Thursday, April 26, 2018

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Latest betting tips

Fulham v Sunderland: Revenge is in the air at Craven Cottage

FULHAM are flying at the moment and next up they face a Sunderland side who were the last Champioship team to defeat them! Thomas Thorn (@TomTomDRFC) shares his betting verdict for Friday night’s game at Craven Cottage.

Fulham v Sunderland | Friday 27th April 2018, 19:45 | Sky Sports

Fulham currently sit 3rd in the Championship and will still be eyeing to pip Cardiff to the final automatic promotion place. After Cardiff’s defeat in the week, the Cottagers sit one point behind the Welsh team. The London side impressed on the box last week with a 3-0 away win against in-form Millwall and Fulham’s last defeat in the league was back in December against their next opponents, Sunderland.

Due to Burton and Bolton needing to play each other, a 2-1 defeat at home to Burton was enough to seal Sunderland’s fate and relegate them to League One. With one win in 16 matches, Chris Coleman’s side are rock bottom of the Championship

The last time these two teams met Sunderland won courtesy of a Josh Maja goal, however with Fulham in fine form and Sunderland relegated, it could be a different story come Friday.

Previous form would suggest this will be a one-sided affair with Fulham comfortably beating a team that are now preparing for life in a lower league.

Whilst there may not be any value in Fulham winning at 1/4, in the form they’re in the London side should comfortably breeze past Sunderland in their attempt to reach the Premier League. Fulham with a -1 handicap is 8/13 with Skybet and if you think they’ll win by more, you can get 5/4 with Coral for the -2 handicap.

One of, if not the hottest prospects in the Championship is Ryan Sessegnon. 15 goals in 44 matches has helped Fulham to where they are and the 17 year old will be hoping to finish off the job for Fulham. After scoring last week against Millwall he will be hungry to add to his tally. Sessegnon to score and Fulham to win is EVENS with Boylesports.

Best Bets

Fulham v Sunderland – Fulham -1 handicap (8/13 Skybet)

Fulham v Sunderland – Fulham -2 handicap (5/4 Coral)

Fulham v Sunderland – Fulham to win and Sessegnon to score (EVS Boylesports)

Championship Championship tips football league football league tips Fulham Sunderland

This post is originally from: welovebetting.co.uk

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Swansea v Chelsea Predictions & Betting Odds – 28th April 2018

Swansea v Chelsea Betting Tips – Premier League 28th April 5.30pm

Swansea still have the threat of relegation looming over them and games like this against a top-five side don’t help. Swansea were pretty much obliterated by champions Man City at the Etihad last weekend. They have to shake that off and try and raise themselves on home soil. After their FA Cup semi-final last weekend, Chelsea will be on the hunt for league points to try and put pressure on Spurs for a fourth-place finish.

Swansea News and Form

Swansea’s match against Man City on the weekend was a disposable fixture for them. They would have known that they were unlikely to get anything from it and they lost it 5-0. But they get back to the Liberty Stadium on the weekend where they are on a five-match undefeated streak of form (W4 D1). So they can take some confidence out of that and even a point in this one would offer some comfort as they start the weekend four points clear of the drop zone. So there is still a threat of relegation there for them so they have to stay focused. Swansea are W6 D3 L7 for the season at home and since Carlos Carvalhal came in as the boss he has made a huge difference. Swansea are on a five-match scoring streak at home in the league and both teams to score at *** is at 11/10 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 1:14 a.m. on April 24th, 2018). The Swans are averaging a goal per home game this term and less than 40% of their home fixture have produced at least three goals. So this could be a low scoring affair as the Swans try and avoid defeat more than anything. 69% of Swansea’s home goals have come after the half time break, so a half-time draw may be a good option too.

Chelsea News and Form

Chelsea have an FA Cup final to look forward to this season after beating Southampton in the semi-final over the weekend. Chelsea have a five-point deficit to Tottenham to try and make up in just four games in the race for a fourth-place finish in the league. That’s not too likely to happen but Chelsea just can just keep winning and hope. They have won their last two games, both one-margin away victories at Southampton and Burnley. Chelsea’s last three league wins have been all by a one-goal margin and Chelsea to win by a one-goal margin is at 5/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 6:25 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018). Chelsea are W9 D3 L5 away from Stamford Bridge this season and three of their four away defeats have happened in their last five road games. They don’t look anywhere near as stable or confident as they were last season, but they have won handsomely at each of the other current bottom five this season, scoring at least three goals in each of those wins. In the *** correct score market, a conservative Chelsea 1-0 result is at 5/1 odds with a 6/1 on a Chelsea 2-0* (all Betting Odds taken at 6:25 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018). Chelsea have averaged 1.8 goals per away game this season.

Swansea v Chelsea Head to Head

The Blues collected three home points against Swansea earlier this season thanks to a 1-0 win. They have won their last two in the league against the Welsh club now but Chelsea are actually only W2 D2 L1 in their last five league outings against the Swans. The Blues have taken just the one point from their last two league visits to the Liberty Stadium. Four of the last six league meetings have produced over 2.5 goals.

Swansea v Chelsea Betting Odds*

Chelsea 1/2, Draw 3/1, Swansea 11/2* (Betting Odds taken at 6:25 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018)

Swansea v Chelsea Predictions

Chelsea to win: The Blues will be feeling much better about themselves after their FA Cup win on the weekend. Even though they don’t look anywhere near their best they have the individual talent to come up with a moment of magic to collect three points. Maybe by nothing more than a one-goal margin though.

Sharks vs. Golden Knights Game 1 Pick – April 26th

Can you believe it? The Vegas Golden Knights didn’t just reach the playoffs, they won a series and haven’t even lost a game yet. The Knights are a perfect 4-0 after sweeping the Kings in the first-round. The Kings know all about going deep as underdogs, but they were unable to unseat the Knights. Early in the season we could make the argument that the Knights were doing well because others were taking them lightly. However, I don’t know how that can be the case after beating the Kings in four straight. After two losses and heading home, that might be the time to start taking things seriously, but the Golden Knights defied the odds, again, and won their first ever playoff series in style.

Even though this is a first-year team, the Knights have playoff experience on their roster. When they drafted their team, they did a good job of nabbing guys who have been there before. Notably, James Neal and Marc-Andre Fleury, who both played together in Pittsburgh. William Karlsson was an absolute steal as well for the Knights.

Karlsson is playing on a less than million-dollar contract, yet still produced millions in production. He netted 43 goals and 35 assists in the regular season. After spending three years in Columbus, he made the Blue Jackets fill with plenty of regret. The Jackets likely win their series against the Capitals if Karlsson was around still. Maybe he just needed a change of scenery, though. Game 1 is tonight at the T-Mobile Center from the Las Vegas Strip. Head below for our free Sharks vs. Golden Knights Game 1 pick.

San Jose Sharks vs. Vegas Golden Knights Game 1 Pick

The San Jose Sharks had an equally quick series, as they blanked the Ducks for a sweep as well. The Sharks and Knights have been sitting around twiddling their thumbs while waiting for the second-round. In this sense, we have an even slate, with the Sharks and Golden Knights wrapping their series up at relatively the same time. Conversely, the Lightning get a Bruins team on Saturday who just finished up with the Maple Leafs last night. The Sharks and Knights met four times this season, with Vegas winning three of four. San Jose’s only win coming in a 2-1 overtime win in March.

Fleury was spectacular for the Golden Knights in the first-round. The Kings managed just 3 goals in the whole series. Fleury faced 130 shots for a 0.961 save percentage. Like I’ve said before, the Golden Knights are chameleons at having the ability to adapt to the style of their opponents. The Kings wanted to slow things down and get into a low-scoring slug fest. Vegas was able to beat them at their own game. The Sharks and Knights only had to play four games in the first-round, but they should expect a much longer series in the second-round. This one could very well go the distance. Martin Jones and Fleury are going to have some tight duels. Vegas will likely feed off the home energy, where they’ve been terrific with a record of 31-10-1, and get out to a 1-0 series lead in Game 1.

The Bet: GOLDEN KNIGHTS (-140)

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This post is originally from: www.thesportsgeek.com

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Jordan’s Football Tips: Toronto can be Mexican raves

TORONTO rested absolutely everyone in their 5-1 defeat in Houston at the weekend in preparation for tonight’s clash in Mexico.

They’ve scored at Club America and Tigres this season and I think there is decent value on goals tonight.

There were plenty of chances for both teams in the first leg which ended 2-1 to Chivas and I’m looking at a repeat performance.

Jordan’s Tip (2.30am)

  • Chivas v Toronto Over 2.5 Goals
  • – 2.5pts

This post is originally from: mrfixitstips.co.uk

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Mr Fixit’s Top Tips: Europa League promises goals

BAYERN MUNICH v Real Madrid never hit the heights of Liverpool v Roma but it was interesting enough.

I tipped Real not to lose and over 2.5 match goals but my Super Single was Cristiano Ronaldo to score and while he had one ruled out he didn’t hit the heights in Munich.

It’s looking like a Liverpool v Real final in Kiev and on the evidence of the past two nights you’d have to favour the Anfield men – but that’s nothing new. Maccathered has been telling us that for months.

We move from the Champions League to the Europa League semis and the potential for two cracking contests between Arsenal and Atletico Madrid and Marseille and Red Bull Salzburg.

Arsenal beat Milan 3-1 and CSKA Moscow 4-1 in the last two rounds and while Atletico are favourites to progress they do their best work at home. I’d favour the Gunners to edge this and while Diego Simeone likes to keep it tight on the road he will see the value of an away goal so going with both to score.

Double it up with btts at Marseille. When they met in the group stage both games were low scorers but much more low key – 0-0 in France and 1-0 Red Bull in Austria.

However, this game means everything and both sides have been goal crazy in recent weeks and in the knockout stages. Marseille have netted 13 in three including five at home to Leipzig while Red Bull have battered 13 in three and hit Lazio for four in the quarters.

Well done to all the winners on Thursday and I’ll put up a Super Single shortlist later and a members bet of the day. The £10 to £1000 Twitter challenge

Remember to check out welovebetting for their latest tips and betting blogs.

2pts Both to Score Double (8.05pm)

  • Arsenal v Atletico
  • Marseille v Salzburg
  • (2-1, Coral)

April Super Singles Total: -10pts

April Advised Accas Total: -24pts

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This month’s football partner at MrFixitsTips is BetBright. They’ve a great welcome offer where you can claim up to £50 to play with when you deposit £10 upon opening a new acount. 18+. T&Cs apply. New customers only.

> Join BetBright today!


This post is originally from: mrfixitstips.co.uk

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Marseille v Salzburg – Now or never for Les Phoceens

THE Europa League has been a very exciting competition this season, but sadly we are almost at the end of the tournament. A place in next season’s Champions League is at stake and our man Ross Casey (@RossCasey24) previews the encounter between Marseille and Salzburg.

Marseille v Salzburg | Thursday 26th April 2018, 20:05 | BT Sport

This semi-final is between two sides that love to score goals, so it should be an entertaining encounter. The bookies have made Marseille the clear favourites to win at a best price of 4/6 with Betfred – but the Austrian side are not to be counted out thanks to their stern defence and goal heroics!


The Ligue 1 side have been excellent at home in the Europa League winning seven and drawing one of their eight in the competition so far. Unfortunately for them ahead of this fixture – the only blip was against tonight’s opponents, Salzburg!

It is quite interesting that the tie against Salzburg in the group stages ended 0-0 because they have scored 21 goals in those eight matches and even scored five last time out against the much fancied Leipzig in order to qualify for the semi-finals.

Goalscoring is certainly something that is coming easy to them at present, with 27 netted in all competitions across their last 10 matches.


As I’ve already highlighted when previewing Salzburg’s Europa League games in the past, they are one tough cookie to crack. They have lost just one of their 12 Europa League games this season and as I have pointed out – they have already held Marseille away from home to a 0-0 too.

Whilst their defence is almost imperious at home though, the clean sheet in Marseille last time out was a bit of an anomaly for their away days in the Europa League so far. They have played seven away games in this competition, keeping a clean sheet just twice and have let in seven in their last three Europa League matches on the road.

Saying that though, I do feel that they have been underrated a little by the bookies, I am very surprised to see Marseille odds on when you consider Salzburg have lost just three of their 51 matches this season – a percentage of just six percent!

The betting angle

Marseille will be fully aware of the fact that Salzburg have not lost any of their 25 home matches this season and of course will remember their 1-0 defeat at their stadium, so they will be going all guns blazing to win here, especially as they have scored 27 in their last 10.

With Salzburg conceding seven in their last three Europa League away games, I am going to suggest backing goals here – but goals for both sides. BTTS is too short really, so I will plump for Marseille to score in both halves at 13/10 with Boylesports.

Best Bets

Marseille v Salzburg – Marseille to score in both halves (13/10 Betfair)

Europa League Europa League Tips Marseille RB Salzburg

This post is originally from: welovebetting.co.uk

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Aston Villa v Derby Predictions & Betting Odds – 28th April 2018

Aston Villa v Derby Betting Preview – Championship 28th April 3.00pm

Aston Villa have importantly found their form again with three straight league wins as they head towards the Championship play offs this season. It is going to be important for them to carry forward that momentum and will be hungry to see off Derby on the weekend. The Rams had to face up to Cardiff in midweek action as well. But they came through that tough test with flying colours.

Aston Villa News and Form

It is a good streak of form that the Villains are on in the second tier as they drive themselves forward towards the play offs. They are on a three-match winning streak and their last four wins in the league have all been with a clean sheet as well. Aston Villa to win to nil with *** is at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken on April 24th, 2018 at 2:56 a.m.). Villa have actually kept five clean sheets in their last six games so they are right in form at the moment. They have won their last three league home games and have gone W8 D1 L1 in their last ten on home soil. So that suggests that they can get close to winning this one and perhaps putting a damper on Derby play off hopes at the same time. Villa’s overall record at home this season is W14 D6 L2 and they have averaged 1.8 goals per game, while they have conceded just the 18 goals in 22 fixtures. There has been a clean sheet by Villa in 45% of their home games while they are on an eleven match scoring streak at Villa Park. An Aston Villa 1-0 is going to appeal at 6/1 odds* (betting odds taken on April 24th, 2018 at 2:56 a.m.).

Derby News and Form

The Rams produced a fantastic 3-1 home win over second-placed Cardiff in midweek and that saw them jump back above Millwall into sixth place. So now they have the advantage and just two games to hang onto that play off spot. That win snapped a three-match losing streak that the Rams were on and now things are right down to the wire that there is no margin for error at all. Derby have suffered back to back away defeats in the league though and have taken just thee one win in their last eight away from Pride Park (D4 L3) so it’s fair to say that they haven’t been the most reliable on the road. There has been no clean sheet from them in their last four league outings and both teams to score with *** is at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken on April 24th, 2018 at 2:56 a.m.). The win over the Bluebirds on Tuesday will have bolstered their confidence and their overall away form for the season is W8 D9 L5 and they have averaged 1.3 goals per game on their travels. Matej Vydra was on the scoresheet again in the week and he is going to their best route to goal. Derby have scored in 73% of their away games in the Championship this season. If they get take down the Villains, they will be in the driving seat for a top six finish.

Aston Villa v Derby Head to Head

Derby wear 2-0 winners against Villa earlier this season when they met and that continued a streak in the head to heads between the two. In none of the last five meetings now have both teams scored in a match up. Aston Villa have a strong W4 D1 L1 record in their last six league games against Derby now (W5 D1) so have a great record going and they have won their last eight league matches on home soil against the Rams.

Aston Villa v Derby Betting Odds*

Aston Villa 19/20, Draw 5/2, Derby 11/4* (Betting Odds taken at 00:22 p.m. on March 20th, 2018)

Aston Villa v Derby Predictions

Villa have pretty good home form lately and they can go and get themselves the win in this one against a Derby suicide who have been struggling for form. The Rams have but themselves back in a strong position, but may find Villa too much away from home. Villa to win to nil.

Alan Thomson’s Tips: Smart mover can deliver at Beverley

TREVITHICK (5.25) may have been priced-up over-generously in the mile Median Auction Stakes at Beverley.

Bryan Smart’s colt was fancied to follow up his Newcastle success on a return visit to the track but had the misfortune to run up against a very classy sort in Without Parole. John Gosden’s 2000 Guineas and Dante Stakes entry made mincemeat of his rivals at Yarmouth on Tuesday, so Trevithick lost little in defeat. An 81-rated horse was back in third in that Newcastle Novice Stakes, so the form looks very solid.

There are a couple of promising southern raiders which helps bolster the market and despite conceding weight all round, Trevithick will be hard to knock out of the frame.

LANCELOT DU LAC (7.35) can usually be relied upon to put hid best foot forward and Dean Ivory’s gelding should make his presence felt in the 6f Conditions Stakes at Chelmsford City.

He was a significant market drifter at Doncaster last time when only fourth to speedy Perfect Pasture, rather floundering in the mud when coming under pressure. Lancelot Du Lac has no problem with this surface, being a dual course winner over five furlongs.

LACAN (9.05) also knows his way around these Essex turns and holds Samphire Coast, but only narrowly, on his narrow course victory in March.

He is best arriving late off a strong pace and he might get that here from Glory Awaits, fourth from the front in a slightly better handicap at Newmarket last week. Glory Awaits was only seventh behind Lacan and Samphire Coast in March, so has a bit to find.

Recommended bets


This post is originally from: mrfixitstips.co.uk

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BetVictor are firing up a new product which is an extension of an existing one actually. The operator runs a #PriceItUp product which allows punters to contact them and request a price on a bet that they have created.

The operator has taken it a step further now by adding an accumulator builder called the #PriceItUp Builder as an extension of that initial product. The #PriceItUp Builder will now allow customers to play with possible outcomes when they put together their acca bet of #PriceItUp selections.

“We are delighted to be able to launch two exciting new features to complement our already very popular #PriceItUp market,” BetVictor head of sportsbook product Eoin Ryan explained.

“#PriceItUp Builder will allow customers to combine up to 10 individual selections in a single match accumulator bet, making it the most powerful builder feature on the market.

Exciting for customers there will also be an edit feature available as well which will allow customers to go and tweak their creations by building up exciting #PriceItUp options so that they will then have full control in personalising their bets.

“We are very excited about the introduction of an Edit feature into this product,” he continued. “We see this as a perfect gateway into the #PriceItUp Builder, as it allows a customer the ability to easily edit an existing outcome in a simple and straightforward manner.”

All aspects of the feature are handled by BetVictor so that they maintain full control over everything. The products will be up and running before the end of the European football season, in preparation for this summer’s FIFA World Cup in Russia.

“We are especially proud to have developed these products in-house and we see them as key additions to our Sportsbook as we look ahead to the World Cup in Russia this summer,” Ryan added.

Visit Betvictor

Salah’s odds trimmed to win 2018 Ballon d’Or

After yet another stunning performance in midweek, money has been flooding in on Liverpool’s Mo Salah to win the 2018 Ballon d’Or at Ladbrokes. Salah returned to haunt his former club Roma in the UEFA Champions League semi-final first leg at Anfield, the Egyptian star scoring two and assisting two goals in the game, helping to lift Liverpool to a 5-2 lead in the tie.

It was just another sublime showing from him and they were his 42nd and 43rd goals of the season. He is top of the charts in the race for the Golden Shoe, the award handed out to Europe’s top goal scorer for the season. He is two goals ahead of Lazio’s Ciro Immobile and Barcelona’s Lionel Messi.

After winning the PFA Player of the Year award over the weekend, traders at Ladbrokes have been forced to cut the price on Salah winning the 2018 Ballon d’Or to 11/8 odds* (betting odds taken on April 25th, 2018 at 5:48 p.m.). That makes him joint favourite alongside Real Madrid’s Cristiano Ronaldo for the honour.

Since 2007 is has been either Ronaldo or Lionel Messi who has won the Ballon d’Or and now finally there does appear to be a genuine chance of someone, namely Salah, breaking the run. Would his chances of doing so hinge on Liverpool winning the Champions League? The Reds are 6/4 favourites* (betting odds taken on April 25th, 2018 at 5:48 p.m.) to take the title after their big semi-final first leg success against Roma. They will meet either Real Madrid or Bayern Munich in the final if the complete the job.

Alex Apati of Ladbrokes said: “Salah has averaged almost a goal-per-game in all competitions this season and given Liverpool’s current position in Europe, it’s easy to see why he’s priced so short to win this year’s Ballon d’Or.”

2018 Ballon d’Or winner

Mohamed Salah – 11/8

Cristiano Ronaldo – 11/8

Lionel Messi – 7/2

Neymar – 10/1

Visit Ladbrokes

Premier League – Expect Moore of West Brom

THE Premier League continues on Saturday and our man Daniel McCulloch (danmcc84) shares his best bets from the 3pm fixtures.

Crystal Palace v Leicester | Saturday 28th April 2018, 15:00

The first market I looked at here was both teams to score. Unfortunately, however, while I believe a best price of 7/10 is quite fair given that this bet has obliged in 22 of Leicester’s 34 league games (more than any other side) and in nine of Palace’s last 12, I try to find prices at 5/6 and greater as a general rule.

Therefore the over 2.5 goals market was my next port of call. Marathon price this at 22/25, suggesting that there is a 53% chance there are three goals or more in this game. Since Roy Hodgson became Crystal Palace manager, 18 of their 31 (58%) Premier League games have seen three goals or more. At Selhurst Park their record looks even more positive, with 10 of their 15 games (67%) obliging.

They face a Leicester side who have been similarly entertaining. Claude Puel gained a reputation as a dour manager when Southampton boss but that has certainly not been the case at The Foxes. In the 26 games they’ve played since Craig Shakespeare left, 15 (58%) have seen three goals or more. Their games on the road have been particularly exciting, with 10 of 13 (77%) seeing the over 2.5 angle emerge victorious.

Basically, every stat you look at suggests that 22/25 is too big a price on this bet winning, so take advantage of the odds on offer with Marathon.

Huddersfield v Everton | Saturday 28th March 2018, 15:00

I backed Huddersfield DNB against Watford a fortnight ago and I am taking the same angle when they host an Everton side who are hopeless on the road.

With games against Manchester City, Chelsea and Arsenal to come, The Terriers know that they need a result here to ensure they no longer need to look over their shoulder. However, it is their comparative records and not their need that leads me to side with them. If you look at their home results against sides from seventh down, it reads W5-D5-L2. The only sides they have lost against are West Ham and Crystal Palace, both of whom possess greater attacking talent than The Toffees.

Since Sam Allardyce took over as Everton boss, their away record reads W2-D3-L5, scored eight, conceded 17. Their two victories were both fortuitous – a single goal victory at Newcastle and a 2-1 win over Stoke when the hosts had a player sent off after 30 minutes with the game at 0-0. Last time out they drew 1-1 at Swansea who are, to my mind, easily one of the worst three sides in the league.

They were indebted to Jordan Pickford for keeping them in that game, losing the shot count 17-12 and shots on target 7-3. After the game Allardyce once again bemoaned his sides passing ability and I saw little in the home game against Newcastle on Monday night to suggest an improvement. Simply put, they look a poor side under the former England boss and I am happy to back Huddersfield at 5/6 with BetVictor in the Draw No Bet market.

Newcastle v West Brom | Saturday 28th April 2018, 15:00

I make no secret of the fact that I am a West Brom fan but I very rarely back them to win a game (thankfully). I’ve backed them once in this column, a Draw No Bet pick against Everton. Having led for 60 plus minutes, they drew the game 1-1 but that was the bare minimum they deserved, winning the shots, shots on target and expected goals metrics.

At 41/10 with Marathon Bet, I do believe West Brom are too big in this one. Newcastle have lost six home games this season and it isn’t simply a case that they’ve been outclassed by the top sides. Leicester, Watford, Everton and Bournemouth have all left St James’ Park with three points and with the exception of Claude Puel’s men, I believe that West Brom’s performance data mirrors all of those sides.

Additionally, Albion are unbeaten in three games under interim boss Darren Moore. Whether they are a different side under the Caretaker Manager or he is simply benefiting from a bit of luck that former boss Alan Pardew did not get is open to debate but what is undeniable is that the five points Albion have gained from his three games in charge are no more than they have deserved.

They really should have beaten Swansea in his first game in charge, matched Manchester United in terms of chance creation at Old Trafford and despite Jurgen Klopp’s bewildering claim otherwise, merited their draw at home to Liverpool last week according to every key performance metric going.

Anything but a victory will confirm West Brom’ s relegation which is why I would prefer a smaller stake at a bigger price than chance The Baggies in the DNB market. Marathon‘s 41/10 on The Albion outright provides us with this opportunity.

Best Bets

Crystal Palace v Leicester – Over 2.5 Goals (22/25 Marathon)

Huddersfield v Everton – Huddersfield Draw No Bet (3/4 William Hill)

Newcastle v West Brom – West Brom to win (41/10 Marathon)

Crystal Palaxe Draw No Bet everton Huddersfield Leicester newcastle premier league Premier League tips west brom

This post is originally from: welovebetting.co.uk

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DraftKings NBA Playoff Picks – April 25th

How’s it going guys. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA Playoff picks for April 25th, 2018. Tonight, we get a slate with four playoff games to attack. Be sure to follow all of the injury news tonight, all the way up until the 7:00 PM EST lock, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.

*Just an FYI, with one team being eliminated last night and two more potentially tonight, this could be the last NBA DFS slate of three or more games. So, I recommend playing more than usual for both cash games and GPPs, because this very well could be the last slate worth playing this season. If one of The Thunder or Wolves win, there will be a three game slate on Friday, but with the possibility that both teams could lose and go home, I just want to take the time to thank everyone who read my NBA articles this season. I truly appreciate it and look forward to giving you more NBA DFS content next season.

Top Pick:

PG: Russell Westbrook: (10,600)

In these last two losses on the road in Utah, Westbrook has let The Jazz and their crowd get the best of him (43.6 DK PPG), but tonight, with the whole season on the line and on his home floor, I think we see Russ bounce back and have a classic Westbrook performance. He isn’t stupid and he knows everyone in the media has been talking about him in these last two losses. He may shrug it off, but we all know Westbrook takes it personally and there is no doubt in my mind he is going to come out tonight with a purpose to show this Jazz team and The NBA world he is still the reigning MVP.

In the first two home contests of this series vs The Jazz, the two teams split the games, but Westbrook was a much more effective player at home, scoring 58+ DK points in each game. In fact, in his last five home games, Westbrook is averaging 65.75 DK PPG. This is the lowest he has been priced since the first few weeks of the season and at this salary he needs 53 DK points to return value. Overall in home tilts this year, he is averaging 57.6 DK PPG and his current Vegas prop score is sitting at 53.1 DK points. (via Fantasy Labs) LeBron is obviously the top overall option, but in my opinion, Westbrook is the strongest high end value of this slate and I don’t know about you, but I feel like I need exposure to him in this must win situation.

Value Picks:

C: Rudy Gobert: (7,000)

Following their game one loss, Gobert has been a huge factor in The Jazz winning three straight over The Thunder, notching a double double in each game, averaging 40.6 DK PPG. His minutes have stayed steady throughout the series, playing 35.7 MPG. Tonight, he and The Jazz have a chance to close out The Thunder, in the game that is expected to be the most competitive of this slate, with The Thunder favored by only 3.5 points.

He should see 35-40 minutes again and with this matchup slightly positive at the moment (2.09 opponent +/-), Gobert should meet five times value, with a ceiling around 45 DK points. His current Vegas prop score is right over what he needs for value, at 35.48 DK points (via Fantasy Labs) and he is a strong spend in both cash games and GPPs.

SG/SF: Kyle Korver: (4,300)

As expected, Korver bounced back after his quiet night in the game three loss to The Pacers, with 29.25 DK point on Sunday. The Cavs won this matchup and now head back home with this series all tied up at two games apiece. Korver has had two productive games in this first round and both of those performances have resulted in wins for The Cavs. It is evident they need his offense right now and I think LeBron and this Coaching staff now know that Korver needs to be involved if they want to move on to the second round.

He should take close to 10 threes in this game and with roughly 30 minutes of work as a starter, I think we see Korver score 20+ DK points in this pivotal game five. His floor is a shaky because he mostly relies on scoring, but they clearly need him right now, making Korver a viable target in all formats.

PG: Ricky Rubio: (7,500)

Rubio has been a pleasant surprise for The Jazz so far this Playoffs. Yes, Im sure they expected the veteran to play well, but he has been tremendous in helping this Jazz team get a 3-1 lead over the higher seeded Thunder, at 46.1 DK PPG. This number is inflated because of his massive 64.25 DK point game on Saturday night, but he is still averaging 40 DK PPG in the remaining three contests.

His price hasn’t been adjusted at all since their 17 point in Monday and with this game having the smallest spread of the night (-3.5 OKC), Rubio will likely see 35-40 minutes once again. He has a current implied score of 37.5 DK points based on his Vegas props (via Fantasy Labs), which is exactly the score we need for him to reach value. Personally, I am expecting 40+ DK points from him and believe we should keep attacking Rubio tonight during this hot streak.

Also Consider:

John Wall: Just been outstanding in the postseason, averaging 59.2 DK PPG. I always like targeting Wall more at home, but he is just playing to well right now to let that be a factor. He has a current Vegas prop score of 52.72 DK points. (via Fantasy Labs)

Victor Oladipo: Dramatic $600 price drop from his last game. He needs 40.4 DK points to reach five times value, which we should see, with him having DK implied score of 41.98 points, based on his Vegas props. (via Fantasy Labs)

Paul George: 40+ DK points in three of these four games. He is averaging 40.25 MPG this series and the minutes should stay very high, considering this is do or die for The Thunder. If he want to live up his self titled nickname “Playoff P”, George must have a big game tonight.

Kyle Lowry: 40+ DK points in three straight games.

Jeff Teague: Better for GPPs at this point, but this is it for The Wolves and they need him desperately to have a good game. Plus, the $6,000 price tag is very friendly.

Serge Ibaka: We should have seen the two down games coming from Ibaka on the road. This season he is much better at home, scoring 2.8 more DK PPG. He averaged 38.4 DK PPG in the first two home games of this series and is averaging 35.5 DK PPG in his last six in Toronto.

Thaddeus Young: 33.25 DK PPG in these past three and this matchup is outstanding at a 5.3 opponent +/-.

Kelly Oubre: Struggled in game one, but the low score was mostly due to him only playing 16 minutes in the loss. He has been much more involved ever since, playing 26.3 MPG and scoring 23.6 DK PPG.

Jerami Grant: No upside, but could get 20+ DK points.

Jamal Crawford: 19.3 DK PPG this series. He is the veteran of this group and I think we see a solid outing with this being win or go home.

Delon Wright: Really intriguing GPP play if VanVleet is out. His minutes and usage go up when the guard sits and Wright is a much better player at home, scoring 3.2 more DK PPG in Toronto. In the first two home games of this series without VanVleet, Wright averaged 30 DK PPG.

Gorgui Dieng: If you need a full punt, Dieng should get 10+ DK points. He has done this in every game of this series.


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DraftKings MLB DFS Picks – April 25th

Last night’s DraftKings MLB Lineup didn’t quite get the job done. Charlie Morton had just worst start of the young season as he yielded four earned runs in just four innings of work. Kenta Maeda had a real nice outing, throwing a season-high six innings of one-run ball to go along with seven strikeouts. Unfortunately, Maeda didn’t get much run support from our Dodgers stack, which was a double whammy for our lineup. We did get doubles from Matt Kemp and Austin Barnes, but it wasn’t close to good enough to get us near the cash. Outside of Adrian Beltre our Rangers stack didn’t pan out either. The highlight of the lineup was a grand slam from our one-off Rockies shortstop Trevor Story. Let’s get a rebound lineup going on tonight’s eight-game main slate!

P – Clayton Kershaw (LAD) – $14,000 vs. MIA

On a slate that is lacking some ace-type pitchers, Kershaw is an easy play. Kershaw is coming off of a poor outing against the Nationals, but has otherwise been lights no this season through five starts. He brings a 2.45 ERA and a 26.9% strikeout clip into tonight’s contest. He has allowed just two earned runs to go with 19 strikeouts in just 12 innings of work at home this season. It’s real tough not to roster this guy when he pitches at home regardless of the opponent, so we will spend up and grab the future Hall of Famer tonight.

P – Jacob Faria (TB) – $6,300 vs. BAL

Faria is on the road for this outing in Baltimore, but at this price I think he can bring real nice value upside. He doesn’t bring high-strikeout numbers to the table with a so-so 19% strikeout rate on the season, but Faria has been excellent over his last two starts, throwing 11.1 innings of two-run ball while striking out 13 in that stretch. He has allowed just one earned run in three of his four starts this season while his 5.82 ERA is almost entirely derived from a disastrous second start to the season in Boston. He takes on an Orioles team that ranks 28th with a .603 OPS against right-handed pitching this season while their 171 strikeouts against righties are the fourth most in the bigs.

C – Yasmani Grandal (LAD) – $3,800 vs. MIA

We have rostered the Dodgers in each of the last two lineups and have been disappointed. However, their opponent tonight is righty Trevor Richards who sports an ugly 6.16 ERA through four starts, so I am going back to the well here. Grandal is off to a phenomenal start with a .328 batting average and three homers to go along with 16 RBIs. He has four doubles and a homer over his last seven games and owns a .244 ISO and .959 OPS against right-handed pitching this season.

1B – Cody Bellinger (LAD) – $4,500 vs. MIA

Bellinger will hit in the cleanup spot which is one spot behind Grandal as per the Dodgers’ projected lineup. Some would say it’s been a slow start to his sophomore year after a massive rookie campaign, but this guy is going to be fine. He still has three homers and has at least one hit in 12 of his last 15 contests. All of Bellinger’s struggles have come against lefties, but he owns a .340 average and .908 Ops against righties this season, so no need to worry about the slugging first baseman in this matchup.

2B – Joey Wendle (TB) – $3,200 vs. BAL

Alex Cobb’s Orioles’ tenure has not started on a great note as he brings an unsightly 15.43 ERA into this game tonight, albeit in just two starts. That said, he’s clearly been rocked in those two starts, so we’re going to pick on him a bit with some value Rays tonight. It begins here with Wendle who has been a pleasant surprise for the Rays, sporting a .304 average with a homer, three doubles and two triples on the young season. He owns an .807 OPS against right-handed pitching so far and is red-hot entering play after going 5 for 8 with a triple and three runs scored over his last two games.

3B – Jedd Gyorko (STL) – $3,200 vs. NYM

Gyorko hasn’t seen a whole lot of playing time for the Cardinals this season, but he’s been fantastic when he does get to the plate. Gyorko is hitting .545 on the young season, albeit in just 17 plate appearances. That said, he clobbered lefties for a .327 average, .267 ISO and .975 OPS last season. He is a one-off in this lineup, but one that should see low ownership in a favorable home matchup against Mets’ southpaw Steven Matz tonight.

SS – Corey Seager (LAD) – $4,400 vs. MIA

Seager hasn’t brought a ton of power to the table yet this season, but it’s coming and he makes for a real nice play out of the two-hole tonight against Richards and the Marlins. Seager has a history of clobbering righties in the big leagues. He owns a career .310 average, .197 ISO and .892 OPS against right-handed pitching. He has excellent runs and RBI upside tonight on top of some power upside in a very favorable home matchup.

OF – Joc Pederson (LAD) – $3,600 vs. MIA

We will end our Dodgers exposure here with Pederson. He’s had a tough go of it in the early going, hitting just .190 with a homer and two doubles so far. That said, Pederson brings excellent power upside to the table as he too has a history of hitting righties for power. Pederson owns a very powerful .229 ISO against righties to go with a nice .819 OPS. That OPS number is hurt by his poor on-base abilities, but we’re interested in the extra-base power he brings and that ISO number is the best reflector of that.

OF – Denard Span (TB) – $3,500 vs. BAL

Let’s get back to our Rays. Span should lead things off tonight against Cobb, and he’s been extremely productive as of late. Over his last five games, Span has gone 8 for 22 (.364) with a homer, two doubles, nine RBIs, four runs scored, three walks and a stolen base. Span brings some real nice cross-category upside to the table tonight including the stolen base department as Cobb yielded 14 steals last season.

OF – Mallex Smith (TB) – $3,500 vs. BAL

Smith brings similar upside to the table as Span does. He’s likely to hit low in the lineup, possibly in the eight-hole where he forms a wrap-around stack with Span and a mini-stack with Wendle who is projected to hit sixth. He’s off and running this season with a .344 average, three doubles, two triples, nine runs scored and three stolen bases. He doesn’t bring a ton of home run power to the table, but Smith is a nightmare for the opposition on the basepaths while he can certainly hit for extra-base power to boot.

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Football League – Goals set to flow in Saturday’s EFL action

FOOTBALL LEAGUE expert Mark O’Haire (@MarkOHaire) shares his best bets from Saturday’s EFL card.

Blackpool v Shrewsbury | Saturday 28th April 2018, 15:00


  • Blackpool have scored in 20/22 home games this season, netting at least twice in 11 of those 22 outings.
  • Blackpool have conceded an average of 2.00 goals per-game when hosting the top-10.
  • Blackpool’s past eight games are averaging 2.90 Expected Goals.
  • Blackpool have seen 15/22 (68%) of their home games feature Both Teams To Score winners with 14 (64%) also producing Over 2.5 Goals.


  • Shrewsbury have scored in 18/22 away games this season, netting at least twice in nine of those 22 outings.
  • Shrewsbury have kept only five clean sheets on their travels this term.
  • Shrewsbury have seen 15/22 (68%) of their away games feature Both Teams To Score winners, including five of their past seven.

Both Teams To Score (24/23 188BET)

Crawley v Crewe | Saturday 28th April 2018, 15:00


  • Crawley have seen their past 19 games feature at least two goals with Harry Kewell’s team scoring in all bar one match since Boxing Day.
  • Crawley have only kept four clean sheets since October, as well as only six in 22 matches on home soil this season.
  • Crawley have seen 15/19 games in 2018 produce winning Over 2.5 Goals selections – those matches have averaged 3.47 goals per-game.


  • Crewe have scored in 18 of their past 21 matches since Boxing Day, 14 of which featured both sides scoring.
  • Crewe have only kept three clean sheets on their travels this season, conceding at least three goals on nine occasions.
  • Crewe have seen their past 16 games average 2.84 Expected Goals per-game.
  • Crewe have seen 10 of their last 11 outings produce winning Over 2.5 Goals selections – those matches have averaged 3.73 goals per-game.

Over 2.5 Goals (4/5 Marathon)

Stevenage v Exeter | Saturday 28th April 2018, 15:00


  • Stevenage have scored in 17/22 home games but only managed to keep three clean sheets, leading to 16/22 (73%) Both Teams To Score winners.
  • Stevenage have scored in six of their seven home games against the top-eight.
  • Stevenage have kept only five clean sheets since September.
  • Stevenage’s past 14 fixtures have averaged 3.07 goals per-game.


  • Exeter have scored in 18/22 away games but only managed to keep four clean sheets, leading to 15/22 (68%) Both Teams To Score winners.
  • Exeter have scored in 23 of their past 26 matches and in 20 of 23 games against bottom-half teams.
  • Exeter have seen 14 of their 23 games against bottom-half teams feature both sides scoring, including eight of 11 away.
  • Exeter’s last nine games have averaged 3.33 goals per-game.

Best Bets

Blackpool v Shrewsbury – Both Teams To Score (24/23 188BET)

Crawley v Crewe – Over 2.5 Goals (4/5 Marathon)

Stevenage v Exeter – Both Teams To Score (8/11 ***)

Blackpool Both Teams To Score Both Teams To Score tips Crawley Crewe Exeter football league football league tips league one league one tips League Two League Two tips Mark O'Haire Shrewsbury Stevenage

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Utah Jazz vs. Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Pick – April 25th

It was a bit of a melancholy end to the season for the San Antonio Spurs. Nobody ever expected them to win this series against the Golden State Warriors and things took a darker turn when Spurs head coach Greg Popovich lost his longtime wife, Erin to illness. The Spurs were the emotional favorite as Popovich left the team after game two to be with his family. But this is the NBA and the season must continue and San Antonio losing this series was inevitable. Last night the inevitable become a reality as the Spurs lost game five 99-91 to end their season.

The game was actually a much closer one than many had expected it to be and the Spurs covered the ten-and-a-half-point number, just barely. This series has been a very tough one to bet as there were so many extenuating circumstances. You had the Spurs playing without their best player in Kawhi Leonard, and without their coach, after game two. And then you had the Warriors without their best player in Steph Curry. Throw in the emotional loss of coach Pop’s wife and this series was all over the place. In the end, the Warriors took care of business like we all knew they would, and it is on to the second round for the Dubs. For today’s pick, I will look at game five between the Utah Jazz and the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Utah Jazz are in Oklahoma City Wednesday night looking to close out their first-round series with the Thunder. The Jazz have dominated the series after losing game one in OKC. Utah took care of business at home in game four, taking the game 113-96. The win put the Thunder’s backs to the wall tonight at home. The Thunder are -3.5-point home favorites. The game total over-under is set at 207 points. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:30 PM PST from Chesapeake Energy Arena.

The Utah Jazz haven’t lucked their way through this series. They have been the much better team. They upset OKC on the road in game two and have covered the spread in both games at home so far. This hasn’t been a case of a team running lucky and taking the lead in a series. This was a case of the better team, that was playing much better entering the playoffs, asserting its dominance. A big reason for this success has been the emergence of Donovan Mitchell.

The rookie has been transcendent in this series. Mitchell had a great rookie campaign. He averaged over twenty points a game and snatched down four boards and dished out close to four dimes a game. Those are some great numbers for a guy that was selected just thirteenth in the draft and ended up getting traded on draft night. In this series, Mitchell is averaging nearly thirty points a game and has doubled his rebounding at almost nine boards a game. Mitchell is truly turning into a superstar in a series filled with them.

I let Russel Westbrook convince me that the Thunder were going to win game four. He was pissed off and seemed so motivated that I didn’t see him getting denied. Turns out the emotion played against him and he struggled with turnovers all game long, and the Thunder got blown out. I expect that emotion will get the better of him again tonight. This guy hates to lose, almost to much, and it will hurt him tonight.

This series has been dominated by the Jazz, and I see no reason why that won’t continue tonight. It is always tough to bet against a home team facing elimination. The hometown crowd alone will be very hard to overcome. But I just feel that the Jazz are the much better team and that OKC has mentally checked out. Carmelo looks like he is done being a productive star in the league and you can tell Paul George doesn’t like playing second fiddle to Russell Westbrook. The sooner this series ends, the sooner this failed experiment in OKC comes to an end. I am not 100% sure that the Jazz will be able to close this game out tonight, but I would be shocked if the game wasn’t a very competitive and close one that comes down to the final couple of possessions. So, I will snatch up the points tonight and play it safe.

Give me the Utah Jazz getting +3.5 points at -105 tonight!

The Bet: Utah Jazz +3.5 points at -105

Bet Now

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