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Latest betting tips

Mr Fixit’s Top Tips: Single earned me a Fifeline

IT wasn't a great day for results and didn't see too many winners on the site.

My only success was the East Fife Super Single which gave me a 3.75pts profit while I lost 5pts on the accas so not much damage done.

Most of my Scottish tips were correct but the English choices let me down – sides such as Bournemouth, Wolves, Doncaster, Barnsley and Lincoln. All were well fancied and well backed and all flopped.

On the VIP tips for members only Peterborough beat me for a 28-1 fivefold but the stake is refunded as a free bet.

I'm still studying Sunday's card and tips will be up later or in the morning.

Games I'm looking at include Hamilton v Rangers, Everton v Palace and the Milan derby.

Well done to anyone who beat the bookies on Saturday including kelly who completed another £1k challenge and Desmond who posted two winners out of three and was an MK Dons away from landing his 38-1 sevenfold.

Remember to check out the excellent welovebetting site for their tips and video chat.

Mr Fixit's October Advised Super Singles: +9.65pts

Mr Fixit's October Advised Accas Total: +5pts


This post is originally from: mrfixitstips.co.uk

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HullShaker’s Tips: Bolivians are Strongest at home

IF you ever wanted to see a league that is governed by home and away form then you need to look no further than the Bolivian Primera.

The preponderence of results that are driven by home advantage is frightening … none more so than Bolivian giants Bolivar and The Strongest whose mountain lairs way up in The Andes around La Paz is a stronghold of epic proportions.

Guabira have made a pretty decent run of it these last 2 seasons and on home soil they are a decent proposition – the fact they have won 8, drawn 4 and lost just 1 of their last 13 home games reflects this pretty well as does the fact their last 6 away games have all ended in defeat!

The Strongest are playing with a bit of fire back in their bellies and will leapfrog San Jose into top spot with a win at The Estadio Hernandez Silas this evening.

They have hit 3-3-2-5-1-8-4 team goals against Guabira in consecutive home H2Hs and I can’t but help think the trajectory and form of The Strongest will be way too much for a Guabira side who are so poor on the road.THE

The Strongest v Guabira (10.15pm)

NFL Week 7 2018 Betting Tips

Posted: October 20, 2018

It’s Week 7 of the NFL and it kicks off nice and early Sunday morning with the Titans vs Chargers at 9:30am EST.

Biggest favourite of the week is the LA Rams even though they are on the road as they go up against the San Francisco 49ers.

Sunday night football is expected to be another shootout as the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Cincinnati Bengals. The over/under on that one is 58.5.

Should be a good weekend of football let’s get to it:

NFL Week 7 Betting Tips:

Patriots vs Bears – Over 48.5. I just think that pretty much any Patriots game except against the hapless Bills will end in a shootout. And in that one the over will still hit when the Pats put up 60 points on their own.

The Patriots offense is incredible of course but when they score and they score a lot – it just means their opponents get the chance to score against a very average at best defense as well. I think the line is low on this one due to the Bears defense but even if Mack is playing he isn’t going to be fully healthy. I also quite like the Bears offense this year and think they can find the end zone.

I’m going over on this one.

Chiefs -6: The Chiefs are an excellent offensive team and I like them to bounce back strong here. Sure the Bengals are doing a great job but I feel Dalton is playing above himself at the moment, plus you have to remember the Bengals have had to make three fourth quarter comebacks against the Colts, Dolphins and Falcons. That’s not good.

They’re a good team for sure but I like the Chiefs to do the business against them. Their offense will be too strong and Bengals won’t be able to keep up. No 4th quarter comeback this week.

Texans vs Jags – Under 41 Points. I just see too many potential issues to affect the offense here. For example the amount of turnovers in the game. I think we’re going to see a very sloppy game for sure. Watson is going to get sacked like crazy while the Jags running game is messed up and Bortles is more not than hot at the moment. And of course we know how good the Jags D is. This will be a close one but I think too many sloppy plays and it goes under.

Dolphins +3: the Dolphins perfect home record is up for grabs and they’re without Tannehill again however Osweiler stepped up big last week and I think he can do the same again.

The Lions defense is not that good and the Dolphins have the passing as well as the running game here. Albert Wilson is coming in hot and that’s a big thing too.

Go with the Dolphins.

DraftKings MLB DFS Picks – October 20th

There is just one game on tonight’s MLB slate, so we are back to break down some showdown-style picks for tonight’s Game 7 winner take all tilt between the Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers.

It’s going to be a fun one, but even better if we are able to hit some DFS picks along the way.

Let’s dive into the picks and see if we can make it a profitable Saturday night!

FLEX – Walker Buehler (LAD) – $16,000 vs. MIL

Boy is Buehler pitching in some big games this season as we was given the ball to decide the NL West division in game 163 while he gets the nod from Dave Roberts to start tonight’s Game 7 matchup at Miller Park in Milwaukee. Buehler hasn’t been great in the postseason as he’s yielded nine runs in 12.2 innings of work so far, however he went seven innings and struck out eight in his only other start this series. He allowed four earned and took the loss in the start, but he went deep and provided that strikeout upside that we will look for again in this matchup. His leash isn’t going to be too long given the importance of the game, however innings pitched are worth something here and I think that Buehler can go at least six innings tonight despite the tough road atmosphere and high-stress pitches. I’m looking for the rookie to pitch L.A. into its second consecutive World Series appearance.

FLEX – Max Muncy (LAD) – $10,000 vs. MIL

Jhoulys Chacin has been good in these playoffs, and he appears to be getting the ball for the start tonight as per MLB.com. That said, there’s too much to like about Muncy and I think some left-handed bats of the Dodgers can take advantage of the hitter-friendly confines of Miller Park, especially for lefties. Muncy pounded right-handed pitching to the tune of a massive .334 ISO and 1.001 OPS. He’s hitting just .172 for the postseason, but as usual, Munch is getting on base a ton at a .369 clip. We also aren’t here for his batting average as Muncy has still played long ball twice in 10 playoff games so far. He can hit home runs, and he can also get on base and score some runs too. I like the cross-category upside here.

FLEX – Joc Pederson (LAD) – $8,600 vs. MIL

Pederson should be taking over leadoff duties as per usual against a right-handed pitcher tonight, and I think this venue is perfect for the righty-masher. After all, Pederson clobbered right-handed pitching to the tune of an extremely powerful .295 ISO and .893 OPS in the regular season. After a huge postseason last year, Pederson owns a career .847 OPS this time of the year, and he’s got a solid .768 mark in this series. If a left-handed pitcher comes in, it likely means that Pederson is coming out as he doesn’t hit lefties well and he hasn’t played a game start to finish in this series. Still, he should get a couple at-bats against Chacin, so I am looking for some of that power to show up in the form of his second home run of these playoffs.

FLEX – Cody Bellinger (LAD)  – $7,800 vs. MIL

I think Bellinger has a fairly attractive price for a bat with plenty of pop and plenty of pop despite a largely unproductive NLCS. Bellinger did double in Game 5 and he’s also enjoyed success in the past against the right-hander Chacin. Bellinger has gone 5 for 14 (.357) with two homers and a triple against the veteran. Bellinger smacked right-handers for a .240 ISO and .880 OPS in the regular season, but I’m liking the fact that he upped those numbers to a huge .295 ISO and 1.021 OPS on the road against right-handers. This dude’s swing is perfect for this ball park as Miller Park is one of the more susceptible venues in the big leagues for home runs to right field. The pull-happy Bellinger is playing in an extremely favorable venue, and combined with his numbers against Chacin, I’m liking his upside.

FLEX – Kenley Jansen (LAD) – $3,200 vs. MIL

The job is fairly simple for Jansen tonight, and that is to close the game without giving a run to go with a couple strikeouts if given the opportunity. It would certainly be nice to see Buehler to 6+ innings and leave with a lead that Jansen can close down for L.A. He’s endured some issues with the home run ball this season, but Jansen has not allowed an earned run in 5.1 postseason innings so far with three saves in five appearances. He’s also struck out seven in the those 5.1 frames. Furthermore, Jansen has already made an appearance longer than one inning in this series, so maybe we can ask for a two-inning, or six-out save which would be fantastic. He is a very cheap option but he also fits nicely into the game plan here.

FLEX – Josh Hader (MIL) – $4,000 vs. LAD

We do need to get at least one Brewer into this lineup, and Hader’s my man. With a berth to the World Series on the line, I would not be surprised to see Hader log two innings at minimum tonight and quite possibly three. They are certainly going to lean heavily on him at some point tonight. We rostered Hader in Game 1 when he pitched three innings of relief and racked up 25 fantasy points for us. I’m simply looking for a similar effort here. He had the second-highest strikeout rate in baseball in the regular season and Hader has struck out 12 in seven postseason innings. He’s got plenty of upside at a small priced as evidenced by that Game 1 outing.

PLAY THIS LINEUP


This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick – October 20th

We picked up yet another money line underdog winner last night when we backed the Milwaukee Brewers as home underdogs against the Los Angeles Dodgers. I loved the fact that Milwaukee would be playing at home and more importantly, I loved that they had a full rested bullpen after a much-needed day off. The teams played three games in three nights in Los Angeles, and the Brewers absolutely abused their bullpen and the day off had me thinking these guys would be ready to do whatever it took to get the job done and send this series to a seventh game.

I also felt that Wade Miley was the better side of the starting pitching matchup as he had yet to allow even a single run in the playoffs this season. So, I fired on the home dog Brew Crew and watched the game play out. It certainly started out rough, as on the first pitch of the game, David Freese blasted a home run off of Wade Miley to give the Dodgers the lead. But after that, it was all Brewers.

The Brewers answered in the bottom of the first for four runs of their own and followed it up with another run in the second inning to extend the lead to 5-1. When all the smoke cleared Milwaukee took the game 7-2, and with the win, has sent this series to a seventh game. That well rested Milwaukee bullpen? Yeah, they didn’t allow a single hit in four and two-thirds of an inning worked and managed to save superstar reliever Josh Hader for game seven.

Starting tonight in game seven for the home team Brewers is Jhoulys Chacin (15-8 3.50 ERA), and for the Dodgers, it is rookie Walker Buehler (8-5 2.62 ERA). The Dodgers are small -110 road favorites. The game total over-under is set at seven and a half runs. First pitch is scheduled for 5:09 PM PST from Miller Park in Milwaukee.

The Brewers will start Jhoulys Chacin tonight in game seven, but as they have done all playoffs long, I expect them to keep him on a very tight leash as their strong bullpen is ready to carry this team to their first World Series since 1982. Chacin has done more than his fair share in the postseason for Milwaukee as he has been their most reliable inning eater in a time where most of their starters are only getting a couple of innings at the most.

Chacin in the postseason, including the game 163 tiebreaker, has pitched a total of sixteen innings and has allowed just one earned run on seven hits. He hasn’t allowed a single run in either of his last two starts. That includes a masterful performance against the Dodgers in this series where he pitched five and a third innings and allowed no runs on three hits and he picked up the win for his efforts. The Brewers must be feeling great that they have Chacin rested and ready to go for game seven.

The Dodgers, on the other hand, can’t love that they have to turn to rookie Walker Buehler to pitch the biggest game of his life tonight. Buehler had a great rookie season but, in the playoffs, he has struggled. In the first two playoffs starts of his career he is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA, and the Dodgers lost both games. He has allowed nine runs in just twelve innings pitched this postseason.

The other concern for Buehler in this game is the fact that he doesn’t like pitching outside of Dodger Stadium all that much. On the season, his road ERA was a run and a half higher than his home ERA. This guy was elite in LA, but just average on the road. Against the Brewers, in this series, he actually pitched fairly well, but the Dodgers made the mistake of leaving him in just a little too long, and he gave up several late-inning runs and was charged with the loss, throwing seven innings and giving up four runs.

How is it possible that the Dodgers are favored in this game? I guess it is just more of that Dodger bias I have been talking about all series long that has kept the Dodgers favored in every game of this series. I have bet the Brewers in each of the three games they have won in this series, and all three times they were underdogs. And that is what I am going to do again today.

I don’t have the exact math handy, but I think we can all agree you want to be the home team in a game seven situation. The crowd will be wild, and there is just something about trying to win in that atmosphere on the road that proves to be very difficult. Throw in the fact that the Brewers have the momentum, their bullpen is completely rested at his point, especially Josh Hader, who I would expect will work several innings in this one, and that they are getting the better side of the starting pitching matchup, and I see the Brewers as big favorites tonight.

So, I will gladly back the Brew Crew as underdogs yet again and I expect them to find a way to get the job done tonight at home. Buehler just isn’t ready for this spotlight, and the Brewers are. Give me the Milwaukee Brewers as home dogs tonight in game seven as they advance to the World Series at +100!

The Bet: Milwaukee Brewers +100

PLACE YOUR BET!


This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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DraftKings NHL DFS Picks – October 20th

Saturday nights are where it’s at.

It’s the best night of the week for NHL action, and of course with that comes attractive slate with many opportunities throughout.

There are nine-games on this Saturday night slate, so let’s get right into the picks and see if we can punctuate our Saturday nights with some DFS profits.

Let’s go!

C – Aleksander Barkov (FLA) – $6,900 vs. DET

In my opinion, it’s the Florida Panthers who get the top matchup on the slate as they host the Detroit Red Wings, otherwise known as the league’s worst defense with 4.57 goals against per game. Barkov has started right where he left of last year after falling just shy of one points per game with 78 points in 79 games. He’s notched four points on the season, all over the last four games, while he’s fired 18 shots for the season. Barkov launched 256 pucks on goal last season, he could certainly surpass that total as he continues to improve at the age of just 23. The hulking vcenter is Florida’s top center at both 5v5 and as part of the top power play unit. He’s certainly going to see some ownership tonight, but I’m still comfortable playing him in any format on this nine-game slate.

C – Nazem Kadri (TOR) – $4,200 vs. STL

I really think we can extract some value out of the low-owned Leafs who are at home tonight against the Blues. One of league’s better defensive clubs last season, the Blues are struggling out of the gate this year as their 3.83 goals against per game so far checks in at 27th league-wide. The Maple Leafs were shut out on Thursday against the Pens, but this is still an offense that ranks second with 4.13 goals per game on the young season. The Maple Leafs are also lethal on the man advantage, and this is where Kadri comes in as a cost-efficient player tonight. Kadri skates on the Maple Leafs’ top power play unit, a group that ranks first in all of hockey with a whopping 45% clip so far. Kadri is without a goal on the year, but he’s notched four assists on the season, three of which came on the power play. This is a guy who scored 32 goals in each of the last two seasons, and is looking to find his way on a diminished role on a stacked Maple Leafs offense. Combine that with his spot on the top unit against a poor defensive team, and Kadri could provide excellent value at low cost and low ownership tonight.

W – Evgenii Dadonov (FLA) – $6,400 vs. DET

Dadonov is a lock to me if you are rostering Barkov as he skates with the talented center at both even strength and on the Panthers’ top power play unit. He’s off to a fine start this season on the heels of a 65-point season last year as he’s notched three goals and three assists across five games on the year. Seeing as Barkov shoots the puck a ton, Dadonov didn’t get over the 200-shot mark last year with 188, but we can expect some shots tonight against a Red Wings club that has averaged 33 shots against per game on the campaign. This duo is certainly going to see some ownership at home with an extremely favorable matchup, but their ceilings are too big to ignore as the top duo (in my mind) on tonight’s slate.

W – Connor Brown (TOR) – $3,300 vs. STL

Brown is going to see minuscule ownership tonight and we are going to need some value players in good matchups and I believe we have that in the former 20-goal man. First, he skates with Kadri on the Maple Leafs’ third line, so he has an offensively capable centerman at his disposal. Second, Brown skates on the Maple Leafs’ second power play unit. Although there is a big discrepancy between the two power play units, it’s certainly nice to have exposure to this unit as well. He’s notched a goal and two helpers on the season, one of which came on that second power play unit. Lastly, Brown also kills penalties as one of Toronto’s most important players in that area. Some rare short-handed bonus points could be in the works here, but I am liking Brown’s upside at this price regardless.

W – Timo Meier (SJ) – $5,300 vs. NYI

The way this lineup shook out, you could roster either Meier or Tomas Hertl here as they have similar characteristics in this matchup, but I am rolling with Meier as I believe is the superior goal-scorer. After notching 21 goals as a 21-year-old last season, Meier has bagged three goals and notched five points in seven games this young season. He likes to shoot the puck as he recorded 210 shots last season despite seeing mostly third-line minutes. Meier will skate to the right of Logan Couture and Hertl on the Sharks’ second line while also seeing second unit power play ice which is why he and Hertl have such a similar matchup tonight. I think Meier will approach the 30-goal mark this season so I’m liking him more. This will be the Islanders’ third game in four nights on their trip through California and the Sharks are coming off a five-goal outburst on Thursday at home, so let’s look for them to keep rolling tonight.

D – Keith Yandle (FLA) – $5,900 vs. DET

Yandle is one of the pricier d-men on this slate, but I have to go with the veteran alongside Dadonov and Barkov this evening. The Panthers’ power play hasn’t been super successful again this season, but Yandle is also going to skate with the Panthers’ top duo for the majority of the night at even strength as well. He’s notched five points, all assists, in five games this season while he’s taken three shots per game as well. He enjoyed a resurgent year last year when he notched 56 points, the second-high point total of his career. He has a four-game point streak going heading into this one and is logging a ton of ice time on that Panthers blueline. I am loving the ceiling from this three-man Panthers stack tonight.

D – Jake Gardiner (TOR) – $3,600 vs. STL

Jake Gardiner and Morgan Rielly both finished with 52 points last season. Rielly is among the league leaders in points this season and will therefore attract a lot of ownership tonight, but Gardiner has five points in eight games and will still go overlooked tonight. Gardiner logged a season-high 23:50 of ice time in the Leafs’ loss on Thursday against Pittsburgh, but he also skates on the Maple Leafs’ second power play unit where he will form a mini-stack with the aforementioned Connor Brown. I believe we are getting Gardiner at a fantastic price considering the matchup against the struggling Blues and also the fact five points in eight games is excellent for a defensemen. He doesn’t shoot the puck a ton, but he’s certainly sporting some significant offensive capabilities and I’m liking his upside at low ownership as a result.

G – John Gibson (ANH) – $7,500 vs. VGK

Speaking of bang for our buck, how about Gibson at this price with how he has played this year? He’s been arguably the best goaltender in the league this season as he owns a sparkling 1.89 GAA and a .948 Sv% across six starts on the season, four of which resulted in wins. Anaheim is losing the possession game badly, however that’s been a good thing for Gibson owners so far as he has made a lot of saves in the process. The Ducks aren’t exactly facing a lethal offense at the moment as Vegas is tied for 28th with just two goals per game while their power play is dead last in the league at just 5.3%. The Ducks’ offense hasn’t been dynamite either, but I’m looking for Gibson to win a low-scoring affair despite the Ducks sitting at +155 underdogs right now. With how he’s played and against a scuffling offense, I think Gibson’s price is too good to ignore.

UTIL – Logan Couture (SJ) – $6,600 vs. NYI

Completing our lineup and our Sharks mini-stack is Couture who enters this one against the Islanders tonight boasting a hot hand. Couture notched a hat trick on Thursday and now has four points over his last two games. Joe Pavelski might be the de facto top center on this team, but Couture is my pick as the top guy as he’s loggin just shy of 20 minutes of ice time per game. Couture scored a career-high 34 goals last season and it appears he’s going to give another career-high a go this time around. The Islanders are an improved defensive club from last season. However they’re completing a long, four-game road trip tonight with tonight being their third game in the last four nights. With the Sharks sitting at home waiting for them, I think San Jose is primed for another productive night with Couture and Meier in the middle of the action.

PLAY THIS LINEUP


This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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Vikings vs. Jets NFL Pick – Week 7

The Minnesota Vikings hit the road with their eyes set on a win against the New York Jets. The Kirk Cousins era has been up and down in Minnesota, with some good wins, bad losses, and a tie mixed in there. It’s awfully tough in Week 7 to get a complete grasp on where this team is heading under Cousins, but there haven’t been indications that they have improved. Is a 3-2-1 start really what Vikings’ fans want to see from their expensive quarterback? In any event, it’s early and anything could happen at this point.

Perhaps the lowest point of the Vikings’ season was a 27-6 loss to the Buffalo Bills at home. The Vikings were massive favorites in that one at 16.5. That’s the largest spread of the year, with the underdog covering by a large margin. This was the same weekend that Everson Griffen went off the deep end at a hotel. Griffen has been away from the team as he hopes to address mental health issues.

This will be the fifth-straight game that Griffen will miss. He’s an important cog on a defense that is missing him right now. They’ve settled down the last couple of weeks, though, scoring wins against the Eagles, 23-21, and Cardinals, 27-17. The Cards have looked awful this season, so I don’t know if we can call it a good win at home. Going on the road and defeating the Eagles is pretty impressive, though they are having a hangover after their Super Bowl win last season.

The Jets on the other hand are feeling comfortable about their rookie signal-caller, Sam Darnold. Darnold has shown flashes of his potential and the franchise quarterback that he could develop into. They are coming off two wins in a row as well, a 34-16 win over the Broncos and 42-34 over the Colts.

The most impressive was his 3 touchdowns against a solid Broncos’ defense. Isaiah Crowell went wild for 219 yards on the ground as well. The Jets showed they can get into shootouts and win, too. The Jets put up 42 points last week to add to a total of 76 points scored the previous two weeks. We’ll see if they can keep it up for three weeks in a row. Head below for our free Vikings vs. Jets pick.

Minnesota Vikings vs. N.Y. Jets NFL Week 7 Betting Odds:

Spread:
Vikings -3.5 (-110)
vs. Jets +3.5(-110)

Total:
Over 46(-107)
Under 46(-103)

Betting odds provided by Sportsbetting.ag

Vikings vs. Jets Pick:

The verdict is still out on Darnold, but it’s looking like thus far that the Jets made the right choice drafting him. Baker Mayfield might be the media darling, though in the long run Darnold is likely going to be the better quarterback. Darnold has thrown 9 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, which doesn’t look like anything special, but he continues to get better.

He’s passed for 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions with 645 yards the last three weeks. Darnold completed 80 percent of his passes last week against the Colts. He’s been aided by a strong running game in his rookie campaign. The Jets are averaging 130.3 yards rushing per game for 7th in the NFL.

Conversely, Cousins has struggled to get help from his ground game. It helps none that Dalvin Cook will be out for this matchup. Cousins will also be down a starting left tackle, Riley Reiff. The Vikings’ offensive line has struggled enough, and Reiff out of the equation hurts a little more. The Vikes are averaging only 87.3 yards per game on the ground for 28th in the NFL. Note that Cousins has been hit 41 times for 24th. Likewise, he’s been sacked on 18 occasions for 21st.

The Vikings haven’t looked great on the road in 2018. A tie, a 7-point loss, and 2-point win is what they have to show for it. Along with Reiff and Cook, the Vikings will be without safety Andrew Sendejo on Sunday. The Vikings’ defense has been absolutely nothing special this season. They are surrendering 6 yards per play and quarterbacks have excelled with a 103.1 QB rating against their secondary. It should be enough to allow the Jets to hang around in this game and possibly pull off the upset. Getting a field goal and the hook with the home team looks like the correct decision on Sunday.


This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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DraftKings NBA Picks – October 20th

What’s up guys. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings picks for October 20th. Saturday night’s slate is a full slate of ten games. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.

Top Pick:

PG: John Wall: (8,500)

Wall impressed in his first home game of the season, scoring 50.25 DK points in 36 minutes vs The Heat. He has always been better at home and for more recent sample, he is now averaging 57.8 DK PPG in his past five home tilts, compared to 50.3 DK PPG in his last five away from Washington. On Saturday night, he will be at home again, taking on The Raptors. They were a strong defensive group last season (7th in efficiency), but this was never a defense that bothered Wall, with him averaging 55.96 DK PPG in six matchups.

This game has the third highest O/U game total of Saturday’s slate and The Wizards have an implied team total of 108.75 points. In the 22 home game last season that The Wizards had a team total of 108 points or more, Wall averaged 46.97 DK PPG. Starting the year off with a devastating loss (112-113 to The Heat), Wall and his teammates should be up and ready for this game vs one of the best in the conference, and I think he is a safe bet for 50+ DK points.

Value Picks:

SG/SF: Jimmy Butler: (7,700)

The salaries for Saturday’s slate were released before the end of Friday night’ slate, creating a huge mis price on Butler. Last night, he was $8,100 vs The Cavs. He topped his strong opening night performance vs The Spurs, with 33 points, seven rebounds, four steals, three assists, and two blocks across 36 minutes in the win over The Cavs. (57.75 DK points) Just as advertised, Butler has been making a statement to start this season, now averaging 52 DK PPG through two. He has been dominating the usage (28.5%) and scoring a tremendous 1.53 DK PPM.

This usage rate he has been seeing is a 3.2% increase form a year ago. He will look to continue this run vs The Mavs tonight. Dallas has only played one game, but in that game, they gave up 121 points to The Suns, giving them the worst efficiency rating, thus far. But, realistically, no matter the defense he is facing, you are locking in this highly motivated Butler at this price.

PG/SG: Zach LaVine: (6,900)

In the first game of the season, LaVine took advantage of this Bulls’ team being shorthanded, scoring 45.25 DK points on a team high 33.6% usage rate. The Bulls were without Lauri Markkanen (elbow), Denzel Valentine (ankle), and Kris Dunn (personal). All three of these players will be out again for tonight night’s home opener vs The Pistons. Once again, the offense should run through LaVine and we can expect another usage over 30%.

He produced 1.4 DK PPM in game one and with roughly 35 minutes of work (CHI +3.5), LaVine should hit fives time value, with 50 DK point upside. With only three games in play on Thursday, LaVine wasn’t very popular, and I don’t expect this to change for tonight’s ten game slate. (5-8% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)

C: Jarrett Allen: (5,900)

As a rookie last season, Allen only played 20 MPG, but through the first two games of this year, he is averaging 31.5 MPG as The Nets’ new starting center. He scored 0.91 DK PPM last season and as expected, he has been a rock solid fantasy option with the jump in minutes, posting a double double in each game, at 38.1 DK PPG. Tonight, he faces The Pacers, who ranks 26th in defensive efficiency in their first two contests.

They were always a slightly positive matchup for centers (0.42 +/- in 2017) and Allen should be able to put up another double double in this spot, assuming he doesn’t get in foul trouble. Even though his numbers have been excellent compared to his DraftKings salary, I doubt many people will own Allen tonight. (2-4% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)

Also Consider:

SG/SF: Kawhi Leonard: (8,400)

Similar to Butler, playing last night hasn’t given DraftKings a chance to adjust Leonard’s salary. He is $100 cheaper than Friday night, when he scored 51 DK points vs a tough Celtics’ defense. (1st last season) He is currently averaging a 35.1% usage rate as a Raptor, which is a 3.5% bump from last year with The Spurs. There is no one The Wizards who can handle Leonard and he should get five to six times value in this spot.

C: Deandre Ayton: (7,200)

Ayton had no issues vs Deandre Jordan and The Mavs in his first real NBA game, scoring 45 DK PPG in 36.3 minutes. Tonight, he will be on the road, but in a great spot, vs The Nuggets, who are a 7.96 opponent +/- after game one.

SF: Caris LeVert: (6,500)

LeVert can’t be stopped right now, topping 40 DK points in each of his first two games. He has played 34 and 32 minutes, compared to his 26.3 MPG average last year. Plus, he is leading The Nets with a 31% usage rate. This is massive 8.6% jump from 2017. Vs The Pacers, he should crush this silly price tag, assuming Rondae Hollis-Jefferson remains out. (personal, has missed the first two games)

PF/C: Bobby Portis: (6,300)

As the starting PF for Bulls, sans Marrkanen, Portis generated 43.75 DK points vs a tough Sixers defense on Thursday. He logged 33 minutes and if he sees this type of playing time again, there is no question he will return value. (1.14 DK PPM last season)

SF/PF Trevor Ariza: (5,500)

The veteran was huge for The Suns in their first win, scoring 21 points, eight rebounds, seven assists, and a steal in 37 minutes vs The Mavs. With no James Harden to hog the ball from him, Ariza is going to be much more involved with this young Suns’ team. If The Suns can keep it close tonight in Denver (PHO +9.5), Ariza will end up being a very strong value at only $5,500.

C: Wendell Carter: (4,000)

Carter didn’t shine like Portis in the first game, but he dealt with foul trouble in his NBA debut, vs Joel Embiid. Tonight, he is in a better spot, vs Andre Drummond, who draws far less fouls than Embiid. He scored 0.9 DK PPM on Thursday and if he gets up to at least 25 minutes, Carter should top five times value.

PG: Antonio Blakeney: (3,500)

Cameron Payne started for Dunn, but it was Blakeney who played the most minutes at point. (30 off the bench) He scored 24.25 DK points vs The Sixers and if the playing time continues, Blakeney is a solid punt, that could get you 20+ DK points.

PLAY THIS LINEUP


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DraftKings NBA Picks – October 20th

What’s up guys. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings picks for October 20th. Saturday night’s slate is a full slate of ten games. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.

Top Pick:

PG: John Wall: (8,500)

Wall impressed in his first home game of the season, scoring 50.25 DK points in 36 minutes vs The Heat. He has always been better at home and for more recent sample, he is now averaging 57.8 DK PPG in his past five home tilts, compared to 50.3 DK PPG in his last five away from Washington. On Saturday night, he will be at home again, taking on The Raptors. They were a strong defensive group last season (7th in efficiency), but this was never a defense that bothered Wall, with him averaging 55.96 DK PPG in six matchups.

This game has the third highest O/U game total of Saturday’s slate and The Wizards have an implied team total of 108.75 points. In the 22 home game last season that The Wizards had a team total of 108 points or more, Wall averaged 46.97 DK PPG. Starting the year off with a devastating loss (112-113 to The Heat), Wall and his teammates should be up and ready for this game vs one of the best in the conference, and I think he is a safe bet for 50+ DK points.

Value Picks:

SG/SF: Jimmy Butler: (7,700)

The salaries for Saturday’s slate were released before the end of Friday night’ slate, creating a huge mis price on Butler. Last night, he was $8,100 vs The Cavs. He topped his strong opening night performance vs The Spurs, with 33 points, seven rebounds, four steals, three assists, and two blocks across 36 minutes in the win over The Cavs. (57.75 DK points) Just as advertised, Butler has been making a statement to start this season, now averaging 52 DK PPG through two. He has been dominating the usage (28.5%) and scoring a tremendous 1.53 DK PPM.

This usage rate he has been seeing is a 3.2% increase form a year ago. He will look to continue this run vs The Mavs tonight. Dallas has only played one game, but in that game, they gave up 121 points to The Suns, giving them the worst efficiency rating, thus far. But, realistically, no matter the defense he is facing, you are locking in this highly motivated Butler at this price.

PG/SG: Zach LaVine: (6,900)

In the first game of the season, LaVine took advantage of this Bulls’ team being shorthanded, scoring 45.25 DK points on a team high 33.6% usage rate. The Bulls were without Lauri Markkanen (elbow), Denzel Valentine (ankle), and Kris Dunn (personal). All three of these players will be out again for tonight night’s home opener vs The Pistons. Once again, the offense should run through LaVine and we can expect another usage over 30%.

He produced 1.4 DK PPM in game one and with roughly 35 minutes of work (CHI +3.5), LaVine should hit fives time value, with 50 DK point upside. With only three games in play on Thursday, LaVine wasn’t very popular, and I don’t expect this to change for tonight’s ten game slate. (5-8% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)

C: Jarrett Allen: (5,900)

As a rookie last season, Allen only played 20 MPG, but through the first two games of this year, he is averaging 31.5 MPG as The Nets’ new starting center. He scored 0.91 DK PPM last season and as expected, he has been a rock solid fantasy option with the jump in minutes, posting a double double in each game, at 38.1 DK PPG. Tonight, he faces The Pacers, who ranks 26th in defensive efficiency in their first two contests.

They were always a slightly positive matchup for centers (0.42 +/- in 2017) and Allen should be able to put up another double double in this spot, assuming he doesn’t get in foul trouble. Even though his numbers have been excellent compared to his DraftKings salary, I doubt many people will own Allen tonight. (2-4% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)

Also Consider:

SG/SF: Kawhi Leonard: (8,400)

Similar to Butler, playing last night hasn’t given DraftKings a chance to adjust Leonard’s salary. He is $100 cheaper than Friday night, when he scored 51 DK points vs a tough Celtics’ defense. (1st last season) He is currently averaging a 35.1% usage rate as a Raptor, which is a 3.5% bump from last year with The Spurs. There is no one The Wizards who can handle Leonard and he should get five to six times value in this spot.

C: Deandre Ayton: (7,200)

Ayton had no issues vs Deandre Jordan and The Mavs in his first real NBA game, scoring 45 DK PPG in 36.3 minutes. Tonight, he will be on the road, but in a great spot, vs The Nuggets, who are a 7.96 opponent +/- after game one.

SF: Caris LeVert: (6,500)

LeVert can’t be stopped right now, topping 40 DK points in each of his first two games. He has played 34 and 32 minutes, compared to his 26.3 MPG average last year. Plus, he is leading The Nets with a 31% usage rate. This is massive 8.6% jump from 2017. Vs The Pacers, he should crush this silly price tag, assuming Rondae Hollis-Jefferson remains out. (personal, has missed the first two games)

PF/C: Bobby Portis: (6,300)

As the starting PF for Bulls, sans Marrkanen, Portis generated 43.75 DK points vs a tough Sixers defense on Thursday. He logged 33 minutes and if he sees this type of playing time again, there is no question he will return value. (1.14 DK PPM last season)

SF/PF Trevor Ariza: (5,500)

The veteran was huge for The Suns in their first win, scoring 21 points, eight rebounds, seven assists, and a steal in 37 minutes vs The Mavs. With no James Harden to hog the ball from him, Ariza is going to be much more involved with this young Suns’ team. If The Suns can keep it close tonight in Denver (PHO +9.5), Ariza will end up being a very strong value at only $5,500.

C: Wendell Carter: (4,000)

Carter didn’t shine like Portis in the first game, but he dealt with foul trouble in his NBA debut, vs Joel Embiid. Tonight, he is in a better spot, vs Andre Drummond, who draws far less fouls than Embiid. He scored 0.9 DK PPM on Thursday and if he gets up to at least 25 minutes, Carter should top five times value.

PG: Antonio Blakeney: (3,500)

Cameron Payne started for Dunn, but it was Blakeney who played the most minutes at point. (30 off the bench) He scored 24.25 DK points vs The Sixers and if the playing time continues, Blakeney is a solid punt, that could get you 20+ DK points.

PLAY THIS LINEUP


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Rob Eddy’s Racing Tips: Sunday 21st October

DISCLAIMER: ODDS AND ARTICLE UPDATED 20/10/2018, 16:30.

With two meetings in the UK and two in Ireland on Sunday, we have two jumps selections and one on the Flat.

14:00 Kempton

Ghost Serge to Win and Each Way @ 9/2 - BET NOW

Trainer Sophie Leech’s charge made up into a useful two-year-old on the Flat when trained by Archie Watson last year and his efforts for that yard included a good second in a Listed race in France. While well below that level on the Flat this term, he did manage a victory in claiming a race prior to joining this yard for whom he finished a good second in a soft-ground small field hurdle race at Cartmel at the end of August.

The good ground Ghost Serge encountered at Perth on his only subsequent start appeared to suit given the gelding registered a five-length success over seven rivals. The son of Zebedee is tackling what on paper looks a tougher contest but chief rival Quel Destin, a winner on heavy ground in France back in the spring, didn’t look entirely straightforward when finishing runner-up at Chepstow recently, and with that in mind Sophie Leech’s charge is taken to expose any issues Quel Destin may have and is worth a bet in this juvenile hurdle.

15:50 Sedgefield

Snookered to Win and Each Way @ 7/1 - BET NOW

Trainer Brian Ellison’s Snookered has enjoyed a productive time of it on the Flat this season, winning once and registering a number of placed efforts. That victory came when finishing a neck clear of 13 rivals in a handicap contest on soft ground over 1m3f at Carlisle early last month. The four-year-old handled the step up to a Class 2 contest by finishing a respectable fourth over 1m4f on good going at Catterick last month.

The mount of Sean Quinlan ran well on his only previous start over hurdles, having finished a good 24L third in a juvenile hurdle over an extended 2m at Bangor in November last year. The winner of that contest has gone off the boil since but the runner-up has registered three victories in the interim period and is currently rated 126 over hurdles. The fifth-placed horse, Cold Shoulder, has also won since and Snookered, who has the trip and ground to suit, can make a winning return to hurdling in this maiden contest.

15:10 Naas

Gustavus Weston to Win and Each Way @ 15/2 - BET NOW

Joseph Murphy has his string in good form at present and he comes into this contest with a 21% strike-rate (4/19) in recent weeks. The trainer’s representative here, Gustavus Weston, ran a good race at a huge price when finishing a six-length fourth in a 7f contest on good-to-firm going at Gowran Park when making his debut at the start of last month.

The gelding got off the mark at the second attempt in winning a 6f contest on good-to-yielding ground at Fairyhouse just under a month ago. Chasing the pace that day, the son of Equiano came home two-and-a-half lengths clear of his 14 rivals. The step back up to 7f looks likely to suit and he is taken to register a second victory by winning the prestigious Birdcatcher Nursery on handicap debut.

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October 20th, 2018 NHL Betting Tips

Written by Graeme on Saturday, October 20th, 2018

It was a fun night of NHL action last night with some high scoring games.

The Capitals bounced back from a 4-1 first period to go to overtime with the hard working Panthers in a game where both goalies were pulled. The Panthers were able to get the win in a shootout and get that first win of the season.

The Stars have now lost 3 in a row as the Minnesota Wild beat them 3-1 and there was a great game out West as the Flames lost to the Predators 5-3.

The usual busy day of NHL action today with 4 early games. Two games at 1pm EST then the Kings vs Sabres at 3:30pm EST followed by the Jets vs Coyotes at 4pm EST. By gosh do I think I’ll be claiming a lazy Saturday today and let the wife go off shopping by herself.

Let’s get to the tips:

Senators vs Canadiens Betting Tips:

This was one of those games that was expected to be the battle of the bottom feeding teams. Two teams who at this stage of the season were already expected to be fighting for that #1 draft pick.

Instead the Habs are 2nd in the Atlantic and the Senators aren’t too far behind on 7 points. Sens come in rolling on the back of two wins and are rested. Habs have wrapped up a 4 game homestead and now head to Ottawa.

Both teams can turn it on offensively. Sens finishing is very clinical at the moment as they’re 27th in shots on goal but 3rd for goals scored per game. They’re letting in a ton of shots though which is something the Habs are good at.

The last few games between these two have been low scoring but I think we see a high scoring game here. Sens clinical finishing along with the Habs ability to get the puck on target should see a good offensive battle similar to the Sens games against the Flyers and Bruins.

Over 6 goals incl OT/SO – 1u

Canada: 1.95 Odds at Bet365.
USA: -120 Odds atGT Bets.
Everyone Else: 1.95 Odds at Bet365.

(Odds correct as of 2018/10/20 11:52:57 AM EST but are subject to change.)


Ducks vs Knights Betting Tips:

This Pacific Division matchup should be an interesting one. The Ducks are currently leading the Pacific on the back of excellent goaltending. The Knights stumbled a bit to start the season however have started to get rolling.

It’s a very intriguing matchup as looking at everything I think it can go either way. If you run this game 5 times I could see tight Ducks wins like 2-0 or 2-1 or a very low scoring game, but then there’d be one game where Ducks concede at their expected level and the Knights win 6-0 or 6-1 or something.

However I do think there is value in the Ducks here as underdogs. Their defense has to perform better than they are currently and the Knights aren’t exactly an offensive powerhouse yet.

0.5u on Ducks to win incl OT/SO if Gibson in net

Note if you’re backing this one there’s a lot of money going on Vegas at the moment so it may be worth waiting for a bit later to see if the odds keep jumping.

Canada: 2.55 Odds at Bet365.
USA: +155 Odds at Intertops.
Everyone Else: 2.55 Odds at Bet365.

(Odds correct as of 2018/10/20 11:52:57 AM EST but are subject to change.)


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WTA Finals 2018 Tips

DISCLAIMER: ODDS AND ARTICLE UPDATED 20/10/2018, 13:45.

The top eight women tennis players have descended on Singapore for the season-ending WTA Finals. It looks set to be a thrilling week in the Far East and Rob Eddy takes a look at the betting opportunities with these tennis tips.

Kerber - Outright Winner @ 11/2 - BET NOW

Angelique Kerber’s double Grand Slam-winning year of 2016 seemed to put the skids on her career as she then suffered a dip in form, but it has been back to business as usual in 2018. The German ace landed her third 'Slam when taking a first Wimbledon title, while she reached the semi-finals of the Australian Open and the last eight at Roland Garros.

Tennis betting on Japan’s Naomi Osaka at 7/2 will be popular but I can see Kerber lifting her game in the former British colony for an event she has yet to win. The 30-year-old was a beaten finalist in Singapore two years ago and will want to go one better this time around. With no Serena Williams or Simona Halep in the field, the way is open for Kerber to break her duck in the prestigious tournament.

White Group Winner - Wozniacki @ 7/2 - BET NOW

Caroline Wozniacki has been placed in this group alongside Petra Kvitova, Elina Svitolina and Karolina Pliskova - all talented players - but I feel the Dane has the edge. The 28-year-old finally broke her Grand Slam duck in Melbourne at the start of the year and proved she can get the job done when reaching the business end of events.

A winner at Eastbourne in the summer and also the recent China Open, Wozniacki will be full of confidence for the defence of her title and have her eyes on the big prize. It would be a surprise not to see the world number two top of a group that looks the easier one on paper.

Kvitova to beat Svitolina @ 4/7 - BET NOW

The tennis odds on Kvitova making a winning start are quite short and a glance at their head-to-head record shows why. The duo have met on eight occasions down the years, with Kvitova victorious in all but one of the contests.

Svitolina won their duel at the 2014 Cincinnati Masters but it has been one-way traffic since then, with 28-year-old two-time Wimbledon champion Kvitova dropping just one set to her Ukrainian opponent. All matches have taken place on hard surfaces and that augurs well for the Czech Republic world number seven keeping up her dominance.

Stephens to beat Osaka @ 19/10 - BET NOW

Osaka is a clear favourite to win this one at 4/9 but Sloane Stephens has been making all the right noises heading into the tournament. It is both players' first venture to the event and Osaka is still riding the high of her US Open victory. She has yet to win a title since that Flushing Meadows success and lost the only match the pair have played together - back in 2016. It will be tight but the American gets my vote to make a winning start to proceedings.

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Garydoc777’s Sunday Over 2.5 Goals Acca

FRIDAY nights overs acca was a bust unfortunately. There are small margins between winning and losing with acca's, missed chances, red cards, bad decisions by referee's or just a team not playing to their potential. However sometimes its just a rogue game where you've not factored in something which affected the result.

So for Sunday I'm going for a six fold which will take in many countries and (with luck) span the whole day. To aid such a large bet you need to identify leagues and teams that have a propensity for over 2.5 goals.

Viborg v Silkeborg (12.45)

Both these Denmark Division 1 teams love goals. In 8 of their last 9 head to head meetings there have been over 2.5 goals. Viborg currently sit top of the league and Silkeborg are in third position, between them they have scored 48 goals so far this season (only 13 games into the season).

Hamilton v Rangers (13.30)

In last seasons corresponding fixture Rangers came out on top of an eight (8) goal thriller, and this was before Steven Gerrard took over. This season Rangers are scoring for fun but Hamilton are averaging losing 2 goals per game

Lugano v St. Gallen (15.00)

Those who bet overs acca's will be well versed in the number of goals scored in the Switzerland Super league. Even the lowest placed teams score lots of goals and the highest placed teams concede lots too. Lugano games have seen overs in their last 4 games and St. Gallen have matching statistics in seeing overs in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fortuna Sittard v De Graafschap (15.45)

Both these teams were promoted to the Dutch top division this season. Both also sit near the foot of the Eredivisie but Fortuna boast a much better goals scored record (14) in the league after eight games. The key though is in goals conceded seeing as between them they have conceded 35 goals in those eight league games.

Oostende v Gent (17.00)

These Belgium first division teams may sit mid-table but in this league any team can defeat another. Gent (not to be mistaken for Genk) have shipped 13 goals in their last 4 league games and though it would be difficult to determine a winner between these teams it looks likely that there will be goals.

Nacional Potosi v Real Potosi (20.00)

The final game of the acca visits the Bolivian Primera Division, which is a minefield for goals. You only have to look at these two teams last three head to head games where they have averaged five (5) goals in each game. I expect another goal glut in this one.

Recommended bet

  • Six fold over 2.5 goals accumulator
  • Pays (23/1 Bet365)


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Desmond’s Two 2s Goals Tips: MK set to make their mark

TWO teams I like the look of today to score 2+ goals are MK Dons and Raith.

Fourth-placed MK entertain Northampton who sit 19th. The home side have scored 4 goals in their last two home games and 6 in their last 3 games.

Ladbrokes offer 4-5 on them scoring 2+ goals against a Northampton side conceding 8 goals in their last 4 away games.

Next up are second-placed Raith in Scottish League One at home to Stranraer. Raith have scored 8 goals in their last 4 home games and 8 in their last 4.

Ladbrokes offer 6-10 on them scoring 2+goals against a Stranraer side conceding 5 goals in their last 3 away games. Going for a straight 3pts double which pays 2-1.

Teams to score 2+ Double

Both to Score Double

  • Wycombe v Scunthorpe
  • Crawley v Newport
  • (2-1, Ladbrokes) – 1pt

Over 2.5 Goals Treble

  • Arbroath v Dumbarton
  • East Fife v Brechin
  • Montrose v Airdrie
  • (7-2, Ladbrokes) – 1pt

Sevenfold roll-up: 38-1 – 0.5pts

October Stats: -2.5pts


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