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17 December 2017 Betting tips
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Hope you are having a great weekend so far, if not the perhaps these tips will help! Quite a lot of tips this morning, on both football and the NFL as plenty of action from those 2 sports today. First up we are on the corners again with Betfair who are offering some generous odds for Zulte-Waregem to have more corners in their match against Antwerp, 8/11 (1.73) is the price (which is as low as 1.27 at Unibet…).
Belgian Jupiler League Zulte v Antwep Zulte to win corner match bet 8/11 (1.73) Betfair Sportsbook 4*
Italian Serie A Sampdoria v Sassuolo over 10.5 corners 5/6 (1.83) Betfair Sportsbook 4*
English Premiership West Brom v Man Utd Under 1.5 goals 2nd half 8/11 (1.73) 3* Coral
NFL Green Bay -3.5 v Carolina Point Spread 11/4 (3.75) Skybet 2*
NFL Jacksonville v Houston 1st Half Point Spread 1/1 (2.00) Skybet 2*
Ratings are at the end of each tip (click here for ratings guide)
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Good luck from BetCraft
Patriots vs. Steelers Pick – NFL Week 15
We enter one of the biggest games of the regular season, as the New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers meet in a battle of AFC supremacy. The Patriots hurt their stock last week, as they took a rather ugly loss against the Dolphins on Monday Night Football. Bill Belichick was asked if his team was looking ahead after the game, and he looked fairly annoyed with the question, of course. But deep down, I think he knows his team were overlooking the Dolphins to Week 15 against the Steelers.
We cashed in on the Dolphins, so we seen that coming from a mile away. The Patriots played without Rob Gronkowski because of his suspension, but will have him back. Some people believe that he should have gotten much more than a game suspension, and I tend to agree. Considering the new stance towards player safety, two games may have been the suitable answer.
The presence of Gronk will make this a better game as a spectator, though. Their offense played drunk last week. No Gronkowski was part of it, but no one stood out and had a good game. Tom Brady threw 2 interceptions in a game for the first time this season. He was ugly with 1 touchdowns, 2 interceptions, and a 55.8% completion percentage. The Dolphins drew up a solid game plan and took care of the Pats. The Patriots always seem to struggle in Miami, so it wasn’t the biggest upset in the world. The loss brought New England to 10-3. Conversely, the Steelers have the upper-hand at 11-2.
This game will most likely determine the number 1 seed in the AFC. The Patriots would take the tiebreaker if both teams have identical records at the end of the year. Meanwhile, a win for the Steelers would clinch homefield advantage throughout the playoffs with a win on Sunday and a Jags loss against the Titans. They will lock in a first-round bye with a win today, regardless of what anyone else does the rest of the way. Big stakes in Pittsburgh on Sunday afternoon. Head below for our free Patriots vs. Steelers pick.
New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Odds:
vs. Steelers +2.5(-110)
Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv
Patriots vs. Steelers Pick:
How often do you see Brock Osweiler outperforming Tom Brady? Well, in the past week, Osweiler was the better quarterback. Osweiler filled in on Thursday night and played better than anyone could expect. Brady played as poorly than anyone could have expected last Sunday. It would be foolish to read too far into that outing from Brady and the Pats. They aren’t unbreakable, but they tend to take the big games seriously. The Patriots have won the last four meetings against the Steelers. Their most recent coming in the postseason, a 36-17 win for the Patriots. They’ve also won eight of the last ten games.
The Patriots are averaging 400.5 yards per game for 2nd in the NFL. Despite injuries, especially to Julian Edelman, the Pats have been making it work. Brady has thrown for an average of 287.2 yards per game this season, 1st in the league. They did not look sharp last week, but they will have Gronkowski back this week. The Steelers had major difficulties slowing down the Ravens on the ground last week. Ever since Ryan Shazier went down, the Steelers have been having a ton of issues defending the run. As soon as he was injured against the Bengals, they were getting gashed by a backup running back.
The next week, the Steelers had problems again trying to contain Alex Collins. Collins ran for 120 yards and 1 touchdown and was getting some good chunk yardage. Flacco threw for 269 yards and a touchdown. Belichick is the master of exploiting weaknesses. They will draw something up to take advantage of their weakness in the middle of the field.
Having Gronkowski back is going to provide a big lift. If the Patriots find success on the ground early, and the Steelers haven’t shown they can stop the run without Shazier, they’re going to destroy them on the play action across the middle of the field. I bet against Brady last week and it paid off. The Steelers are coming off a hard-fought game against their rivals, while the Patriots didn’t even get off the plane last week. The Pats should look much better. After that putrid performance, the Patriots are going to snap back against the Steelers.
PICK: PATRIOTS -2.5 (-110)
Ravens vs. Browns Pick – NFL Week 15
The Baltimore Ravens hope to avoid a letdown, as they travel to Cleveland to play a team who are hoping to find their first win of the season. The Browns are 0-13 and are on the verge of going without a win. They could be the first team to go without a win since the Detroit Lions in 2008. The Lions were the first team since the 1976 Buccaneers to go 0-16.
The Browns at 0-13, are on the doorstep of 0-16. By looking at their schedule the rest of the way, this week or next is going to be their best opportunity to get a win. They finish up on the road in Chicago and Pittsburgh. It’s not going to be easy to go on the road to play the Bears after a physical contest against the Ravens, and then they must take on the Steelers in the finale where they will be big underdogs.
So, it’s reasonable to say that the Browns aren’t going to win a game this season. The odds will say they won’t because they’re going to be underdogs the rest of the season. What they’ll need to have something is someone to take them lightly, maybe a team coming off a big game? The Ravens would fit that billing. They just barely lost to the Steelers, 39-38, after getting behind early. However, the Ravens are fighting for a playoff berth, this is going to be an important game for them.
At 7-6, the Ravens are right in the thick of the wildcard battle. It’s the Browns, but they are playing for something here. They cannot take them lightly in this spot. As it stands now, the Ravens are one of the last teams on the outside looking in. Every game is monumental from this point. They did what they had to do against their rival, an impressive win on the road at Heinz Field. This is certainly why you’re going to hear people say that this could be a letdown spot for the Ravens. Head below for our thoughts and Ravens vs. Browns pick.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns Betting Odds:
vs. Browns +7(-110)
Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv
Ravens vs. Browns Pick:
The hardest thing to crack in this game is going to be the defense. They’re going up against one of the best defenses in the NFL with their anemic offense. They’ve bounced between different quarterbacks and the results have been pretty well the same. At this point, their best option is to stick with DeShone Kizer and see if he will be holding a clipboard in the future, or a long-term option. Next year will certainly tell us a lot about him.
From a fantasy perspective, the Ravens’ defense is 2nd in the NFL at allowing quarterback points. We can apply that to sports betting by coming to the conclusion that they’ve been making it hard on opposing quarterbacks. Kizer owns the worst quarterback rating in the league out of all eligible QB’s, which includes 34. Despite allowing 39 points to the Steelers, the Ravens have allowed just 18.9 points per game this season. Prior to the Steelers, they surrendered 13.8 points per game in their previous six games.
Jimmy Smith was not available because of a suspension and injury, so they were trying to hold down Antonio Brown as best as they could. Other than that deep ball late to set up a game winning field goal, the Ravens did a decent job containing him. The Browns do not have anything near the talent of Antonio on their team, needless to say.
Cleveland is also heading into Sunday banged up, especially in the secondary. They could be down three cornerbacks in this matchup. On offense, they’re averaging just 15.2 points per game, 32nd in the NFL. It isn’t all quarterback issues, there is room to improve elsewhere, too. The Browns are coming off a near win against the Packers, a demoralizing loss in overtime, 27-21. When you’re that close to finally getting a win, a loss like that could sting a bit. I’d typically say this is a letdown spot, but the Ravens cannot afford to play like they’re hungover this week. They beat the Browns 24-10 in their first meeting, and I expect it to be a similar score on Sunday. Kizer should struggle, and the offense does enough for the Ravens to get a win and cover.
PICK: RAVENS -7 (-110)
Pacers vs. Nets NBA Pick – December 17th
These odds were taken from Bovada at 9:39 pm CT on 12/16/2017.
The losses kept coming on Saturday, as the Oklahoma City Thunder didn’t come close to taking down the Knicks in New York. I was well aware of the chance the Thunder would be tired after their 3OT battle in Philly the night prior, but really felt they could take down a Knicks team that wouldn’t have either Kristaps Porzingis or Tim Hardaway Jr.
Sadly, that wasn’t the case and I’m now 11-17 on the year with my TSG NBA picks. I had a decent start initially, but my current drought has things looking pretty rough.
The hope is to get back on track to close out the week, but the pickings are admittedly slim on a tiny 4-game NBA betting slate. The game of the night is undoubtedly an interesting matchup between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Washington Wizards, but I prefer the value in a likely shootout between the Indiana Pacers and Brooklyn Nets.
Let’s dive into this matchup and see about getting a win:
Indiana Pacers (-3) @ Brooklyn Nets (+3) Total: 217
Indiana is the better team at first glance in just about every regard. They took a nice 140-131 win earlier this year over the Nets and have won four straight games in this series. D’Angelo Russell and Jeremy Lin were on hand for that one, but that still should serve as a solid example of the pace and upside this game could provide.
The Pacers have also been impressive (17-12) against the spread this year and enter this explosive showdown with the NBA’s 6th most efficient offense.
Both teams will be looking to get on the winning path, as both the Nets and Pacers have dropped each of their last two contests. Neither has been too high or low lately, however, with both teams going a pedestrian 5-5 over their last 10 contests.
While the Pacers impress offensively and have more star power, the Nets look like they can hang in this one on paper. That was certainly the case when these teams first met this year, while the Nets boast the league’s 2nd best pace. They’ve also been really pesky when it comes to ATS data, as they’re a stellar 17-11 against the spread and are also a solid 4-2 ATS as a home underdog.
I’m not really interested in figuring out if this is a nice spot for the Pacers or Nets to will their way to a win. Instead, I’m attacking the Over in a matchup that demands it. These two teams combined for an absurd 271 points the last time they faced off and their styles align for a very fast-paced and explosive showdown.
The best part is bettors are getting value here. A few days back I marveled at a low 213 Total in a Warriors game and that was weighed down by the Dallas Mavericks only putting 97 points on the board. In this one, both teams are capable of generating solid offense and there’s also very little defense to be concerned about.
Indiana has some defensive chops in terms of individual talent, but they’re still just 17th in defensive efficiency. Brooklyn (20th) is a little further down the ladder and I think it’s fair to expect a good amount of scoring out of two teams that don’t defend and love to run.
A Total of 217 is a great value on paper and with this game at the Barclays Center, it makes sense for the Nets to show up and keep it competitive. The only real risks would be the game getting out of hand or the Nets not putting points up, but they’re only getting added scoring help with new additions Jahlil Okafor and Nik Stauskas finally seeing court time.
Neither of these teams are all that reliable in terms of getting wins right now, but this looks like a fun, competitive game that should threaten the Over.
Both teams play into this Over quite a bit. Not only are they both averaging over 107 points per game on the year, but their recent form points to the Over, as well. That’s certainly the case defensively for Brooklyn, who have given up 120 and 111 points in each of their last two games. The story is similar for the Pacers, who have allowed 100+ points in each of their last four contests.
I love the value you can get with Indy (-3) or straight up, but the Nets can be dangerous at home. Ultimately, I like the offensive upside and pace for both sides and think the Over hits. If you can find a Total that’s slightly lower, even better.
Pick: Over 217 (-110)
Mr Fixit’s Top Tips: Celts can hurt Hearts
SOME of my strongest tips came up on Saturday but I was let down by sides such as Leicester and Watford who suffered heavy home defeats.
My best bet was a second Super Single on Man City and over 2.5 match goals and I also strongly fancied Kilmarnock who featured on the Top Treble that was beaten by Leicester. Burnley draw no beat was the earlier SS and that was void.
The goals treble was one short as Queen’s Park and Airdrie so it was a small Saturday loss.
Well done to all the winners including Greg, Desmond and Selectabet while Scott Allot was unlucky on both of his trebles.
It’s another big day and I’ll post the rest of my tips later or in the morning after doing a bit more studying as I had to do a stint on the Sunday Mail last night.
For now I have a Super Single – Celtic -1 at Hearts – and reasoning is on Saturday’s Scottish thread.
Remember to check out welovebetting for their tips and video chat.
3pts Super Single
December Super Singles Total
- Profit/loss: +5.5pts (12 bets, 7 winners)
December Advised Accas Total
- Profit/loss: -19.1pts (31 bets, 5 winners)
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