lot will have to go right for the Spartans, which includes hoping that their starting QB, Josh Love, can give it a go and start on Saturday night. Love is currently listed as questionable in concussion protocol, so it’s unlikely he is going to be able to play.

Montel Aaron would likely get the keys as the starter again if that’s the case. Aaron passed for 8 touchdowns and 10 interceptions a season ago as a sophomore. The junior has completed just 59.5 percent of his passes on 74 attempts in 2018. How Aaron would be able to generate yards against this Aztecs’ defense remains to be seen. You can take away the running game from helping out, because San Jose State are dead last in the country with 50.3 rushing yards per game. That makes for a pathetic 1.3 yards per carry, with their longest rush 23 yards on the year.

That especially isn’t going to work against a San Diego State defense who are giving up just 87.2 yards on the ground per game. It includes having to defend against teams who love to run the ball, like Stanford, Arizona State, Air Force, and Boise State. It’s just not going to go well for San Jose State in this respect. They can’t run the ball and then they’re going to be firing at will which looks like an inexperienced quarterback. San Jose State are allowing 473 yards per game for 115th in the FBS, along with 41.3 points for 125th, so don’t count on the defense to save them either. The hurt they suffered against Army is likely to continue in San Diego. A 38-7 or 42-10 win for San Diego State looks right to provide a cover on the four touchdowns.

SAN DIEGO STATE -27.5

This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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DraftKings NFL Week 7 Sleeper Picks

What’s up guys. Alex here, and below are my DraftKings sleeper picks for the Week 7 Sunday main slate. If you looking for cash game plays, be sure to read my first article for Week 7, via this link. As always, be sure to be watching all the news outlets up until kickoff and if you need any advice, feel free to ask me on Twitter. @Hunta512.

QB: C.J. Beathard: (4,800)

Beathard’s current salary just doesn’t reflect how well he has played since Jimmy Garoppolo (knee) went down. In three matchups with The Chargers, Cardinals, and Packers, he is averaging 21.2 DK PPG. All three of these defenses rank inside the top 15 in pass DVOA. Also, it’s worth noting that his best showing was the only home game of the three (27.66 DK points vs The Cardinals), which is where he will be this Sunday vs The Rams. This defense has slipped dramatically since the start of the year, allowing the 7th most FPs to QBs since Week 4, compared to giving up the fewest FPs in The NFL during the first three weeks of the season. This NFC West matchup currently possesses the highest O/U game total of the main  slate and The Niners are expected to be trailing. (52.5 points, LAR -10)

Beathard will likely throw it around 40 times, which is more than enough volume for him to exceed value. Last week, vs The Packers, he scored 18.9 DK points in only 23 attempts. His willingness to rush is obviously a factor in this, but in these three starts he is scoring 0.6 DK points per attempt, bringing him to a 23.3 DK point projection if we put his throws exactly at 40. This is obviously isn’t a stable projection, but it shows you how effective Beathard has been in his limited time. The QBs I mentioned in my first post of the week are safer bets, but as the week goes on, I am more and more comfortable with dropping down to Beathard, not only in GPPs, but cash games as well. (the perfect way to fit in Todd Gurleys) I am having a hard time guessing his ownership, but QBs are usually spread out in GPPs, and Beathard shouldn’t crack 10% in The Milly Maker. (9-12% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)

TE: George Kittle: (5,000)

I will be pairing Beathard with Marquise Goodwin, but I also like rostering him and Kittle, as this stack will be less owned. Against The Packers on MNF, Kittle had trouble (7.0 DK points) vs this secondary (12th in DVOA vs TEs), but he still saw a solid six targets from his former college teammate in Beathard. Since the two friends got back together in Week 4, Kittle has seen a 18.6% market share and is scoring 15.7 DK PPG, even when including this past Monday night.

The Rams have held TEs to only 12.02 FPPG (8th in DVOA vs TEs), but if go and look at their schedule the only other real threat at TE they have gone against is Jared Cook in Week 1. In that game, Cook shocked the football world, having one of his best career games, catching 9/12 targets for a whopping 180 yards. (30 DK points) That was when their defense was at full strength and they are now a far different unit in Week 7. As heavy underdogs, the chances will be there for Kittle and he is my favorite pivot off the chalky Njoku.

WR: Antonio Callaway: (4,300)

Callaway has done next to nothing since his 17.8 DK point game vs The Saints in Week 2, but this Sunday, he gets a chance to redeem himself, vs the hopeless Bucs. This secondary is honestly laughable right now, giving up 51.5 FPPG to WRs since Week 3, which is the highest mark the league. (dead last in pass DVOA and overall DVOA) Each of their three starting CBs have PFF grades under 50 and they have been terrible at defending the long ball. (28th in deep pass DVOA) In The Browns’ last four games, Callaway has held a 20.7% target share for this offense and last week, with WR Rashard Higgins out (knee), he only missed two snaps. (97%)

This was a season high for Callaway and The Browns are expecting to be without Higgins at least for one more game. (DNP through Thursday’s practice) This puts Callaway in a near every down role in the best possible matchup. For good reason, everyone is all over Jarvis Landry and David Njoku in this spot, but are basically eliminating Callaway, because of his recent production. (2-4% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs) The floor is clearly the lowest of their pass catchers, but the ceiling is rather solid, considering he is the one most likely to bring in a deep ball for a TD. At only $4,300 and a very low ownership, Callaway makes a ton of sense as part of a Brown’s or CLE TB game stack.

Also Consider:

QB: Baker Mayfield and Carson Wentz. (has been very consistent, scoring 24.7 DK PPG in his last three and The Panthers are 21st in pass DVOA)

RB: James White (always a strong PPR option and the higher price should keep his ownership very low), Carlos Hyde, and Matt Breida. (dealing with many injuries right now, but if he is active for this game, Breida has strong upside in this setting. They completely eschewed Alfred Morris from this backfield vs The Packers, not giving him a single touch and only one snap. Raheem Mostert was involved in the ground game, but if The Niners get behind, Breida is the back that has PPR upside. He is running a route 52% of the time he is one field and I could see him hauling in a handful of balls in this game, on top of his robust 6.8 YPC)

WR: Michael Thomas, Julian Edelman, Allen Robinson (The Pats are 29th in DVOA vs #1 WRs and have looked very slow at defending athletic WRs as of late. Plus, being at home is a boost for Mitchell Trubinksy and this whole offense), Keke Coutee (slowed down last week vs a sneaky good Bills secondary, but before that, was averaging 21 DK PPG. Now, facing off against The Jags, targets should funnel to Keke, with Jaylen Rasmey working Deandre Hopkins), and Tre’Quan Smith. (super deep flier, but with Ted Ginn on IR, Smith is going to see a larger role going forward. Ginn was out last week and a season high 44 snaps, Smith caught all three of his targets for 111 yards and two TDs. He isn’t going to be a volume play, but his big play upside will always keep him in play this soft of a price, even vs an elite Ravens d)

TE: Rob Gronkowski (just a price point play. He hasn’t been this cheap in almost four years. The Bears are average down the middle, ranking 16th in DVOA vs TEs) and Greg Olsen. (only missed one snap in his return and saw seven targets vs The Redskins. He only caught four of those passes for 48 yards, but I expect him to be more involved in his second game back)

D: Ravens, Dolphins, and Jets.

PLAY THIS LINEUP


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Oregon vs. Washington State NCAAF Pick – Week 8

In what looks like the best game of the day on paper, the Oregon Ducks travel to a rowdy Pullman for a date with the Washington State Cougars. Pullman is expecting their biggest crowd in school history, as the town has already declared a state of emergency because of the amount of people arriving for the game. College Game Day goes to Pullman for the first time in school history, so expect the Ducks to be going in a crazed environment on Saturday afternoon.

Washington State is going to need more than just a wild environment to get them a win, though. With Justin Herbert on the other side, Washington State is going to have to bring a complete effort to the party on Saturday. They are fresh off a 30-27 win over Washington in overtime, so there really isn’t much time for them to relax and set themselves up for a letdown. It might be for the better that they play back-to-back ranked opponents, instead of opening themselves up to an upset against an inferior team like happens sometimes after big wins.

A 6-yard CJ Verdell touchdown ended things against Washington last week in Eugene. Washington kicked a field goal in their only overtime possession, which gave Oregon the ball with a chance to end it with a touchdown. The Ducks did just that as they pounded Washington at their own game. With the win, there is a glimmer of hope for Oregon to get to the playoff.

Their one loss this season came against Auburn, which looked like a “good” loss at the time, but Auburn is 4-3 and just lost to Tennessee. So, that loss doesn’t look as good as it did weeks ago. Nonetheless, if they get some help and teams fall ahead of them and they finish with one loss and a Pac-12 Championship, it’s still possible for Oregon.

The Washington State air-raid will look to exploit the Oregon secondary with Gardner Minshew. The ECU transfer has developed into the most prolific passer in the Pac-12. Herbert might have something to say about that on Saturday, but the stats leader in the conference is Minshew. It helps playing in an offense that only runs the ball 10 or so times a game.

He decided to transfer to the perfect school who was just losing their starter, Luke Falk. Falk regressed throughout his career in my opinion, and Minshew has taken Mike Leach’s offense to where it’s supposed to be. If there is any game to watch this week, Oregon and Washington State has to be it. Head below for our free Oregon vs. Washington State pick.

Oregon Ducks vs. Washington State Cougars NCAAF Betting Odds:

Spread:
Oregon +3(-113)
vs. Washington State -3(-107)

Total:
Over 68(-110)
Under 68(-110)

Betting odds provided by Sportsbetting.ag

Oregon vs. Washington State Pick:

At first look, Oregon does not look like the hyper-speed offense we’ve seen in the past with say Marcus Mariota. However, that doesn’t mean they aren’t putting up points and running an effective offense. Oregon have just been stressing the ground game behind a talented offensive line. The Ducks are averaging 209.5 yards per game on the ground for 31st in the country. Overall, they are 18th with 382 yards per game, and 11th with 43 points scored per game. Dillon Mitchell has developed into Herbert’s favorite target and has been getting better each week.

Mitchell is coming off a 119-yard with a touchdown performance against a solid Washington secondary last week. He’s helped Herbert compile 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. He’s thrown 4 touchdowns and no interceptions in the last two weeks. Cal was the other opponent on the road. Cal isn’t the same pushover defense from the past either. Herbert also dished it out nicely for 346 yards on a good Stanford defense.

Washington State have been solid at defending the pass, but they haven’t played a quarterback anywhere near Herbert’s league. Wyoming, San Jose State, and Eastern Washington were their first three games of the season. And then they’ve had USC, Utah, and Oregon State their previous three weeks. Utah like to pound the ball, USC is playing with a freshman quarterback this season who can’t find the deep ball, and Oregon State ran all over the Cougars last week. The best of the group despite being a freshman, USC’s J.T. Daniels, had 3 touchdowns and no interceptions against their defense.

The Cougars are allowing 148.2 yards per game for 56th in the FBS on the ground. Offensive lineman Dallas Warmack looks like a go for Oregon, but they will be down Penei Sewell. Sewell was replaced last week by Brady Aiello who held up well and has 13 starts under his belt, so he isn’t a freshman with little experience jumping in.

Expect Herbert to get the play-action working for the Ducks in Pullman. They didn’t pull the trigger on deep routes against the Huskies last week, but Cristobal will likely open things up and take some shots. The red flag in this game isn’t the offense for Oregon in my opinion. I would be afraid of the Ducks’ secondary, though.

They have been burned by worse offenses, including a 3-touchdown performance by Bowling Green’s Jarret Doege and 327 yards and 3 touchdowns allowed to KJ Costello of Stanford. Minshew and Washington State are 1st in the nation with 413.7 yards per game through the air. Look for Minshew to top 380 yards and come close to 400 on the Oregon secondary. Overall, the Cougars’ offense is scoring 41.8 points per game, just a hair behind Oregon. Oregon and Washington State make for the No. 1 and 2 offenses in the Pac-12. This one should get wild in Pullman, with a shootout brewing between Minshew and Herbert.


This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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Mr Fixit
MrFixitsTips.co.uk started in 2010 and has grown to become a really huge and active betting community on the web. Provide daily tips and previews from English, Scottish and international football, racing tips, NBA basketball tips and NFL American football tips. With more than 20 years of experience writing tips for the Daily Record, Scotland’s biggest newspaper, Mr Fixit brings you tips and betting news every day.

The Sports Geek
Thesportsgeek.com was founded in 2008 and provide betting picks and different kinds of betting strategies. With a team of five expert tipsters they offer picks from NBA, NFL, College Basketball, NHL and Golf.

We Love Betting
Welovebetting.co.uk is a site providing tips and insights from many football markets, such as Premier League, English football, Scottish football, International football but also other sports such as Golf, Horse racing and NFL. We Love Betting is updated daily with tips and betting previews.

FootyAccumulators
Footyaccumulators.com began in 2010 and provide betting news, match previews and recommended bets. FootyAccumulators write betting previews on over nine football leagues as well as internationals. They do not just focus on the Premier League, they also provide betting tips and previews for clubs in the Championship, League One and League Two.

Sports Betting Tips
Sportsbettingtips.org is a website with the ultimate aim to cover as many sports as possible. Each day they will provide at least one post with sports betting tips but they aim to provide at least 3 separate betting tips every day. All betting tips are free, and always will be so they say. Sports Betting Tips also provide other topics such as sports trivia, betting challenges and they have a “sports betting for dummies” section to help people new to sports betting.

Oddschanger
Oddschanger.com started in 2012 and provide betting tips and previews on over 10 different sports. They don’t just focus on the most popular Football and Horse Racing events, they provide tips from a wide variety of sports including; Golf, Tennis, Cricket, NFL, Boxing, MMA, Darts, Snooker, Rugby League and Rugby Union. Oddschanger´s daily bets (including trebles, long shots and challenge bets) brings you the best value for every sport, every day.

Betcraft
Betcraft.co is run by Gavin, a professional tipster who has a deep understanding of the mathematical and statistical side to betting which has allowed him to identify value. He explains why Martingale system is a long term loser and provide betting tips and preview purely based on value.

Betting Directory
Established in 2004 Betting-directory.com has grown in to a team of 10 expert writers, covering all major sport events. And with weekly celebrity guest columnists Betting Directory provide daily free betting tips and previews.

Accutipster
Accutipster.com is an informative betting website with writers that cover a variety of sports looking to find the best value possible in markets spread across Europe, and in terms of International football or NFL – the world. On a day-to-day basis, Accutipster pick out a selection of bets – with the aim of winning more than they lose.

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