Augsburg vs Koln


Despite quite poor performances in last month or so and only one victory in last six Bundesliga matches, Augsburg is still in fight for European positions and shouldn’t blow up such a chance this year, at least not while playing in front of their own crowd. Team is currently at sixth position, having two points more than Hoffenheim and three points more than in-form Dortmund.

Having such strong opponents in a Europa League ticket fight surely puts decent pressure on them, so the team is, without any doubt, in a must win situation here. They have earned 30 points playing in front of own fans, in comparison to only 12 when playing on the road – so logically, they will put all their effort in order to win the home matches at least. Home side has no fresh injury worries as they already miss central defender Jan-Ingwer Callsen-Bracker (23/1) for some time, as well as offensive midfielder Caiuby (22/1) and forward Shawn Parker (7/0) all out due injuries. Formation will be set in a 4-1-4-1 formation, with Raul Bobadilla being their lone striker.

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Koln, on the other side, comes from a home 1:1 draw against Leverkusen, playing quite a balanced game against surely individually stronger and more mature side. However, at the same time they lucky as well, as the visiting side missed penalty kick back near the end of the halftime whistle and didn’t enter the second half properly obviously being influenced with that miss.

Still, Leverkusen took the lead in 60th minute via Brandt, but the hosts didn’t surrender, were looking for an equalizer and finally reached it with a goal from Finne seven minutes before the full time whistle. Four rounds till the end of Bundesliga, they have seven points more than play-out placed Hamburger, so most likely the team won’t enter huge relegation problems in case they only take one point in next three matches. Striker Patrick Helmes is out during the whole season, while the visitors also miss forward Deyverson (7/1) and important right back Pawel Olkowski (27/2) all three being injured. Miso Brecko will replace injured Olkowski this time. Coach Peter Stoger probably won’t change other parts of the team.

Augsburg have seen over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches against Koln.

Even though relegation fight isn’t over for Koln, I’ll be going with Augsburg here as they simply look way more promising at home. Koln hasn’t won in last six matches on the road, scoring only once in last three and Augsburg should be able to get a victory here, easy or hard.

Bet: Augsburg Wins @ 2.20 with William Hill

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