Free betting tips and previews
Here you will find free betting tips and previews from the hottest betting experts online collected and compiled in one place. Same as in the Tiltbet betting app on AppStore.
Here you will find free betting tips and previews from the hottest betting experts online collected and compiled in one place. Same as in the Tiltbet betting app on AppStore.
DECENT nights on Monday and Tuesday and hoping to continue the run on to Wednesday’s card – there’s not much to go at but I reckon I may have spied one that has the goals radar quietly pinging away in the background.
The Bolivian B is a brutal division and while it may not be the most commonly visited league it has thrown up some big scorelines for me in the past.
This one features two sides going head to head just 3 days after an 11-goal ding-dong which saw Torre run out 8-3 winners in the early hours of Sunday morning … some scoreline and that was away from home!
It’s not a solitary big scoreline for the hosts who have match goal totals of 11-2-0-4-6-6 across their last 6 consecutive games and Kivon themselves have hardly been shy with their own last 9 reading 11-2-3-7-5-1-4-3-5 match goals within the last month.
There’s no guarantees and it goes without saying stakes have to reflect the obscure nature of games like this but I’m happy to take on the following.
Cardiff v Fulham Betting Tips – Premier League, 20th October 3.00pm
This will be a big game down at the foot of the table between two sides stuck in the bottom four. Cardiff are at the very bottom but a win would at least see them pull level with the Cottagers. Fulham have the worst defensive record in the top flight at the moment but will the limited attack of the Bluebirds be able to expose that? Read our predictions for Cardiff v Fulham.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 15th, 2018 at 7:16 p.m.)
Table of Contents
Cardiff are struggling to keep pace with the pack in the top flight this season. They return to action on a five-match losing streak. They have posted a D2 L6 record in the Premier League campaign, conceding at least two goals in each of those six defeats.
They have scored in just three of their eight fixtures as well, so nothing is working for them. They lost each of the three games in which they did manage to score. Can they get something going against a side who are struggling for form?
For Cardiff v Fulham predictions, both teams not to score in this one is at 11/10 odds* (betting odds taken on October 16th, 2018 at 6:18 pm). Cardiff are D1 L3 at home this season, having lost three in a row there. They have conceded ten goals in their last three home games.
A defeat in this one would see the Cottagers move six points clear of them, so the Bluebirds really need to produce something in this fixture or their already dire situation is going to be looking a lot worse.
Fulham have that three-point advantage then over the Bluebirds. Fulham have achieved a victory this season, which was back at the end of August. They are on a five-match winless streak though now with a D2 L3 record. The issue with Fulham is their defence which has been wide open.
That’s a huge problem they need to fix because otherwise, their style of play is positive. They have shipped 21 goals in eight games, the worst record in the top flight but some distance.
The Cottagers have conceded at least two goals in all but one of their league outings this season. But the question is, will their defence get exposed by a Cardiff’s lightweight attack? Under 2.5 goals is the appealing option at even money* (betting odds taken on October 16th, 2018 at 6:18 pm).
Avoiding defeat could well be the order of the day in this one and it could, therefore, be cagey. Fulham have taken one point from four road games this season failing to score in their last two which were at Man City and Everton.
Fulham and Cardiff were in the Championship last season together and the Cottagers took four points from the meetings. They won 4-2 down in South Wales. The Cottagers are undefeated in their last seven games against Cardiff in all competitions with a W3 D4 record on the board. Five of the last six meetings have produced at least three goals There have been thirteen goals in the last three clashes in Wales.
Fulham to win: The Cottagers may be a bit of value to go and get themselves an away win. They are facing a very limited Cardiff side. These two have very contrasting styles, with Cardiff being direct and Fulham playing open football. We are going to back the creativity of the visitors to find a way. Away win.
The Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Clippers open up their season on Wednesday night. Los Angeles will host the game as they look to open up this season with a win. Both teams finished their campaign without making the playoffs last season.
The Nuggets finished with a 46-36 record last season. Denver finished right outside the playoff picture for the Western Conference. The Nuggets had a solid season that finished with heartbreak. The Nuggets will look to make it into the postseason this season. A win right off the bat would be a huge beginning to the bounce back season.
Los Angeles was behind Denver in the standings last season. The Clippers finished with a 42-40 record, which put them in tenth place of the Western Conference. Los Angeles surprised a lot of people last season by finishing with a winning record. The Clippers could use a win right off the bat.
Los Angeles is coming off an offseason that seems to be the beginning of the rebuild. The Clippers were shopping their assets around for prospects and picks. Denver looked to try and make the moves to make the leap into the playoffs this season.
The Clippers and Nuggets met three times last season. Los Angeles won the season series 2-1. All three games last season were pretty close. Denver will need to win more games against teams like the Clippers if they want to make it back to the playoffs.
Los Angeles hosted the first game of the season between these two teams. The Clippers pulled off the win 109-104. Blake Griffin dropped 20 points and added 12 rebounds. Montrezl Harrell had 18 points for Los Angeles as well. Gary Harris led the Nuggets in scoring with 19 points.
The Clippers went to Denver in the second meeting of the season and pulled off a win. Lou Williams scored 25 points off the bench. Milos Teodosic, Montrezl Harrell and Boban Marjanovic all had over 10 points off the bench as well. Gary Harris had another solid game with 23 points, but it was not enough. Los Angeles won 122-120.
The Nuggets finally pulled off the win on April 7. Denver went back to Los Angeles for the game and had a dominant 134-115 win. Will Barton had 31 points and Nikola Jokic had 23 points in route to the win. Lou Williams led the Clippers in points off the bench with 24.
Denver struggled against the Clippers last season, but I believe that they could change that to begin this season. The Nuggets have the better lineup in my opinion and could pull off the win on the road on Wednesday night. Denver found a way to dominate and keep it close in Los Angeles last season. The Nuggets could use that momentum and carry it into their game on Wednesday night.
Denver and Los Angeles both were similar in the fact that their offense was near the upper half of the league, but their defense struggled. The Nuggets averaged 110 points per game, which was good enough to be sixth in the league. Denver allowed other teams to score about 108.5 points per game, which was twenty second in the league.
Los Angeles put up 109 points per game last season, which was ninth in the NBA. The Clippers also allowed 109 points per game, which was twenty fourth in the NBA. The Clippers were behind the Nuggets in both points per game and points allowed per game last season. This shows that the Nuggets were overall the better team scoring wise.
Denver has quite a few mismatches in this game. One of the big ones is Denver’s Nikola Jokic versus newly acquired Marcin Gortat. While Gortat is a solid starting Center in the league, I do not believe he can defend Jokic well. Jokic can both shoot behind the arc and play well in the paint, which will force Gortat to move a lot with him on Wednesday night.
Overall, I believe the Nuggets have the better team. Isaiah Thomas was picked up in the offseason and he will look to prove he still has it against the Clippers. Thomas will likely come off the bench, which could give him some advantages against Los Angeles’ depth.
A road win would be huge to start the season. This game is very winnable for the Nuggets and I believe they will be out to prove it. Too often last season, Denver came up short in winnable games. The Nuggets will need to change that around if they want to earn a playoff spot this season.
GTBets has Denver listed as -1.5 against the spread. I believe the Nuggets will win this game, which means the only way to not win is to push. This makes this a very valuable bet in my opinion. The Clippers made a lot of moves in the offseason, which could lead to a lack of chemistry in the lineup on Wednesday night. I am going with the road favorites.
Liverpool have been superb in the first few months of the Premier League, having won six and drawn two of their opening eight league matches and they will look to extend that unbeaten run on Saturday teatime when they head to Yorkshire to face Huddersfield Town in what will see Jurgen Klopp face his old friend David Wagner, who is looking to re-ignite the Terriers after a shaky start to the campaign.
|Saturday - 5.30pm||Odds||Won/Lost||Bet|
Huddersfield Town v Liverpool
Read our Betting Preview
|Tips||Liverpool to be leading after 30 minutes Best Bet||@ 29 / 20||Ladbrokes|
While Liverpool have been flourishing at the top of the pile, Huddersfield have failed to pick up a single win in the league this season, and with three points to their name sit in the relegation zone, so it's no surprise to see that Liverpool are red-hot 30/100 favourites with BetVictor to pick up the Premier League win.
However, Klopp could well have a number of injury worries for this match as Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mane, Virgil Van Dijk and Naby Keita have all picked up knocks while on international duty, so the German boss could forced to make some notable changes for this tie, and the bookmakers have cut Huddersfield to 12/1 for the win, while the draw is available at 19/4 with Unibet.
Despite some key players potentially missing, Liverpool have a much stronger squad setup than previous years, so if they bring in the likes of Daniel Sturridge, Adam Lallana and Jordan Henderson into the team then they should have a little too much for their hosts and maintain their unbeaten start to the season.
Nevertheless, the skinny odds-on for a Liverpool win is worth avoiding, so look elsewhere for some value selections. Huddersfield have only scored four goals all season, but they may look to take the game to Liverpool and that could leave the door open for Klopp's side to counter, so the 21/10 with BetVictor could offer some value.
Liverpool have flown out the traps in every game this season, so they could well take an early lead and the 29/20 with Ladbrokes for the Reds to be leading after 30 minutes looks a superb bet for those punters trying to avoid the win market.
Salah is the 11/4 favourite with Betfred to net the opener, but he has been struggling for form this season, so look towards Xherdan Shaqiri to net first at 6/1 with Betfred, as he could be in line for a start and could cause major problems for Huddersfield's flaky back line.
*Odds correct as of 17th Oct, 12:42. Odds are subject to change.
Event date(s): Various
Event(s): Football, Golf, NFL, Rugby Union, Basketball
Bookmaker(s): 1xbet, Betfair, Betway, Bwin, Nairabet
Rating: 2*, 3*, 4*
Sadly not the great returns from the resulted tips from Monday, still a couple to go though so hope lives
Lining up for the next few days there are some good bets around, hopefully you will be able to get on one or more of the following:
1xbet tip (Please click the link to open an account)
21 October 2018 NFL Philadelphia v Carolina – Philadelphia -7.5 2.60 1xbet 3*
17 October 2018 Golf CJ Cup – Jimmy Walker to finish in Top 20 4/1 (5.0) 2* Betfair /Betway
18 October 2018 Basketball NBA Houston v N Orleans – Houston -9.5 Handicap 7/5 (2.40) Bwin 3*
19 October 2018 Rugby Union Champions Cup Leicester v Scarlets – Leicester -3.5 Match Handicap 1.95 Nairabet 2*
20 October 2018 Football English Premier League Man City v Burnley – Man City -2 Three Way Handicap 4/5 (1.80) Betfair 4*
22 October 2018 Football Spanish La Liga Real Sociedad v Girona – Sociedad to win 4/5 (1.80) Betfair 3*
Ratings are at the end of each tip (click here for ratings guide). You can also see all historical tipping results here
Remember that tips go first to the new community which is over 1,400 members now (about 20 new members per day atm!), sharing tips & advice:
New BetCraft Community
or go to the app store, download Mighty Network and search for Betcraft.
I post exclusive tips there which appear nowhere else, so to check it out you gotta be involved
The Boston Celtics were nice enough to smoke the Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday night, easily covering their -4.5 point spread and getting me a win. It’s always nice to start off any new betting season at 1-0 and hopefully you were along for the ride.
Things get a bit trickier come Wednesday, as there will be quite a few contests to choose from. Keep in mind I am assigned specifically to the Eastern Conference, so I’ll be making my pick from that side of the NBA. Let’s shoot for 2-0 as I attack a game in Charlotte between the Hornets and Milwaukee Bucks.
I actually tend to hesitate to bet against the Hornets when they’re at home, but Charlotte was actually a middling 21-20 on their home court last year and these teams are headed in very different directions. The Hornets got rid of Dwight Howard this summer and while they certainly have some talent, it’s inferior to the stack job the Bucks have got going on.
Nobody on the Hornets can consistently check Giannis Antetokounmpo, while star scorers like Eric Bledsoe, Khris Middleton and newly added center Brook Lopez make this a formidable foe. Should you back the Bucks, go with Charlotte at home or attack the total? Let’s break this game down a bit further to find out:
The Hornets used to be a pretty tough out at home, but they regressed last year. Getting rid of Dwight Howard probably improves their locker room, but he was still a great rebounder, could defend and got easy buckets. They don’t have a dominant interior force like that anymore and that could be a problem with Lopez’s offense and The Greek Freak’s ability to attack.
It’s worth pointing out that these two did split the season series (2-2) last year and both sides were 2-0 at home. However, for one of those games in Charlotte, Antetokounmpo didn’t even suit up. I think this one registers a little differently, too. Not only have the Bucks made big moves and gotten better, but they need to send a message to the entire Eastern Conference with this season opener.
I’m sure Charlotte would love to do something similar in their home opener, but they’re the inferior team and I think they’ll have a difficult time stopping all of Milwaukee’s weapons. The Bucks have been encouraged to let it fly from the perimeter more this season and considering the Hornets ranked 27th out of 30 teams in three-point percentage allowed.
That won’t for sure translate to the new year, but it certainly could and Milwaukee’s willingness to attack from all angles could be a problem for the Hornets.
I think the ATS data can be of use here as well.
The Hornets were not good when Vegas bet against them on their home floor (1-9) a year ago. That’s not fully damning, but it can’t be encouraging if you were thinking about going with the Hornets. In fact, Charlotte (10-24-4) just wasn’t a great team to favor when perceived as the underdog in general last year.
Milwaukee was admittedly terrible ATS last season, but the Bucks for some reason responded very well (10-3) to being road favorites. That’s the spot they find themselves to start the new year and with their mission being proving to everyone they belong in the NBA Finals discussion, I don’t think they’re about to lay an egg here.
I was initially digging a flat -2 point spread for the Bucks, but just about every site added an extra 0.5 and I don’t like losing the safety of a push. The spread is still in play, but this game should be close. I’ll take the Bucks to win at a solid -135 price at Bovada.
OUR Stats Value column returns to WLB as we aim to pinpoint the best daily stats bets according to the data. Here’s Friday’s value selection.
Union Espanola have seen 9/12 (75%) of their home league games feature winning Both Teams To Score bets, with games averaging 3.42 goals per-game.
Deportes Temuco have seen 9/13 (69%) of their away league games feature winning Both Teams To Score, with games averaging 2.38 goals per-game.
Collectively, these two clubs have seen 2.90 goals per-game on average in their combined home/away league games, with Both Teams To Score banking in 18/25 (72%) of those encounters – that would percentage success rate that would imply odds of 2/5.
We can back Both Teams To Score at 4/5 with Marathon in Chile on Friday night.
Union Espanola v Deportes Temuco – Both Teams To Score (4/5 Marathon)
The Premier League returns from the dark depths of the international break this weekend and it comes back with a bang as Chelsea host Manchester United in a potential classic. The Blues go into the match joint top of the table and in flying form under Maurizio Sarri and they will be coming up against old boss Jose Mourinho and his under pressure United squad.
Jose Mourinho held on to his job by the skin of his teeth thanks to the comeback win against Newcastle at Old Trafford but now come the real test.
United have a difficult run of fixtures upcoming, starting with this game against Chelsea and they are going to start this match as the clear outsiders in the match betting. United have been a shambles from a defensive point of view this term with 14 goals conceded from their first eight games and that has left them way off the pace.
Chelsea, on the other hand, have been a joy to watch under Sarri and will be looking to continue their unbeaten start to the Premier League season.
The Stamford Bridge team also have home advantage and as such are the clear favourites at 8/13 with Paddy Power to claim the three points. A United win is as big as 4/1 with the same firm which is a massive price for a Jose Mourinho team.
Man United have scored just twice on their last six visits to Stamford Bridge, without winning, and a similar outcome does look on the cards.
Indeed, United haven't scored on any of their last three visits to Chelsea and lost all three of those games to nil which is a pointer for punters this weekend.
A lowish scoring game is on the cards as the early Saturday kick off always a bit of a damp squib in terms of entertainment, but there is money to be made. Recent history certainly suggests a Chelsea win to nil and punters can get 2/1 with BetVictor.com about the same outcome this weekend.
*Odds correct as of 1st Oct, 15:00. Odds are subject to change.
Huddersfield v Liverpool Betting Tips – Premier League, 20th October 5.30pm
Liverpool bubble burst just a little bit before the international break in back to back draws against Chelsea and Manchester City. They started to look a bit jaded, so will they be able to lift themselves? They head out on the road to face a Huddersfield side who are still looking for their first win of the season and all sorts of problems in the bottom three. Read our predictions for Huddersfield v Liverpool.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 15th, 2018 at 7:16 p.m.)
Table of Contents
Huddersfield are yet to win a league game this season. If their first were to happen on the weekend, that would be a shock, to say the least. The Terriers have just three points this season from three drawn matches and are in big trouble.
They drew with Burnley just before the international break. Their home form has seen them collect only the one point from four games and punters are hardly going to trust them here. Their last home game saw them suffer a 2-0 loss against Tottenham.
So that defeat against Spurs is a good indicator for this one. A Liverpool 2-0 correct score option is at 5/1 odds* (betting odds taken on October 16th, 2018 at 4:53 pm). Huddersfield are not only looking for their first home win of the season but also their first home goal.
The option on both teams not to score has to have some value. Huddersfield have just looked extremely short in quality and they have come up with just four goals all term. They are the joint lowest scorers alongside bottom club Cardiff heading back into the weekend.
Liverpool drew their final two games before the international break and will be keen to break back into winning ways. They are W3 D1 away from Anfield this term in the top flight, their winning streak getting snapped in a 1-1 tie at Chelsea in their last road game.
That game at Stamford Bridge was the first time that Liverpool had failed to score two goals in an away game. Liverpool to win to nil is at 10/11 odds* (betting odds taken on October 16th, 2018 at 4:53 pm) and is a popular option for Huddersfield v Liverpool betting tips. They are still waiting for their prolific front three to click into gear this term.
Mo Salah, for example, has only picked up the one goal in his last five Premier League fixture but the chances have been there. He just hasn’t been finishing them. Because they are facing a leaky defence on the weekend though, Salah is the 8/11 favourite in the anytime goalscorer market, but has just one away goal all season* (betting odds taken on October 16th, 2018 at 4:53 pm).
So it may well be worth looking deeper in the market. Liverpool have shipped only the three away goals this season, two of them in the second half of matches. The Reds have been ahead at half time in three of their four road games. A Liverpool/Liverpool half-time/ full-time bet is at 5/6 odds* (betting odds taken on October 16th, 2018 at 4:53 pm).
Liverpool had an easy time of things last season in the top flight against the Terriers. They went and produced a 3-0 win in both games against Huddersfield. Those were the first league meetings since the 1971/72 old division one season.
Liverpool to win: Even though Liverpool looked a little bit off-key before the international break, we are still going to back the away win in Huddersfield v Liverpool predictions. They did struggle against Chelsea and Man City but otherwise have been reliable in scrapping out points, especially away from home. Liverpool to win & under 2.5 goals.
NFL nut Kyle Brown (@Kyleianbrown) runs the rule over the Thursday night’s NFL clash between Denver Broncos and Arizona Cardinals.
On the back of a four-game losing streak, the (2-4) Denver Broncos travel to Phoenix for Thursday Night Football this week to take on the (1-5) Arizona Cardinals. Both sides will be looking at the game as a must-win to ensure their season isn’t effectively over before the half way point.
Broncos general manager John Elway has been publically critical of the side in recent weeks, claiming the defence to be “soft” – a word not characteristically associated with a team featuring the likes of Von Miller and Chris Harris.
Miller is well aware of the comments, telling reporters to expect the very best from himself and his defence this week. He’s not been playing as well as is expected, but the talent he possesses is still unquestionably there. With his defence coming up against the worst ranked offense, the match-up couldn’t be a better opportunity to reignite confidence and form.
Coming into Week 7, the Cardinals rank last in total offense, rushing offense, total first downs and in third-down conversion percentage. While rookie Josh Rosen has come in following the defeat to the Chicago Bears, he has been steady but unexciting – albeit he did lead the Cardinals to their sole win of the season so far.
An underperforming and underwhelming Broncos side presents Rosen with an opportunity to showcase his talents, but the real winner of the game may be running back David Johnson.
Four touchdowns in his last three games is more like his 2016-self, and the Broncos defence has allowed two consecutive 200+ rushing yard games – I don’t imagine they will have been able to make drastic improvements given the short week.
Injury-wise, Shane Ray (OLB) and Jared Veldeer (RT) are doubtful for the Broncos, as well as Larry Fitzgerald (WR) and Chandler Jones (EDGE) for the Cardinals, among others. Case Keenum is also dealing with a suspected forearm injury which may be worth keeping an eye on up until kick-off, but as of the time of posting he is still a full participant in practice.
All three of the guards listed on the depth chart for the Cardinals sat out practice on Monday and barring Justin Pugh (who was limited), were on the sideline again on Tuesday. If two or more were to miss Thursday night’s match then expect a lot of positional changes along the offensive line, and be prepared for the Broncos running back tandem to profit.
Betting-wise, this game has one the lowest points over/under set for Week 7’s match-ups at 42.5. If anything, that makes me want to pick the over. Both teams will be fired up and wanting to get back into the winning habit.
For Denver, it’s a chance to reignite their wildcard play-off spot hopes, and for Arizona, Rosen will be looking for his first 300+ passing game and to prove to the NFL he was worthy of a first round draft pick. I can see a 46+ point game on the back of turnovers and defensive errors.
David Johnson has a chance to put up his best numbers of the season. He’s been a bit hit-or-miss this season but is starting to find his pre-injury form. SkyBet have his over/under receiving line set at 28.5 and for me that’s far too low.
Arizona have struggled to get Johnson involved in the passing game as much as they’d like, but this game presents a great opportunity. He’s had over 28.5 yards or more in three out of the six games this year, but in 2016 he averaged 54.9 yards per-game receiving. While the offense has changed since then, he still has the talent to get back to those numbers.
Rosen’s favourite receiver thus far has been Christian Kirk (19 targets through three games) and with Larry Fitzgerald likely having the attention of Chris Harris for the game, I anticipate Kirk to have a good game.
With the Broncos having to focus predominantly on stopping the run to avoid yet another embarrassing defensive display, Kirk should find some room and hopefully bring a pass down for a touchdown at 5/2 (SkyBet).
Overall, I think the game will be more exciting than people initially think, and it’s as good a match-up as any for either teams’ players to put up season-high numbers. I think it’ll be a Denver win in the end but being best priced as favourites (9/10 Betfair) doesn’t show me enough value to back them.
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals – David Johnson Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (10/11 SkyBet)
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals – Christian Kirk to score a touchdown at anytime (5/2 SkyBet)
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals – Denver -2 and Case Keenum 300+ Passing Yards (4/1 SkyBet)
English Premier League. Kick-Off: 3pm, Saturday 20th October 2018.
CITY will be aiming to tighten their grip on top spot on Saturday when mid-table Burnley visit the Etihad.
Pep Guardiola's side are on of the shortest prices of the season at around 1/14 to take all three points so might pay to back goals in this one.
City have are the Premier League's top scorers with 21 goals in eight games and have scored 19 in six at home against Burnley since 2001. Their matches are averaging 2.63 goals per game, a shade off last year's tally of 2.79 and it's worth noting that in nine of the last 11 home matches against sides outwith last season's top four City have won by two goals or more. However they're just 1.650 to beat the -2.5 Asian Handicap.
For their part, Burnley are also dong well in front of goal and have recently been confounding the expected goals (xG) experts. They've netted seven in their last three Premier League matches despite having just ten shots on target. They look a big price at 6/4 (Bet365) to score on Saturday.
Having said that, Man City have the joint meanest defence in the league (alongside Liverpool), conceding just three to date. Two of those have been at home however, including one to Huddersfield in a 6-1 win and a consolation goal for the Clarets could be our best bet.
Curiously, the fixture has a history of cards with 29 yellows being shown in the last 6 meetings – that's almost five per match. The Asian Line is set at 3, with overs priced up at 1.825 (just over 4/5) and could be worth a play if the trend is to continue.
Other stats of note to help us create a BetBuilder are;
PROMOTION-CHASING Middlesbrough travel to high-flying Sheffield Wednesday on Friday night and Football League fan James O’Rourke (@JamesOR1) has been on the look out for the best betting options.
Sixth in the table Sheffield Wednesday welcome a Middlesbrough side who sit fourth in the Championship standings heading into this round of fixtures.
In the 24 matches that both outfits have played in the league this season combined, only five defeats have been suffered. The Owls have yet to taste defeat playing at Hillsborough, whilst only once have Tony Pulis’ men had a loss on the road.
In games involving Sheffield Wednesday in the Championship, there has been an average of 3.1 goals, whereas for Middlesbrough it is a very low 1.7.
Whilst there is not much to separate these two, the goal line is the one clear difference between them. Something will have to give on Friday night in that regard.
Both enter this contest on the back of contrasting outcomes prior to the international break. Middlesbrough suffered their first home loss of the campaign over Nottingham Forest, whereas Jos Luhukay’s team secured the points away at Bristol City.
Quite remarkably, those two goals Boro shipped at the Riverside made up a third of the goals they’ve conceded in the entire Championship campaign to date. By far this gives them the best defence record in the division.
On the flip side, only West Brom, Leeds, Sheffield United, Aston Villa and Brentford have scored more than Sheffield Wednesday. Something really is going to have to give in this match!
With that being the case, you’ll be arguing with yourselves for hours if you’re considering going down the goals route. We did consider Both Teams To Score being a play. This has happened, quite amazingly, in 92% of Sheff Wed’s games in the league so far.
However, Pulis is starting to work his defensive magic with the club this season, as 67% of the time they have earned a clean sheet, also in half of their away meetings. The first goal therefore will be key in this contest.
If Middlesbrough were to secure it, then they will look to do as they did at Ipswich a few weeks ago, and manage the game afterwards. It may be harder to achieve that against a free-scoring Sheffield Wednesday team, but if any side can do so, it is them.
However, Wednesday have rather frustratingly drew four of their six at home, proving that they can indeed be frustrated. Nine of 12 of Sheff Wed’s games have ended Over 2.5 Goals, whilst the same can be said in only 2/12 for Middlesbrough.
As much as you argue for one possibility, you can claim the other. We’ll swerve the over/under column.
As can be the case following the international break, of which both teams saw players represent their countries, this may take some time to really get into gear. Less than half of the time have these sides been leading their matches at half time.
Pulis will be more than aware that the opposition play in some open matches, and that’ll make them a danger in attack. On the back of a disappointing home defeat, where defensively they looked shaky, the former Stoke boss will also look to make them harder to beat first and foremost.
Luhukay won’t set up his side any differently. This is an approach they will use when either facing top of the table and big rivals Sheffield United or bottom of the table Hull City. This is what makes them a tough outfit to face, and only three sides have managed to be victorious against them in the Championship, but none at Hillsborough.
For all that Middlesbrough are strong defensively, they are not big scorers. Pulis is clearly not entirely sure who his best striker at the club is. This is something he will probably try to explore in the January transfer window.
Britt Assombalonga has found himself in and out of the side, whilst Jordan Hugill is yet to fire on all cylinders so far. Martin Braithwaite tried to leave before the previous window closed, and he is another that Pulis is seemingly not 100% convinced with at present. With that being the case, they need to be especially strong at the back.
Boro are scoring on average 1.17 goals per game, conceding only 0.50.
Interestingly, the average minutes that these teams score and concede suggests it should be a close first half. For scoring, Sheffield Wednesday’s is 47 minutes, whilst for Middlesbrough it is 43. On conceding, Sheffield Wednesday is 49 and Middlesbrough is 44.
Based on these numbers, we don’t expect many goals in the first half. We’ll play it relatively safe and suggest the Half Time Draw, and considering we can get odds-against quotes of 11/10 (Bet365), this is difficult to ignore.
Only four players have collected at least five yellow cards in Sky Bet Championship matches this season. Two of which are represented by the two teams on show on Friday night.
Barry Bannan is one of those, and he recently served his one-match suspension. The Scottish international however is an injury concern after being forced off in the Bristol City match. He did not appear for Scotland too, so there is certainly a doubt after his participation. Therefore, we’ll not look to explore any disciplinary markets involving him.
However, the other man in question is Boro central midfielder Adam Clayton. He returned from a ban in the last game when making the bench, Pulis deciding not to break up a winning team. Nevertheless, after the Nottingham Forest loss, the former Huddersfield and Leeds man is very likely to be restored to the midfield trio here.
What is also quite taking is that of those five bookings, Clayton has earned four of those in away matches. You know the score, he is one of those type to make those clever, needed fouls around the halfway line to prevent counter attacks a lot of the time.
Sheff Wed will attack in numbers and at speed, so you can just see this sort of situation playing out again. Clayton is already halfway to the 10 bookings he earned in the league last season, and he is not holding back if the early months of the campaign are anything to go by.
After not starting the last game, and then having the international break, he’ll be itching to get back involved, perhaps too keen at times. Therefore, we’ll have a little play on Clayton To Be Shown A Card. This is available at 15/8 (Bet365).
Considering Clayton has started 10 league games and been booked in five of those, there is every chance that statistic will be increased.
There is an injury concern over Steven Fletcher heading into this game, so Luhukay may have a decision to make as to who starts in attack. It could be that the former Wolves and Sunderland man drops out anyway, as Lucas Joao netted twice off the bench in the Bristol City clash.
That makes Joao their top scorer with five, but he has never been the most consistent of scorers for the Owls.
One man who has been making a lot of headlines in a Sheffield Wednesday shirt is Adam Reach. He has netted three times this season, making him their joint-second top scorer in the league.
Reach netted a goal of the season contender in the home draw to Leeds when making an appearance on a Friday night Sky Sports match back in late September. He then backed that up a few days later with another stunner in the home draw with West Brom.
Reach seems to love it under the lights at Hillsborough, and we believe he can net again. Given how Middlesbrough are clearly a team that are well-organised and give very little away, Wednesday could grow frustrated at times.
Trying to thread through balls into the box will be a challenge, whilst the likes of Daniel Ayala and Aden Flint will fancy their chances of heading clear any high balls into the area. The Owls will need to find other ways of testing Darren Randolph in the Boro goal.
With Reach having those wonder goals in the back of his mind, and the crowd chanting him to shoot whenever he gets the ball, he’ll surely have a pop when given the chance in this game.
Reach is a player that has no fixed position in the Luhukay setup, certainly when they are an offensive prospect. He is given free license to go in search of the ball and take up those pockets of space outside the box where he can manoeuvre space for himself to unleash that left foot wand of his.
Middlesbrough would rather allow shots from distance to come in on their goal from closer range, and they won’t be best placed to block such shots as they tend to defend their box on the road when coming under spells of pressure.
21/4 (888) is the price on offer for Adam Reach being an Anytime Goalscorer and this is a fun way to get involved in this match. It may take a moment of brilliance for this tight Boro defensive line to be penetrated.
Sheffield Wednesday v Middlesbrough – Half-Time Draw (11/10 Bet365)
Sheffield Wednesday v Middlesbrough – Adam Clayton to be shown a card (15/8 Bet365)
Sheffield Wednesday v Middlesbrough – Adam Reach to score at anytime (21/4 888)
The New York Rangers look to parlay a positive night at the office on Tuesday night into another win on Wednesday is a more difficult environment. The Rangers got by the Avalanche in a shootout last night, as Henrik Lundqvist was able to outduel Semyon Varlamov in net. The Avalanche rang the pipe twice in overtime, including a point-blank miss by Landeskog in front of the net. Lundqvist was not able to get over in time on a nice feed on an odd man rush, but it just wasn’t meant to be.
After hitting two posts in an overtime session, it’s probably not meant to be in a shootout. Naturally, the Rangers came out on top after Landeskog failed to deliver on the Avs’ last opportunity. There isn’t much time for the Rangers to celebrate anything, because the head to Washington where they’ll face the Capitals tonight.
The Capitals have had an extended break before lacing the skates up for a game. We last seen the Caps on the ice on Saturday, where they took it on the chin against the Maple Leafs. They took a 4-2 loss and likely found a team who could provide a sizable roadblock in the Eastern Conference. For a team that brought the Capitals to seven games two years ago, and have gotten considerably better since then, they are going to have some major competition.
Off to a 2-2-1 start, the Capitals are looking to put things together on Wednesday night. Including the loss to the Maple Leafs, the Caps fell to the Devils in a game prior. Between the two games, the Capitals were outscored 10-2. We’ll see if the extra rest helps them out against the Rangers. Head below for our free Rangers vs. Capitals pick.
The Rangers have won two games this season and both of them came following regulation. They beat the Sharks by a score of 3-2 in overtime, but were outshot 43-27. Last night the Rangers were the aggressors from the get-go, as they hit Varlamov 43 times. For a team who is likely going to struggle with finding offence, last night was a nice outing. Varlamov has been one of the hottest goaltenders to start the year, but the Rangers got the better of him. The fact of the matter is that the Rangers could very well be a winless right now, though.
They were outplayed by the Sharks, though they still managed to get the winner in overtime. And then on Tuesday evening, the Avs were inches away from ending it. An unfortunate couple of bounces and the Rangers are going into tonight without a win on their resume. Considering the lack of depth on the Rangers roster, that wouldn’t have been the most surprising thing.
The Rangers don’t get the most favourable scheduling in this spot tonight. They are playing on a back-to-back against a Capitals squad who has had a full three days to recoup. After getting trounced by the Devils and Maple Leafs, expect to see the Caps come out flying against the Rangers. They likely play motivated not to look sloppy against an inferior opponent tonight. I’d take a look at Washington with their fresh legs to get the job done here.
PREMIER LEAGUE expert Daniel McCulloch (@DMcCulloch1984) shares his thoughts on Super Sunday’s showdown from Goodison Park.
At the start of the season, I stated that I expected Both Teams To Score backers to be healthily rewarded if they targeted Everton games. At Hull and Watford that seemed to be the case for Marco Silva and the Portuguese hasn’t disappointed on Merseyside, with six of his eight matches seeing both sides find the net.
Everton’s recent resurgence – they’ve won their last two matches – coupled with the fact that Crystal Palace have won just won of their lost seven matches will surely mean that there will be plenty backing the Toffees at a best price of 17/20.
I certainly wouldn’t put you off such a bet but I would rather take the 3/1 with Bet365 that Everton win and both sides score. Two of Everton’s three victories this season would have seen such a bet rewarded, while Fulham missed a couple of big chances in their 3-0 loss at Goodison.
Palace have only five goals to their name but the statistics suggest that they have deserved more, with their Expected Goals total over seven. Indeed, while the Eagles have been generally disappointing this term, I do believe they were unfortunate not to beat Newcastle at home and they probably deserved a point against Wolves.
I do have concerns about Palace’s goal threat outside of Wilfried Zaha but Everton have looked leaky all season and given that they have conceded 12 in just eight games – with Arsenal being the only member of the Big Six that they’ve faced, you have to fancy the away side to score.
Ultimately, I feel Everton will have too much for Palace and 2-1/3-1 are likely results but I will keep it simple and back Everton and BTTS at 3/1.
Elsewhere, I like the look of Richarlison at 2/1 with Marathon in the Anytime Goalscorer market. The Brazilian has scored in three of his five and a bit matches (he was sent off in the first half against Bournemouth) for the Toffees and this seems like a big price for the hosts biggest goal threat.
Everton v Crystal Palace – Everton to win and Both Teams To Score (3/1 Bet365)
Everton v Crystal Palace – Richarlison to score (2/1 Marathon)
NFL expert Tom Selwyn (@Tom_Selwyn) shares his expert opinion on the best bets available from Sunday’s action on Week 7.
There’s another game in London this weekend and it involves one of the teams from my favourite Wembley game – the Chargers lost 32 – 37 to the Saints way back in 2008 in a superb encounter.
Unfortunately the games in London of late have not been as competitive with the margin of victory being 24.5 over the last four games. With the way that the Titans and Chargers have been performing of late, this one figures to not be very close either.
It’s very tempting to take Los Angeles -6.5 here and I wouldn’t blame you if you did, but I think there’s enough evidence to suggest that the Chargers should be getting off to an early lead in this one, so I’ll be taking LA to Lead After Every Quarter at a nicer price (8/5 Bet365) than the handicap.
The Chargers currently boast the league’s seventh-ranked offense and have achieved this feat in three of their four wins this season, with the only exception being Kyle Shanahan’s 49ers who have shown that they can score on most teams.
The other teams? The Browns, Raiders and Bills. At this point I have no problem lumping the Titans in with these teams as they are in offensive funk right now, scoring just 12 points over their last two games.
Even when they scored 14 points in the first quarter of their win over Houston in Week 2, the Titans still only average 4.3 points in the first quarter this season (21st in the league) – if you take that game out it slips down to just 2.5! In contrast, the Chargers average a healthy seven points (sixth) and are a far superior offense.
Only the Bills and Cardinals score less than the Titans and there’s no reason to believe they’ll keep up with Philip Rivers and company. If the Chargers get ahead early, and the stats suggest they will, they should stay ahead.
I think Jets fans have to be happy with their rookie QB Sam Darnold and how he’s been progressing so far this season, but for this pick I’m going to be looking at the Vikings’ new QB Kirk Cousins.
Despite being under a lot of pressure, Cousins has consistently delivered and sits fifth in the league for passing yards with 1,921. That averages out at just over 320 yards per-game and given you can get even-money (Paddy Power) on him going Over 274.5 Yards in this game, I’ll be all over that.
Cousins has gone over that total in four of six games this season and in all three of Minnesota’s road games (averaging a whopping 382.7 yards per-game outside of Minnesota). He’ll be facing a Jets defence this week that is ranked 22nd against the pass and has a bit of an injury crisis in the secondary with two starters already ruled out and another listed as doubtful.
With two very talented WRs in Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs lining up against them, it could be a long day for the Jets pass defence. Thielen in particular has been superb this season, currently leading the league in receiving and receptions, while breaking records along the way for 100+ yard games. He’s torched whoever he’s been up against and I expect this game to be no different.
I think this would have been a good bet even before the news that the Jets have a number of injuries in the secondary. Cousins should have another nice stat line in this one.
On to the other Los Angeles team now as the Rams take on the 49ers. After the Chiefs lost to the Patriots last week it left the Rams as the only remaining undefeated team.
I can’t envision they’ll be losing this status to the short-handed 49ers, but I think that since Jimmy Garoppolo went down to injury San Francisco is get unfairly written off each week by the bookies, especially in the points market.
I’ve praised Rams head coach Sean McVay for being a brilliant offensive mind, but you could make a case that what Kyle Shanahan has done with less talent has been even better. In the three games that backup QB C.J. Beathard has started the 49ers have scored an average of 25 points per-game.
With the Rams starting to leak points since Week 3 and I think the 9/10 (Sportingbet) offered for Over 20.5 San Francisco points is well worth going after.
After starting out the season giving up just 6.5 points per-game through the first two weeks, the Rams have since given up 26.25 points per-game over their last four games. A lot of this is due to the explosive nature of their offense forcing teams to try to match them and given we see the 49ers defence routinely giving up big plays each week, we should be seeing the same thing in this matchup.
I don’t expect Beathard to keep pace, but this offense can certainly score – they average as many points a game as Aaron Rodgers and the Packers – thanks to the scheming of Shanahan and a very good running game that’s ranked third in the league.
Tennessee Titans @ Los Angeles Chargers – Los Angeles Chargers to Lead After Every Quarter (8/5 Bet365)
Minnesota Vikings @ New York Jets – Kirk Cousins Over 274.5 Receiving Yards (1/1 Paddy Power)
Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers – San Francisco 49ers Over 20.5 Points (9/10 Sportingbet)
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